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Atzori AS, Atamer Balkan B, Gallo A. Feedback thinking in dairy farm management: system dynamics modelling for herd dynamics. Animal 2023; 17 Suppl 5:100905. [PMID: 37558585 DOI: 10.1016/j.animal.2023.100905] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2022] [Revised: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 06/29/2023] [Indexed: 08/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Systems perspectives and system dynamics have been widely used in decision-making for agricultural problems. However, their use in dairy farm management remains limited. This work demonstrates the use of systems approaches and feedback thinking in modelling for dairy farm management. The application of feedback thinking was illustrated with causal loop and stock-and-flow diagrams to disentangle the complexity of the relationship among farm elements. The study aimed to identify the dynamic processes of an intensive dairy farm by mapping the animal stocks (e.g., heifers, lactating cows, dry cows) with the final objective of anticipating the expected milk deliveries over a long time period. The project was conducted for a reference dairy farm that was intensively managed with a herd size of >2 500 cattle heads, which provided monthly farm records from Jan 2016 to Dec 2019. Model development steps included: (i) problem articulation with farm interviews and data analysis; (ii) the development of a dynamic hypothesis and a causal loop diagram; (iii) the development of a stock-and-flow cattle model describing ageing chains of heifers and cows and subsequent calibration of the model parameters; (iv) the evaluation of the model based on lactating cows and milk deliveries against farm historical records; and (v) the analysis of the model results. The model characterized the farm dynamics using three main feedback loops: one balancing loop of culling and two reinforcing loops of heifers' replacement and cows' pregnancy, pushing milk delivery. The model reproduced the historical oscillation patterns of lactating cows and milk deliveries with high accuracy (root mean square percentage error of 2.8 and 5.2% for the number of lactating cows and milk deliveries, respectively). The model was shown to be valid for its purpose, and applications of this model in dairy farm management can support decision-making practices for herd composition and milk delivery targets.
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Affiliation(s)
- A S Atzori
- Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Viale Italia 39, 07100 Sassari, Italy; System Dynamics Italian Chapter, Italy
| | - B Atamer Balkan
- Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Sassari, Viale Italia 39, 07100 Sassari, Italy; System Dynamics Italian Chapter, Italy.
| | - A Gallo
- Department of Animal Science, Food and Nutrition (DIANA), Facoltà di Scienze Agrarie, Alimentari e Ambientali, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 29122 Piacenza, Italy; System Dynamics Italian Chapter, Italy
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Menendez HM, Brennan JR, Gaillard C, Ehlert K, Quintana J, Neethirajan S, Remus A, Jacobs M, Teixeira IAMA, Turner BL, Tedeschi LO. ASAS-NANP SYMPOSIUM: MATHEMATICAL MODELING IN ANIMAL NUTRITION: Opportunities and Challenges of Confined and Extensive Precision Livestock Production. J Anim Sci 2022; 100:6577180. [PMID: 35511692 PMCID: PMC9171331 DOI: 10.1093/jas/skac160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2022] [Accepted: 04/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Modern animal scientists, industry, and managers have never faced a more complex world. Precision livestock technologies have altered management in confined operations to meet production, environmental, and consumer goals. Applications of precision technologies have been limited in extensive systems such as rangelands due to lack of infrastructure, electrical power, communication, and durability. However, advancements in technology have helped to overcome many of these challenges. Investment in precision technologies is growing within the livestock sector, requiring the need to assess opportunities and challenges associated with implementation to enhance livestock production systems. In this review, precision livestock farming and digital livestock farming are explained in the context of a logical and iterative five-step process to successfully integrate precision livestock measurement and management tools, emphasizing the need for precision system models (PSMs). This five-step process acts as a guide to realize anticipated benefits from precision technologies and avoid unintended consequences. Consequently, the synthesis of precision livestock and modeling examples and key case studies help highlight past challenges and current opportunities within confined and extensive systems. Successfully developing PSM requires appropriate model(s) selection that aligns with desired management goals and precision technology capabilities. Therefore, it is imperative to consider the entire system to ensure that precision technology integration achieves desired goals while remaining economically and managerially sustainable. Achieving long-term success using precision technology requires the next generation of animal scientists to obtain additional skills to keep up with the rapid pace of technology innovation. Building workforce capacity and synergistic relationships between research, industry, and managers will be critical. As the process of precision technology adoption continues in more challenging and harsh, extensive systems, it is likely that confined operations will benefit from required advances in precision technology and PSMs, ultimately strengthening the benefits from precision technology to achieve short- and long-term goals.
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Affiliation(s)
- H M Menendez
- Department of Animal Science (Menendez, Brennan, Quintana); Department of Natural Resource Management (Ehlert); South Dakota State University, 711 N. Creek Drive, Rapid City, South Dakota, 57702, USA
| | - J R Brennan
- Department of Animal Science (Menendez, Brennan, Quintana); Department of Natural Resource Management (Ehlert); South Dakota State University, 711 N. Creek Drive, Rapid City, South Dakota, 57702, USA
| | - C Gaillard
- Institut Agro, PEGASE, INRAE, 35590 Saint Gilles, France
| | - K Ehlert
- Department of Animal Science (Menendez, Brennan, Quintana); Department of Natural Resource Management (Ehlert); South Dakota State University, 711 N. Creek Drive, Rapid City, South Dakota, 57702, USA
| | - J Quintana
- Department of Animal Science (Menendez, Brennan, Quintana); Department of Natural Resource Management (Ehlert); South Dakota State University, 711 N. Creek Drive, Rapid City, South Dakota, 57702, USA
| | - Suresh Neethirajan
- Farmworx, Adaptation Physiology, Animal Sciences Group, Wageningen University, 6700 AH, The Netherlands
| | - A Remus
- Sherbrooke Research and Development Centre, 2000 College Street, Sherbrooke, QC J1M 1Z3, Canada
| | - M Jacobs
- FR Analytics B.V., 7642 AP Wierden, The Netherlands
| | - I A M A Teixeira
- Department of Animal, Veterinary, and Food Sciences, University of Idaho, Twin Falls, ID 83301, USA
| | - B L Turner
- Department of Agriculture, Agribusiness, and Environmental Science, and King Ranch® Institute for Ranch Management, Texas A&M University-Kingsville, 700 University Blvd MSC 228, Kingsville, TX 78363, USA
| | - L O Tedeschi
- Department of Animal Science, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-2471, USA
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Fouts JQ, Honan MC, Roque BM, Tricarico JM, Kebreab E. Board Invited Review: Enteric methane mitigation interventions. Transl Anim Sci 2022; 6:txac041. [PMID: 35529040 PMCID: PMC9071062 DOI: 10.1093/tas/txac041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2021] [Accepted: 03/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Mitigation of enteric methane (CH4) presents a feasible approach to curbing agriculture’s contribution to climate change. One intervention for reduction is dietary reformulation, which manipulates the composition of feedstuffs in ruminant diets to redirect fermentation processes toward low CH4 emissions. Examples include reducing the relative proportion of forages to concentrates, determining the rate of digestibility and passage rate from the rumen, and dietary lipid inclusion. Feed additives present another intervention for CH4 abatement and are classified based on their mode of action. Through inhibition of key enzymes, 3-nitrooxypropanol (3-NOP) and halogenated compounds directly target the methanogenesis pathway. Rumen environment modifiers, including nitrates, essential oils, and tannins, act on the conditions that affect methanogens and remove the accessibility of fermentation products needed for CH4 formation. Low CH4-emitting animals can also be directly or indirectly selected through breeding interventions, and genome-wide association studies are expected to provide efficient selection decisions. Overall, dietary reformulation and feed additive inclusion provide immediate and reversible effects, while selective breeding produces lasting, cumulative CH4 emission reductions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Q Fouts
- Department of Animal Science, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616 USA
| | - Mallory C Honan
- Department of Animal Science, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616 USA
| | - Breanna M Roque
- Department of Animal Science, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616 USA
- FutureFeed Pty Ltd Townsville, QLD, Australia
| | | | - Ermias Kebreab
- Department of Animal Science, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616 USA
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Dillon JA, Stackhouse-Lawson KR, Thoma GJ, Gunter SA, Rotz CA, Kebreab E, Riley DG, Tedeschi LO, Villalba J, Mitloehner F, Hristov AN, Archibeque SL, Ritten JP, Mueller ND. Current state of enteric methane and the carbon footprint of beef and dairy cattle in the United States. Anim Front 2021; 11:57-68. [PMID: 34513270 DOI: 10.1093/af/vfab043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Jasmine A Dillon
- Department of Animal Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
| | | | - Greg J Thoma
- Ralph E. Martin Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USA
| | - Stacey A Gunter
- Southern Plains Range Research Station, USDA Agricultural Research Service, Woodward, OK, USA
| | - C Alan Rotz
- Pasture Systems and Watershed Management Research Unit, USDA Agricultural Research Service, University Park, PA, USA
| | - Ermias Kebreab
- Department of Animal Science, University of California-Davis, Davis, CA, USA
| | - David G Riley
- Department of Animal Science, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Luis O Tedeschi
- Department of Animal Science, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Juan Villalba
- Department of Wildland Resources, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA
| | - Frank Mitloehner
- Department of Animal Science, University of California-Davis, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Alexander N Hristov
- Department of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA
| | - Shawn L Archibeque
- Department of Animal Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
| | - John P Ritten
- Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA
| | - Nathaniel D Mueller
- Department of Ecosystem Science & Sustainability, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.,Department of Crop & Soil Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
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