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Wu Y, Zhang J, Zhou W, Yuan Z, Wang H. Prognostic factors in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer patients with organ-specific metastasis: unveiling commonalities and disparities. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 2024; 150:74. [PMID: 38305793 PMCID: PMC10837219 DOI: 10.1007/s00432-024-05621-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 01/10/2024] [Indexed: 02/03/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to identify shared and distinct prognostic factors related to organ-specific metastases (liver, lung, bone, and brain) in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) patients, then construct nomograms for survival prediction. METHODS Patient data for ES-SCLC were from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2019. Kaplan-Meier analysis was applied to estimate overall survival (OS), and Cox regression was used to identify prognostic factors. A Venn diagram was utilized to distinguish common and unique prognostic factors among the variables assessed. These identified prognostic factors were used to formulate a nomogram, and its predictive accuracy and reliability were evaluated using C-indexes, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS A total of 24,507 patients diagnosed with ES-SCLC exhibiting metastases to the liver, lung, bone, and brain were included. The 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year OS rates were 46.1%, 19.7%, and 5.0%, respectively. Patients with liver metastasis demonstrated the most unfavorable prognosis, with a 1-year OS rate of 14.5%, while those with brain metastasis had a significantly better prognosis with a 1-year OS rate of 21.6%. The study identified seven common factors associated with a poor prognosis in ES-SCLC patients with organ-specific metastases: older age, male sex, unmarried status, higher T stage, presence of other metastases, and combination radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Furthermore, specific prognostic factors were identified for patients with metastasis to the liver, bone, and brain, including paired tumors, lack of surgical treatment at the primary site, and household income, respectively. To facilitate prognostic predictions, four nomograms were developed and subsequently validated. The performance of these nomograms was assessed using calibration curves, C-indexes, and the area under the curve (AUC), all of which consistently indicated good predictive accuracy and reliability. CONCLUSIONS Patients diagnosed with ES-SCLC with organ-specific metastases revealed shared and distinct prognostic factors. The nomograms developed from these factors demonstrated good performance and can serve valuable clinical tools to predict the prognosis of ES-SCLC patients with organ-specific metastases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuanli Wu
- Department of Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Department of Pathology, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing, China
| | - Weiying Zhou
- Department of Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Zhongzhen Yuan
- Department of Pharmacy, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, No. 181, Hanyu Road, Shapingba District, Chongqing, China.
| | - Hongmei Wang
- Department of Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
- Department of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, No. 1, Youyi RoadYuzhong District, YuanjiagangChongqing, 400016, China.
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Gholamalizadeh H, Zafari N, Velayati M, Fiuji H, Maftooh M, Ghorbani E, Hassanian SM, Khazaei M, Ferns GA, Nazari E, Avan A. Prognostic value of primary tumor location in colorectal cancer: an updated meta-analysis. Clin Exp Med 2023; 23:4369-4383. [PMID: 37405571 DOI: 10.1007/s10238-023-01120-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2023] [Accepted: 06/12/2023] [Indexed: 07/06/2023]
Abstract
The clinical, histological, and molecular differences between right-sided colon cancer (RCC) and left-sided colon cancer (RCC) have received considerable attention. Over the past decade, many articles have been published concerning the association between primary tumor location (PTL) of colorectal cancer and survival outcomes. Therefore, there is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis integrating the outcomes of recent studies to determine the prognostic role of right vs left-sidedness of PTL in patients with colorectal cancer. We conducted a comprehensive database review using PubMed, SCOPUS, and Cochrane library databases from February 2016 to March 2023 for prospective or retrospective studies reporting data on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of RCC compared with LCC. A total of 60 cohort studies comprising 1,494,445 patients were included in the meta-analysis. We demonstrated that RCC is associated with a significantly increased risk of death compared with LCC by 25% (hazard ratio (HR), 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-1.31; I2 = 78.4%; Z = 43.68). Results showed that patients with RCC have a worse OS compared with LCC only in advanced stages (Stage III: HR, 1.275; 95% CI 1.16-1.4; P = 0.0002; I2 = 85.8%; Stage IV: HR, 1.34; 95% CI 1.25-1.44; P < 0.0001; I2 = 69.2%) but not in primary stages (Stage I/II: HR, 1.275; 95% CI 1.16-1.4; P = 0.0002; I2 = 85.8%). Moreover, a meta-analysis of 13 studies including 812,644 patients revealed that there is no significant difference in CSS between RCC and LCC (HR, 1.121; 95% CI 0.97-1.3; P = 0.112). Findings from the present meta-analysis highlight the importance of PTL in clinical decision-making for patients with CRC, especially in advanced stages. We provide further evidence supporting the hypothesis that RCC and LCC are distinct disease entities that should be managed differently.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hanieh Gholamalizadeh
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Nima Zafari
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Mahla Velayati
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Hamid Fiuji
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Mina Maftooh
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
- Basic Sciences Research Institute, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Elnaz Ghorbani
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Seyed Mahdi Hassanian
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
- Basic Sciences Research Institute, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Majid Khazaei
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
- Basic Sciences Research Institute, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Gordon A Ferns
- Division of Medical Education, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Falmer, Brighton, Sussex, BN1 9PH, UK
| | - Elham Nazari
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
- Basic Sciences Research Institute, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
| | - Amir Avan
- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
- College of Medicine, University of Warith Al-Anbiyaa, Karbala, Iraq.
- School of Mechanical, Medical and Process Engineering, Science and Engineering Faculty, Queensland University of Technology, 2 George St, Brisbane, QLD, 4000, Australia.
- Faculty of Health, School of Biomedical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
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Li Y, Liu J, Xu Z, Shang J, Wu S, Zhang M, Liu Y. Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of patients with lymph node-positive invasive micropapillary carcinoma of the breast: based on SEER database and external validation cohort. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1231302. [PMID: 37954073 PMCID: PMC10635422 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1231302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Invasive micropapillary carcinoma (IMPC) of the breast is a rare subtype of breast cancer with high incidence of aggressive clinical behavior, lymph node metastasis (LNM) and poor prognosis. In the present study, using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors of IMPC with LNM, and constructed a prognostic nomogram. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data for 487 breast IMPC patients with LNM in the SEER database from January 2010 to December 2015, and randomly divided these patients into a training cohort (70%) and an internal validation cohort (30%) for the construction and internal validation of the nomogram, respectively. In addition, 248 patients diagnosed with IMPC and LNM at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2010 to December 2019 were collected as an external validation cohort. Lasso regression, along with Cox regression, was used to screen risk factors. Further more, the discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed based on the consistency index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results In summary, we identified six variables including molecular subtype of breast cancer, first malignant primary indicator, tumor grade, AJCC stage, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors in predicting the prognosis of IMPC patients with LNM (P < 0.05). Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed for predicting 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) of patients. The nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.789 (95%CI: 0.759-0.819) in the training cohort, 0.775 (95%CI: 0.731-0.819) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.788 (95%CI: 0.756-0.820) in the external validation cohort. According to the calculated patient risk score, the patients were divided into a high-risk group and a low-risk group, which showed a significant difference in the survival prognosis of the two groups (P<0.0001). The time-dependent ROC curves, calibration curves and DCA curves proved the superiority of the nomogram. Conclusions We have successfully constructed a nomogram that could predict 3- and 5-year OS of IMPC patients with LNM and may assist clinicians in decision-making and personalized treatment planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yifei Li
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Jinzhao Liu
- The Second Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery, Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, China
| | - Zihang Xu
- College of Basic Medical Sciences, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Jiuyan Shang
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Si Wu
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Meng Zhang
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Yueping Liu
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
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Ottaiano A, Facchini S, Santorsola M, Nasti G, Facchini G, Montella L, Maurea N, Cascella M, Iervolino D, Facchini BA, Montopoli M, Consolo P, Quagliariello V, Rinaldi L, Berretta M. Circulating Vitamin D Level and Its Impact on Mortality and Recurrence in Stage III Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:cancers15113012. [PMID: 37296974 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15113012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2023] [Revised: 05/30/2023] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Vitamin D (VD) has been implicated in several diseases, including colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to determine whether there is an association between VD levels and time-to-outcome in stage III CRC patients through a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS The study adhered to the PRISMA 2020 statement. Articles were searched in PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus/ELSEVIER. Four articles were selected, with the primary objective of providing a pooled estimate of the risk of death specifically in stage III CRC patients based on pre-operative VD levels. Study heterogeneity and publication bias were analyzed using Tau2 statistics and funnel plots. RESULTS The selected studies showed significant heterogeneity regarding time-to-outcome, technical assessments, and serum VD concentration measures. The pooled analysis of 2628 and 2024 patients revealed a 38% and 13% increase in the risk of death (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 0.71-2.71) and recurrence (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 0.84-1.53), respectively, for random-effects models among patients with lower levels of VD. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that a low concentration of VD has a significant negative impact on time-to-outcome in stage III CRC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandro Ottaiano
- Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS "G. Pascale", 80131 Naples, Italy
| | - Sergio Facchini
- Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Precision Medicine, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, 80138 Naples, Italy
| | | | - Guglielmo Nasti
- Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS "G. Pascale", 80131 Naples, Italy
| | - Gaetano Facchini
- Oncology Complex Unit, "S. Maria delle Grazie" Hospital, ASL NA2 NORD, 80078 Pozzuoli, Italy
| | - Liliana Montella
- Oncology Complex Unit, "S. Maria delle Grazie" Hospital, ASL NA2 NORD, 80078 Pozzuoli, Italy
| | - Nicola Maurea
- Division of Cardiology, IRCCS "G. Pascale", 80131 Naples, Italy
| | - Marco Cascella
- Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS "G. Pascale", 80131 Naples, Italy
| | - Domenico Iervolino
- Istituto Nazionale Tumori di Napoli, IRCCS "G. Pascale", 80131 Naples, Italy
| | - Bianca Arianna Facchini
- Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Precision Medicine, University of Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, 80138 Naples, Italy
| | - Monica Montopoli
- Department of Pharmaceutical and Pharmacological Sciences, University of Padova, 35122 Padova, Italy
| | - Pierluigi Consolo
- Unit of Digestive Endoscopy, University of Messina, Hospital "G. Martino", 98121 Messina, Italy
| | | | - Luca Rinaldi
- Department of Advanced Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", 80138 Naples, Italy
| | - Massimiliano Berretta
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Messina, 98122 Messina, Italy
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