Noninvasively Assessed Portal Hypertension Grade Predicts Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients With HepatocellCarcinoma: A Multicenter Study

Development and validation of nomogram to predict overall survival and disease-free survival after surgical resection in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the common causes of tumor death in elderly patients. However, there is a lack of individualized prognostic predictors for elderly patients with HCC after surgery.

Method

We retrospectively analyzed HCC patients over 65 years old who underwent hepatectomy from 2015 to 2018, and randomly divided them into training cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 3:1. Univariate Cox regression was used to screen the risk factors related to prognosis. Prognostic variables were further selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression to identify the predictors of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). These indicators were then used to construct a predictive nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, consistency index (C-index) and decision analysis curve (DCA) were used to test the predictive value of these independent prognostic indicators.

Result

A total of 188 elderly HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy were enrolled in this study. The independent prognostic indicators of OS included albumin (ALB), cancer embolus, blood loss, viral hepatitis B, total bilirubin (TB), microvascular invasion, overweight, and major resection. The independent prognostic indicators of DFS included major resection, ALB, microvascular invasion, laparoscopic surgery, blood loss, TB, and pleural effusion. In the training cohort, the ROC curve showed that the predictive values of these indicators for OS and DFS were 0.827 and 0.739, respectively, while in the validation cohort, they were 0.798 and 0.694. The calibration curve nomogram exhibited good prediction for 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS and DFS. Moreover, the nomogram models exhibited superior performance compared to the T-staging suggested by C-index and DCA.

Conclusion

The nomogram established in this study demonstrate commendable predictive efficacy for OS and DFS in elderly patients with HCC after hepatectomy.Core Tip: The purpose of this retrospective study is to screen the risk factors of survival and recurrence in elderly patients with HCC after hepatectomy. The nomogram included cancer embolus, viral hepatitis B, overweight, major resection, ALB, microvascular invasion, laparoscopic surgery, blood loss, TB, and pleural effusion as predictors. The calibration curve of this nomogram was good, indicating credible predictive value and clinical feasibility.

Laparoscopic and open minor liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma with clinically significant portal hypertension: a multicenter study using inverse probability weighting approach

BACKGROUND

Liver resection offers substantial advantages over open liver resection (OLR) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in terms of reduced intraoperative blood loss and morbidity. However, there is limited evidence comparing the indications and perioperative outcomes with the open versus laparoscopic approach for resection. This study aimed to compare postoperative outcomes between patients undergoing laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) and OLR for HCC with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH).

METHODS

A total of 316 HCC patients with CSPH (the presence of gastroesophageal varices or platelet count < 100,000/ml and spleen diameter > 12 cm) undergoing minor liver resection at eight centers were included in this study. To adjust for confounding factors between the LLR and OLR groups, an inverse probability weighting method analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Overall, 193 patients underwent LLR and 123 underwent OLR. After weighting, LLR was associated with a lower volume of intraoperative blood loss and the incidence of postoperative complications (including pulmonary complications, incisional surgical site infection, and paralytic ileus) compared to the OLR group. The 3-, 5-, and 7-year postoperative recurrence-free survival rates were 39%, 26%, and 22% in the LLR group and 49%, 18%, and 18% in the OLR group, respectively (p = 0.18). And, the 3-, 5-, and 7-year postoperative overall survival rates were 71%, 56%, and 44% in the LLR group and 76%, 51%, 44% in the OLR group, respectively (p = 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

LLR for HCC patients with CSPH is clinically advantageous by lowering the volume of intraoperative blood loss and incidence of postoperative complications, thereby offering feasible long-term survival.