1
|
Booher ECJ, Walters AW. Biotic and abiotic determinants of finescale dace distribution at the southern edge of their range. DIVERS DISTRIB 2021. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13227] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Evan C. J. Booher
- Wyoming Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit Department of Zoology and Physiology University of Wyoming Laramie WY USA
| | - Annika W. Walters
- U.S. Geological Survey Wyoming Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit Department of Zoology and Physiology University of Wyoming Laramie WY USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Forest Coverage and the Spatial Distribution of 19 Key Forest Tree Species in Italy under RCP4.5 IPCC Trajectory for 2050s. FORESTS 2020. [DOI: 10.3390/f11090934] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
Forests provide a range of ecosystem services essential for human wellbeing. In a changing climate, forest management is expected to play a fundamental role by preserving the functioning of forest ecosystems and enhancing the adaptive processes. Understanding and quantifying the future forest coverage in view of climate changes is therefore crucial in order to develop appropriate forest management strategies. However, the potential impacts of climate change on forest ecosystems remain largely unknown due to the uncertainties lying behind the future prediction of models. To fill this knowledge gap, here we aim to provide an uncertainty assessment of the potential impact of climate change on the forest coverage in Italy using species distribution modelling technique. The spatial distribution of 19 forest tree species in the country was extracted from the last national forest inventory and modelled using nine Species Distribution Models algorithms, six different Global Circulation Models (GCMs), and one Regional Climate Models (RCMs) for 2050s under an intermediate forcing scenario (RCP 4.5). The single species predictions were then compared and used to build a future forest cover map for the country. Overall, no sensible variation in the spatial distribution of the total forested area was predicted with compensatory effects in forest coverage of different tree species, whose magnitude and patters appear largely modulated by the driving climate models. The analyses reported an unchanged amount of total land suitability to forest growth in mountain areas while smaller values were predicted for valleys and floodplains than high-elevation areas. Pure woods were predicted as the most influenced when compared with mixed stands which are characterized by a greater species richness and, therefore, a supposed higher level of biodiversity and resilience to climate change threatens. Pure softwood stands along the Apennines chain in central Italy (e.g., Pinus, Abies) were more sensitive than hardwoods (e.g., Fagus, Quercus) and generally characterized by pure and even-aged planted forests, much further away from their natural structure where admixture with other tree species is more likely. In this context a sustainable forest management strategy may reduce the potential impact of climate change on forest ecosystems. Silvicultural practices should be aimed at increasing the species richness and favoring hardwoods currently growing as dominating species under conifers canopy, stimulating the natural regeneration, gene flow, and supporting (spatial) migration processes.
Collapse
|
3
|
Zellmer AJ, Slezak P, Katz TS. Clearing up the Crystal Ball: Understanding Uncertainty in Future Climate Suitability Projections for Amphibians. HERPETOLOGICA 2020. [DOI: 10.1655/0018-0831-76.2.108] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Amanda J. Zellmer
- Department of Biology, Occidental College, 1600 Campus Road, Los Angeles, CA 90041, USA
| | - Pavlina Slezak
- Department of Biology, Occidental College, 1600 Campus Road, Los Angeles, CA 90041, USA
| | - Tatum S. Katz
- Department of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Khoury CK, Carver D, Barchenger DW, Barboza GE, Zonneveld M, Jarret R, Bohs L, Kantar M, Uchanski M, Mercer K, Nabhan GP, Bosland PW, Greene SL. Modelled distributions and conservation status of the wild relatives of chile peppers (
Capsicum
L.). DIVERS DISTRIB 2019. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Colin K. Khoury
- National Laboratory for Genetic Resources Preservation United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Fort Collins CO USA
- International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) Cali Colombia
- Department of Biology Saint Louis University St. Louis MO USA
| | - Daniel Carver
- Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory Colorado State University Fort Collins CO USA
| | | | - Gloria E. Barboza
- Instituto Multidisciplinario de Biología Vegetal (IMBIV) CONICET Córdoba Argentina
- Facultad de Ciencias Químicas Universidad Nacional de Córdoba Córdoba Argentina
| | | | - Robert Jarret
- Plant Genetic Resources Conservation Unit United States Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service Griffin GA USA
| | - Lynn Bohs
- Biology Department University of Utah Salt Lake City UT USA
| | - Michael Kantar
- Department of Tropical Plant and Soil Science University of Hawaii at Manoa Honolulu HI USA
| | - Mark Uchanski
- Department of Horticulture and Landscape Architecture Colorado State University Fort Collins CO USA
| | - Kristin Mercer
- Department of Horticulture and Crop Science The Ohio State University Columbus OH USA
| | - Gary Paul Nabhan
- Southwest Center and Institute of the Environment University of Arizona Tucson AZ USA
| | - Paul W. Bosland
- Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences New Mexico State University Las Cruces NM USA
| | - Stephanie L. Greene
- National Laboratory for Genetic Resources Preservation United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Fort Collins CO USA
| |
Collapse
|