An Improved Air Quality Index Machine Learning-Based Forecasting with Multivariate Data Imputation Approach

A deep learning approach for prediction of air quality index in smart city

Industrial developments and consumption of massive amount of fossil fuels, vehicle pollution, and other calamities upsurges the AQI (Air Quality Index) of major cities in a drastic manner. Owing to these factors, it is important to take proactive measures for reducing the air pollution in order to avoid life- threatening consequence. Therefore, prediction of air quality is significant for improving the health of living beings as highly polluted regions have a higher concentration of pollutants mixed in the air, affecting the respiratory system and reducing the lifetime. To control pollution, AQI is used as a measure for estimating the pollutant content in the air. Even though many existing techniques have predicted AQI, enhancement is required in prediction algorithms with minimized loss. To address the challenges in traditional algorithms, the proposed smart cities-based AQI prediction intends to utilize the proposed regression algorithm in the dataset, namely Air- Quality-Data, which collected harmful pollutants on an hourly and daily basis from multiple cities in India between 2015 to 2020. To achieve prediction efficiency with reduced loss, pre-processing of input data is being performed using Deep GAN (Generative Adversarial Network). It performs the imputation of data in place of missing values to improve accurate prediction. Additionally, feature scaling normalizes independent real-data features to a fixed scale. With the processed data, regression is done through modified Stacked Attention GRU with KL divergence, which predicts Ernakulam, Chennai and Ahmedabad cities with higher, medium, and low levels of AQI in India. The performance of the proposed regression algorithm is measured using metrics such as MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MSE (Mean Square Error), R2 (Coefficient of determination), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and better MAE, MSE, R2, MAPE and RMSE obtained by the model is 0.1013, 0.0134, 0.9479, 0.1152 and 0.1156. Internal assessment and comparative analysis performed with existing regression algorithms exhibit lower loss values obtained from the present research, which determines the efficacy of the proposed model.

Forecasting PM 2.5 concentration based on integrating of CEEMDAN decomposition method with SVM and LSTM

With urbanization and increasing consumption, there is a growing need to prioritize sustainable development across various industries. Particularly, sustainable development is hindered by air pollution, which poses a threat to both living organisms and the environment. The emission of combustion gases containing particulate matter (PM 2.5) during human and social activities is a major cause of air pollution. To mitigate health risks, it is crucial to have accurate and reliable methods for forecasting PM 2.5 levels. In this study, we propose a novel approach that combines support vector machine (SVM) and long short-term memory (LSTM) with complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) to forecast PM 2.5 concentrations. The methodology involves extracting Intrinsic mode function (IMF) components through CEEMDAN and subsequently applying different regression models (SVM and LSTM) to forecast each component. The Naive Evolution algorithm is employed to determine the optimal parameters for combining CEEMDAN, SVM, and LSTM. Daily PM 2.5 concentrations in Kaohsiung, Taiwan from 2019 to 2021 were collected to train models and evaluate their performance. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) for each district. Overall, our proposed model demonstrates superior performance in terms of MAE (1.858), MSE (7.2449), RMSE (2.6682), and (0.9169) values compared to other methods for 1-day ahead PM 2.5 forecasting. Furthermore, our proposed model also achieves the best performance in forecasting PM 2.5 for 3- and 7-day ahead predictions.