Development of a New Nomogram Including Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Predict Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

Which is the best TACE agent for patients with different NLR hepatocellular carcinomas? A systematic review and network meta-analysis

Background

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a common treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the best therapeutic agent for TACE treatment has not been determined. The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a systemic immune system marker; however, the ability of the NLR to predict the prognosis of patients with HCC is unknown, and no studies have been conducted to determine the most appropriate TACE regimen for HCC patients with different NLRs.

Methods

The PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and CNKI databases were searched through May 28, 2023. Comparisons of overall survival (OS) among cohort studies with different NLRs and different TACE treatment regimens were performed with a random effects model.

Findings

Thirty-five studies involving 9210 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The results showed that Group 3-4 (NLR<2.5) patients had a significantly longer OS than Group 1-2 (NLR 2.5-5.0). Among the patients, Group 1-3 (NLR 2.0-5.0) patients had the best survival after treatment with adriamycin (lnHR (95 % CI = 0.48 [0.31, 0.75] and lnHR (95 % CI = 0.41 [0.19, 0.91]). Among the Group 4 patients (NLR<2.0), the best outcome was obtained with platinum + adriamycin (lnHR (95 % CI = 0.59 [0.45, 0.78]), followed by adriamycin. A subgroup analysis of TACE combined with other treatments showed that adriamycin combined with sorafenib was the most effective and superior to the other treatment agents.

Interpretation

The NLR can be used to predict the prognosis of HCC patients treated with TACE; the higher the NLR is, the worse the prognosis. Adriamycin may be the best therapeutic agent for HCC patients treated with TACE.

A Deep Learning Model Combining Multimodal Factors to Predict the Overall Survival of Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background

To develop and validate an overall survival (OS) prediction model for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

In this retrospective study, 301 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received TACE from 2012 to 2015 were collected. The residual network was used to extract prognostic information from CT images, which was then combined with the clinical factors adjusted by COX regression to predict survival using a modified deep learning model (DLOPCombin). The DLOPCombin model was compared with the residual network model (DLOPCTR), multiple COX regression model (DLOPCox), Radiomic model (Radiomic), and clinical model.

Results

In the validation cohort, DLOPCombin shows the highest TD AUC of all cohorts, which compared with Radiomic (TD AUC: 0.96vs 0.63) and clinical model (TD AUC: 0.96 vs 0.62) model. DLOPCombin showed significant difference in C index compared with DLOPCTR and DLOPCox models (P < 0.05). Moreover, the DLOPCombin showed good calibration and overall net benefit. Patients with DLOPCombin model score ≤ 0.902 had better OS (33 months vs 15.5 months, P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

The deep learning model can effectively predict the patients' overall survival of TACE.

Immune Effects of Intra-Arterial Liver-Directed Therapies

Image-guided intra-arterial locoregional therapies (LRTs) such as transarterial embolization, transarterial chemoembolization, and transarterial radioembolization exhibit effects on the immune system. Understanding the humoral (cytokine, chemokine, and growth factor) and cellular (T cell, neutrophil, dendritic cell, and macrophage) mechanisms underlying the immune effects of LRT is crucial to designing rational and effective combinations of immunotherapy and interventional radiology procedures. This article aims to review the immune effects of intra-arterial LRTs and provide insight into strategies to combine LRTs with systemic immunotherapy.

Predictive biomarkers of survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment

BACKGROUND

Since atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATE+BEV) regimen for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was released quite recently, real-world data are lacking. We evaluated efficacy, safety, and predictive biomarkers for survival in patients receiving ATE+BEV.

METHODS

Between 2020 and 2021, HCC patients receiving ATE+BEV at academic teaching hospitals were recruited. Treatment response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1.).

RESULTS

Among 121 patients enrolled, the median age was 63 years, with male predominance (82.6%). Complete response, partial response, stable disease, and progressive disease were identified in 2.5%, 26.4%, 54.5%, and 16.6%, respectively. Patients with alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) response, defined as ≥30% and ≥50% decreases, respectively, at the first response evaluation relative to baseline, and those with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) <2.5, had significantly higher objective response rates (42.6% vs. 21.5%, 50.0% vs. 26.2%, and 39.0% vs. 19.4%, respectively; all p < 0.05). During follow-up, the median overall survival (OS) was not reached, and the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.7 months. Multivariable analyses showed that macrovascular invasion (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.541; p = 0.017), DCP ≥186 mAU/ml (aHR 5.102; p < 0.001), NLR ≥2.5 (aHR 3.584; p = 0.001), and an NLR decrease ≥10% at the first response (aHR 0.305; p = 0.002) were independent predictors of OS, and DCP ≥186 mAU (aHR 2.311; p = 0.002) and NLR ≥2.5 (aHR 1.938; p = 0.012) were independent predictors of PFS. Grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events (AEs) occurred in 33 (27.3%) patients.

CONCLUSION

ATE+BEV showed favorable efficacy and safety. Baseline high DCP and NLR may be useful prognostic predictors for OS and PFS.

The presence and size of intrahepatic tumors determine the therapeutic efficacy of nivolumab in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose:

Inter-tumoral heterogeneity at the differential lesion level raises the possibility of distinct organ-specific responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We aimed to comprehensively examine the clinicopathological factors to predict and assess the efficacy of nivolumab, programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) blockade at an individual tumor site-specific level in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC).

Patients and Methods:

We enrolled 261 aHCC patients treated with nivolumab between 2012 and 2018. Eighty-one clinicopathological factors were comprehensively collected and analyzed. The association between all variables and survival outcomes was evaluated. According to tumor site, the organ-specific responses were assessed based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, version 1.1.

Results:

The liver was the most commonly involved organ (75.1%), followed by the lungs (37.5%) and lymph nodes (LNs, 11.5%). The liver of nonresponders was more frequently the organ of progression, while the lungs of responders were more frequently the organs of response. Among the 455 individual lesions (liver, n = 248; lung, n = 124; LN, n = 35; others including bone or soft tissues, n = 48), intrahepatic tumors showed the least response (10.1%), followed by lung (24.2%) and LN tumors (37.1%), indicating the presence of distinct organ-specific responses to nivolumab. In intrahepatic tumors, the organ-specific response rate decreased as the size increased (13% for ⩽50 mm, 8.1% for 50–100 mm, and 5.5% for >100 mm). In the subgroup analysis according to tumor location, patients with lung only metastasis (⩾30 mm) showed the best progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). In contrast, primary HCC (⩾100 mm) without lung metastasis had the worst PFS and OS. Comprehensive analyses also revealed that liver function and systemic inflammatory indices, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were significantly associated with PFS and OS.

Conclusion:

The presence and size of liver tumors, liver function, and NLR are key factors determining the response to nivolumab in aHCC. These clinical factors should be considered when treating patients with advanced HCC with PD-1 blockade.

An ALBI- and Ascites-Based Model to Predict Survival for BCLC Stage B Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

We aimed to develop a predictive model constituted with the ALBI grade, the ascites, and tumor burden related parameters in patients with BCLC stage B HCC.

Methods

Patients diagnosed as the BCLC stage B HCC were collected from a retrospective database. Construction and validation of the predictive model were performed based on multivariate Cox regression analysis. Predictive accuracy, discrimination (c-index), and fitness performance (calibration curve) of the model were compared with the other eight models. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility.

Results

A total of 1773 patients diagnosed as BCLC stage B HCC between 2007 and 2016 were included in the present study. The ALBI-AS grade, the AFP level, and the 8-and-14 grade were used for the development of a prognostic prediction model after multivariate analysis. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for overall survival at 1, 2, and 3 years predicted by the present model were 0.73, 0.69, and 0.67 in the training cohort. The concordance index (c-index) and the Aiken information criterion (AIC) were 0.68 and 6216.3, respectively. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the present model still revealed excellent predictive accuracy, discrimination, and fitness performance. Then the ALBI-AS based model was evaluated to be superior to other prognostic models with the highest AUROC, c-index, and lowest AIC values. Moreover, DCA also demonstrated that the present model was clinically beneficial.

Conclusion

The ALBI-AS grade is a novel predictor of survival for patients with BCLC stage B HCC.

Preoperative and postoperative nomograms for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Postoperative early recurrence (ER) is a major obstacle to long-term survival after curative liver resection (LR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to establish preoperative and postoperative nomograms to predict ER in HCC without macrovascular invasion.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative LR for HCC between January 2012 and December 2016 were divided into training and internal prospective validation cohorts. Nomograms were constructed based on independent risk factors derived from the multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. The predictive performances of the nomograms were validated using the internal prospective validation cohort.

RESULTS

In total, 698 patients fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Among them, 265 of 482 patients (55.0%) in the training cohort and 120 of 216 (55.6%) patients in the validation cohort developed ER. The preoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, alpha-fetoprotein, tumor diameter, and tumor number, and the postoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, tumor diameter, tumor number, microvascular invasion, and differentiation. The pre- and postoperative nomograms based on these factors showed good accuracy, with concordance indices of 0.712 and 0.850 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.857 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions by the nomograms and actual observations. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the pre- and postoperative nomograms were 0.721 and 0.848 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.844 in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms constructed in this study showed good performance in predicting ER for HCC without macrovascular invasion before and after surgery. These nomograms would be helpful for doctors when determining treatments and selecting patients for regular surveillance or administration of adjuvant therapies.

Efficacy and safety of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in Korean patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Ate/Bev) has demonstrated efficacy and safety in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the phase III trial. Further evaluation is necessary to investigate the safety and efficacy of Ate/Bev in real settings.

METHODS

This was a multicentre retrospective analysis. Between May 2020 and February 2021, 138 patients received Ate/Bev as first-line treatment for advanced HCC from 11 institutions. We excluded patients with Child-Pugh B or C and BCLC D stage, and the remaining 121 patients were included in this analysis.

RESULTS

According to RECIST 1.1, the objective response and disease control rates were 24.0% and 76.0%. The median follow-up duration was 5.9 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.4-6.4), the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 6.5 months (95% CI, 4.1-9.0), and median overall survival (OS) was not reached (95% CI, not available). The most frequent grade 3-4 adverse event was aspartate aminotransferase elevation (10.7%). In the multivariate analyses, AFP increase (P = .037), baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 5 (P = .023), and best response to stable disease or progressive disease (P = .019) were significantly associated with worse PFS. Macrovascular invasion (P = .048) and baseline NLR ≥5 (P < .001) were significantly associated with worse OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Ate/Bev showed real-life efficacy and safety in Korean patients with advanced HCC, in line with results from phase III trial. Considering unfavourable survival outcomes of Ate/Bev in patients with elevated NLR, careful assessment of treatment response needs to be performed in this group.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic predictor after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma." Review article

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker which has been investigated as a prognostic indicator in post-therapeutic recurrence and survival of patients with HCC. Our aim was to review all studies that assessed the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in predicting patient survival, cancer recurrence, and graft survival in patients undergoing various therapies for HCC. We searched the database of PubMed and Google Scholar to review all studies that have the word "NLR" and the word "HCC." We included all studies that assessed pre-treatment NLR as a prognostic factor in predicting outcomes in HCC patients. We excluded studies that assessed the correlation between post-treatment NLR or dynamic changes in NLR after treatment and HCC outcomes in an effort to minimize the confounding effect of each treatment on NLR. We reviewed 123 studies that studied the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and patient survival, 72 studies that evaluated the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and tumor recurrence, 21 studies that evaluated the correlation between NLR and tumor behavior, and 4 studies that assessed the correlation between NLR and graft survival. We found a remarkable heterogeneity between the methods of the studies, which is likely responsible for the differences in outcomes. The majority of the studies suggested a correlation between higher levels of pre-treatment NLR and poor outcomes. We concluded that NLR is a reliable and inexpensive biomarker and should be incorporated into other prognostic models to help determine outcomes following HCC treatment.

Inflammatory Scores: Comparison and Utility in HCC Patients Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization in a North American Cohort

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to determine and compare the ability of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), aspartate-aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio (ALRI), systemic-inflammation index (SII) and lymphocyte count to predict oncologic outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A single-center retrospective review of 296 patients who were treated for 457 HCCs was performed. Pre- and post-treatment laboratory and treatment outcome variables were collected. Objective radiologic response (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were evaluated. Patients were categorized into above and below median scores and compared.

RESULTS

The median pretreatment NLR, PLR, ALRI, SII, and lymphocyte count were 2.7 (range: 0.4-55), 88.3 (range: 0.1-840), 71.8 (range: 0.1-910), 238.1 (range: 0.1-5150.8), and 1 (range: 0.1-5.2) 103/µL, respectively. Patients with above median ALRI scores were less likely to achieve an ORR as compared to those with below median ALRI values (132 (132/163, 81%) vs 150 (150/163, 92%), p = 0.004). On univariate analysis, patients with above median pretreatment NLR (HR 1.41, 95% CI: 1.09-1.83, p = 0.01) and below median lymphocyte count (HR 0.69, 95% CI: 0.53-0.92, p = 0.01) had significantly worse PFS. The relationship between PFS and NLR (p = 0.08) as well as lymphocytes (p = 0.20) no longer remained on multivariate analysis. On univariate analysis, below median pretreatment NLR (HR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.2-2.45, p = 0.003) and ALRI (HR 1.52, 95% CI: 1.05-2.2); p = 0.03) as well as above median lymphocyte count (HR 0.48, 95% CI: 0.34-0.7, p < 0.0001) were associated with improved OS. The significant relationship between lymphocytes and OS remained on multivariate analysis (HR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.28-0.9, p = 0.02), but the relationship with NLR (p = 0.94) did not persist.

CONCLUSION

NLR is predictive of PFS and OS in patients with HCC undergoing TACE and may be superior to other inflammatory scores (PLR, ALRI, and SII) in this setting. However, lymphocyte count may be most predictive of OS.

The Therapeutic Principle of Combined Strengthening Qi and Eliminating Pathogens in Treating Middle-Advanced Primary Liver Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: The combination of strengthening Qi and eliminating pathogens is an available therapeutic principle in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) for primary liver cancer (PLC) at middle-advanced stage. However, there is a lack of reasonable evidence to support the proper application of this therapeutic principle. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Chinese medicinal formulas (CMFs), including two subgroup analyses of the principle of strengthening Qi and eliminating pathogens.

Method: Clinical trials were obtained through searching of EMBASE, Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, Chinese Scientific Journal Database, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, and two clinical trial registries. The randomized controlled trials with the combination of CMFs and transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in the experiment group were acceptable, in contrast to the TACE alone in the control group. The statistics analysis was performed on Review Manager 5.4.

Results: A total of eligible 24 trials were accessed in this work. Overall, CMFs could improve the survival duration of 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years, Karnofsky Performance Status, tumor objective response rate (ORR), AFP, and symptom. In the subgroup analysis, trials complying with the principle of single strengthening Qi did not show any significant difference in increasing tumor ORR. Meanwhile, the principle of combined strengthening Qi and eliminating pathogens was uncertain in improving symptoms and 1-year and 2-year survival time. In addition, the outcome indexes of ALT and AST were heterogeneous. In last, the total occurrence of adverse events could not be reduced via using CMFs. Patients treated with CMFs exhibited liver injury, fever, and white blood cell decline, with mild events occurring more frequently and severe events occurring less.

Conclusion: CMFs are an effective treatment method to cure PLC at the middle-advanced stage. Adopting the principle of single strengthening Qi presents better efficacy in the long term by prolonging the survival duration. Following the principle of combined strengthening Qi and eliminating pathogens could be more beneficial to patients in short term by lessening the tumor size. CMFs have the advantage of reducing certain serious adverse events.

Factors Associated with Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in 197 Patients Following Transarterial Chemoembolization: A Retrospective Study from a Single Center

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer deaths. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been widely applied for treating patients with unresectable HCC. This study explored the factors influencing early recurrence (ER) after TACE in HCC patients.

Material/Methods

A total of 197 patients were divided into the ER group and the non-ER group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out to explore the influencing factors. Univariate Kaplan-Meier survival curves and restricted cubic splines were plotted for visualizing the relations between the influencing factors and ER.

Results

According to the multivariate analysis, for every 1-cm increase in the maximum tumor diameter, the risk of ER increased by 0.235 times (95% CI: 1.144–1.333, P<0.001). Patients with adjacent lobe invasion had a 1.227-fold higher risk of ER than those without (95% CI: 1.461–3.394, P<0.001). For every unit increase in neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the risk increased by 0.107-fold (95% CI: 1.012–1.211, P=0.027). Compared to patients at the very early/early Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage, those at the advanced/end stage had a 2.045-fold increased risk of ER (95% CI: 1.259–7.366, P=0.014).

Conclusions

The maximum tumor diameter, adjacent lobe invasion, NLR, and advanced/end stage BCLC stage were all risk factors for ER after TACE in HCC patients.

Neutrophils in the era of immune checkpoint blockade

The immune checkpoint blockade-based immunotherapies are revolutionizing cancer management. Tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) were recently highlighted to have a pivotal role in modulating the tumor microenvironment and the antitumor immune response. However, these cells were largely ignored during the development of therapies based on programmed cell death receptor or ligand-1 and cytotoxic T lymphocyte antigen-4 immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Latest evidences of neutrophil functional diversity in tumor raised many questions and suggest that targeting these cells can offer new treatment opportunities in the context of ICI development. Here, we summarized key information on TAN origin, function, and plasticity that should be considered when developing ICIs and provide a detailed review of the ongoing clinical trials that combine ICIs and a second compound that might affect or be affected by TANs. This review article synthetizes important notions from the literature demonstrating that: (1) Cancer development associates with a profound alteration of neutrophil biogenesis and function that can predict and interfere with the response to ICIs, (2) Neutrophil infiltration in tumor is associated with key features of resistance to ICIs, and (3) TANs play an important role in resistance to antiangiogenic drugs reducing their clinical benefit when used in combination with ICIs. Finally, exploring the clinical/translational aspects of neutrophil impact on the response to ICIs offers the opportunity to propose new translational research avenues to better understand TAN biology and treat patients.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Biomarker Predicting Overall Survival after Chemoembolization for Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

Baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥3 was a robust independent predictor of overall survival after chemoembolization for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma, with the predictive value verified by cross-validation.

Abstract

The clinical impact of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) remain unclear, and additional large-scale studies are required. This retrospective study evaluated outcomes in treatment-naïve patients who received TACE as first-line treatment for intermediate-stage HCC between 2008 and 2017. Patients who underwent TACE before and after 2013 were assigned to the development (n = 495) and validation (n = 436) cohorts, respectively. Multivariable Cox analysis identified six factors predictive of outcome, including NLR, which were used to create models predictive of overall survival (OS) in the development cohort. Risk scores of 0–3, 4–7, and 8–12 were defined as low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. Median OS times in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups in the validation cohort were 48.1, 24.3, and 9.7 months, respectively (p < 0.001). Application to the validation cohort of time-dependent ROC curves for models predictive of OS showed AUC values of 0.72 and 0.70 at 3 and 5 years, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis found that NLR ≥ 3 was a significant predictor (odds ratio, 3.4; p < 0.001) of disease progression 6 months after TACE. Higher baseline NLR was predictive of poor prognosis in patients who underwent TACE for intermediate-stage HCC.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratios as Predictors of Outcomes in Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus Sorafenib

Objectives: To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for outcomes following the combination treatment of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus sorafenib.

Materials and Methods: A total of 314 (270 male and 44 female) treatment-naïve patients with unresectable HCC treated by TACE plus sorafenib between January 2011 and December 2018 were enrolled in the retrospective study. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). The secondary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were obtained within 3–7 days before the initial TACE and the median value of the NLR and PLR was considered as the cut-off value.

Results: The median value of NLR and PLR was 2.42 and 100, respectively. The median OS and PFS of the entire cohort were 18.7 months (95% CI: 16.8–20.6) and 9.1 months (95% CI: 8.5–9.8), respectively. The low NLR and PLR group showed improved OS and PFS compared with the high NLR and PLR group [21.8 months (95% CI: 15.2–28.5) vs. 15.4 months (95% CI: 12.4–18.3), p < 0.0001; 21.6 months (95% CI: 15.8–27.5) vs. 14.9 months (95% CI: 11.9–17.8), p = 0.00027, respectively]. In addition, the low NLR and PLR group also provided a longer PFS than the high NLR and PLR group [10.4 months (95% CI: 8.9–12.0) vs. 8.1 months (95% CI: 7.1–9.2), p = 0.00022; 10.3 months (95% CI: 8.6–11.9) vs. 8.2 months (95% CI: 7.2–9.2), p < 0.0001, respectively]. High NLR and PLR at baseline were predictive factors of poor OS (p = 0.02 and p = 0.004) and PFS (p = 0.045 and p = 0.005).

Conclusion: This study showed the prognostic value of quantitative inflammatory biomarkers in correlation with OS and PFS in unresectable HCC patients undergoing TACE plus sorafenib treatment.

Time-Varying mHAP-III Is the Most Accurate Predictor of Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

INTRODUCTION

The prognosis of patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is extremely variable, and a confounding factor is that TACE is often repeated several times. We retrospectively evaluated the accuracy of different prognostic scores and staging systems in estimating overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

An analysis considering prognostic models as time-varying variables was performed, calculating OS from the time of TACE to the time of the subsequent treatment. Total follow-up time for each patient was therefore split into several observation times accounting for each TACE procedure. Values of the likelihood ratio test (LRT) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare different systems. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted to identify additional factors predictive of OS. We analyzed 1,610 TACE performed in 1,058 patients recorded in the Italian Liver Cancer database from 2008 through 2016.

RESULTS

The median OS of the enrolled patients was 41 months. According to LRT χ² and AIC values based on the time-varying analysis, mHAP-III achieved the best values (41.72 and 4,625.49, respectively, p < 0.0001), indicating the highest predictive performance compared with all other scores (HAP, mHAP-II, ALBI, and pALBI) and staging systems (MELD, ITALICA, CLIP, MESH, MESIAH, JIS, HKLC, and BCLC). In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, mHAP-III maintained an independent effect on OS (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.55, p < 0.0001). Time-varying age, alcoholic etiology, radiologic response to TACE, and performing ablation or surgery after TACE were additional significant variables resulting from the multivariable model.

CONCLUSION

An innovative time-varying analysis revealed that mHAP-III was the most accurate model in predicting OS in patients with HCC undergoing TACE. Other clinical pre- and post-TACE variables were also found to be relevant for this prediction.

A Machine Learning-Based Model to Predict Survival After Transarterial Chemoembolization for BCLC Stage B Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

We sought to develop and validate a novel prognostic model for predicting survival of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stages (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a machine learning approach based on random survival forests (RSF).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed overall survival rates of patients with BCLC stage B HCC using a training (n = 602), internal validation (n = 301), and external validation (n = 343) groups. We extracted twenty-one clinical and biochemical parameters with established strategies for preprocessing, then adopted the RSF classifier for variable selection and model development. We evaluated model performance using the concordance index (c-index) and area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROC).

Results

RSF revealed that five parameters, namely size of the tumor, BCLC-B sub-classification, AFP level, ALB level, and number of lesions, were strong predictors of survival. These were thereafter used for model development. The established model had a c-index of 0.69, whereas AUROC for predicting survival outcomes of the first three years reached 0.72, 0.71, and 0.73, respectively. Additionally, the model had better performance relative to other eight Cox proportional-hazards models, and excellent performance in the subgroup of BCLC-B sub-classification B I and B II stages.

Conclusion

The RSF-based model, established herein, can effectively predict survival of patients with BCLC stage B HCC, with better performance than previous Cox proportional hazards models.

Hyperprogressive disease during PD-1 blockade in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitor treatment can cause hyperprogressive disease (HPD), but the incidence, outcome, and predictive factors of HPD are unknown in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Herein, we assessed the existence and factors predictive of HPD in patients with advanced HCC treated with nivolumab.

METHODS

We enrolled 189 patients with advanced HCC treated with nivolumab. Occurrence of HPD was investigated using tumour growth dynamics based on tumour growth kinetics (TGK) and tumour growth rate (TGR) before and after treatment, or time to treatment failure. We additionally analysed patients treated with regorafenib (n = 95) or best supportive care (BSC)/placebo (n = 103) after progression on sorafenib to compare tumour growth dynamics.

RESULTS

Flare-up of tumour growth was observed in a fraction of patients upon PD-1 blockade, indicating the occurrence of HPD. Based on distinct patterns of disease progression exclusively observed in the nivolumab-treated cohort, but not in the regorafenib- or BSC/placebo-treated cohorts, 4-fold increases in TGK and TGR ratios as well as a 40% increase in TGR were the cut-off values used to define HPD; 12.7% of the patients (24/189) treated with nivolumab met all these criteria. Patients with HPD had worse progression-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 2.194; 95% CI 1.214-3.964) and overall survival (HR 2.238; 95% CI 1.233-4.062) compared to patients with progressive disease without HPD. More than 90% of patients with HPD missed the opportunity for subsequent treatment because of rapid clinical deterioration. An elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (>4.125) was associated with HPD and an inferior survival rate.

CONCLUSIONS

HPD occurs in a fraction of patients with HCC who receive PD-1 inhibitor treatment. Analyses of the baseline immune profile and on-treatment tumour growth dynamics could enable optimal patient selection and earlier identification of HPD.

LAY SUMMARY

Hyperprogressive disease is an unexpected response pattern observed in patients treated with an immune checkpoint inhibitor. This study revealed that hyperprogressive disease occurs in a fraction of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with an anti-PD-1 antibody, providing evidence to encourage careful monitoring of patients to prevent clinical deterioration induced by PD-1 blockade.

Pretreatment Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Survival and Liver Toxicity in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to determine whether pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) could predict survival outcomes and liver toxicity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

In this retrospective study we collected pretreatment NLR of HCC patients treated with SABR between December 2007 and August 2018 and determined its association with overall survival (OS), progression-free survival, and radiation-related liver toxicity defined as an increase in the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score by ≥2 within 3 months after SABR in the absence of disease progression.

RESULTS

A total of 153 patients with a median follow-up of 13.3 months were included. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis found that an NLR ≥2.4 was optimum (area under the curve, 0.762; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.682-0.841, P < .001) for predicting poor 1-year OS (38.2% vs 83.6%, P < .001). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that NLR was significantly associated with OS, both as a continuous (P = .006) and a binary variable (NLR set at 2.4; P = .003). Multiple tumors (P = .003), macrovascular invasion (P = .024), extrahepatic spread (P = .002), and albumin-bilirubin score (P = .020) were also significant predictors of OS. Elevated NLR independently prognosticated poor progression-free survival (P = .016). Liver toxicity was seen in 22 evaluable patients (15.4%). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis found NLR ≥4.0 was optimum at predicting liver toxicity (31.4% vs 10.2%, P = .005). A higher NLR (P = .049) and albumin-bilirubin score (P = .002) were independent risk factors for liver toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR is an objective and ubiquitous inflammatory marker that can predict OS and liver toxicity in HCC patients undergoing SABR. NLR could be a useful biomarker for patient risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making.

Recent Updates of Transarterial Chemoembolilzation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a standard treatment for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this review, we summarize recent updates on the use of TACE for HCC. TACE can be performed using two techniques; conventional TACE (cTACE) and drug-eluting beads using TACE (DEB-TACE). The anti-tumor effect of the two has been reported to be similar; however, DEB-TACE carries a higher risk of hepatic artery and biliary injuries and a relatively lower risk of post-procedural pain than cTACE. TACE can be used for early stage HCC if other curative treatments are not feasible or as a neoadjuvant treatment before liver transplantation. TACE can also be considered for selected patients with limited portal vein thrombosis and preserved liver function. When deciding to repeat TACE, the ART (Assessment for Retreatment with TACE) score and ABCR (AFP, BCLC, Child-Pugh, and Response) score can guide the decision process, and TACE refractoriness needs to be considered. Studies on the combination therapy of TACE with other treatment modalities, such as local ablation, radiation therapy, or systemic therapy, have been actively conducted and are still ongoing. Recently, new prognostic models, including analysis of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, radiomics, and deep learning, have been developed to help predict survival after TACE.

Nomogram Based on Systemic Immune Inflammation Index and Prognostic Nutrition Index Predicts Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgery

Background

Surgery is a potential cure for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its postoperative recurrence rate is high, its prognosis is poor, and reliable predictive indicators are lacking. This study was conducted to develop a simple, practical, and effective predictive model.

Materials and Methods

Preoperative clinical and postoperative pathological data on patients with HCC undergoing partial hepatectomies at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2010 to December 2015 were retrospectively analyzed, and a nomogram was constructed. The model performance was evaluated using C-indexes, receiver operating characteristic curves, and calibration curves. The results were verified from validation cohort data collected at the same center from January 2016 to January 2017 and compared with the traditional staging systems.

Results

Three hundred three patients were enrolled in this study: 238 in the training cohort and 65 in the validation cohort. From the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses in the training cohort, six independent risk factors, i.e., age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), tumor size, satellite nodules, systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), were filtered and included in the nomogram. The C-index was 0.701 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.654–0.748] in the training cohort and 0.705 (95% CI: 0.619–0.791) in the validation cohort. The areas under the curve for the 1- and 3-year recurrence-free survival were 0.706 and 0.716 in the training cohort and 0.686 and 0.743 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves showed good agreement. Compared with traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition (AJCC8th) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging systems, our nomogram showed better predictive ability.

Conclusion

Our nomogram is simple, practical, and reliable. According to our nomogram, predicting the risk of recurrence and stratifying HCC patient management will yield the greatest survival benefit for patients.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Dynamic Changes in the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predict the Prognosis of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

Purpose

To examine the effect of dynamic changes in neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on tumor response and overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Patients and Methods

Data from 181 patients with HCC were retrospectively collected. White blood cell, neutrophil and lymphocyte counts, and the NLR were obtained 1–3 days before as well as 3–6 weeks and 3 months after TACE. Patients were divided into two groups at each time point according to the mean value of NLR, and also divided into continuous decrease, fluctuating increase-decrease (I-D), fluctuating decrease-increase (D-I), and continuous increase groups according to the dynamic changes in the NLR. The dynamic changes in blood counts and NLR were analyzed using repeated-measures ANOVA. The odds ratios (ORs) for tumor response in different NLR groups were examined using a multivariate logistic regression model. Finally, the prognostic value of the dynamic changes in the NLR was examined using Cox regression models.

Results

Continuous decline of white blood cell counts, neutrophil counts and lymphocyte counts were observed at 3–6 weeks and 3 months after TACE treatment. The NLR increased slightly and then decreased substantially in responders, while it increased slightly and then significantly in non-responders, with a significant interaction effect of Time × Tumor response (P = 0.005). NLR grouping before TACE, 3–6 weeks and 3 months after TACE was not associated with tumor response, and only 3 months after TACE did, it shows a significant difference in univariate survival analyses (NLR > 2.5 vs NLR ≤ 2.5, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.442, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.545, 3.860). The changes in the NLR were significantly correlated with tumor response and OS. Non-responders for TACE were more common in the continuous NLR increase group (OR = 6.230, 95% CI: 1.848–21.001) and in the fluctuating D-I group (OR = 5.702, 95% CI: 1.480–21.957). Multivariate analyses revealed that these two patient groups also showed poorer OS (HR = 2.351, 95% CI: 1.120–4.605 and HR = 2.320, 95% CI: 1.187–4.533, respectively).

Conclusion

Dynamic changes in the NLR may be better predictors of tumor response and OS than static NLR values, but more data are needed.

Novel Nomograms Individually Predicting Overall Survival of Non-metastatic Colon Cancer Patients

Background: This study aimed to develop an effective prognostic nomogram for predicting non-metastatic colon cancer. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program was utilized to analyze patients who underwent surgical therapy (25,350 for training, 10,860 for validation). Nomograms were created depending upon multivariate analysis in the training cohort and were compared to current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) classifications. Areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs), Akaike's information criterions (AICs), and calibration curves were used. The clinical benefit was measured using decision curve analyses (DCAs). The validation cohort was used to validate the results. Results: Nomogram 1 included age, gender, histological grade, T stage, number of retrieved lymph nodes, tumor size, and N stage. Nomogram 2 included age, gender, histological grade, T stage, number of retrieved lymph nodes, tumor size, and number of positive lymph nodes. The prognostic discrimination of nomogram 1 (AUC, 0.729, 95% CI, 0.723-0.736) was better than that of nomogram 2 (AUC, 0.704, 95% CI, 0.698-0.710, p < 0.001) in five-year overall survival in the training cohort. Nomogram 1 (AIC, 137,319) also showed superior model-fitting compared to nomogram 2 (AIC, 137,453). Similarity, nomogram 1 was better than the AJCC 6th and 8th TNM classifications. DCA revealed that nomogram 1 had a superior net benefit than other models. These findings were validated using the validation cohort. Conclusions: The proposed nomogram 1 was a better prognostic prediction model with better discrimination and superior model-fitting for patients with non-metastatic colon cancer, which might prove to be clinically helpful.

Combined signature of nine immune-related genes: a novel risk score for predicting prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common internal malignancies worldwide and is associated with a poor prognosis. There is an urgent need to identify diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers of HCC pathogenesis and progression. Accordingly, in this study, we analyzed differentially expressed immune-related genes (IRGs) from 329 patients with HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas datasets. Functional analysis revealed that the IRGs had potential effects on tumor immune processes, such as inflammatory responses and growth factor activity. In the training group, we constructed a nine-IRG formula to predict prognosis in patients with HCC. To validate the protein and mRNA levels of these IRGs, we used the Human Protein Atlas database and quantitative PCR analysis and found that most protein expression levels matched the corresponding mRNA expression levels. Furthermore, we also validated the prognostic value of the new risk model in another independent cohort (n = 277) from a Gene Expression Omnibus dataset (GSE14520). Our data suggested that there was a significant association between our risk model and patient prognosis. Stratification analysis showed that the nine-IRG signature was significantly associated with overall survival in men. Finally, the signature was found to be correlated with various clinicopathological features. Intriguingly, the prognostic index based on the IRGs reflected infiltration by several types of immune cells. In summary, our data provided evidence that the nine-IRG signature could serve as an independent biomarker to predict prognosis in patients with HCC.

Prognostic significance of inflammatory indices in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial chemoembolization: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

To investigate the association between inflammatory indices and clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) by performing meta-analysis.

Methods

A systematic literature search for relevant studies published up to August 2019 was performed by using PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, China National Knowledge Internet (CNKI) and Wanfang databases. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) or odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated.

Results

A total of 5280 patients from 22 studies were finally enrolled in the meta-analysis. The results demonstrated that elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and CRP was associated with poor OS in HCC patients treated by TACE (HR = 1.81, P<0.00001; HR = 1.56, P = 0.007; HR = 1.45, P<0.00001, respectively). In addition, high NLR was significantly correlated with the presence of tumor vascular invasion (OR = 1.49, P = 0.002). Elevated PLR tended to be correlated with higher incidence of tumor size>3 cm (OR = 2.42, P = 0.005).

Conclusions

Elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and CRP are associated with poor prognosis in HCC patients treated with TACE. These inflammatory indices may be convenient, accessible, affordable and dependable biomarkers with prognostic potential for HCC patients treated by TACE.

A Disintegrin and Metalloproteinase 9 (ADAM9) in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Role as a Biomarker During Hepatocellular Carcinoma Immunotherapy

The chemotherapeutics sorafenib and regorafenib inhibit shedding of MHC class I-related chain A (MICA) from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells by suppressing a disintegrin and metalloprotease 9 (ADAM9). MICA is a ligand for natural killer (NK) group 2 member D (NKG2D) and is expressed on tumor cells to elicit attack by NK cells. This study measured ADAM9 mRNA levels in blood samples of advanced HCC patients (n = 10). In newly diagnosed patients (n = 5), the plasma ADAM9 mRNA level was significantly higher than that in healthy controls (3.001 versus 1.00, p < 0.05). Among four patients treated with nivolumab therapy, two patients with clinical response to nivolumab showed significant decreases in fold changes of serum ADAM9 mRNA level from 573.98 to 262.58 and from 323.88 to 85.52 (p < 0.05); however, two patients with no response to nivolumab did not. Using the Cancer Genome Atlas database, we found that higher expression of ADAM9 in tumor tissues was associated with poorer survival of HCC patients (log-rank p = 0.00039), while ADAM10 and ADAM17 exhibited no such association. In addition, ADAM9 expression showed a positive correlation with the expression of inhibitory checkpoint molecules. This study, though small in sample size, clearly suggested that ADAM9 mRNA might serve as biomarker predicting clinical response and that the ADAM9-MICA-NKG2D system can be a good therapeutic target for HCC immunotherapy. Future studies are warranted to validate these findings.

Nivolumab for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Multiple Lung Metastases after Sorafenib Failure

Over the past decade, standard first-line systemic treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been based on sorafenib, a multi-kinase inhibitor. Regorafenib, another tyrosine kinase inhibitor, is the only second-line therapy that has been globally approved after progression under sorafenib treatment. Recently, immunotherapeutic agents have emerged as promising treatment options in many different malignancies, including advanced HCC. Nivolumab is the first immunotherapy approved by the Food and Drug Administration for use in HCC patients with advanced-stage second-line after sorafenib failure. In this report, a case of advanced HCC with multiple lung metastases in which a complete response and maintained progression-free status was achieved with nivolumab, following the failure of transarterial chemoembolization and sorafenib is presented. We hope this report may help expand the clinical application of second-line treatment.

Neutrophil or platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios in blood are associated with poor prognosis of pulmonary large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma

Background

Pulmonary large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) is a rare clinical subtype of lung cancer which has a poor prognosis for patients. This study aimed to explore the relationship between blood-based inflammatory markers, namely neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and the prognosis for pulmonary LCNEC.

Methods

Peripheral leukocyte and platelet counts of 106 LCNEC patients were measured within the week leading up to their surgery. Serum neuron specific enolase (NSE) was detected by ELISA. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method and compared by log-rank test.

Results

The NLR and PLR cut-off values based on survival receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were 2.52 and 133.6, respectively. A correlation was found between dichotomized NLR and tumor size (P=0.006), and PLR and NLR were significantly correlated with each other (P<0.001). Patients with high NLR or PLR had shorter survival than those with low NLR (HR =2.46, 95% CI: 1.508–4.011, P<0.001) or PLR (HR =2.086, 95% CI: 1.279–3.402, P=0.003). Serum NSE also had a significant effect on patient survival (HR =2.651, 95% CI: 1.358–5.178, P=0.004). The effects of peripheral blood lymphocytes (P=0.001), neutrophils (P=0.023) and platelets (P=0.051) on patient survival were compared by log-rank test. In multivariate survival analysis, NLR (P<0.001) and T category were vital for the prognoses of LCNEC patients.

Conclusions

The inflammatory or immunological markers, NLR and PLR in blood, were independent factors of survival prediction for patients with LCNEC, which implied that cellular immunity was involved in the progression of LCNEC. Peripheral blood lymphocytes and neutrophils have a fundamental effect on survival. Whether or not NLR and PLR can be useful biomarkers in efficacy prediction of immunotherapy in LCNEC calls for further investigation.

Current Status and Future Direction of Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: What Do the Data Suggest?

Most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are diagnosed at an advanced stage of disease. Until recently, systemic treatment options that showed survival benefits in HCC have been limited to tyrosine kinase inhibitors, antibodies targeting oncogenic signaling pathways or VEGF receptors. The HCC tumor microenvironment is characterized by a dysfunction of the immune system through multiple mechanisms, including accumulation of various immunosuppressive factors, recruitment of regulatory T cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, and induction of T cell exhaustion accompanied with the interaction between immune checkpoint ligands and receptors. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been interfered this interaction and have altered therapeutic landscape of multiple cancer types including HCC. In this review, we discuss the use of anti-PD-1, anti-PD-L1, and anti-CTLA-4 antibodies in the treatment of advanced HCC. However, ICIs as a single agent do not benefit a significant portion of patients. Therefore, various clinical trials are exploring possible synergistic effects of combinations of different ICIs (anti-PD-1/PD-L1 and anti-CTLA-4 antibodies) or ICIs and target agents. Combinations of ICIs with locoregional therapies may also improve therapeutic responses.

Preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative estimation of microvascular invasion is of great significance for the clinical decision making in hepatocellular carcinoma. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be correlated with the poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the conclusions are conflicting on whether high preoperative NLR level is associated with the presence of microvascular invasion.

AIM

To evaluate the association between preoperative NLR level and the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and Embase through February 2019. Fixed or random models were applied to analyze the data based on the heterogeneity. Subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses were performed. Review Manager 5.3 and STATA software were used for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 15 studies were eventually included in this meta-analysis. Pooled data based on retrospective cohort studies showed there are more hepatocellular carcinoma patients with vascular invasion (OR 1.74; 95% Cl 1.42, 2.12; P < 0.001) and microvascular invasion (OR 1.62 95% Cl 1.39, 1.89; P < 0.001) in the high NLR group than in the low NLR group. Of case-control studies, a higher preoperative NLR level was found in the microvascular invasion positive group than in the microvascular invasion negative group (OR 0.62; 95% Cl 0.35, 0.90; P < 0.001). The subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses did not change the results.

CONCLUSION

A higher preoperative NLR level is positively correlated with the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation

Background

There are large variations in prognosis among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). However, current staging or scoring systems hardly discriminate the outcome of HCC patients treated with RFA.

Methods

A total of 757 treatment‐naïve HCC patients undergoing RFA (derivation cohort) were analyzed to establish a nomogram for disease‐free survival (DFS) based on Cox proportional hazard regression model. Accuracy of the nomogram was assessed and compared with conventional staging or scoring systems. Furthermore, external validation was performed in an independent cohort including 208 patients (validation cohort).

Results

Tumor size, tumor number, alpha‐fetoprotein, prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence‐II, lymphocyte count, albumin, and presence of ascites were adopted to construct the prognostic nomogram from the derivation cohort. Calibration curves to predict probability of DFS at 3 and 5 years after RFA showed good agreements between the nomogram and actual observations. The concordance index of the present nomogram was 0.759 (95% confidence interval 0.728‐0.790), which was superior to those of conventional staging or scoring systems (range 0.505‐0.683, all P < .001). These results were also reproduced in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

Our simple‐to‐use nomogram optimized for treatment‐naïve HCC patients undergoing RFA provided better prognostic performance than conventional staging or scoring systems.