New insights into a microvascular invasion prediction model in hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective study from the SEER database and China

New predictors of microvascular invasion for small hepatocellular carcinoma ≤ 3 cm

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a risk factor for postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), even in early-stage HCC. In small HCC ≤ 3 cm, treatment options include anatomical resection or non-anatomical resection, and MVI has a major effect on treatment decisions. We aimed to identify the predictors of MVI in small HCC ≤ 3 cm.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 129 patients with very early or early-stage HCC ≤ 3 cm who had undergone 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography and subsequent hepatic resection from January 2016 to August 2023. These patients were divided into the derivation cohort (n = 86) and validation cohort (n = 43). We examined the risk factors for MVI using logistic regression analysis, and established a predictive scoring system in the derivation cohort. We evaluated the accuracy of our scoring system in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, a Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3), prothrombin induced by vitamin K deficiency or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) were independent predictors of MVI. We established the scoring system using these three factors. In the validation test, there were no MVI-positive cases with a score of 0 and 1, and all cases were MVI-positive with a score of 4. Moreover, with a score ≥ 2, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of our scoring system were 100%, 71.4%, and 81.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoring system can accurately predict MVI in small HCC ≤ 3 cm, and could contribute to establishing an appropriate treatment strategy.

Exploring the factors affecting the occurrence of postoperative MVI and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with hepatectomy: A multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the influencing factors affecting the occurrence of microvascular invasion (MVI) and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with hepatectomy, and to explore how MVI affects prognosis in subgroups with different prognostic factors.

METHODS

Clinical data of a total of 1633 patients treated surgically for HCC in four treatment centers were included, including 754 patients with MVI. By using the Cox risk regression model and the Mann-Whitney U-test, the common independent influences on prognosis and MVI were made clear. The incidence of MVI in various subgroups was then examined, as well as the relationship between MVI in various subgroups and prognosis.

RESULTS

The Cox risk regression model showed that MVI, Child-Pugh classification, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), hepatocirrhosis, tumor diameter, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and, Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) grade were independent determinants of overall survival (OS), and MVI, AFP, hepatocirrhosis, tumor diameter, and LMR were influencing determinants for disease-free survival (DFS). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that MVI was most closely associated with patient prognosis compared to other prognostic factors. AFP, hepatocirrhosis, tumor diameter, and LMR were discovered to be common influences on the prognosis of patients with HCC and MVI when combined with the results of the intergroup comparison of MVI. After grouping, it was showed that patients with hepatocirrhosis, positive AFP (AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL), tumor diameter >50 mm, and LMR ≤3.4 had a significantly higher incidence of MVI than patients in other subgroups, and all four subgroups of MVI-positive patients had higher rates of early recurrence and mortality (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

MVI was found to be substantially linked with four subgroups of HCC patients with hepatocirrhosis, positive AFP, tumor diameter >50 mm, and LMR ≤3.4, and the prognosis of MVI-positive patients in all four subgroups tended to be worse.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma using ultrasound features including elasticity

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an important predictor of poor prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Accurate preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC would provide useful information to guide the choice of therapeutic strategy. Shear wave elastography (SWE) plays an important role in hepatic imaging, but its value in the preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC has not yet been proven.

AIM

To explore the value of conventional ultrasound features and SWE in the preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC.

METHODS

Patients with a postoperative pathological diagnosis of HCC and a definite diagnosis of MVI were enrolled in this study. Conventional ultrasound features and SWE features such as maximal elasticity (Emax) of HCCs and Emax of the periphery of HCCs were acquired before surgery. These features were compared between MVI-positive HCCs and MVI-negative HCCs and between mild MVI HCCs and severe MVI HCCs.

RESULTS

This study included 86 MVI-negative HCCs and 102 MVI-positive HCCs, including 54 with mild MVI and 48 with severe MVI. Maximal tumor diameters, surrounding liver tissue, color Doppler flow, Emax of HCCs, and Emax of the periphery of HCCs were significantly different between MVI-positive HCCs and MVI-negative HCCs. In addition, Emax of the periphery of HCCs was significantly different between mild MVI HCCs and severe MVI HCCs. Higher Emax of the periphery of HCCs and larger maximal diameters were independent risk factors for MVI, with odds ratios of 2.820 and 1.021, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HCC size and stiffness of the periphery of HCC are useful ultrasound criteria for predicting positive MVI. Preoperative ultrasound and SWE can provide useful information for the prediction of MVI in HCCs.