Development and validation of a new stage-specific nomogram model for predicting cancer-specific survival in patients in different stages of colon cancer: A SEER population-based study and external validation

Prognostic factors in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer patients with organ-specific metastasis: unveiling commonalities and disparities

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify shared and distinct prognostic factors related to organ-specific metastases (liver, lung, bone, and brain) in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) patients, then construct nomograms for survival prediction.

METHODS

Patient data for ES-SCLC were from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2019. Kaplan-Meier analysis was applied to estimate overall survival (OS), and Cox regression was used to identify prognostic factors. A Venn diagram was utilized to distinguish common and unique prognostic factors among the variables assessed. These identified prognostic factors were used to formulate a nomogram, and its predictive accuracy and reliability were evaluated using C-indexes, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 24,507 patients diagnosed with ES-SCLC exhibiting metastases to the liver, lung, bone, and brain were included. The 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year OS rates were 46.1%, 19.7%, and 5.0%, respectively. Patients with liver metastasis demonstrated the most unfavorable prognosis, with a 1-year OS rate of 14.5%, while those with brain metastasis had a significantly better prognosis with a 1-year OS rate of 21.6%. The study identified seven common factors associated with a poor prognosis in ES-SCLC patients with organ-specific metastases: older age, male sex, unmarried status, higher T stage, presence of other metastases, and combination radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Furthermore, specific prognostic factors were identified for patients with metastasis to the liver, bone, and brain, including paired tumors, lack of surgical treatment at the primary site, and household income, respectively. To facilitate prognostic predictions, four nomograms were developed and subsequently validated. The performance of these nomograms was assessed using calibration curves, C-indexes, and the area under the curve (AUC), all of which consistently indicated good predictive accuracy and reliability.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients diagnosed with ES-SCLC with organ-specific metastases revealed shared and distinct prognostic factors. The nomograms developed from these factors demonstrated good performance and can serve valuable clinical tools to predict the prognosis of ES-SCLC patients with organ-specific metastases.

Prognostic value of primary tumor location in colorectal cancer: an updated meta-analysis

The clinical, histological, and molecular differences between right-sided colon cancer (RCC) and left-sided colon cancer (RCC) have received considerable attention. Over the past decade, many articles have been published concerning the association between primary tumor location (PTL) of colorectal cancer and survival outcomes. Therefore, there is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis integrating the outcomes of recent studies to determine the prognostic role of right vs left-sidedness of PTL in patients with colorectal cancer. We conducted a comprehensive database review using PubMed, SCOPUS, and Cochrane library databases from February 2016 to March 2023 for prospective or retrospective studies reporting data on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of RCC compared with LCC. A total of 60 cohort studies comprising 1,494,445 patients were included in the meta-analysis. We demonstrated that RCC is associated with a significantly increased risk of death compared with LCC by 25% (hazard ratio (HR), 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-1.31; I2 = 78.4%; Z = 43.68). Results showed that patients with RCC have a worse OS compared with LCC only in advanced stages (Stage III: HR, 1.275; 95% CI 1.16-1.4; P = 0.0002; I2 = 85.8%; Stage IV: HR, 1.34; 95% CI 1.25-1.44; P < 0.0001; I2 = 69.2%) but not in primary stages (Stage I/II: HR, 1.275; 95% CI 1.16-1.4; P = 0.0002; I2 = 85.8%). Moreover, a meta-analysis of 13 studies including 812,644 patients revealed that there is no significant difference in CSS between RCC and LCC (HR, 1.121; 95% CI 0.97-1.3; P = 0.112). Findings from the present meta-analysis highlight the importance of PTL in clinical decision-making for patients with CRC, especially in advanced stages. We provide further evidence supporting the hypothesis that RCC and LCC are distinct disease entities that should be managed differently.

Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of patients with lymph node-positive invasive micropapillary carcinoma of the breast: based on SEER database and external validation cohort

Background

Invasive micropapillary carcinoma (IMPC) of the breast is a rare subtype of breast cancer with high incidence of aggressive clinical behavior, lymph node metastasis (LNM) and poor prognosis. In the present study, using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors of IMPC with LNM, and constructed a prognostic nomogram.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data for 487 breast IMPC patients with LNM in the SEER database from January 2010 to December 2015, and randomly divided these patients into a training cohort (70%) and an internal validation cohort (30%) for the construction and internal validation of the nomogram, respectively. In addition, 248 patients diagnosed with IMPC and LNM at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2010 to December 2019 were collected as an external validation cohort. Lasso regression, along with Cox regression, was used to screen risk factors. Further more, the discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed based on the consistency index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

In summary, we identified six variables including molecular subtype of breast cancer, first malignant primary indicator, tumor grade, AJCC stage, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors in predicting the prognosis of IMPC patients with LNM (P < 0.05). Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed for predicting 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) of patients. The nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.789 (95%CI: 0.759-0.819) in the training cohort, 0.775 (95%CI: 0.731-0.819) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.788 (95%CI: 0.756-0.820) in the external validation cohort. According to the calculated patient risk score, the patients were divided into a high-risk group and a low-risk group, which showed a significant difference in the survival prognosis of the two groups (P<0.0001). The time-dependent ROC curves, calibration curves and DCA curves proved the superiority of the nomogram.

Conclusions

We have successfully constructed a nomogram that could predict 3- and 5-year OS of IMPC patients with LNM and may assist clinicians in decision-making and personalized treatment planning.

Circulating Vitamin D Level and Its Impact on Mortality and Recurrence in Stage III Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Vitamin D (VD) has been implicated in several diseases, including colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to determine whether there is an association between VD levels and time-to-outcome in stage III CRC patients through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

The study adhered to the PRISMA 2020 statement. Articles were searched in PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus/ELSEVIER. Four articles were selected, with the primary objective of providing a pooled estimate of the risk of death specifically in stage III CRC patients based on pre-operative VD levels. Study heterogeneity and publication bias were analyzed using Tau² statistics and funnel plots.

RESULTS

The selected studies showed significant heterogeneity regarding time-to-outcome, technical assessments, and serum VD concentration measures. The pooled analysis of 2628 and 2024 patients revealed a 38% and 13% increase in the risk of death (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 0.71-2.71) and recurrence (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 0.84-1.53), respectively, for random-effects models among patients with lower levels of VD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that a low concentration of VD has a significant negative impact on time-to-outcome in stage III CRC.