Prediction of Colon Cancer Stages and Survival Period with Machine Learning Approach. Cancers (Basel). 2019;11. [PMID: 31842486 PMCID: PMC6966646 DOI: 10.3390/cancers11122007]

Colorectal cancer prognosis based on dietary pattern using synthetic minority oversampling technique with K-nearest neighbors approach

Generally, a person's life span depends on their food consumption because it may cause deadly diseases like colorectal cancer (CRC). In 2020, colorectal cancer accounted for one million fatalities globally, representing 10% of all cancer casualties. 76,679 males and 78,213 females over the age of 59 from ten states in the United States participated in this analysis. During follow-up, 1378 men and 981 women were diagnosed with colon cancer. This prospective cohort study used 231 food items and their variants as input features to identify CRC patients. Before labelling any foods as colorectal cancer-causing foods, it is ethical to analyse facts like how many grams of food should be consumed daily and how many times a week. This research examines five classification algorithms on real-time datasets: K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression with Classifier Chain (LRCC), and Logistic Regression with Label Powerset (LRLC). Then, the SMOTE algorithm is applied to deal with and identify imbalances in the data. Our study shows that eating more than 10 g/d of low-fat butter in bread (RR 1.99, CI 0.91-4.39) and more than twice a week (RR 1.49, CI 0.93-2.38) increases CRC risk. Concerning beef, eating in excess of 74 g of beef steak daily (RR 0.88, CI 0.50-1.55) and having it more than once a week (RR 0.88, CI 0.62-1.23) decreases the risk of CRC, respectively. While eating beef and dairy products in a daily diet should be cautious about quantity. Consuming those items in moderation on a regular basis will protect us against CRC risk. Meanwhile, a high intake of poultry (RR 0.2, CI 0.05-0.81), fish (RR 0.82, CI 0.31-2.16), and pork (RR 0.67, CI 0.17-2.65) consumption negatively correlates to CRC hazards.

Enhancing Interpretability in Medical Image Classification by Integrating Formal Concept Analysis with Convolutional Neural Networks

In this study, we present a novel approach to enhancing the interpretability of medical image classification by integrating formal concept analysis (FCA) with convolutional neural networks (CNNs). While CNNs are increasingly applied in medical diagnoses, understanding their decision-making remains a challenge. Although visualization techniques like saliency maps offer insights into CNNs' decision-making for individual images, they do not explicitly establish a relationship between the high-level features learned by CNNs and the class labels across entire dataset. To bridge this gap, we leverage the FCA framework as an image classification model, presenting a novel method for understanding the relationship between abstract features and class labels in medical imaging. Building on our previous work, which applied this method to the MNIST handwritten image dataset and demonstrated that the performance is comparable to CNNs, we extend our approach and evaluation to histopathological image datasets, including Warwick-QU and BreakHIS. Our results show that the FCA-based classifier offers comparable accuracy to deep neural classifiers while providing transparency into the classification process, an important factor in clinical decision-making.

Comprehensive Analysis of the Function and Prognostic Value of TAS2Rs Family-Related Genes in Colon Cancer

In the realm of colon carcinoma, significant genetic and epigenetic diversity is observed, underscoring the necessity for tailored prognostic features that can guide personalized therapeutic strategies. In this study, we explored the association between the type 2 bitter taste receptor (TAS2Rs) family-related genes and colon cancer using RNA-sequencing and clinical datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Our preliminary analysis identified seven TAS2Rs genes associated with survival using univariate Cox regression analysis, all of which were observed to be overexpressed in colon cancer. Subsequently, based on these seven TAS2Rs prognostic genes, two colon cancer molecular subtypes (Cluster A and Cluster B) were defined. These subtypes exhibited distinct prognostic and immune characteristics, with Cluster A characterized by low immune cell infiltration and less favorable outcomes, while Cluster B was associated with high immune cell infiltration and better prognosis. Finally, we developed a robust scoring system using a gradient boosting machine (GBM) approach, integrated with the gene-pairing method, to predict the prognosis of colon cancer patients. This machine learning model could improve our predictive accuracy for colon cancer outcomes, underscoring its value in the precision oncology framework.

Classification of Long Non-Coding RNAs s Between Early and Late Stage of Liver Cancers From Non-coding RNA Profiles Using Machine-Learning Approach

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs), which are RNA sequences greater than 200 nucleotides in length, play a crucial role in regulating gene expression and biological processes associated with cancer development and progression. Liver cancer is a major cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, notably in Thailand. Although machine learning has been extensively used in analyzing RNA-sequencing data for advanced knowledge, the identification of potential lncRNA biomarkers for cancer, particularly focusing on lncRNAs as molecular biomarkers in liver cancer, remains comparatively limited. In this study, our objective was to identify candidate lncRNAs in liver cancer. We employed an expression data set of lncRNAs from patients with liver cancer, which comprised 40 699 lncRNAs sourced from The CancerLivER database. Various feature selection methods and machine-learning approaches were used to identify these candidate lncRNAs. The results showed that the random forest algorithm could predict lncRNAs using features extracted from the database, which achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.840 for classifying lncRNAs between early (stage 1) and late stages (stages 2, 3, and 4) of liver cancer. Five of 23 significant lncRNAs (WAC-AS1, MAPKAPK5-AS1, ARRDC1-AS1, AC133528.2, and RP11-1094M14.11) were differentially expressed between early and late stage of liver cancer. Based on the Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis (GEPIA) database, higher expression of WAC-AS1, MAPKAPK5-AS1, and ARRDC1-AS1 was associated with shorter overall survival. In conclusion, the classification model could predict the early and late stages of liver cancer using the signature expression of lncRNA genes. The identified lncRNAs might be used as early diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for patients with liver cancer.

A nomogram based on MRI radiomics features of mesorectal fat for diagnosing T2- and T3-stage rectal cancer

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a nomogram for the preoperative diagnosis of T2 and T3 stage rectal cancer using MRI radiomics features of mesorectal fat.

METHODS

The data of 288 patients with T2 and T3 stage rectal cancer were retrospectively collected. Radiomics features were extracted from the lesion region of interest (ROI) in the MRI high-resolution T2WI, apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences. After using ICC inter-group consistency analysis and Pearson correlation analysis to reduce dimensions, LASSO regression analysis was performed to select features and calculate Rad-score for each sequence. Then, Combined_Radscore and nomogram were constructed based on the LASSO-selected features and clinical data for each sequence. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of the Rad-score model and nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the clinical usability of the radiomics nomogram, which were combined with calibration curves to evaluate the prediction accuracy.

RESULTS

The nomogram based on MRI-report T status and Combined_Radscore achieved AUCs of 0.921 and 0.889 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can be stated that the radiomics nomogram based on multi-sequence MRI imaging of the mesorectal fat has excellent diagnosing performance for preoperative differentiation of T2 and T3 stage rectal cancer.

Identification and clinicopathological analysis of potential p73-regulated biomarkers in colorectal cancer via integrative bioinformatics

This study aims to decipher crucial biomarkers regulated by p73 for the early detection of colorectal cancer (CRC) by employing a combination of integrative bioinformatics and expression profiling techniques. The transcriptome profile of HCT116 cell line p53- / - p73+ / + and p53- / - p73 knockdown was performed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). This was corroborated with three CRC tissue expression datasets available in Gene Expression Omnibus. Further analysis involved KEGG and Gene ontology to elucidate the functional roles of DEGs. The protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed using Cytoscape to identify hub genes. Kaplan-Meier (KM) plots along with GEPIA and UALCAN database analysis provided the insights into the prognostic and diagnostic significance of these hub genes. Machine/deep learning algorithms were employed to perform TNM-stage classification. Transcriptome profiling revealed 1289 upregulated and 1897 downregulated genes. When intersected with employed CRC datasets, 284 DEGs were obtained. Comprehensive analysis using gene ontology and KEGG revealed enrichment of the DEGs in metabolic process, fatty acid biosynthesis, etc. The PPI network constructed using these 284 genes assisted in identifying 20 hub genes. Kaplan-Meier, GEPIA, and UALCAN analyses uncovered the clinicopathological relevance of these hub genes. Conclusively, the deep learning model achieved TNM-stage classification accuracy of 0.78 and 0.75 using 284 DEGs and 20 hub genes, respectively. The study represents a pioneer endeavor amalgamating transcriptomics, publicly available tissue datasets, and machine learning to unveil key CRC-associated genes. These genes are found relevant regarding the patients' prognosis and diagnosis. The unveiled biomarkers exhibit robustness in TNM-stage prediction, thereby laying the foundation for future clinical applications and therapeutic interventions in CRC management.

Machine learning-based classifiers to predict metastasis in colorectal cancer patients

Background

The increasing prevalence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Iran over the past three decades has made it a key public health burden. This study aimed to predict metastasis in CRC patients using machine learning (ML) approaches in terms of demographic and clinical factors.

Methods

This study focuses on 1,127 CRC patients who underwent appropriate treatments at Taleghani Hospital, a tertiary care facility. The patients were divided into training and test datasets in an 80:20 ratio. Various ML methods, including Naive Bayes (NB), random rorest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN), decision tree (DT), and logistic regression (LR), were used for predicting metastasis in CRC patients. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation, reporting sensitivity, specificity, the area under the curve (AUC), and other indexes.

Results

Among the 1,127 patients, 183 (16%) had experienced metastasis. In the predictionof metastasis, both the NN and RF algorithms had the highest AUC, while SVM ranked third in both the original and balanced datasets. The NN and RF algorithms achieved the highest AUC (100%), sensitivity (100% and 100%, respectively), and accuracy (99.2% and 99.3%, respectively) on the balanced dataset, followed by the SVM with an AUC of 98.8%, a sensitivity of 97.5%, and an accuracy of 97%. Moreover, lower false negative rate (FNR), false positive rate (FPR), and higher negative predictive value (NPV) can be confirmed by these two methods. The results also showed that all methods exhibited good performance in the test datasets, and the balanced dataset improved the performance of most ML methods. The most important variables for predicting metastasis were the tumor stage, the number of involved lymph nodes, and the treatment type. In a separate analysis of patients with tumor stages I-III, it was identified that tumor grade, tumor size, and tumor stage are the most important features.

Conclusion

This study indicated that NN and RF were the best among ML-based approaches for predicting metastasis in CRC patients. Both the tumor stage and the number of involved lymph nodes were considered the most important features.

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence in Improving Polyp and Adenoma Detection Rate During Colonoscopy: Systematic-Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Colonoscopy may detect colorectal polyp and facilitate its removal in order to prevent colorectal cancer. However, substantial miss rate for colorectal adenomas detection still occurred during screening colonoscopy procedure. Nowadays, artificial intelligence (AI) have been employed in trials to improve polyp detection rate (PDR) and adenoma detection rate (ADR). Therefore, we would like to determine the impact of AI in increasing PDR and ADR.

METHODS

The present study adhered to the guidelines outlined in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses 2020 (PRISMA 2020) statement. To identify relevant literature, comprehensive searches were conducted on major scientific databases, including Pubmed, EBSCO-host, and Proquest. The search was limited to articles published up to November 30, 2022. Inclusion criteria for the study encompassed full-text accessibility, articles written in the English language, and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that reported both ADR and PDR values, comparing conventional diagnostic methods with AI-aided approaches. To synthesize the data, we computed the combined pooled odds ratio (OR) using a random-effects model. This model was chosen due to the expectation of considerable heterogeneity among the selected studies. To evaluate potential publication bias, the Begg's funnel diagram was employed.

RESULTS

A total of 13 studies were included in this study. Colonoscopy with AI had significantly higher PDR compared to without AI (pooled OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.13-1.89, p = 0.003) and higher ADR (pooled OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.37-1.82, p < 0.00001). PDR analysis showed moderate heterogeneity between included studies (p = 0.004; I2=63%). Furthermore, ADR analysis showed moderate heterogeneity (p < 0.007; I2 = 57%). Additionally, the funnels plot of ADR and PDR analysis showed an asymmetry plot and low publication bias.

CONCLUSION

AI may improve colonoscopy result quality through improving PDR and ADR.

A comprehensive view on the apigenin impact on colorectal cancer: Focusing on cellular and molecular mechanisms

Colon cancer (CC) is one of the most common and deadly cancers worldwide. Oncologists are facing challenges such as development of drug resistance and lack of suitable drug options for CC treatment. Flavonoids are a group of natural compounds found in fruits, vegetables, and other plant-based foods. According to research, they have a potential role in the prevention and treatment of cancer. Apigenin is a flavonoid that is present in many fruits and vegetables. It has been used as a natural antioxidant for a long time and has been considered due to its anticancer effects and low toxicity. The results of this review study show that apigenin has potential anticancer effects on CC cells through various mechanisms. In this comprehensive review, we present the cellular targets and signaling pathways of apigenin indicated to date in in vivo and in vitro CC models. Among the most important modulated pathways, Wnt/β-catenin, PI3K/AKT/mTOR, MAPK/ERK, JNK, STAT3, Bcl-xL and Mcl-1, PKM2, and NF-kB have been described. Furthermore, apigenin suppresses the cell cycle in G2/M phase in CC cells. In CC cells, apigenin-induced apoptosis is increased by inhibiting the formation of autophagy. According to the results of this study, apigenin appears to have the potential to be a promising agent for CC therapy, but more research is required in the field of pharmacology and pharmacokinetics to establish the apigenin effects and its dosage for clinical studies.

Localization of Colorectal Cancer Lesions in Contrast-Computed Tomography Images via a Deep Learning Approach

Abdominal computed tomography (CT) is a frequently used imaging modality for evaluating gastrointestinal diseases. The detection of colorectal cancer is often realized using CT before a more invasive colonoscopy. When a CT exam is performed for indications other than colorectal evaluation, the tortuous structure of the long, tubular colon makes it difficult to analyze the colon carefully and thoroughly. In addition, the sensitivity of CT in detecting colorectal cancer is greatly dependent on the size of the tumor. Missed incidental colon cancers using CT are an emerging problem for clinicians and radiologists; consequently, the automatic localization of lesions in the CT images of unprepared bowels is needed. Therefore, this study used artificial intelligence (AI) to localize colorectal cancer in CT images. We enrolled 190 colorectal cancer patients to obtain 1558 tumor slices annotated by radiologists and colorectal surgeons. The tumor sites were double-confirmed via colonoscopy or other related examinations, including physical examination or image study, and the final tumor sites were obtained from the operation records if available. The localization and training models used were RetinaNet, YOLOv3, and YOLOv8. We achieved an F1 score of 0.97 (±0.002), a mAP of 0.984 when performing slice-wise testing, 0.83 (±0.29) sensitivity, 0.97 (±0.01) specificity, and 0.96 (±0.01) accuracy when performing patient-wise testing using our derived model YOLOv8 with hyperparameter tuning.

Machine Learning Analysis of RNA-seq Data for Diagnostic and Prognostic Prediction of Colon Cancer

Data from omics studies have been used for prediction and classification of various diseases in biomedical and bioinformatics research. In recent years, Machine Learning (ML) algorithms have been used in many different fields related to healthcare systems, especially for disease prediction and classification tasks. Integration of molecular omics data with ML algorithms has offered a great opportunity to evaluate clinical data. RNA sequence (RNA-seq) analysis has been emerged as the gold standard for transcriptomics analysis. Currently, it is being used widely in clinical research. In our present work, RNA-seq data of extracellular vesicles (EV) from healthy and colon cancer patients are analyzed. Our aim is to develop models for prediction and classification of colon cancer stages. Five different canonical ML and Deep Learning (DL) classifiers are used to predict colon cancer of an individual with processed RNA-seq data. The classes of data are formed on the basis of both colon cancer stages and cancer presence (healthy or cancer). The canonical ML classifiers, which are k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), Logistic Model Tree (LMT), Random Tree (RT), Random Committee (RC), and Random Forest (RF), are tested with both forms of the data. In addition, to compare the performance with canonical ML models, One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1-D CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) DL models are utilized. Hyper-parameter optimizations of DL models are constructed by using genetic meta-heuristic optimization algorithm (GA). The best accuracy in cancer prediction is obtained with RC, LMT, and RF canonical ML algorithms as 97.33%. However, RT and kNN show 95.33% performance. The best accuracy in cancer stage classification is achieved with RF as 97.33%. This result is followed by LMT, RC, kNN, and RT with 96.33%, 96%, 94.66%, and 94%, respectively. According to the results of the experiments with DL algorithms, the best accuracy in cancer prediction is obtained with 1-D CNN as 97.67%. BiLSTM and LSTM show 94.33% and 93.67% performance, respectively. In classification of the cancer stages, the best accuracy is achieved with BiLSTM as 98%. 1-D CNN and LSTM show 97% and 94.33% performance, respectively. The results reveal that both canonical ML and DL models may outperform each other for different numbers of features.

Role of artificial intelligence in risk prediction, prognostication, and therapy response assessment in colorectal cancer: current state and future directions

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a branch of computer science that utilizes optimization, probabilistic and statistical approaches to analyze and make predictions based on a vast amount of data. In recent years, AI has revolutionized the field of oncology and spearheaded novel approaches in the management of various cancers, including colorectal cancer (CRC). Notably, the applications of AI to diagnose, prognosticate, and predict response to therapy in CRC, is gaining traction and proving to be promising. There have also been several advancements in AI technologies to help predict metastases in CRC and in Computer-Aided Detection (CAD) Systems to improve miss rates for colorectal neoplasia. This article provides a comprehensive review of the role of AI in predicting risk, prognosis, and response to therapies among patients with CRC.

AI-Aided Disease Prediction in Visualized Medicine

Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing a vitally important role in promoting the revolution of future technology. Healthcare is one of the promising applications in AI, which covers medical imaging, diagnosis, robotics, disease prediction, pharmacy, health management, and hospital management. Numbers of achievements that made in these fields overturn every aspect in traditional healthcare system. Therefore, to understand the state-of-art AI in healthcare, as well as the chances and obstacles in its development, the applications of AI in disease detection and outlook and the future trends of AI-aided disease prediction were discussed in this chapter.

Predicting the predisposition to colorectal cancer based on SNP profiles of immune phenotypes using supervised learning models

This study explores the machine learning-based assessment of predisposition to colorectal cancer based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP). Such a computational approach may be used as a risk indicator and an auxiliary diagnosis method that complements the traditional methods such as biopsy and CT scan. Moreover, it may be used to develop a low-cost screening test for the early detection of colorectal cancers to improve public health. We employ several supervised classification algorithms. Besides, we apply data imputation to fill in the missing genotype values. The employed dataset includes SNPs observed in particular colorectal cancer-associated genomic loci that are located within DNA regions of 11 selected genes obtained from 115 individuals. We make the following observations: (i) random forest-based classifier using one-hot encoding and K-nearest neighbor (KNN)-based imputation performs the best among the studied classifiers with an F1 score of 89% and area under the curve (AUC) score of 0.96. (ii) One-hot encoding together with K-nearest neighbor-based data imputation increases the F1 scores by around 26% in comparison to the baseline approach which does not employ them. (iii) The proposed model outperforms a commonly employed state-of-the-art approach, ColonFlag, under all evaluated settings by up to 24% in terms of the AUC score. Based on the high accuracy of the constructed predictive models, the studied 11 genes may be considered a gene panel candidate for colon cancer risk screening.

Machine learning with in silico analysis markedly improves survival prediction modeling in colon cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Predicting the survival of cancer patients provides prognostic information and therapeutic guidance. However, improved prediction models are needed for use in diagnosis and treatment.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify genomic prognostic biomarkers related to colon cancer (CC) based on computational data and to develop survival prediction models.

METHODS

We performed machine-learning (ML) analysis to screen pathogenic survival-related driver genes related to patient prognosis by integrating copy number variation and gene expression data. Moreover, in silico system analysis was performed to clinically assess data from ML analysis, and we identified RABGAP1L, MYH9, and DRD4 as candidate genes. These three genes and tumor stages were used to generate survival prediction models. Moreover, the genes were validated by experimental and clinical analyses, and the theranostic application of the survival prediction models was assessed.

RESULTS

RABGAP1L, MYH9, and DRD4 were identified as survival-related candidate genes by ML and in silico system analysis. The survival prediction model using the expression of the three genes showed higher predictive performance when applied to predict the prognosis of CC patients. A series of functional analyses revealed that each knockdown of three genes reduced the protumor activity of CC cells. In particular, validation with an independent cohort of CC patients confirmed that the coexpression of MYH9 and DRD4 gene expression reflected poorer clinical outcomes in terms of overall survival and disease-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Our survival prediction approach will contribute to providing information on patients and developing a therapeutic strategy for CC patients.

Female Colon Cancer Metastasis Pattern and Prognosis: A SEER-Based Study

The purpose of this study was to compare the metastatic pattern and prognosis of female colon cancer (FCC) to that of male colon cancer (MCC) to ascertain the independent factors impacting the prognosis of patients with FCC. The data of the present study population were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Descriptive analysis, the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox regression were used to evaluated FCC characteristics and factors associated with prognosis. There were 56,442 patients diagnosed with FCC, of whom 8,817 had distant metastases. Compared to patients with nonmetastatic FCC, a greater proportion of metastatic FCC patients was less than 60 years of age, black race, and grade III-IV. The primary sites were mainly located on the left side and have more possibility to receive chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Compared to metastatic MCC, a higher proportion of metastatic FCC patients ranged over 60 years of age, black race, treated without chemotherapy, and insurance, while the primary site was located on the right side. Liver and lung were the two most common sites of solitary metastases in CC, and among patients with solitary metastases in CC, patients who had lung metastases had a better prognosis than those who developed other types of metastasizes. Patients with FCC with metastases of the liver had a worse prognosis than their MCC counterparts. Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that the risk ratio was higher in metastatic FCC patients compared to those without metastases. We report the survival comparison of metastatic FCC with nonmetastatic FCC through the SEER database. Our results suggest that it has unique clinicopathological features and differs from metastatic MCC. Furthermore, patients with liver metastatic FCC have a worse prognosis than those with MCC. Emphasis on screening for colon cancer in women and additional clinical care should be paid for, especially for patients with FCC with metastatic liver cancer.

Development and external validation of a novel nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in patients with ascending colon adenocarcinoma after surgery: a population-based study

Background

This study aimed to develop and validate a novel nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with ascending colon adenocarcinoma after surgery.

Methods

Patients with ascending colon adenocarcinoma were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1973 to 2015 and randomly divided into a training set (5930) and a validation set (2540). The cut-off values for age, tumour size and lymph node ratio (LNR) were calculated via X-tile software. In the training set, independent prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses, and a nomogram incorporating these factors was subsequently built. Data from the validation set were used to assess the reliability and accuracy of the nomogram and then compared with the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. Furthermore, external validation was performed from a single institution in China.

Results

A total of 8470 patients were enrolled from the SEER database, 5930 patients were allocated to the training set, 2540 were allocated to the internal validation set and a separate set of 473 patients was allocated to the external validation set. The optimal cut-off values of age, tumour size and lymph node ratio were 73 and 85, 33 and 75 and 4.9 and 32.8, respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox multivariate regression revealed that age, AJCC 8th edition T, N and M stage, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), tumour differentiation, chemotherapy, perineural invasion and LNR were independent risk factors for patient CSS. The nomogram showed good predictive ability, as indicated by discriminative ability and calibration, with C statistics of 0.835 (95% CI, 0.823–0.847) and 0.848 (95% CI, 0.830–0.866) in the training and validation sets and 0.732 (95% CI, 0.664–0.799) in the external validation set. The nomogram showed favourable discrimination and calibration abilities and performed better than the AJCC TNM staging system.

Conclusions

A novel validated nomogram could effectively predict patients with ascending colon adenocarcinoma after surgery, and this predictive power may guide clinicians in accurate prognostic judgement.

Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Screening, Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide. Accurate early detection and diagnosis, comprehensive assessment of treatment response, and precise prediction of prognosis are essential to improve the patients’ survival rate. In recent years, due to the explosion of clinical and omics data, and groundbreaking research in machine learning, artificial intelligence (AI) has shown a great application potential in clinical field of CRC, providing new auxiliary approaches for clinicians to identify high-risk patients, select precise and personalized treatment plans, as well as to predict prognoses. This review comprehensively analyzes and summarizes the research progress and clinical application value of AI technologies in CRC screening, diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis, demonstrating the current status of the AI in the main clinical stages. The limitations, challenges, and future perspectives in the clinical implementation of AI are also discussed.

A Prediction Model for Tumor Recurrence in Stage II–III Colorectal Cancer Patients: From a Machine Learning Model to Genomic Profiling

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most prevalent malignant diseases worldwide. Risk prediction for tumor recurrence is important for making effective treatment decisions and for the survival outcomes of patients with CRC after surgery. Herein, we aimed to explore a prediction algorithm and the risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence using a machine learning (ML) approach with standardized pathology reports for patients with stage II and III CRC. Methods: Pertinent clinicopathological features were compiled from medical records and standardized pathology reports of patients with stage II and III CRC. Four ML models based on logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), classification and regression decision trees (CARTs), and support vector machine (SVM) were applied for the development of the prediction algorithm. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ML models was determined in order to compare the prediction accuracy. Genomic studies were performed using a panel-targeted next-generation sequencing approach. Results: A total of 1073 patients who received curative intent surgery at the National Cheng Kung University Hospital between January 2004 and January 2019 were included. Based on conventional statistical methods, chemotherapy (p = 0.003), endophytic tumor configuration (p = 0.008), TNM stage III disease (p < 0.001), pT4 (p < 0.001), pN2 (p < 0.001), increased numbers of lymph node metastases (p < 0.001), higher lymph node ratios (LNR) (p < 0.001), lymphovascular invasion (p < 0.001), perineural invasion (p < 0.001), tumor budding (p = 0.004), and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (p = 0.025) were found to be correlated with the tumor recurrence of patients with stage II–III CRC. While comparing the performance of different ML models for predicting cancer recurrence, the AUCs for LR, RF, CART, and SVM were found to be 0.678, 0.639, 0.593, and 0.581, respectively. The LR model had a better accuracy value of 0.87 and a specificity value of 1 in the testing set. Two prognostic factors, age and LNR, were selected by multivariable analysis and the four ML models. In terms of age, older patients received fewer cycles of chemotherapy and radiotherapy (p < 0.001). Right-sided colon tumors (p = 0.002), larger tumor sizes (p = 0.008) and tumor volumes (p = 0.049), TNM stage II disease (p < 0.001), and advanced pT3–4 stage diseases (p = 0.04) were found to be correlated with the older age of patients. However, pN2 diseases (p = 0.005), lymph node metastasis number (p = 0.001), LNR (p = 0.004), perineural invasion (p = 0.018), and overall survival rate (p < 0.001) were found to be decreased in older patients. Furthermore, PIK3CA and DNMT3A mutations (p = 0.032 and 0.039, respectively) were more frequently found in older patients with stage II–III CRC compared to their younger counterparts. Conclusions: This study demonstrated that ML models have a comparable predictive power for determining cancer recurrence in patients with stage II–III CRC after surgery. Advanced age and high LNR were significant risk factors for cancer recurrence, as determined by ML algorithms and multivariable analyses. Distinctive genomic profiles may contribute to discrete clinical behaviors and survival outcomes between patients of different age groups. Studies incorporating complete molecular and genomic profiles in cancer prediction models are beneficial for patients with stage II–III CRC.

Development of artificial intelligence technology in diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of colorectal cancer

Artificial intelligence (AI) technology has made leaps and bounds since its invention. AI technology can be subdivided into many technologies such as machine learning and deep learning. The application scope and prospect of different technologies are also totally different. Currently, AI technologies play a pivotal role in the highly complex and wide-ranging medical field, such as medical image recognition, biotechnology, auxiliary diagnosis, drug research and development, and nutrition. Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common gastrointestinal cancer that has a high mortality, posing a serious threat to human health. Many CRCs are caused by the malignant transformation of colorectal polyps. Therefore, early diagnosis and treatment are crucial to CRC prognosis. The methods of diagnosing CRC are divided into imaging diagnosis, endoscopy, and pathology diagnosis. Treatment methods are divided into endoscopic treatment, surgical treatment, and drug treatment. AI technology is in the weak era and does not have communication capabilities. Therefore, the current AI technology is mainly used for image recognition and auxiliary analysis without in-depth communication with patients. This article reviews the application of AI in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of CRC and provides the prospects for the broader application of AI in CRC.

SAFRON: Stitching Across the Frontier Network for Generating Colorectal Cancer Histology Images

Automated synthesis of histology images has several potential applications including the development of data-efficient deep learning algorithms. In the field of computational pathology, where histology images are large in size and visual context is crucial, synthesis of large high-resolution images via generative modeling is an important but challenging task due to memory and computational constraints. To address this challenge, we propose a novel framework called SAFRON (Stitching Across the FROntier Network) to construct realistic, large high-resolution tissue images conditioned on input tissue component masks. The main novelty in the framework is integration of stitching in its loss function which enables generation of images of arbitrarily large sizes after training on relatively small image patches while preserving morphological features with minimal boundary artifacts. We have used the proposed framework for generating, to the best of our knowledge, the largest-sized synthetic histology images to date (up to 11K×8K pixels). Compared to existing approaches, our framework is efficient in terms of the memory required for training and computations needed for synthesizing large high-resolution images. The quality of generated images was assessed quantitatively using Frechet Inception Distance as well as by 7 trained pathologists, who assigned a realism score to a set of images generated by SAFRON. The average realism score across all pathologists for synthetic images was as high as that of real images. We also show that training with additional synthetic data generated by SAFRON can significantly boost prediction performance of gland segmentation and cancer detection algorithms in colorectal cancer histology images.

Artificial intelligence in colorectal cancer management

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a new branch of computer science involving many disciplines and technologies. Since its application in the medical field, it has been constantly studied and developed. AI includes machine learning and neural networks to create new technologies or to improve existing ones. Various AI supporting systems are available for a personalized and novel strategy for the management of colorectal cancer (CRC). This mini-review aims to summarize the progress of research and possible clinical applications of AI in the investigation, early diagnosis, treatment, and management of CRC, to offer elements of knowledge as a starting point for new studies and future applications.

Retrospective analysis and time series forecasting with automated machine learning of ascariasis, enterobiasis and cystic echinococcosis in Romania

The epidemiology of neglected tropical diseases (NTD) is persistently underprioritized, despite NTD being widespread among the poorest populations and in the least developed countries on earth. This situation necessitates thorough and efficient public health intervention. Romania is at the brink of becoming a developed country. However, this South-Eastern European country appears to be a region that is susceptible to an underestimated burden of parasitic diseases despite recent public health reforms. Moreover, there is an evident lack of new epidemiologic data on NTD after Romania's accession to the European Union (EU) in 2007. Using the national ICD-10 dataset for hospitalized patients in Romania, we generated time series datasets for 2008-2018. The objective was to gain deep understanding of the epidemiological distribution of three selected and highly endemic parasitic diseases, namely, ascariasis, enterobiasis and cystic echinococcosis (CE), during this period and forecast their courses for the ensuing two years. Through descriptive and inferential analysis, we observed a decline in case numbers for all three NTD. Several distributional particularities at regional level emerged. Furthermore, we performed predictions using a novel automated time series (AutoTS) machine learning tool and could interestingly show a stable course for these parasitic NTD. Such predictions can help public health officials and medical organizations to implement targeted disease prevention and control. To our knowledge, this is the first study involving a retrospective analysis of ascariasis, enterobiasis and CE on a nationwide scale in Romania. It is also the first to use AutoTS technology for parasitic NTD.

Investigation of the analysis of wearable data for cancer-specific mortality prediction in older adults

Cancer is an aggressive disease which imparts a tremendous socio-economic burden on the international community. Early detection is an important aspect in improving survival rates for cancer sufferers; however, very few studies have investigated the possibility of predicting which people have the highest risk to develop this disease, even years before the traditional symptoms first occur. In this paper, a dataset from a longitudinal study which was collected among 2291 70-year olds in Sweden has been analyzed to investigate the possibility for predicting 2-7 year cancer-specific mortality. A tailored ensemble model has been developed to tackle this highly imbalanced dataset. The performance with different feature subsets has been investigated to evaluate the impact that heterogeneous data sources may have on the overall model. While a full-features model shows an Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.882, a feature subset which only includes demographics, self-report health and lifestyle data, and wearable dataset collected in free-living environments presents similar performance (AUC-ROC: 0.857). This analysis confirms the importance of wearable technology for providing unbiased health markers and suggests its possible use in the accurate prediction of 2-7 year cancer-related mortality in older adults.

Colon Tissues Classification and Localization in Whole Slide Images Using Deep Learning

Colorectal cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide. The early diagnosis of colon cancer not only reduces mortality but also reduces the burden related to the treatment strategies such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy. However, when the microscopic examination of the suspected colon tissue sample is carried out, it becomes a tedious and time-consuming job for the pathologists to find the abnormality in the tissue. In addition, there may be interobserver variability that might lead to conflict in the final diagnosis. As a result, there is a crucial need of developing an intelligent automated method that can learn from the patterns themselves and assist the pathologist in making a faster, accurate, and consistent decision for determining the normal and abnormal region in the colorectal tissues. Moreover, the intelligent method should be able to localize the abnormal region in the whole slide image (WSI), which will make it easier for the pathologists to focus on only the region of interest making the task of tissue examination faster and lesser time-consuming. As a result, artificial intelligence (AI)-based classification and localization models are proposed for determining and localizing the abnormal regions in WSI. The proposed models achieved F-score of 0.97, area under curve (AUC) 0.97 with pretrained Inception-v3 model, and F-score of 0.99 and AUC 0.99 with customized Inception-ResNet-v2 Type 5 (IR-v2 Type 5) model.

The germline/somatic DNA damage repair gene mutations modulate the therapeutic response in Chinese patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a fatal disease with molecular heterogeneity, inducing differences in biological behavior, and therapeutic strategy. NGS profiles of pathogenic alterations in the Chinese PDAC population are limited. We conducted a retrospective study to investigate the predictive role of DNA damage repair (DDR) mutations in precision medicine.

METHODS

The NGS profiles were performed on resected tissues from 195 Chinese PDAC patients. Baseline clinical or genetic characteristics and survival status were collected. The Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed by the R version 3.6.1.

RESULTS

The main driver genes were KRAS, TP53, CDKN2A, and SMAD4. Advanced patients with KRAS mutation showed a worse OS than KRAS wild-type (p = 0.048). DDR pathogenic deficiency was identified in 30 (15.38%) of overall patients, mainly involving BRCA2 (n = 9, 4.62%), ATM (n = 8, 4.10%) and RAD50 genes (n = 3, 1.54%). No significance of OS between patients with or without DDR mutations (p = 0.88). But DDR mutation was an independent prognostic factor for survival analysis of advanced PDAC patients (p = 0.032). For DDR mutant patients, treatment with platinum-based chemotherapy (p = 0.0096) or olaparib (p = 0.018) respectively improved the overall survival. No statistical difference between tumor mutation burden (TMB) and DDR mutations was identified. Treatment of PD-1 blockades did not bring significantly improved OS to DDR-mutated patients than the naive DDR group (p = 0.14).

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective study, we showed the role of germline and somatic DDR mutation in predicting the efficacy of olaparib and platinum-based chemotherapy in Chinese patients. However, the value of DDR mutation in the prediction of hypermutation status and the sensitivity to the PD-1 blockade needed further investigation.

A review of AI and Data Science support for cancer management

INTRODUCTION

Thanks to improvement of care, cancer has become a chronic condition. But due to the toxicity of treatment, the importance of supporting the quality of life (QoL) of cancer patients increases. Monitoring and managing QoL relies on data collected by the patient in his/her home environment, its integration, and its analysis, which supports personalization of cancer management recommendations. We review the state-of-the-art of computerized systems that employ AI and Data Science methods to monitor the health status and provide support to cancer patients managed at home.

OBJECTIVE

Our main objective is to analyze the literature to identify open research challenges that a novel decision support system for cancer patients and clinicians will need to address, point to potential solutions, and provide a list of established best-practices to adopt.

METHODS

We designed a review study, in compliance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, analyzing studies retrieved from PubMed related to monitoring cancer patients in their home environments via sensors and self-reporting: what data is collected, what are the techniques used to collect data, semantically integrate it, infer the patient's state from it and deliver coaching/behavior change interventions.

RESULTS

Starting from an initial corpus of 819 unique articles, a total of 180 papers were considered in the full-text analysis and 109 were finally included in the review. Our findings are organized and presented in four main sub-topics consisting of data collection, data integration, predictive modeling and patient coaching.

CONCLUSION

Development of modern decision support systems for cancer needs to utilize best practices like the use of validated electronic questionnaires for quality-of-life assessment, adoption of appropriate information modeling standards supplemented by terminologies/ontologies, adherence to FAIR data principles, external validation, stratification of patients in subgroups for better predictive modeling, and adoption of formal behavior change theories. Open research challenges include supporting emotional and social dimensions of well-being, including PROs in predictive modeling, and providing better customization of behavioral interventions for the specific population of cancer patients.

Predicting venous thromboembolism in hospitalized trauma patients: a combination of the Caprini score and data-driven machine learning model

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of hospitalized trauma patients and has an adverse impact on patient outcomes. However, there is still a lack of appropriate tools for effectively predicting VTE for trauma patients. We try to verify the accuracy of the Caprini score for predicting VTE in trauma patients, and further improve the prediction through machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed emergency trauma patients who were admitted to a trauma center in a tertiary hospital from September 2019 to March 2020. The data in the patient's electronic health record (EHR) and the Caprini score were extracted, combined with multiple feature screening methods and the random forest (RF) algorithm to constructs the VTE prediction model, and compares the prediction performance of (1) using only Caprini score; (2) using EHR data to build a machine learning model; (3) using EHR data and Caprini score to build a machine learning model. True Positive Rate (TPR), False Positive Rate (FPR), Area Under Curve (AUC), accuracy, and precision were reported.

RESULTS

The Caprini score shows a good VTE prediction effect on the trauma hospitalized population when the cut-off point is 11 (TPR = 0.667, FPR = 0.227, AUC = 0.773), The best prediction model is LASSO+RF model combined with Caprini Score and other five features extracted from EHR data (TPR = 0.757, FPR = 0.290, AUC = 0.799).

CONCLUSION

The Caprini score has good VTE prediction performance in trauma patients, and the use of machine learning methods can further improve the prediction performance.

Novel artificial intelligence machine learning approaches to precisely predict survival and site-specific recurrence in cervical cancer: A multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) has been gradually integrated into oncologic research but seldom applied to predict cervical cancer (CC), and no model has been reported to predict survival and site-specific recurrence simultaneously. Thus, we aimed to develop ML models to predict survival and site-specific recurrence in CC and to guide individual surveillance.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected data on CC patients from 2006 to 2017 in four hospitals. The survival or recurrence predictive value of the variables was analyzed using multivariate Cox, principal component, and K-means clustering analyses. The predictive performances of eight ML models were compared with logistic or Cox models. A novel web-based predictive calculator was developed based on the ML algorithms.

RESULTS

This study included 5112 women for analysis (268 deaths, 343 recurrences): (1) For site-specific recurrence, larger tumor size was associated with local recurrence, while positive lymph nodes were associated with distant recurrence. (2) The ML models exhibited better prognostic predictive performance than traditional models. (3) The ML models were superior to traditional models when multiple variables were used. (4) A novel predictive web-based calculator was developed and externally validated to predict survival and site-specific recurrence.

CONCLUSION

ML models might be a better analytic approach in CC prognostic prediction than traditional models as they can predict survival and site-specific recurrence simultaneously, especially when using multiple variables. Moreover, our novel web-based calculator may provide clinicians with useful information and help them make individual postoperative follow-up plans and further treatment strategies.

Clinical value of artificial intelligence in hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and prospect

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most commonly diagnosed type of liver cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. The early identification of HCC and effective treatments for it have been challenging. Due to the sufficient compensatory ability of early patients and its nonspecific symptoms, HCC is more likely to escape diagnosis in the incipient stage, during which patients can achieve a more satisfying overall survival if they undergo resection or liver transplantation. Patients at advanced stages can profit from radical therapies in a limited way. In order to improve the unfavorable prognosis of HCC, diagnostic ability and treatment efficiency must be improved. The past decade has seen rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, underlying its unique usefulness in almost every field, including that of medicine. Herein, we sought and reviewed studies that put emphasis on artificial intelligence and HCC.

Increasing prediction accuracy of pathogenic staging by sample augmentation with a GAN

Accurate prediction of cancer stage is important in that it enables more appropriate treatment for patients with cancer. Many measures or methods have been proposed for more accurate prediction of cancer stage, but recently, machine learning, especially deep learning-based methods have been receiving increasing attention, mostly owing to their good prediction accuracy in many applications. Machine learning methods can be applied to high throughput DNA mutation or RNA expression data to predict cancer stage. However, because the number of genes or markers generally exceeds 10,000, a considerable number of data samples is required to guarantee high prediction accuracy. To solve this problem of a small number of clinical samples, we used a Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to augment the samples. Because GANs are not effective with whole genes, we first selected significant genes using DNA mutation data and random forest feature ranking. Next, RNA expression data for selected genes were expanded using GANs. We compared the classification accuracies using original dataset and expanded datasets generated by proposed and existing methods, using random forest, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), and 1-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1DCNN). When using the 1DCNN, the F1 score of GAN5 (a 5-fold increase in data) was improved by 39% in relation to the original data. Moreover, the results using only 30% of the data were better than those using all of the data. Our attempt is the first to use GAN for augmentation using numeric data for both DNA and RNA. The augmented datasets obtained using the proposed method demonstrated significantly increased classification accuracy for most cases. By using GAN and 1DCNN in the prediction of cancer stage, we confirmed that good results can be obtained even with small amounts of samples, and it is expected that a great deal of the cost and time required to obtain clinical samples will be reduced. The proposed sample augmentation method could also be applied for other purposes, such as prognostic prediction or cancer classification.

Deep Learning Assisted Localization of Polycystic Kidney on Contrast-Enhanced CT Images

Total Kidney Volume (TKV) is essential for analyzing the progressive loss of renal function in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD). Conventionally, to measure TKV from medical images, a radiologist needs to localize and segment the kidneys by defining and delineating the kidney's boundary slice by slice. However, kidney localization is a time-consuming and challenging task considering the unstructured medical images from big data such as Contrast-enhanced Computed Tomography (CCT). This study aimed to design an automatic localization model of ADPKD using Artificial Intelligence. A robust detection model using CCT images, image preprocessing, and Single Shot Detector (SSD) Inception V2 Deep Learning (DL) model is designed here. The model is trained and evaluated with 110 CCT images that comprise 10,078 slices. The experimental results showed that our derived detection model outperformed other DL detectors in terms of Average Precision (AP) and mean Average Precision (mAP). We achieved mAP = 94% for image-wise testing and mAP = 82% for subject-wise testing, when threshold on Intersection over Union (IoU) = 0.5. This study proves that our derived automatic detection model can assist radiologist in locating and classifying the ADPKD kidneys precisely and rapidly in order to improve the segmentation task and TKV calculation.

Application of Machine Learning for Tumor Growth Inhibition - Overall Survival Modeling Platform

Machine learning (ML) was used to leverage tumor growth inhibition (TGI) metrics to characterize the relationship with overall survival (OS) as a novel approach and to compare with traditional TGI‐OS modeling methods. Historical dataset from a phase III non‐small cell lung cancer study (OAK, atezolizumab vs. docetaxel, N = 668) was used. ML methods support the validity of TGI metrics in predicting OS. With lasso, the best model with TGI metrics outperforms the best model without TGI metrics. Boosting was the best linear ML method for this dataset with reduced estimation bias and lowest Brier score, suggesting better prediction accuracy. Random forest did not outperform linear ML methods despite hyperparameter optimization. Kernel machine was marginally the best nonlinear ML method for this dataset and uncovered nonlinear and interaction effects. Nonlinear ML may improve prediction by capturing nonlinear effects and covariate interactions, but its predictive performance and value need further evaluation with larger datasets.

The emerging role of super enhancer-derived noncoding RNAs in human cancer

Super enhancers (SEs) are large clusters of adjacent enhancers that drive the expression of genes which regulate cellular identity; SE regions can be enriched with a high density of transcription factors, co-factors, and enhancer-associated epigenetic modifications. Through enhanced activation of their target genes, SEs play an important role in various diseases and conditions, including cancer. Recent studies have shown that SEs not only activate the transcriptional expression of coding genes to directly regulate biological functions, but also drive the transcriptional expression of non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs) to indirectly regulate biological functions. SE-derived ncRNAs play critical roles in tumorigenesis, including malignant proliferation, metastasis, drug resistance, and inflammatory response. Moreover, the abnormal expression of SE-derived ncRNAs is closely related to the clinical and pathological characterization of tumors. In this review, we summarize the functions and roles of SE-derived ncRNAs in tumorigenesis and discuss their prospective applications in tumor therapy. A deeper understanding of the potential mechanism underlying the action of SE-derived ncRNAs in tumorigenesis may provide new strategies for the early diagnosis of tumors and targeted therapy.

Application of artificial intelligence to the diagnosis and therapy of colorectal cancer

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a relatively new branch of computer science involving many disciplines and technologies, including robotics, speech recognition, natural language and image recognition or processing, and machine learning. Recently, AI has been widely applied in the medical field. The effective combination of AI and big data can provide convenient and efficient medical services for patients. Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common type of gastrointestinal cancer. The early diagnosis and treatment of CRC are key factors affecting its prognosis. This review summarizes the research progress and clinical application value of AI in the investigation, early diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of CRC, to provide a comprehensive theoretical basis for AI as a promising diagnostic and treatment tool for CRC.

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Automated Machine Learning on a National ICD-10 Database

The application of machine learning (ML) for use in generating insights and making predictions on new records continues to expand within the medical community. Despite this progress to date, the application of time series analysis has remained underexplored due to complexity of the underlying techniques. In this study, we have deployed a novel ML, called automated time series (AutoTS) machine learning, to automate data processing and the application of a multitude of models to assess which best forecasts future values. This rapid experimentation allows for and enables the selection of the most accurate model in order to perform time series predictions. By using the nation-wide ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision) dataset of hospitalized patients of Romania, we have generated time series datasets over the period of 2008–2018 and performed highly accurate AutoTS predictions for the ten deadliest diseases. Forecast results for the years 2019 and 2020 were generated on a NUTS 2 (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) regional level. This is the first study to our knowledge to perform time series forecasting of multiple diseases at a regional level using automated time series machine learning on a national ICD-10 dataset. The deployment of AutoTS technology can help decision makers in implementing targeted national health policies more efficiently.