Novel Model to Predict HCC Recurrence after Liver Transplantation Obtained Using Deep Learning: A Multicenter Study

A knowledge-enhanced interpretable network for early recurrence prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma via multi-phase CT imaging

BACKGROUND

Predicting early recurrence (ER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accurately can guide treatment decisions and further enhance survival. Computed tomography (CT) imaging, analyzed by deep learning (DL) models combining domain knowledge, has been employed for the prediction. However, these DL models utilized late fusion, restricting the interaction between domain knowledge and images during feature extraction, thereby limiting the prediction performance and compromising decision-making interpretability.

METHODS

We propose a novel Vision Transformer (ViT)-based DL network, referred to as Dual-Style ViT (DSViT), to augment the interaction between domain knowledge and images and the effective fusion among multi-phase CT images for improving both predictive performance and interpretability. We apply the DSViT to develop pre-/post-operative models for predicting ER. Within DSViT, to balance the utilization between domain knowledge and images within DSViT, we propose an adaptive self-attention mechanism. Moreover, we present an attention-guided supervised learning module for balancing the contributions of multi-phase CT images to prediction and a domain knowledge self-supervision module for enhancing the fusion between domain knowledge and images, thereby further improving predictive performance. Finally, we provide the interpretability of the DSViT decision-making.

RESULTS

Experiments on our multi-phase data demonstrate that DSViTs surpass the existing models across multiple performance metrics and provide the decision-making interpretability. Additional validation on a publicly available dataset underscores the generalizability of DSViT.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed DSViT can significantly improve the performance and interpretability of ER prediction, thereby fortifying the trustworthiness of artificial intelligence tool for HCC ER prediction in clinical settings.

Impact of an artificial intelligence based model to predict non-transplantable recurrence among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop Artificial Intelligence (AI) based models to predict non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection (HR).

METHODS

HCC patients who underwent HR between 2000-2020 were identified from a multi-institutional database. NTR was defined as recurrence beyond Milan Criteria. Different machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques were used to develop and validate two prediction models for NTR, one using only preoperative factors and a second using both preoperative and postoperative factors.

RESULTS

Overall, 1763 HCC patients were included. Among 877 patients with recurrence, 364 (41.5%) patients developed NTR. An ensemble AI model demonstrated the highest area under ROC curves (AUC) of 0.751 (95% CI: 0.719-0.782) and 0.717 (95% CI:0.653-0.782) in the training and testing cohorts, respectively which improved to 0.858 (95% CI: 0.835-0.884) and 0.764 (95% CI: 0.704-0.826), respectively after incorporation of postoperative pathologic factors. Radiologic tumor burden score and pathological microvascular invasion were the most important preoperative and postoperative factors, respectively to predict NTR. Patients predicted to develop NTR had overall 1- and 5-year survival of 75.6% and 28.2%, versus 93.4% and 55.9%, respectively, among patients predicted to not develop NTR (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The AI preoperative model may help inform decision of HR versus LT for HCC, while the combined AI model can frame individualized postoperative care (https://altaf-pawlik-hcc-ntr-calculator.streamlit.app/).

Clinical Deployment of Machine Learning Tools in Transplant Medicine: What Does the Future Hold?

Medical applications of machine learning (ML) have shown promise in analyzing patient data to support clinical decision-making and provide patient-specific outcomes. In transplantation, several applications of ML exist which include pretransplant: patient prioritization, donor-recipient matching, organ allocation, and posttransplant outcomes. Numerous studies have shown the development and utility of ML models, which have the potential to augment transplant medicine. Despite increasing efforts to develop robust ML models for clinical use, very few of these tools are deployed in the healthcare setting. Here, we summarize the current applications of ML in transplant and discuss a potential clinical deployment framework using examples in organ transplantation. We identified that creating an interdisciplinary team, curating a reliable dataset, addressing the barriers to implementation, and understanding current clinical evaluation models could help in deploying ML models into the transplant clinic setting.

A Machine Learning Algorithm Facilitates Prognosis Prediction and Treatment Selection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage C Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Given its heterogeneity and diverse clinical outcomes, precise subclassification of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC-C) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is required for appropriately determining patient prognosis and selecting treatment.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We recruited 2,626 patients with BCLC-C HCC from multiple centers, comprising training/test (n = 1,693) and validation cohorts (n = 933). The XGBoost model was chosen for maximum performance among the machine learning (ML) models. Patients were categorized into low-, intermediate-, high-, and very high-risk subgroups based on the estimated prognosis, and this subclassification was named the CLAssification via Machine learning of BCLC-C (CLAM-C).

RESULTS

The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the CLAM-C for predicting the 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival of patients with BCLC-C were 0.800, 0.831, and 0.715, respectively-significantly higher than those of the conventional models, which were consistent in the validation cohort. The four subgroups had significantly different median overall survivals, and this difference was maintained among various patient subgroups and treatment modalities. Immune-checkpoint inhibitors and transarterial therapies were associated with significantly better survival than tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) in the low- and intermediate-risk subgroups. In cases with first-line systemic therapy, the CLAM-C identified atezolizumab-bevacizumab as the best therapy, particularly in the high-risk group. In cases with later-line systemic therapy, nivolumab had better survival than TKIs in the low-to-intermediate-risk subgroup, whereas TKIs had better survival in the high- to very high-risk subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

ML modeling effectively subclassified patients with BCLC-C HCC, potentially aiding treatment allocation. Our study underscores the potential utilization of ML modeling in terms of prognostication and treatment allocation in patients with BCLC-C HCC.

The role of cold ischemia time and hypothermic perfusion in predicting early hepatocellular carcinoma recurrences after liver transplantation

AIM

The aim of the study was to identify predictors of early tumor recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study in 237 consecutive liver recipients with HCC between 2016 and 2021. Multivariate logistic analysis was performed to identify predictors of early HCC recurrences. The impact of hypothermic-oxygenated perfusion (HOPE) on outcome was analyzed after propensity score weighting.

RESULTS

Early recurrences were observed in 15 cases. Microvascular invasion (OR 3.737, 95% CI 1.246-11.206, p = 0.019) and cold ischemia time (OR 1.155, 95% CI 1.001-1.333, p = 0.049) were independently associated with a lower risk of HCC recurrences. After balancing for relevant variables, patients in the HOPE group had lower rates of tumor recurrence (weighted OR 0.126, 95% CI 0.016-0.989, p = 0.049) and higher recurrence free survival (weighted HR 0.132, 95% CI 0.017-0.999, p = 0.050).

CONCLUSION

Reducing cold ischemia time and graft perfusion with HOPE can lead to lower rates of early HCC recurrences and higher recurrence-free survival.

Use of machine learning models for identification of predictors of survival and tumour recurrence in liver transplant recipients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading indications for liver transplantation (LT) however, selection criteria remain controversial. We aimed to identify survival factors and predictors for tumour recurrence using machine learning (ML) methods. We also compared ML models to the Cox regression model.

Methods

Thirty pretransplant donor and recipient general and tumour specific parameters were analysed from 170 patients who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation for HCC between March 2013 and December 2019 at the University Hospital Merkur, Zagreb. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Data was also processed through Coxnet (a regularized Cox regression model), Random Survival Forest (RSF), Survival Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Survival Gradient Boosting models, which included pre-processing, variable selection, imputation of missing data, training and cross-validation of the models. The cross-validated concordance index (CI) was used as an evaluation metric and to determine the best performing model.

Results

Kaplan-Meier curves for 5-year survival time showed survival probability of 80% for recipient survival and 82% for graft survival. The 5-year HCC recurrence was observed in 19% of patients. The best predictive accuracy was observed in the RSF model with CI of 0.72, followed by the Survival SVM model (CI 0.70). Overall ML models outperform the Cox regression model with respect to their limitations. Random Forest analysis provided several relevant outcome predictors: alpha fetoprotein (AFP), donor C-reactive protein (CRP), recipient age and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Cox multivariate analysis showed similarities with RSF models in identifying detrimental variables. Some variables such as donor age and number of transarterial chemoembolization treatments (TACE) were pointed out, but these were not influential in our RSF model.

Conclusions

Using ML methods in addition to classical statistical analysis, it is possible to develop sufficient prognostic models, which, compared to established risk scores, could help us quantify survival probability and make changes in organ utilization.

Long-Term Outcomes of Liver Transplantation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Bile Duct Tumor Thrombus: A Comparison with Portal Vein Tumor Thrombus

Liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with bile duct tumor thrombus (BDTT) remains controversial. This study analyzed the recurrence and overall survival rates through long-term results after LT in HCC patients with BDTT and compared the results after LT in HCC patients with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT). We performed a retrospective study of 45 patients with PVTT, 16 patients with BDTT, and 11 patients with coexisting PVTT and BDTT among HCC patients who underwent LT at a single center from 1999 to 2020. The HCC recurrence rates were 40.4% at 1 year, 30.3.3% at 2 years, and 27.6% at 3 years in the PVTT group; 66.7%, 53.3%, and 46.7% in the BDTT group; and 22.2%, 22.2%, and 0% in the coexisting group (p = 0.183). Overall patient survival rates were 68.4% at 1 year, 54.3% at 2 years, and 41.7% at 3 years in the PVTT group; 81.3%, 62.5%, and 48.2% in the BDTT group; and 63.6%, 27.3%, and 0% in the coexisting group (p = 0.157). In the multivariate analysis, the pre-transplantation model for tumor recurrence after liver transplantation (MoRAL) score and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were found to be independent risk factors for recurrence and survival in all groups. HCC patients with BDTT showed no difference in recurrence and survival compared with HCC patients with PVTT at the long-term follow-up after LT.

Artificial intelligence, machine learning, and deep learning in liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving treatment for individuals with end-stage liver disease. The management of LT recipients is complex, predominantly because of the need to consider demographic, clinical, laboratory, pathology, imaging, and omics data in the development of an appropriate treatment plan. Current methods to collate clinical information are susceptible to some degree of subjectivity; thus, clinical decision-making in LT could benefit from the data-driven approach offered by artificial intelligence (AI). Machine learning and deep learning could be applied in both the pre- and post-LT settings. Some examples of AI applications pre-transplant include optimising transplant candidacy decision-making and donor-recipient matching to reduce waitlist mortality and improve post-transplant outcomes. In the post-LT setting, AI could help guide the management of LT recipients, particularly by predicting patient and graft survival, along with identifying risk factors for disease recurrence and other associated complications. Although AI shows promise in medicine, there are limitations to its clinical deployment which include dataset imbalances for model training, data privacy issues, and a lack of available research practices to benchmark model performance in the real world. Overall, AI tools have the potential to enhance personalised clinical decision-making, especially in the context of liver transplant medicine.

Prognostic Scores and Survival Rates by Etiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cancer and ranks sixth among all malignancies worldwide. Risk factors for HCC can be classified as infectious or behavioral. Viral hepatitis and alcohol abuse are currently the most common risk factors for HCC; however, nonalcoholic liver disease is expected to become the most common cause of HCC in upcoming years. HCC survival rates vary according to the causative risk factors. As in any malignancy, staging is crucial in making therapeutic decisions. The selection of a specific score should be individualized according to patient characteristics. In this review, we summarize the current data on epidemiology, risk factors, prognostic scores, and survival in HCC.

Development and validation of a nomogram for survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma after partial hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complex due to its high level of heterogeneity, even after radical resection. This study was designed to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram for predicting the postoperative prognosis for HCC patients following partial hepatectomy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We extracted data on HCC patients and randomly divided them into two groups (primary and validation cohorts), using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. We developed the prediction model based on the data of the primary cohort and prognostic factors were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed for predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probability of HCC patients after surgery based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated in terms of its discrimination and calibration. To validated the model, discrimination and calibration were also evaluated in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULTS

A total of 890 patients who underwent partial hepatectomy for HCC were included in the study. The primary cohort enrolled 628 patients with a median follow-up time of 39 months, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rate were 95.4%, 52.7% and 25.8% during follow-up. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that differentiation, tumor size, AFP and fibrosis were independently association with the prognosis of HCC patients after partial hepatectomy. The nomogram showed a moderate discrimination ith a C-index of 0.705 (95% CI 0.669 to 0.742), and good calibration. Similar discrimination with a C-index of 0.681 (95% CI 0.625 to 0.737), and calibration were also observed in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram could be useful to predicting the prognosis in HCC patients following partial hepatectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram is highly predictive and has moderate calibration and discrimination, potentially contributing to the process of managing HCC patients after partial hepatectomy in an individualized way.

Artificial intelligence models for the diagnosis and management of liver diseases

With the development of more advanced methods for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases, the data required for medical care are becoming complex, and misinterpretation of information due to human error may result in serious consequences. Human error can be avoided with the support of artificial intelligence (AI). AI models trained with various medical data for diagnosis and management of liver diseases have been applied to hepatitis, fatty liver disease, liver cirrhosis, and liver cancer. Some of these models have been reported to outperform human experts in terms of performance, indicating their potential for supporting clinical practice given their high-speed output. This paper summarizes the recent advances in AI for liver disease and introduces the AI-aided diagnosis of liver tumors using B-mode ultrasonography.

A novel multimodal deep learning model for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion and outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Accurate preoperative identification of the microvascular invasion (MVI) can relieve the pressure from personalized treatment adaptation and improve the poor prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to develop and validate a novel multimodal deep learning (DL) model for predicting MVI based on multi-parameter magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

A total of 397 HCC patients underwent both CT and MRI examinations before surgery. We established the radiological models (R^CT, R^MRI) by support vector machine (SVM), DL models (DL^CT_ALL, DL^MRI_ALL, DL^CT + MRI) by ResNet18. The comprehensive model (C^ALL) involving multi-modality DL features and clinical and radiological features was constructed using SVM. Model performance was quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared by net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

The DL^CT + MRI model exhibited superior predicted efficiency over single-modality models, especially over the DL^CT_ALL model (AUC: 0.819 vs. 0.742, NRI > 0, IDI > 0). The DL^MRI_ALL model improved the performance over the R^MRI model (AUC: 0.794 vs. 0.766, NRI > 0, IDI < 0), but no such difference was found between the DL^CT_ALL model and R^CT model (AUC: 0.742 vs. 0.710, NRI < 0, IDI < 0). Furthermore, both the DL^CT + MRI and C^ALL models revealed the prognostic power in recurrence-free survival stratification (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The proposed DL^CT + MRI model showed robust capability in predicting MVI and outcomes for HCC. Besides, the identification ability of the multi-modality DL model was better than any single modality, especially for CT.

Prediction models of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation: A comprehensive review

Liver transplantation (LT) is one of the most effective treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although LT eliminates HCC and greatly reduces recurrence, some patients experience recurrence after LT. Criteria and models for screening patients with a high probability of HCC recurrence after LT, starting with the Milan criteria, have been published. These models have changed over time, but a standard has not been established. We summarized HCC prediction models after LT by focusing on the application of radiologic, serologic, and pathologic factors and recent trends. This review will look at studies that are based on living donor LT and deceased donor LT, as well as studies that downstaging procedures have been performed preoperatively. This ultimately aims to help make decisions for evaluating the HCC state and selecting candidates for LT according to the circumstances of each transplantation center.

The impact of biological features for a better prediction of posttransplant hepatocellular cancer recurrence

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Morphological criteria (i.e., Milan Criteria) have been considered for a long time to be the best tool for selecting patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) waiting for liver transplantation (LT). In the last ten years, a refinement of the selection criteria has been observed, with the introduction of biological tumor characteristics enabling to enlarge the number of potential transplant candidates and to select LT candidates with a lower risk of posttransplant recurrence.

RECENT FINDINGS

Several biological tumor aspects have been explored and validated in international cohorts to expand the ability to predict patients at high risk for recurrence. Alpha-fetoprotein, radiological response to locoregional treatments, and other more recently proposed markers have been principally explored. Moreover, more complex statistical approaches (i.e., deep learning) have been advocated to explore the nonlinear intercorrelations between the investigated features.

SUMMARY

The addition of biological aspects to morphology has improved the ability to discriminate among high- and low-risk patients for recurrence. New prognostic algorithms based on the more sophisticated artificial intelligence approach are further improving the capability to select LT candidates with HCC.

5-year recurrence prediction after hepatocellular carcinoma resection: deep learning vs. Cox regression models

Deep learning algorithms have yet to be used for predicting clinical prognosis after cancer surgery. Therefore, this study compared performance indices and permutation importance of potential confounders in three models for predicting 5-year recurrence after hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection: a deep-learning deep neural network (DNN) model, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model, and a Cox proportional hazard (CPH) regression model. Data for 725 patients who had received HCC resection at three medical centers in southern Taiwan between April, 2011, and December, 2015, were randomly divided into three datasets: a training dataset containing data for 507 subjects was used for model development, a testing dataset containing data for 109 subjects was used for internal validation, and a validating dataset containing data for 109 subjects was used for external validation. Feature importance analysis was also performed to identify potential predictors of recurrence after HCC resection. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify potential significant predictors of 5-year recurrence after HCC resection, which were included in the forecasting models (P < 0.05). All performance indices for the DNN model were significantly higher than those for the RNN model and the conventional CPH model (P < 0.001). The most important potential predictor of 5-year recurrence after HCC resection was surgeon volume followed by, in order of importance, hospital volume, preoperative Beck Depression Scale score, preoperative Beck Anxiety Scale score, co-residence with family, tumor stage, and tumor size. The feature importance analysis performed to investigate interpretability in this study elucidated the potential use of deep learning models for predicting recurrence after HCC resection and for identifying predictors of recurrence. Further experiments using the proposed DNN model would clarify its potential uses for developing, promoting, and improving health policies for treating HCC patients after surgery.

Application of machine learning in liver transplantation: a review

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly applied in the health-care and liver transplant setting. The demand for liver transplantation continues to expand on an international scale, and with advanced aging and complex comorbidities, many challenges throughout the transplantation decision-making process must be better addressed. There exist massive datasets with hidden, non-linear relationships between demographic, clinical, laboratory, genetic, and imaging parameters that conventional methods fail to capitalize on when reviewing their predictive potential. Pre-transplant challenges include addressing efficacies of liver segmentation, hepatic steatosis assessment, and graft allocation. Post-transplant applications include predicting patient survival, graft rejection and failure, and post-operative morbidity risk.

AIM

In this review, we describe a comprehensive summary of ML applications in liver transplantation including the clinical context and how to overcome challenges for clinical implementation.

METHODS

Twenty-nine articles were identified from Ovid MEDLINE, MEDLINE Epub Ahead of Print and In-Process and Other Non-Indexed Citations, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials.

CONCLUSION

ML is vastly interrogated in liver transplantation with promising applications in pre- and post-transplant settings. Although challenges exist including site-specific training requirements, the demand for more multi-center studies, and optimization hurdles for clinical interpretability, the powerful potential of ML merits further exploration to enhance patient care.

Artificial intelligence for the prevention and clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) currently represents the fifth most common malignancy and the third-leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, with incidence and mortality rates that are increasing. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a unique opportunity to improve the full spectrum of HCC clinical care, by improving HCC risk prediction, diagnosis, and prognostication. AI approaches include computational search algorithms, machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models. ML consists of a computer running repeated iterations of models, in order to progressively improve performance of a specific task, such as classifying an outcome. DL models are a subtype of ML, based on neural network structures that are inspired by the neuroanatomy of the human brain. A growing body of recent data now apply DL models to diverse data sources - including electronic health record data, imaging modalities, histopathology and molecular biomarkers - to improve the accuracy of HCC risk prediction, detection and prediction of treatment response. Despite the promise of these early results, future research is still needed to standardise AI data, and to improve both the generalisability and interpretability of results. If such challenges can be overcome, AI has the potential to profoundly change the way in which care is provided to patients with or at risk of HCC.

Role of three-dimensional printing and artificial intelligence in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: Challenges and opportunities

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) constitutes the fifth most frequent malignancy worldwide and the third most frequent cause of cancer-related deaths. Currently, treatment selection is based on the stage of the disease. Emerging fields such as three-dimensional (3D) printing, 3D bioprinting, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) could lead to evidence-based, individualized management of HCC. In this review, we comprehensively report the current applications of 3D printing, 3D bioprinting, and AI/ML-based models in HCC management; we outline the significant challenges to the broad use of these novel technologies in the clinical setting with the goal of identifying means to overcome them, and finally, we discuss the opportunities that arise from these applications. Notably, regarding 3D printing and bioprinting-related challenges, we elaborate on cost and cost-effectiveness, cell sourcing, cell viability, safety, accessibility, regulation, and legal and ethical concerns. Similarly, regarding AI/ML-related challenges, we elaborate on intellectual property, liability, intrinsic biases, data protection, cybersecurity, ethical challenges, and transparency. Our findings show that AI and 3D printing applications in HCC management and healthcare, in general, are steadily expanding; thus, these technologies will be integrated into the clinical setting sooner or later. Therefore, we believe that physicians need to become familiar with these technologies and prepare to engage with them constructively.

Deep learning in hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is among the leading causes of cancer incidence and death. Despite decades of research and development of new treatment options, the overall outcomes of patients with HCC continue to remain poor. There are areas of unmet need in risk prediction, early diagnosis, accurate prognostication, and individualized treatments for patients with HCC. Recent years have seen an explosive growth in the application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in medical research, with the field of HCC being no exception. Among the various AI-based machine learning algorithms, deep learning algorithms are considered state-of-the-art techniques for handling and processing complex multimodal data ranging from routine clinical variables to high-resolution medical images. This article will provide a comprehensive review of the recently published studies that have applied deep learning for risk prediction, diagnosis, prognostication, and treatment planning for patients with HCC.

Artificial intelligence method to predict overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and Aim

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a complex disease with heterogenous outcomes influenced by disease- and patient-related factors. The prediction of outcomes requires a comprehensive approach, and artificial intelligence could provide a feasible means of estimating HCC outcomes. This study was designed to assess the viability of a machine learning model to predict survival in HCC patients.

Materials and Methods

HCC patient data with at least 5 years of follow-up were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with accessible data on the primary liver disease, tumor and laboratory values at the time of diagnosis, and length of survival were included. A gradient boosting machine learning algorithm was constructed to predict patient survival at 6 time points.

Results

A total of 100 HCC patients (80% male) with a median overall survival of 43 months (range: 0.7-256 months) were included. The survival rate for 6, 12, 24, 36, 60, and 120 months was 88%, 81%, 67%, 60%, 40%, and 11%, respectively. The mean area under the curve of the model prediction was 0.92 (0.061) for >6 months, 0.81 (0.107) for >1 year, 0.78 (0.11) for >2 years, 0.81 (0.083) for >3 years, 0.82 (0.079) for >5 years, 0.81 (0.96) for >8 years, and 0.66 (0.14) for >10 years.

Conclusion

The machine learning model successfully predicted short- and long-term survival of patients with HCC.

Current updates in machine learning in the prediction of therapeutic outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma: what should we know?

With the development of machine learning (ML) algorithms, a growing number of predictive models have been established for predicting the therapeutic outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after various treatment modalities. By using the different combinations of clinical and radiological variables, ML algorithms can simulate human learning to detect hidden patterns within the data and play a critical role in artificial intelligence techniques. Compared to traditional statistical methods, ML methods have greater predictive effects. ML algorithms are widely applied in nearly all steps of model establishment, such as imaging feature extraction, predictive factor classification, and model development. Therefore, this review presents the literature pertaining to ML algorithms and aims to summarize the strengths and limitations of ML, as well as its potential value in prognostic prediction, after various treatment modalities for HCC.

Proteomic Profiling and Artificial Intelligence for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Translational Medicine

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary cancer of the liver with high morbidity and mortality rates worldwide. Since 1963, when alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was discovered as a first HCC serum biomarker, several other protein biomarkers have been identified and introduced into clinical practice. However, insufficient specificity and sensitivity of these biomarkers dictate the necessity of novel biomarker discovery. Remarkable advancements in integrated multiomics technologies for the identification of gene expression and protein or metabolite distribution patterns can facilitate rising to this challenge. Current multiomics technologies lead to the accumulation of a huge amount of data, which requires clustering and finding correlations between various datasets and developing predictive models for data filtering, pre-processing, and reducing dimensionality. Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have an enormous potential to overcome accelerated data growth, complexity, and heterogeneity within and across data sources. Our review focuses on the recent progress in integrative proteomic profiling strategies and their usage in combination with machine learning and deep learning technologies for the discovery of novel biomarker candidates for HCC early diagnosis and prognosis. We discuss conventional and promising proteomic biomarkers of HCC such as AFP, lens culinaris agglutinin (LCA)-reactive L3 glycoform of AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP), osteopontin (OPN), glypican-3 (GPC3), dickkopf-1 (DKK1), midkine (MDK), and squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCCA) and highlight their functional significance including the involvement in cell signaling such as Wnt/β-catenin, PI3K/Akt, integrin αvβ3/NF-κB/HIF-1α, JAK/STAT3 and MAPK/ERK-mediated pathways dysregulated in HCC. We show that currently available computational platforms for big data analysis and AI technologies can both enhance proteomic profiling and improve imaging techniques to enhance the translational application of proteomics data into precision medicine.