Gene-Mutation-Based Algorithm for Prediction of Treatment Response in Colorectal Cancer Patients

Using tumor habitat-derived radiomic analysis during pretreatment 18F-FDG PET for predicting KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) / neuroblastoma rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (NRAS) /v-raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B (BRAF) mutations and the tumor habitat-derived radiomic features obtained during pretreatment 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 62 patients with CRC who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/computed tomography from January 2017 to July 2022 before the initiation of therapy. The patients were randomly split into training and validation cohorts with a ratio of 6:4. The whole tumor region radiomic features, habitat-derived radiomic features, and metabolic parameters were extracted from 18F-FDG PET images. After reducing the feature dimension and selecting meaningful features, we constructed a hierarchical model of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations by using the support vector machine. The convergence of the model was evaluated by using learning curve, and its performance was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. The SHapley Additive exPlanation was used to interpret the contributions of various features to predictions of the model.

RESULTS

The model constructed by using habitat-derived radiomic features had adequate predictive power with respect to KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations, with an AUC of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.585-0.909) on the training cohort and that of 0.701 (95% CI: 0.468-0.916) on the validation cohort. The model exhibited good convergence, suitable calibration, and clinical application value. The results of the SHapley Additive explanation showed that the peritumoral habitat and a high_metabolism habitat had the greatest impact on predictions of the model. No meaningful whole tumor region radiomic features or metabolic parameters were retained during feature selection.

CONCLUSION

The habitat-derived radiomic features were found to be helpful in stratifying the status of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF in CRC patients. The approach proposed here has significant implications for adjuvant treatment decisions in patients with CRC, and needs to be further validated on a larger prospective cohort.

K-RAS Associated Gene-Mutation-Based Algorithm for Prediction of Treatment Response of Patients with Subtypes of Breast Cancer and Especially Triple-Negative Cancer

Purpose: There is an urgent need for developing new biomarker tools to accurately predict treatment response of breast cancer, especially the deadly triple-negative breast cancer. We aimed to develop gene-mutation-based machine learning (ML) algorithms as biomarker classifiers to predict treatment response of first-line chemotherapy with high precision. Methods: Random Forest ML was applied to screen the algorithms of various combinations of gene mutation profiles of primary tumors at diagnosis using a TCGA Cohort (n = 399) with up to 150 months follow-up as a training set and validated in a MSK Cohort (n = 807) with up to 220 months follow-up. Subtypes of breast cancer including triple-negative and luminal A (ER+, PR+ and HER2−) were also assessed. The predictive performance of the candidate algorithms as classifiers was further assessed using logistic regression, Kaplan−Meier progression-free survival (PFS) plot, and univariate/multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. Results: A novel algorithm termed the 12-Gene Algorithm based on mutation profiles of KRAS, PIK3CA, MAP3K1, MAP2K4, PTEN, TP53, CDH1, GATA3, KMT2C, ARID1A, RunX1, and ESR1, was identified. The performance of this algorithm to distinguish non-progressed (responder) vs. progressed (non-responder) to treatment in the TCGA Cohort as determined using AUC was 0.96 (95% CI 0.94−0.98). It predicted progression-free survival (PFS) with hazard ratio (HR) of 21.6 (95% CI 11.3−41.5) (p < 0.0001) in all patients. The algorithm predicted PFS in the triple-negative subgroup with HR of 19.3 (95% CI 3.7−101.3) (n = 42, p = 0.000). The 12-Gene Algorithm was validated in the MSK Cohort with a similar AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.96−0.98) to distinguish responder vs. non-responder patients, and had a HR of 18.6 (95% CI 4.4−79.2) to predict PFS in the triple-negative subgroup (n = 75, p < 0.0001). Conclusions: The novel 12-Gene algorithm based on multitude gene-mutation profiles identified through ML has a potential to predict breast cancer treatment response to therapies, especially in triple-negative subgroups patients, which may assist personalized therapies and reduce mortality.

Artificial Intelligence Predictive Models of Response to Cytotoxic Chemotherapy Alone or Combined to Targeted Therapy for Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Tailored treatments for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) have not yet completely evolved due to the variety in response to drugs. Therefore, artificial intelligence has been recently used to develop prognostic and predictive models of treatment response (either activity/efficacy or toxicity) to aid in clinical decision making. In this systematic review, we have examined the ability of learning methods to predict response to chemotherapy alone or combined with targeted therapy in mCRC patients by targeting specific narrative publications in Medline up to April 2022 to identify appropriate original scientific articles. After the literature search, 26 original articles met inclusion and exclusion criteria and were included in the study. Our results show that all investigations conducted on this field have provided generally promising results in predicting the response to therapy or toxic side-effects. By a meta-analytic approach we found that the overall weighted means of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) were 0.90, 95% C.I. 0.80-0.95 and 0.83, 95% C.I. 0.74-0.89 in training and validation sets, respectively, indicating a good classification performance in discriminating response vs. non-response. The calculation of overall HR indicates that learning models have strong ability to predict improved survival. Lastly, the delta-radiomics and the 74 gene signatures were able to discriminate response vs. non-response by correctly identifying up to 99% of mCRC patients who were responders and up to 100% of patients who were non-responders. Specifically, when we evaluated the predictive models with tests reaching 80% sensitivity (SE) and 90% specificity (SP), the delta radiomics showed an SE of 99% and an SP of 94% in the training set and an SE of 85% and SP of 92 in the test set, whereas for the 74 gene signatures the SE was 97.6% and the SP 100% in the training set.