Radiomics Nomograms Based on Multi-Parametric MRI for Preoperative Differential Diagnosis of Malignant and Benign Sinonasal Tumors: A Two-Centre Study

MRI radiomics may predict early tumor recurrence in patients with sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) follows a poor prognosis with high tendency for local recurrence. We aimed to evaluate whether MRI radiomics can predict early local failure in sinonasal SCC.

METHODS

Sixty-eight consecutive patients with node-negative sinonasal SCC (January 2005-December 2020) were enrolled, allocated to the training (n = 47) and test sets (n = 21). Early local failure, which occurred within 12 months of completion of initial treatment, was the primary endpoint. For clinical features (age, location, treatment modality, and clinical T stage), binary logistic regression analysis was performed. For 186 extracted radiomic features, different feature selections and classifiers were combined to create two prediction models: (1) a pure radiomics model; and (2) a combined model with clinical features and radiomics. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were calculated and compared using DeLong's method.

RESULTS

Early local failure occurred in 38.3% (18/47) and 23.8% (5/21) in the training and test sets, respectively. We identified several radiomic features which were strongly associated with early local failure. In the test set, both the best-performing radiomics model and the combined model (clinical + radiomic features) yielded higher AUCs compared to the clinical model (AUC, 0.838 vs. 0.438, p = 0.020; 0.850 vs. 0.438, p = 0.016, respectively). The performances of the best-performing radiomics model and the combined model did not differ significantly (AUC, 0.838 vs. 0.850, p = 0.904).

CONCLUSION

MRI radiomics integrated with a machine learning classifier may predict early local failure in patients with sinonasal SCC.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

MRI radiomics intergrated with machine learning classifiers may predict early local failure in sinonasal squamous cell carcinomas more accurately than the clinical model.

KEY POINTS

• A subset of radiomic features which showed significant association with early local failure in patients with sinonasal squamous cell carcinomas was identified. • MRI radiomics integrated with machine learning classifiers can predict early local failure with high accuracy, which was validated in the test set (area under the curve = 0.838). • The combined clinical and radiomics model yielded superior performance for early local failure prediction compared to that of the radiomics (area under the curve 0.850 vs. 0.838 in the test set), without a statistically significant difference.

Automated Prediction of Early Recurrence in Advanced Sinonasal Squamous Cell Carcinoma With Deep Learning and Multi-parametric MRI-based Radiomics Nomogram

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Preoperative prediction of the recurrence risk in patients with advanced sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SNSCC) is critical for individualized treatment. To evaluate the predictive ability of radiomics signature (RS) based on deep learning and multiparametric MRI for the risk of 2-year recurrence in advanced SNSCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Preoperative MRI datasets were retrospectively collected from 265 SNSCC patients (145 recurrences) who underwent preoperative MRI, including T2-weighted (T2W), contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (T1c) sequences and diffusion-weighted (DW). All patients were divided into 165 training cohort and 70 test cohort. A deep learning segmentation model based on VB-Net was used to segment regions of interest (ROIs) for preoperative MRI and radiomics features were extracted from automatically segmented ROIs. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression (LR) were applied for feature selection and radiomics score construction. Combined with meaningful clinicopathological predictors, a nomogram was developed and its performance was evaluated. In addition, X-title software was used to divide patients into high-risk or low-risk early relapse (ER) subgroups. Recurrence-free survival probability (RFS) was assessed for each subgroup.

RESULTS

The radiomics score, T stage, histological grade and Ki-67 predictors were independent predictors. The segmentation models of T2WI, T1c, and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) sequences achieved Dice coefficients of 0.720, 0.727, and 0.756, respectively, in the test cohort. RS-T2, RS-T1c and RS-ADC were derived from single-parameter MRI. RS-Combined (combined with T2WI, T1c, and ADC features) was derived from multiparametric MRI and reached area under curve (AUC) and accuracy of 0.854 (0.749-0.927) and 74.3% (0.624-0.840), respectively, in the test cohort. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) illustrate its value in clinical practice. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 2-year RFS rate for low-risk patients was significantly greater than that for high-risk patients in both the training and testing cohorts (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Automated nomograms based on multi-sequence MRI help to predict ER in SNSCC patients preoperatively.

Multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signature for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 proliferation status in sinonasal malignancies: a two-centre study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive ability of a multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signature (RS) for the preoperative evaluation of Ki-67 proliferation status in sinonasal malignancies.

METHODS

A total of 128 patients with sinonasal malignancies that underwent multi-parametric MRIs at two medical centres were retrospectively analysed. Data from one medical centre (n = 77) were used to develop the predictive models and data from the other medical centre (n = 51) constitute the test dataset. Clinical data and conventional MRI findings were reviewed to identify significant predictors. Radiomics features were determined using maximum relevance minimum redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms. Subsequently, RSs were established using a logistic regression (LR) algorithm. The predictive performance of RSs was assessed using calibration, decision curve analysis (DCA), accuracy, and AUC.

RESULTS

No independent predictors of high Ki-67 proliferation were observed based on clinical data and conventional MRI findings. RS-T1, RS-T2, and RS-T1c (contrast enhancement T1WI) were established based on a single-parametric MRI. RS-Combined (combining T1WI, FS-T2WI, and T1c features) was developed based on multi-parametric MRI and achieved an AUC and accuracy of 0.852 (0.733-0.971) and 86.3%, respectively, on the test dataset. The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated an improved fitness and benefits in clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

A multi-parametric MRI-based RS may be used as a non-invasive, dependable, and accurate tool for preoperative evaluation of the Ki-67 proliferation status to overcome the sampling bias in sinonasal malignancies.

KEY POINTS

• Multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signatures (RSs) are used to preoperatively evaluate the proliferation status of Ki-67 in sinonasal malignancies. • Radiomics features are determined using maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithms. • RSs are established using a logistic regression (LR) algorithm.

A Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram Based on the Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) for Individualized Prediction of the Risk of Early Relapse in Advanced Sinonasal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A 2-Year Follow-Up Study

Purpose

To develop and validate a nomogram model combining radiomic features and clinical characteristics to preoperatively predict the risk of early relapse (ER) in advanced sinonasal squamous cell carcinomas (SNSCCs).

Methods

A total of 152 SNSCC patients (clinical stage III-IV) who underwent diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) were included in this study. The training cohort included 106 patients assessed at the headquarters of our hospital using MR scanner 1. The testing cohort included 46 patients assessed at the branch of our hospital using MR scanner 2. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied for feature selection and radiomic signature (radscore) construction. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to identify independent predictors. The performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Furthermore, the patients were classified into high- or low-risk ER subgroups according to the optimal cutoff value of the nomogram using X-tile. The recurrence-free survival probability (RFS) of each subgroup was assessed.

Results

ER was noted in 69 patients. The radscore included 8 selected radiomic features. The radscore, T stage and surgical margin were independent predictors. The nomogram showed better performance (AUC = 0.92) than either the radscore or the clinical factors in the training cohort (P < 0.050). In the testing cohort, the nomogram showed better performance (AUC = 0.92) than the clinical factors (P = 0.016) and tended to show better performance than the radscore (P = 0.177). The nomogram demonstrated good calibration and clinical utility. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 2-year RFS rate for low-risk patients was significantly greater than that for high-risk patients in both the training and testing cohorts (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

The ADC-based radiomic nomogram model is potentially useful in predicting the risk of ER in advanced SNSCCs.