Prediction of distant organ metastasis and overall survival of lung cancer patients: a SEER population-based cohort study

Establishment and verification of a predictive model for bone metastasis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer based on peripheral blood CX3CL and CCL28

To establish a predictive model of bone metastasis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using peripheral blood CX3CL and CCL28, and to verify its application value. We retrospectively gathered clinical data from 210 patients with NSCLC treated at our institution between April 2021 and December 2023. These patients were stratified into two groups based on the presence of bone metastases: a bone metastasis group (n = 49) and a non-bone metastasis group (n = 161). A logistic regression model was developed to predict bone metastasis and to evaluate the model's predictive performance. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age (OR = 6.689, P < 0.001), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA, OR = 5.699, P < 0.001), CX3CL1 (OR = 5.418, P < 0.001), and CCL28 (OR = 7.692, P < 0.001) as independent predictors of bone metastasis in NSCLC patients. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.794 for both the modeling and validation cohorts. Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated a superior net benefit of the model. Calibration curves confirmed close concordance between predicted and observed probabilities of bone metastasis. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded a chi-square statistic of 4.743 with a P-value of 0.178, suggesting a good fit. The predictive model utilizing serum levels of CX3CL1 and CCL28 demonstrates robust predictive accuracy and efficacy for bone metastasis in patients with NSCLC.

Distant organ metastasis patterns and prognosis of lung adenosquamous carcinoma: a SEER database analysis

OBJECTIVES

Our purpose is to evaluate the patterns of organ metastasis and the prognosis in lung adenosquamous carcinoma patients with organ metastasis.

METHODS

We collected the data from the surveillance epidemiology and end results database, covering the period of 2000-2018. Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Totally, 2698 patients were enrolled, comprising 851 (31.54%) patients diagnosed with organ metastasis and 2017 (68.46%) patients without organ metastasis. Patients with distant organ metastasis show a significant decrease in median overall survival. In addition to the aforementioned factors, age over 70 years, male, main bronchus, advanced T stage, larger tumour size, absence of primary tumour surgery and lack of radiotherapy have all been identified as prognostic indicators associated with a poorer outcome. In terms of treatment options, patients with organ metastasis can benefit from chemotherapy and primary tumour surgery. Moreover, in patients with organ metastasis, those who received a combination treatment of surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy displayed the most favourable prognosis, with a median overall survival of 17 months.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified the prognostic indicators for organ metastasis in patients with lung adenosquamous carcinoma. Highly selected patients who undergo a combination treatment of surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy may experience the greatest survival benefit.