A Novel Nomogram Based on Log Odds of Metastatic Lymph Nodes to Predict Overall Survival in Patients With Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma After Surgery

Nomogram predicts risk of perineural invasion based on serum biomarkers for pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is a fatal tumor, and the status of perineural invasion (PNI) of pancreatic cancer was positively related to poor prognosis including overall survival and recurrence-free survival. This study aims to develop and validate a predictive model based on serum biomarkers to accurately predict the perineural invasion.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The patients from No.924 Hospital of PLA Joint Logistic Support Force were included. The predictive model was developed in the training cohort using logistic regression analysis, and then tested in the validation cohort. The area under curve (AUC), calibration curves and decision curve analysis were used to validate the predictive accuracy and clinical benefits of nomogram.

RESULTS

A nomogram was developed using preoperative total bilirubin, preoperative blood glucose, preoperative CA19-9. It achieved good AUC values of 0.753 and 0.737 in predicting PNI in training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves showed nomogram had good uniformity of the practical probability of PNI. Decision curve analyses revealed that the nomogram provided higher diagnostic accuracy and superior net benefit compared to single indicators.

CONCLUSION

The present study constructed and validate a novel nomogram predicted the PNI of resectable PHAC patients with high stability and accuracy. Besides, it could better screen high-risk probability of PNI in these patients, and optimize treatment decision-making.

Identification of a new anoikis-related gene signature for prognostic significance in head and neck squamous carcinomas

Anoikis, a mode of programmed cell death, is essential for normal development and homeostasis in the organism and plays an important role in the onset and progression of cancers. The authors of this research sought to establish a gene signature associated with anoikis to predict therapy outcomes and patient prognosis for individuals with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Transcriptome data of anoikis-related genes (ARGs) in individuals with HNSCC were retrieved from public databases to aid in the formulation of the gene signature. A novel ARG signature was then created using a combination of the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression and Cox regression analysis. The relationship between ARGs and tumor immune microenvironment in HNSCC was explored using single-cell analysis. HNSCC individuals were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups as per the median value of risk score. The study also investigated the variations in the infiltration status of immune cells, tumor microenvironment, sensitivity to immunotherapy and chemotherapeutics, as well as functional enrichment between the low-risk and high-risk categories. A total of 18 ARGs were incorporated in the formulation of the signature. Our signature's validity as a standalone predictive predictor was validated by multivariate Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Generally, the prognosis was worse for high-risk individuals. Subjects in the low-risk groups had a better prognosis and responded in a better way to combination immunotherapy, had higher immunological ratings and activity levels, and had more immune cell infiltration. In addition, gene set enrichment analysis findings showed that the low-risk subjects exhibited heightened activity in several immune-related pathways. However, the high-risk patients responded better to chemotherapy. The aim of this research was to develop a new ARG signature to predict the prognosis and sensitivity to immunotherapeutic and chemotherapeutic schemes for HNSCC patient. As a result, this could help spur the creation of new chemotherapeutics and immunotherapeutic approaches for patients with HNSCC.

Prognostic nomogram based on the lymph node metastasis indicators for patients with bladder cancer: A SEER population‐based study and external validation

PURPOSE

This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of multiple lymph node metastasis (LNM) indicators and to develop optimal prognostic nomograms for bladder cancer (BC) patients.

METHODS

BC patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2015, and randomly partitioned into training and internal validation cohorts. Genomic and clinical data were collected from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) as external validation cohort. The predictive efficiency of LNM indicators was compared by constructing multivariate Cox regression models. We constructed nomograms on basis of the optimal models selected for overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS). The performance of nomograms was evaluated with calibration plot, time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) in three cohorts. We subsequently estimated the difference of biological function and tumor immunity between two risk groups stratified by nomograms in TCGA cohort.

RESULTS

Totally, 10,093 and 107 BC patients were screened from the SEER and TCGA databases. N classification, positive lymph nodes (PLNs), lymph node ratio (LNR) and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) were all independent predictors for OS and CSS. The filtered models containing LODDS had minimal Akaike Information Criterion, maximal concordance indexes and AUCs. Age, LODDS, T and M classification were integrated into nomogram for OS, while nomogram for CSS included gender, tumor grade, LODDS, T and M classification. The nomograms were successfully validated in predictive accuracy and clinical utility in three cohorts. Additionally, the tumor microenvironment was different between two risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

LODDS demonstrated superior prognostic performance over N classification, PLN and LNR for OS and CSS of BC patients. The nomograms incorporating LODDS provided appropriate prediction of BC, which could contribute to the tumor assessment and clinical decision-making.

Risk stratification system and web-based nomogram constructed for predicting the overall survival of primary osteosarcoma patients after surgical resection

Background

Previous prediction models of osteosarcoma have not focused on survival in patients undergoing surgery, nor have they distinguished and compared prognostic differences among amputation, radical and local resection. This study aimed to establish and validate the first reliable prognostic nomogram to accurately predict overall survival (OS) after surgical resection in patients with osteosarcoma. On this basis, we constructed a risk stratification system and a web-based nomogram.

Methods

We enrolled all patients with primary osteosarcoma who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. In patients with primary osteosarcoma after surgical resection, univariate and multivariate cox proportional hazards regression analyses were utilized to identify independent prognostic factors and construct a novel nomogram for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS. Then the nomogram's predictive performance and clinical utility were evaluated by the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Result

This study recruited 1,396 patients in all, with 837 serving as the training set (60%) and 559 as the validation set (40%). After COX regression analysis, we identified seven independent prognostic factors to develop the nomogram, including age, primary site, histological type, disease stage, AJCC stage, tumor size, and surgical method. The C-index indicated that this nomogram is considerably more accurate than the AJCC stage in predicting OS [Training set (HR: 0.741, 95% CI: 0.726–0.755) vs. (HR: 0.632, 95% CI: 0.619–0.645); Validation set (HR: 0.735, 95% CI: 0.718–0.753) vs. (HR: 0.635, 95% CI: 0.619–0.652)]. Moreover, the area under ROC curves, the calibration curves, and DCA demonstrated that this nomogram was significantly superior to the AJCC stage, with better predictive performance and more net clinical benefits.

Conclusion

This study highlighted that radical surgery was the first choice for patients with primary osteosarcoma since it provided the best survival prognosis. We have established and validated a novel nomogram that could objectively predict the overall survival of patients with primary osteosarcoma after surgical resection. Furthermore, a risk stratification system and a web-based nomogram could be applied in clinical practice to assist in therapeutic decision-making.