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Xu Q, Shen L, Lu M, Ran S, Jiang W, Hua J, Li L. Establishment and validation of a prediction model for apnea on bronchiolitis. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1397750. [PMID: 39049844 PMCID: PMC11266083 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1397750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective The objective of this study is to examine the risk factors associated with apnea in hospitalized patients diagnosed with bronchiolitis and to develop a nomogram prediction model for the early identification of patients who are at risk of developing apnea. Methods The clinical data of patients diagnosed with acute bronchiolitis and hospitalized at the Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between February 2018 and May 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. LASSO regression and logistic regression analysis were used to determine the risk factors for apnea in these patients. A nomogram was constructed based on variables selected through multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were used to assess the accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram model, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the model's performance and clinical effectiveness. Results A retrospective analysis was conducted on 613 children hospitalized with bronchiolitis, among whom 53 (8.6%) experienced apnea. The results of Lasso regression and Logistic regression analyses showed that underlying diseases, feeding difficulties, tachypnea, WBC count, and lung consolidation were independent risk factors for apnea. A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the five predictors mentioned above. After internal validation, the nomogram model demonstrated an AUC of 0.969 (95% CI 0.951-0.987), indicating strong predictive performance for apnea in bronchiolitis. Calibration curve analysis confirmed that the nomogram prediction model had good calibration, and the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram was clinically useful in estimating the net benefit to patients. Conclusion In this study, a nomogram model was developed to predict the risk of apnea in hospitalized children with bronchiolitis. The model showed good predictive performance and clinical applicability, allowing for timely identification and intensified monitoring and treatment of high-risk patients to improve overall clinical prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiuyan Xu
- Department of Pediatrics, Suzhou Research Center of Medical School, Suzhou Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Suzhou, China
| | - Li Shen
- Department of Pharmacy, Suzhou Research Center of Medical School, Suzhou Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Suzhou, China
| | - Min Lu
- Department of Pediatrics, Suzhou Research Center of Medical School, Suzhou Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Suzhou, China
| | - Shuangqin Ran
- Department of Pediatrics, Suzhou Research Center of Medical School, Suzhou Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Suzhou, China
| | - Wujun Jiang
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Jun Hua
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Wujiang District, Children’s Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Linlin Li
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
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Colazo Salbetti MB, Boggio GA, Abbiatti G, Montañez Sandoz A, Villarreal V, Torres E, Pedranti M, Zalazar JA, Moreno L, Adamo MP. Diagnosis and clinical significance of Human bocavirus 1 in children hospitalized for lower acute respiratory infection: molecular detection in respiratory secretions and serum. J Med Microbiol 2022; 71. [DOI: 10.1099/jmm.0.001595] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction. Human bocavirus 1 (HBoV1) infection occurs with viral genome presence in respiratory secretions (RS) and serum, and therefore both samples can be used for diagnosis.
Gap statement. The diagnostic sensitivity of HBoV1 DNA detection in serum and the duration of DNAaemia in severe clinical cases have not been elucidated.
Aim. To determine HBoV1 DNA in serum and RS of paediatric patients hospitalized for lower acute respiratory infection (LARI) and to analyse the clinical–epidemiological features of positive cases.
Methodology. This was a prospective, transverse study. Physicians selected the clinical situations and obtained paired clinical samples (RS and serum) that were tested by PCR/qPCR for HBoV1. Positive cases were analysed considering time of specimen collection, co-detection, clinical manifestations and viral load; statistical significant level was set at α=0.05.
Results. HBoV1 was detected in 98 of 402 cases included (24 %); 18/98 (18 %) patients had the virus detectable in serum and 91/98 (93 %) in RS (P<0.001). Positivity rates were not significantly different in patients with RS and serum collected within or beyond 24 h of admission. Single HBoV1 infection was identified in 39/98 patients (40 %), three patients had HBoV1 in both clinical samples (3/39, 8 %) and 32 (32/39, 82 %) only in RS, 22 of them (69 %) with both clinical samples within 24 h of admission. Cough (P=0.001) and rhinitis (P=0.003) were significantly frequent among them and most patients were diagnosed with bronchiolitis (22/39, 56 %) and pneumonia (9/39, 23 %), which was more frequent compared to cases with co-infection (P=0.04). No significant differences were identified among patients with high, medium or low viral load of HBoV1 regarding rate of positivity in both clinical samples, the time of collection of RS and serum, co-detection, first episode of LARI, clinical manifestations, comorbidity or requirement for assisted ventilation. Intensive care unit (ICU) patients had a significantly higher frequency of detection (P<0.001) and co-detection (P=0.001) compared to patients on standard care.
Conclusions. HBoV1 is prevalent among infant patients hospitalized for LARI and including it in the standard testing can add to the aetiological diagnosis in these cases, especially for patients admitted to the ICU. HBoV1 detection in serum did not contribute significantly to the diagnosis as compared to detection in respiratory secretions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Belen Colazo Salbetti
- Instituto de Virología “Dr. J. M. Vanella”, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Gabriel Amilcar Boggio
- Clínica Privada Vélez Sársfield, Córdoba, Argentina
- Hospital de Niños de la Santísima Trinidad de Córdoba, Argentina
- Cátedra de Clínica Pediátrica, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Argentina
| | | | | | | | - Erika Torres
- Hospital de Niños de la Santísima Trinidad de Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Mauro Pedranti
- Instituto de Virología “Dr. J. M. Vanella”, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | | | - Laura Moreno
- Cátedra de Clínica Pediátrica, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Maria Pilar Adamo
- Instituto de Virología “Dr. J. M. Vanella”, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
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Bottau P, Liotti L, Laderchi E, Palpacelli A, Calamelli E, Colombo C, Serra L, Cazzato S. Something Is Changing in Viral Infant Bronchiolitis Approach. Front Pediatr 2022; 10:865977. [PMID: 35498813 PMCID: PMC9047867 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2022.865977] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2022] [Accepted: 03/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Acute Viral Bronchiolitis is one of the leading causes of hospitalization in the first 12-24 months of life. International guidelines on the management of bronchiolitis broadly agree in recommending a minimal therapeutic approach, not recommending the use of bronchodilators. Guidelines, generally, consider bronchiolitis as a "unique disease" and this runs the risk of not administering therapy in some patients who could benefit from the use of bronchodilators, for instance, in those who will develop asthma later in their life and face first episode in the age of bronchiolitis. Today, there is growing evidence that bronchiolitis is not a single illness but can have different "endotypes" and "phenotypes," based on age, personal or family history of atopy, etiology, and pathophysiological mechanism. There is evidence that some phenotypes of bronchiolitis are more strongly associated with asthma features and are linked to higher risk for asthma development. In these populations, possible use of bronchodilators might have a better impact. Age seems to be the main feature to suggest a good response to a bronchodilator-trial, because, among children > 6 months old with bronchiolitis, the presence of a subset of patients with virus-induced wheezing or the first episode of asthma is more likely. While waiting for new research to define the relationship between therapeutic options and different phenotypes, a bronchodilator-trial (using short-acting β2 agonists with metered-dose inhalers and valved holding chambers) seems appropriate in every child with bronchiolitis and age > 6 months.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Bottau
- Pediatric and Neonatology Unit, Imola Hospital, Imola, Italy
| | - Lucia Liotti
- Pediatric Unit, Department of Mother and Child Health, Salesi Children's Hospital, Ancona, Italy
| | - Eleonora Laderchi
- Postgraduate School of Pediatrics, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Alessandra Palpacelli
- Pediatric Unit, Department of Mother and Child Health, Salesi Children's Hospital, Ancona, Italy
| | | | - Carlotta Colombo
- Postgraduate School of Pediatrics, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Laura Serra
- Pediatric and Neonatology Unit, Imola Hospital, Imola, Italy
| | - Salvatore Cazzato
- Pediatric Unit, Department of Mother and Child Health, Salesi Children's Hospital, Ancona, Italy
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Xu Q, Li L, Shen L, Huang X, Lu M, Hu C. Development and external validation of a simple nomogram for predicting apnea in children hospitalized with bronchiolitis. Front Pediatr 2022; 10:922226. [PMID: 36340712 PMCID: PMC9627176 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2022.922226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2022] [Accepted: 09/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Apnea is one of the most life-threatening complications of bronchiolitis in children. This study aimed to determine early predictors of apnea in children hospitalized with bronchiolitis and develop a simple nomogram to identify patients at risk of apnea. METHODS This retrospective, observational study included children hospitalized with bronchiolitis in two hospitals in China. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory results, pathogens, and pulmonary iconography results were recorded. A training cohort of 759 patients (one hospital) was used to identify early predictors of apnea during hospitalization. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis method was used to optimize variable selection. The nomogram was developed visually based on the variables selected by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Discrimination (concordance index, C-index), calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the model performance and clinical effectiveness. RESULTS A total of 1,372 children hospitalized with bronchiolitis were retrospectively evaluated, 133 (9.69%) of whom had apnea. Apnea was observed in 80 of the 759 patients with bronchiolitis in the training cohort and 53 of the 613 patients in the external validation cohort. Underlying diseases, feeding difficulties, tachypnea, retractions and pulmonary atelectasis in the training cohort were independent risk factors for apnea and were assembled into the nomogram. The nomogram exhibited good discrimination with a C-index of 0.883 (95% CI: 0.839-0.927) and good calibration. The DCA showed that the nomogram was clinically useful in estimating the net benefit to patients. CONCLUSION We developed a nomogram that is convenient to use and able to identify the individualized prediction of apnea risk in patients with bronchiolitis. These patients might benefit from early triage and more intensive monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiuyan Xu
- Department of Pediatrics, Suzhou Science / Technology Town Hospital, Suzhou, China
| | - Linlin Li
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Li Shen
- Department of Pharmacy, Suzhou Science / Technology Town Hospital, Suzhou, China
| | - Xia Huang
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Min Lu
- Department of Pediatrics, Suzhou Science / Technology Town Hospital, Suzhou, China
| | - Chunxia Hu
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children's Hospital of Wujiang District, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
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Mitri EJ, Zheng DX, Garg V, Crifase CC, Herrera NM, Espinola JA, Hasegawa K, Camargo CA. Blood eosinophils, specific immunoglobulin E, and bronchiolitis severity. Pediatr Pulmonol 2021; 56:2997-3004. [PMID: 34156171 PMCID: PMC8373702 DOI: 10.1002/ppul.25543] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2020] [Revised: 05/24/2021] [Accepted: 06/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bronchiolitis is the leading cause of hospitalization for United States infants. Blood eosinophil and serum specific IgE (sIgE) levels are separately linked to clinical severity but few studies have examined these biomarkers together. OBJECTIVE Among infants hospitalized for bronchiolitis, we investigated the association between (1) blood eosinophilia and severity, (2) sIgE sensitization and severity, and (3) interaction between the two biomarkers on severity. METHODS We enrolled 1016 infants hospitalized for bronchiolitis between 2011 and 2014 across 17 U.S. hospitals into a prospective cohort study. Of those, 873 (86%) had eosinophils measured and all had sIgE levels from blood collected at hospitalization. We investigated higher bronchiolitis severity using intensive care therapy as the outcome (i.e., intensive care unit admission, intubation, and/or receipt of continuous positive pressure ventilation). RESULTS Among 873 infants in the analytic cohort, 18% had blood eosinophilia of ≥3%, and 20% were positive for sIgE. With regard to bronchiolitis severity, 15% received intensive care therapy. In unadjusted analyses, eosinophils ≥3% was not associated with intensive care therapy, while sIgE was associated with a significantly higher risk (odds ratio [OR]: 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.92; p = .01). In a multivariable model for intensive care therapy, eosinophilia remained unassociated with severity, and sIgE remained associated (OR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.05-2.45; p = .03). Also, sIgE did not modify the association between eosinophil level and intensive care therapy (pinteraction = .14). CONCLUSION Blood eosinophilia of ≥3% was not associated with bronchiolitis severity. By contrast, sIgE was independently associated with bronchiolitis severity and did not modify the association between eosinophil level and severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elie J. Mitri
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - David X. Zheng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Vebhav Garg
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | | | - Nicole M. Herrera
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Janice A. Espinola
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Kohei Hasegawa
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Carlos A. Camargo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
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Kenmoe S, Kengne-Nde C, Ebogo-Belobo JT, Mbaga DS, Fatawou Modiyinji A, Njouom R. Systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of common respiratory viruses in children < 2 years with bronchiolitis in the pre-COVID-19 pandemic era. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0242302. [PMID: 33180855 PMCID: PMC7660462 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2020] [Accepted: 11/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction The advent of genome amplification assays has allowed description of new respiratory viruses and to reconsider the role played by certain respiratory viruses in bronchiolitis. This systematic review and meta-analysis was initiated to clarify the prevalence of respiratory viruses in children with bronchiolitis in the pre-COVID-19 pandemic era. Methods We performed an electronic search through Pubmed and Global Index Medicus databases. We included observational studies reporting the detection rate of common respiratory viruses in children with bronchiolitis using molecular assays. Data was extracted and the quality of the included articles was assessed. We conducted sensitivity, subgroups, publication bias, and heterogeneity analyses using a random effect model. Results The final meta-analysis included 51 studies. Human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) was largely the most commonly detected virus 59.2%; 95% CI [54.7; 63.6]). The second predominant virus was Rhinovirus (RV) 19.3%; 95% CI [16.7; 22.0]) followed by Human bocavirus (HBoV) 8.2%; 95% CI [5.7; 11.2]). Other reported viruses included Human Adenovirus (HAdV) 6.1%; 95% CI [4.4; 8.0]), Human Metapneumovirus (HMPV) 5.4%; 95% CI [4.4; 6.4]), Human Parainfluenzavirus (HPIV) 5.4%; 95% CI [3.8; 7.3]), Influenza 3.2%; 95% CI [2.2; 4.3], Human Coronavirus (HCoV) 2.9%; 95% CI [2.0; 4.0]), and Enterovirus (EV) 2.9%; 95% CI [1.6; 4.5]). HRSV was the predominant virus involved in multiple detection and most codetections were HRSV + RV 7.1%, 95% CI [4.6; 9.9]) and HRSV + HBoV 4.5%, 95% CI [2.4; 7.3]). Conclusions The present study has shown that HRSV is the main cause of bronchiolitis in children, we also have Rhinovirus, and Bocavirus which also play a significant role. Data on the role played by SARS-CoV-2 in children with acute bronchiolitis is needed. Review registration PROSPERO, CRD42018116067.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sebastien Kenmoe
- Department of Virology, Centre Pasteur of Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Cyprien Kengne-Nde
- National AIDS Control Committee, Epidemiological Surveillance, Evaluation and Research Unit, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Jean Thierry Ebogo-Belobo
- Medical Research Centre, Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plants Studies, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Donatien Serge Mbaga
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Science, The University of Yaounde I, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Abdou Fatawou Modiyinji
- Department of Virology, Centre Pasteur of Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon
- Department of Animals Biology and Physiology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Richard Njouom
- Department of Virology, Centre Pasteur of Cameroon, Yaoundé, Cameroon
- * E-mail: ,
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Ferrante G, Fondacaro C, Cilluffo G, Dones P, Cardella F, Corsello G. Identification of bronchiolitis profiles in Italian children through the application of latent class analysis. Ital J Pediatr 2020; 46:147. [PMID: 33028377 PMCID: PMC7539284 DOI: 10.1186/s13052-020-00914-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2020] [Accepted: 09/30/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bronchiolitis is the primary infection of the lower respiratory tract in children under 2 years of age. Although it is generally considered a single nosological entity, recent studies suggested remarkable clinical heterogeneity. To date, no studies have identified classes of children with bronchiolitis within the Italian population. This study aimed to identify discrete profiles of Italian children hospitalized with bronchiolitis using a clustering approach and to compare findings with those obtained in international cohorts. METHODS This was a retrospective single-centre study conducted on children aged ≤2 years hospitalised with bronchiolitis (n = 401) at the Department of Infectious Diseases and the University Department of General Pediatrics in "Giovanni Di Cristina" Pediatric Hospital of Palermo, Italy, between November 2012 and May 2019. Bronchiolitis profiles were determined by latent class analysis, classifying children based on clinical characteristics at admission and viral aetiology. RESULTS Three profiles were identified. Class 1 (49%) was composed of 45% male children; all children were aged ≤6 months at hospitalization; 77% were infected with RSV; 100% had respiratory distress, 11% had apnea and none had cough. Class 2 (77%) was mainly composed of male subjects (51%); 19% were aged > 6 months at admission; 37% were infected with RSV; 12% had respiratory distress, 5% had apnea and 90% had cough. Class 3 (19%) included the largest proportion of male subjects (94%) and was mostly composed of children aged > 6 months at the time of admission (68%); 70% had cough, 12% showed respiratory distress and none presented with apnoea. Children in Class 1 were more frequently born near the epidemic season (p = 0.028); breastfeeding duration was significantly longer for children in Class 3 (p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS The study identified distinct clinical profiles of bronchiolitis by a clustering approach in a single-centre study of children hospitalised for bronchiolitis in Italy. The three bronchiolitis profiles share some similarities with those identified in international studies using the same statistical approach. These findings may help to increase the understanding of the phenotypic variability that typically characterizes bronchiolitis, with relevant implications for future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giuliana Ferrante
- Department of Health Promotion Sciences Maternal and Infant Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialities, University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 129, 90127, Palermo, Italy.
| | - Carmela Fondacaro
- Department of Health Promotion Sciences Maternal and Infant Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialities, University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 129, 90127, Palermo, Italy
| | - Giovanna Cilluffo
- National Research Council of Italy, Institute for Biomedical Research and Innovation, Via Ugo La Malfa 153, 90146, Palermo, Italy
| | - Piera Dones
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, ARNAS Civico Di Cristina, Via Benedettini 1, 90134, Palermo, Italy
| | - Francesca Cardella
- Department of Pediatrics, ARNAS Civico Di Cristina, Via Benedettini 1, 90134, Palermo, Italy
| | - Giovanni Corsello
- Department of Health Promotion Sciences Maternal and Infant Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialities, University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 129, 90127, Palermo, Italy
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