Difference between “Lung Age” and Real Age as a Novel Predictor of Postoperative Complications, Long-Term Survival for Patients with Esophageal Cancer after Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy

Survival Impacts of Impaired Lung Functions and Comorbidities on Elderly Esophageal Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Preoperative physiological assessments are crucial for optimizing clinical outcomes, especially those of elderly esophageal cancer (EC) patients who are generally frail and at the high risk of mortality.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgery for EC between 2004 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized into elderly (>70 years) or non-elderly (≤70 years) groups. Various physiological parameters including the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), immunonutritional parameters and pulmonary functions were studied. Pulmonary functions included %vital capacity (VC) and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1.0) and FEV1.0%. The thresholds were set as the lowest quartile (100% for %VC and 2L for FEV1.0) in this cohort. Multivariate Cox hazards models were applied to determine independent predictors of non-EC-related deaths.

RESULTS

In total, 824 patients were included (elderly; n = 306, non-elderly; n = 518). Elderly patients had a significantly lower 5-year OS rate than non-elderly patients (53.3% vs. 57.2%, P = 0.03), mainly due to increased risk of death from non-EC related causes. In the elderly group, multivariate Cox hazards analysis identified 3 independent predictors of non-EC-related deaths; high CCI (HR 1.98, P=0.006), low %VC (HR 2.01, P = 0.004) and low FEV1.0 (HR 1.6, P=0.048). Elderly patients without risk factors had a significantly better 5-year OS rate (63.5%) than those with 1 (50.0%) or 2-3 (36.3%) risk factors (P <0.01). Deaths due to pulmonary disease rose significantly as the number of risk factors increased (P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The severity of comorbidities and pulmonary function impairments are useful for predicting long-term outcomes, especially non-EC-related deaths, in elderly EC patients.