Time Series Forecasting of Air Quality: A Case Study of Sofia City

BREATH-Net: a novel deep learning framework for NO2 prediction using bi-directional encoder with transformer

Air pollution poses a significant challenge in numerous urban regions, negatively affecting human well-being. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a prevalent atmospheric pollutant that can potentially exacerbate respiratory ailments and cardiovascular disorders and contribute to cancer development. The present study introduces a novel approach for monitoring and predicting Delhi's nitrogen dioxide concentrations by leveraging satellite data and ground data from the Sentinel 5P satellite and monitoring stations. The research gathers satellite and monitoring data over 3 years for evaluation. Exploratory data analysis (EDA) methods are employed to comprehensively understand the data and discern any discernible patterns and trends in nitrogen dioxide levels. The data subsequently undergoes pre-processing and scaling utilizing appropriate techniques, such as MinMaxScaler, to optimize the model's performance. The proposed forecasting model uses a hybrid architecture of the Transformer and BiLSTM models called BREATH-Net. BiLSTM models exhibit a strong aptitude for effectively managing sequential data by adeptly capturing dependencies in both the forward and backward directions. Conversely, transformers excel in capturing extensive relationships over extended distances in temporal data. The results of this study will illustrate the proposed model's efficacy in predicting the levels of NO2 in Delhi. If effectively executed, this model can significantly enhance strategies for controlling urban air quality. The findings of this research show a significant improvement of RMSE = 9.06 compared to other state-of-the-art models. This study's primary objective is to contribute to mitigating respiratory health issues resulting from air pollution through satellite data and deep learning methodologies.