The Predictive and Guidance Value of Signet Ring Cell Histology for Stage II/III Colon Cancer Response to Chemotherapy

Elevated postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen guides adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer: a multicentre cohort retrospective study

Most clinical doctors rely on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines to decide whether to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer. However, these high-risk factors do not include postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). This study aims to explore the elevation of postoperative CEA as a risk factor, in addition to other high-risk factors, to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on stage II colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery at Yunnan Cancer Hospital and The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University from April 2008 to January 2019. Patients were classified into three groups based on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines and postoperative CEA levels: low-risk with normal postoperative CEA, low-risk with elevated postoperative CEA and high-risk. COX regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors affecting patients' recurrence free survival (RFS). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to create the patients' RFS curve. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve was used to assess the correlation between postoperative CEA and RFS on a continuous scale. Among 761 patients, there were 444 males (62.01%), with a median [IQR] age of 58.0 (18.0-88.0) years. A group of 425 high-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 82.2% (95% CI 78.5-86.1%), while a group of 291 low-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 89.7% (95% CI 86.1-93.5%). There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups (HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.22-2.74; P = 0.0067). Among them, the 3-year RFS of 261 low-risk patients with normal postoperative CEA was 93.6% (95% CI 90.5-96.8%), while the 3-year RFS of 30 low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA was 57.3% (95% CI 41.8-71.4%). There was a significant difference compared to the 3-year RFS of 425 high-risk patients (overall log-rank P < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis adjusted by the COX proportional hazards model showed that low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA patients (HR 14.95, 95% CI 4.51-49.63, P < 0.0001) was independently associated with a 3-year RFS. The restricted cubic spline model showed that in stage II colon cancer patients with tumor diameter > 1.955 ng/mL, the risk of postoperative recurrence increased with increasing postoperative CEA levels. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA levels have a significantly increased risk of recurrence. They should be included as high-risk factors to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer.

Based on the Development and Verification of a Risk Stratification Nomogram: Predicting the Risk of Lung Cancer-Specific Mortality in Stage IIIA-N2 Unresectable Large Cell Lung Neuroendocrine Cancer Compared With Lung Squamous Cell Cancer and Lung Adenocarcinoma

Background

The purpose of this study is to predict overall survival (OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) in patients with stage IIIA-N2 unresectable lung squamous cell cancer (LUSC), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), and large cell neuroendocrine cancer (LCNEC) by constructing nomograms and to compare risk and prognostic factors affecting survival outcomes in different histological subtypes.

Methods

We included 11,505 unresectable NSCLC patients at stage IIIA-N2 between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Moreover, competition models and nomograms were developed to predict prognostic factors for OS and LCSS.

Results

Analysis of the SEER database identified 11,505 NSCLC patients, of whom 5,559 (48.3%) have LUAD, 5,842 (50.8%) have LUSC, and 104 (0.9%) have LCNEC. Overall, both OS and LCSS were significantly better in stage IIIA-N2 unresectable LUAD than in LCNEC, while there was no statistically significant difference between LUSC and LCNEC. Age, gender, T stage, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were significantly associated with OS rates in LUAD and LUSC. However, chemotherapy was the only independent factor for LCNEC (p < 0.01).From competitive risk models, we found that older age, larger tumors, non-chemotherapy and non-radiotherapy were associated with a increased risk of death from LUAD and LUSC. Unlike prognostic factors for OS, our study showed that both chemotherapy and radiotherapy were all LCNEC-specific survival factors for both LCSS and non-LCSS LCNEC.

Conclusion

Our study reports that unresectable patients with stage IIIA-N2 LCNEC and LUSC have worse LCSS than LUAD. The study’s first prognostic nomogram constructed for patients with unresectable stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC can accurately predict the survival of different histological types, which may provide a practical tool to help clinicians assess prognosis and stratify these prognostic risks to determine which patients should be given an optimized individual treatment strategy based on histology.