Predictive Value of a Combined Model Based on Pre-Treatment and Mid-Treatment MRI-Radiomics for Disease Progression or Death in Locally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Radiomics-based lymph nodes prognostic models from three MRI regions in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Accurate prediction of the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is important for treatment. Lymph nodes metastasis is an important predictor for distant failure and regional recurrence in patients with NPC. Traditionally, subjective radiological evaluation increases concerns regarding the accuracy and consistency of predictions. Radiomics is an objective and quantitative evaluation algorithm for medical images. This retrospective analysis was conducted based on the data of 729 patients newly diagnosed with NPC without distant metastases to evaluate the performance of radiomics pretreatment using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-determined metastatic lymph nodes models to predict NPC prognosis with three delineation methods. Radiomics features were extracted from all lymph nodes (ALN), largest lymph node (LLN), and largest slice of the largest lymph node (LSLN) to generate three radiomics signatures. The radiomics signatures, clinical model, and radiomics-clinic merged models were developed in training cohort for predicting overall survival (OS). The results showed that LSLN signature with clinical factors predicted OS with high accuracy and robustness using pretreatment MR-determined metastatic lymph nodes (C-index [95 % confidence interval]: 0.762[0.760-0.763]), providing a new tool for treatment planning in NPC.

Deciphering the Prognostic Efficacy of MRI Radiomics in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Meta-Analysis

This meta-analysis investigates the prognostic value of MRI-based radiomics in nasopharyngeal carcinoma treatment outcomes, specifically focusing on overall survival (OS) variability. The study protocol was registered with INPLASY (INPLASY202420101). Initially, a systematic review identified 15 relevant studies involving 6243 patients through a comprehensive search across PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science, adhering to PRISMA guidelines. The methodological quality was assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool and the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), highlighting a low risk of bias in most domains. Our analysis revealed a significant average concordance index (c-index) of 72% across studies, indicating the potential of radiomics in clinical prognostication. However, moderate heterogeneity was observed, particularly in OS predictions. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression identified validation methods and radiomics software as significant heterogeneity moderators. Notably, the number of features in the prognosis model correlated positively with its performance. These findings suggest radiomics' promising role in enhancing cancer treatment strategies, though the observed heterogeneity and potential biases call for cautious interpretation and standardization in future research.

A nomogram model based on pre-treatment and post-treatment MR imaging radiomics signatures: application to predict progression-free survival for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To establish a novel model using radiomics analysis of pre-treatment and post-treatment magnetic resonance (MR) images for prediction of progression-free survival in the patients with stage II-IVA nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in South China.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty NPC patients who underwent chemoradiotherapy were enrolled (80 in the training cohort and 40 in the validation cohort). Acquiring data and screening features were performed successively. Totally 1133 radiomics features were extracted from the T2-weight images before and after treatment. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, recursive feature elimination algorithm, random forest, and minimum-redundancy maximum-relevancy (mRMR) method were used for feature selection. Nomogram discrimination and calibration were evaluated. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were applied to appraise the prognostic performance of nomograms. Survival curves were plotted using Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Integrating independent clinical predictors with pre-treatment and post-treatment radiomics signatures which were calculated in conformity with radiomics features, we established a clinical-and-radiomics nomogram by multivariable Cox regression. Nomogram consisting of 14 pre-treatment and 7 post-treatment selected features has been proved to yield a reliable predictive performance in both training and validation groups. The C-index of clinical-and-radiomics nomogram was 0.953 (all P < 0.05), which was higher than that of clinical (0.861) or radiomics nomograms alone (based on pre-treatment statistics: 0.942; based on post-treatment statistics: 0.944). Moreover, we received Rad-score of pre-treatment named RS1 and post-treatment named RS2 and all were used as independent predictors to divide patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that lower RS1 (less than cutoff value, - 1.488) and RS2 (less than cutoff value, - 0.180) were easier to avoid disease progression (all P < 0.01). It showed clinical benefit with decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

MR-based radiomics measured the burden on primary tumor before treatment and the tumor regression after chemoradiotherapy, and was used to build a model to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in the stage II-IVA NPC patients. It can also help to distinguish high-risk patients from low-risk patients, thus guiding personalized treatment decisions effectively.

Machine Learning Based on MRI DWI Radiomics Features for Prognostic Prediction in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Simple Summary

In the past, radiomics studies of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) were only based on basic MR sequences. Previous studies have shown that radiomics methods based on T2-weighted imaging and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging have been successfully used to improve the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma. The purpose of this study was to explore the predictive efficacy of radiomics analyses based on readout-segmented echo-planar diffusion-weighted imaging (RESOLVE-DWI) which quantitatively reflects the diffusion motion of water molecules for prognosis evaluation in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Several prognostic radiomics models were established by using diffusion-weighted imaging, apparent diffusion coefficient maps, T2-weighted and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging to predict the risk of recurrence or metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, and the predictive effects of different models were compared. The results show that the model based on MRI DWI can successfully predict the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma and has higher predictive efficiency than the model based on the conventional sequence, which suggests MRI DWI-radiomics can provide a useful and alternative approach for survival estimation.

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to explore the predictive efficacy of radiomics analyses based on readout-segmented echo-planar diffusion-weighted imaging (RESOLVE-DWI) for prognosis evaluation in nasopharyngeal carcinoma in order to provide further information for clinical decision making and intervention. Methods: A total of 154 patients with untreated NPC confirmed by pathological examination were enrolled, and the pretreatment magnetic resonance image (MRI)—including diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps, T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (CE-T1WI)—was collected. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm selected radiomics features and established the machine-learning models. Five models, namely model 1 (DWI + ADC), model 2 (T2WI + CE-T1WI), model 3 (DWI + ADC + T2WI), model 4 (DWI + ADC + CE-T1WI), and model 5 (DWI + ADC + T2WI + CE-T1WI), were constructed. The average area under the curve (AUC) of the validation set was determined in order to compare the predictive efficacy for prognosis evaluation. Results: After adjusting the parameters, the RF machine learning models based on extracted imaging features from different sequence combinations were obtained. The invalidation sets of model 1 (DWI + ADC) yielded the highest average AUC of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.79–0.81). The average AUCs of the model 2, 3, 4, and 5 invalidation sets were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.71–0.74), 0.66 (95% CI: 0.64–0.68), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.73–0.75), and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.74–0.76), respectively. Conclusion: A radiomics model derived from the MRI DWI of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma was generated in order to evaluate the risk of recurrence and metastasis. The model based on MRI DWI can provide an alternative approach for survival estimation, and can reveal more information for clinical decision-making and intervention.