Integrating Serum Biomarkers into Prediction Models for Biochemical Recurrence Following Radical Prostatectomy

Pre-operative prediction of BCR-free survival with mRNA variables in prostate cancer

Technological innovation yielded opportunities to obtain mRNA expression data for prostate cancer (PCa) patients even prior to biopsy, which can be used in a precision medicine approach to treatment decision-making. This can apply in particular to predict the risk of, and time to biochemical recurrence (BCR). Most mRNA-based models currently proposed to this end are designed for risk classification and post-operative prediction. Effective pre-operative prediction would facilitate early treatment decision-making, in particular by indicating more appropriate therapeutic pathways for patient profiles who would likely not benefit from a systematic prostatectomy regime. The aim of this study is to investigate the possibility to leverage mRNA information pre-operatively for BCR-free survival prediction. To do this, we considered time-to-event machine learning (ML) methodologies, rather than classification models at a specific survival horizon. We retrospectively analysed a cohort of 135 patients with clinical follow-up data and mRNA information comprising over 26,000 features (data accessible at NCBI GEO database, accession GSE21032). The performance of ML models including random survival forest, boosted and regularised Cox models were assessed, in terms of model discrimination, calibration, and predictive accuracy for overall, 3-year and 5-year survival, aligning with common clinical endpoints. Results showed that the inclusion of mRNA information could yield a gain in performance for pre-operative BCR prediction. ML-based time-to-event models significantly outperformed reference nomograms that used only routine clinical information with respect to all metrics considered. We believe this is the first study proposing pre-operative transcriptomics models for BCR prediction in PCa. External validation of these findings, including confirmation of the mRNA variables identified as potential key predictors in this study, could pave the way for pre-operative precision nomograms to facilitate timely personalised clinical decision-making.

A Molecular Typing Method for Invasive Breast Cancer by Serum Raman Spectroscopy

BACKGROUND

The incidence of breast cancer ranks highest among cancers and is exceedingly heterogeneous. Immunohistochemical staining is commonly used clinically to identify the molecular subtype for subsequent treatment and prognosis.

PURPOSE

Raman spectroscopy and support vector machine (SVM) learning algorithm were utilized to identify blood samples from breast cancer patients in order to investigate a novel molecular typing approach.

METHOD

Tumor tissue coarse needle aspiration biopsy samples, and peripheral venous blood samples were gathered from 459 invasive breast cancer patients admitted to the breast department of Sichuan Cancer Hospital between June 2021 and September 2022. Immunohistochemical staining and in situ hybridization were performed on the coarse needle aspiration biopsy tissues to obtain their molecular typing pathological labels, including: 70 cases of Luminal A, 167 cases of Luminal B (HER2-positive), 57 cases of Luminal B (HER2-negative), 84 cases of HER2-positive, and 81 cases of triple-negative. Blood samples were processed to obtained Raman spectra taken for SVM classification models establishment with machine algorithms (using 80% of the sample data as the training set), and then the performance of the SVM classification models was evaluated by the independent validation set (20% of the sample data).

RESULTS

The AUC values of SVM classification models remained above 0.85, demonstrating outstanding model performance and excellent subtype discrimination of breast cancer molecular subtypes.

CONCLUSION

Raman spectroscopy of serum samples can promptly and precisely detect the molecular subtype of invasive breast cancer, which has the potential for clinical value.

Convenient determination of serum HER-2 status in breast cancer patients using Raman spectroscopy

Given the significant therapeutic efficacy of anti-HER-2 treatment, the HER-2 status is a crucial piece of information that must be obtained in breast cancer patients. Currently, as per guidelines, HER-2 status is typically acquired from breast tissue of patients. However, there is growing interest in obtaining HER-2 status from serum and other samples due to the convenience and potential for dynamic monitoring. In this study, we have developed a serum Raman spectroscopy technique that allows for the rapid acquisition of HER-2 status in a convenient manner. The established HER-2 negative and positive classification model achieved an area under the curve of 0.8334. To further validate the reliability of our method, we replicated the process using immunohistochemistry and in situ hybridization. The results demonstrate that serum Raman spectroscopy, coupled with artificial intelligence algorithms, is an effective technical approach for obtaining HER-2 status.

Improving the Post-Operative Prediction of BCR-Free Survival Time with mRNA Variables and Machine Learning

Predicting the risk of, and time to biochemical recurrence (BCR) in prostate cancer patients post-operatively is critical in patient treatment decision pathways following surgical intervention. This study aimed to investigate the predictive potential of mRNA information to improve upon reference nomograms and clinical-only models, using a dataset of 187 patients that includes over 20,000 features. Several machine learning methodologies were implemented for the analysis of censored patient follow-up information with such high-dimensional genomic data. Our findings demonstrated the potential of inclusion of mRNA information for BCR-free survival prediction. A random survival forest pipeline was found to achieve high predictive performance with respect to discrimination, calibration, and net benefit. Two mRNA variables, namely ESM1 and DHAH8, were identified as consistently strong predictors with this dataset.

Personalized 3-Gene Panel for Prostate Cancer Target Therapy

Many years and billions spent for research did not yet produce an effective answer to prostate cancer (PCa). Not only each human, but even each cancer nodule in the same tumor, has unique transcriptome topology. The differences go beyond the expression level to the expression control and networking of individual genes. The unrepeatable heterogeneous transcriptomic organization among men makes the quest for universal biomarkers and “fit-for-all” treatments unrealistic. We present a bioinformatics procedure to identify each patient’s unique triplet of PCa Gene Master Regulators (GMRs) and predict consequences of their experimental manipulation. The procedure is based on the Genomic Fabric Paradigm (GFP), which characterizes each individual gene by the independent expression level, expression variability and expression coordination with each other gene. GFP can identify the GMRs whose controlled alteration would selectively kill the cancer cells with little consequence on the normal tissue. The method was applied to microarray data on surgically removed prostates from two men with metastatic PCas (each with three distinct cancer nodules), and DU145 and LNCaP PCa cell lines. The applications verified that each PCa case is unique and predicted the consequences of the GMRs’ manipulation. The predictions are theoretical and need further experimental validation.