Predictive models based on machine learning for bone metastasis in patients with diagnosed colorectal cancer

Evaluating Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Related Quality of Life Using an Interpretable Machine Learning Approach: A Multicenter Study in China

Purpose

Impaired quality of life (QOL) is common in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). A tool to more quickly identify IBD patients at high risk of impaired QOL improves opportunities for earlier intervention and improves long-term prognosis. The purpose of this study was to use a machine learning (ML) approach to develop risk stratification models for evaluating IBD-related QOL impairments.

Patients and Methods

An online questionnaire was used to collect clinical data on 2478 IBD patients from 42 hospitals distributed across 22 provinces in China from September 2021 to May 2022. Eight ML models used to predict the risk of IBD-related QOL impairments were developed and validated. Model performance was evaluated using a set of indexes and the best ML model was explained using a Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) algorithm.

Results

The support vector machine (SVM) classifier algorithm-based model outperformed other ML models with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and an accuracy of 0.80 and 0.71, respectively. The feature importance calculated by the SVM classifier algorithm revealed that glucocorticoid use, anxiety, abdominal pain, sleep disorders, and more severe disease contributed to a higher risk of impaired QOL, while longer disease course and the use of biological agents and immunosuppressants were associated with a lower risk.

Conclusion

An ML approach for assessing IBD-related QOL impairments is feasible and effective. This mechanism is a promising tool for gastroenterologists to identify IBD patients at high risk of impaired QOL.

Artificial Intelligence in Detection, Management, and Prognosis of Bone Metastasis: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Metastasis commonly occur in the bone tissue. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become increasingly prevalent in the medical sector as support in decision-making, diagnosis, and treatment processes. The objective of this systematic review was to assess the reliability of AI systems in clinical, radiological, and pathological aspects of bone metastases.

METHODS

We included studies that evaluated the use of AI applications in patients affected by bone metastases. Two reviewers performed a digital search on 31 December 2023 on PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane library and extracted authors, AI method, interest area, main modalities used, and main objectives from the included studies.

RESULTS

We included 59 studies that analyzed the contribution of computational intelligence in diagnosing or forecasting outcomes in patients with bone metastasis. Six studies were specific for spine metastasis. The study involved nuclear medicine (44.1%), clinical research (28.8%), radiology (20.4%), or molecular biology (6.8%). When a primary tumor was reported, prostate cancer was the most common, followed by lung, breast, and kidney.

CONCLUSIONS

Appropriately trained AI models may be very useful in merging information to achieve an overall improved diagnostic accuracy and treatment for metastasis in the bone. Nevertheless, there are still concerns with the use of AI systems in medical settings. Ethical considerations and legal issues must be addressed to facilitate the safe and regulated adoption of AI technologies. The limitations of the study comprise a stronger emphasis on early detection rather than tumor management and prognosis as well as a high heterogeneity for type of tumor, AI technology and radiological techniques, pathology, or laboratory samples involved.

Disease characteristics and prognostic factors of colorectal cancer patients with bone metastasis: A real-world data from Turkey

BACKGROUND

Bone metastasis is rarely seen in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, and there is insufficient data available regarding such cases. The study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and characteristics associated with overall survival in patients with bone metastatic CRC.

METHOD

Data from bone metastatic CRC patients referred to a high-volume tertiary cancer center in Turkey, between January 2018 and April 2021, were retrospectively collected. The records of 150 consecutive patients treated for bone metastases due to CRC were reviewed. Overall survival curves were generated by the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Median age was 55 years (19-86 years). Bone metastases were more common in men and those with metachronous metastases. The axial skeleton was the most commonly involved site, and patients were frequently presented with single bone metastasis. Peritoneal metastases were significantly correlated with extra-axial metastases (P = 0.002), and radiotherapy was applied to axial metastases significantly, more frequently (P = 0.02). Lung metastasis was also more prevalent in K-RAS mutated patients (P = 0.008). The median survival time from diagnosis of bone metastasis was 8.3 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 5.5-10.6), and the three-year survival rate was 76.9% (95% CI, 69.8-84.0). Multivariate analysis revealed that brain metastases, right-sided colon tumor, high serum ALP, and Ca 19-9 levels were independent poor prognostic factors (P = 0.01, 0.02, <0.001, and 0.04, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The location of CRC correlates significantly with the site of bone metastasis; the prognosis of CRC patients with bone metastasis is very poor, and the significant poor prognostic factors are brain metastases, right-sidedness, high serum ALP, and Ca 19-9 levels. More attention should be paid to bone metastasis in CRC patients.

Exploring Potential Epigenetic Biomarkers for Colorectal Cancer Metastasis

Metastatic progression is a complex, multistep process and the leading cause of cancer mortality. There is growing evidence that emphasises the significance of epigenetic modification, specifically DNA methylation and histone modifications, in influencing colorectal (CRC) metastasis. Epigenetic modifications influence the expression of genes involved in various cellular processes, including the pathways associated with metastasis. These modifications could contribute to metastatic progression by enhancing oncogenes and silencing tumour suppressor genes. Moreover, specific epigenetic alterations enable cancer cells to acquire invasive and metastatic characteristics by altering cell adhesion, migration, and invasion-related pathways. Exploring the involvement of DNA methylation and histone modification is crucial for identifying biomarkers that impact cancer prediction for metastasis in CRC. This review provides a summary of the potential epigenetic biomarkers associated with metastasis in CRC, particularly DNA methylation and histone modifications, and examines the pathways associated with these biomarkers.

Individual risk and prognostic value prediction by machine learning for distant metastasis in pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma: a large cohort study based on the SEER database and the Chinese population

Background

This study aimed to develop diagnostic and prognostic models for patients with pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma (PSC) and distant metastasis (DM).

Methods

Patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were divided into a training set and internal test set at a ratio of 7 to 3, while those from the Chinese hospital were assigned to the external test set, to develop the diagnostic model for DM. Univariate logistic regression was employed in the training set to screen for DM-related risk factors, which were included into six machine learning (ML) models. Furthermore, patients from the SEER database were randomly divided into a training set and validation set at a ratio of 7 to 3 to develop the prognostic model which predicts survival of patients PSC with DM. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses have also been performed in the training set to identify independent factors, and a prognostic nomogram for cancer-specific survival (CSS) for PSC patients with DM.

Results

For the diagnostic model for DM, 589 patients with PSC in the training set, 255 patients in the internal and 94 patients in the external test set were eventually enrolled. The extreme gradient boosting (XGB) algorithm performed best on the external test set with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.821. For the prognostic model, 270 PSC patients with DM in the training and 117 patients in the test set were enrolled. The nomogram displayed precise accuracy with AUC of 0.803 for 3-month CSS and 0.869 for 6-month CSS in the test set.

Conclusion

The ML model accurately identified individuals at high risk for DM who needed more careful follow-up, including appropriate preventative therapeutic strategies. The prognostic nomogram accurately predicted CSS in PSC patients with DM.

Must-have Qualities of Clinical Research on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

In the field of computer science, known as artificial intelligence, algorithms imitate reasoning tasks that are typically performed by humans. The techniques that allow machines to learn and get better at tasks such as recognition and prediction, which form the basis of clinical practice, are referred to as machine learning, which is a subfield of artificial intelligence. The number of artificial intelligence-and machine learnings-related publications in clinical journals has grown exponentially, driven by recent developments in computation and the accessibility of simple tools. However, clinicians are often not included in data science teams, which may limit the clinical relevance, explanability, workflow compatibility, and quality improvement of artificial intelligence solutions. Thus, this results in the language barrier between clinicians and artificial intelligence developers. Healthcare practitioners sometimes lack a basic understanding of artificial intelligence research because the approach is difficult for non-specialists to understand. Furthermore, many editors and reviewers of medical publications might not be familiar with the fundamental ideas behind these technologies, which may prevent journals from publishing high-quality artificial intelligence studies or, worse still, could allow for the publication of low-quality works. In this review, we aim to improve readers’ artificial intelligence literacy and critical thinking. As a result, we concentrated on what we consider the 10 most important qualities of artificial intelligence research: valid scientific purpose, high-quality data set, robust reference standard, robust input, no information leakage, optimal bias-variance tradeoff, proper model evaluation, proven clinical utility, transparent reporting, and open science. Before designing a study, one should have defined a sound scientific purpose. Then, it should be backed by a high-quality data set, robust input, and a solid reference standard. The artificial intelligence development pipeline should prevent information leakage. For the models, optimal bias-variance tradeoff should be achieved, and generalizability assessment must be adequately performed. The clinical value of the final models must also be established. After the study, thought should be given to transparency in publishing the process and results as well as open science for sharing data, code, and models. We hope this work may improve the artificial intelligence literacy and mindset of the readers.