Computed Tomography Texture Analysis of Carotid Plaque as Predictor of Unfavorable Outcome after Carotid Artery Stenting: A Preliminary Study

Atherosclerotic carotid artery disease Radiomics: A systematic review with meta-analysis and radiomic quality score assessment

BACKGROUND

Stroke, a leading global cause of mortality and neurological disability, is often associated with atherosclerotic carotid artery disease. Distinguishing between symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid artery disease is crucial for appropriate treatment decisions. Radiomics, a quantitative image analysis technique, and ML have emerged as promising tools in medical imaging, including neuroradiology. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the methodological quality of studies employing radiomics for atherosclerotic carotid artery disease analysis and ML algorithms for culprit plaque identification using CT or MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Pubmed, WoS and Scopus databases were searched for relevant studies published from January 2005 to May 2023. RQS assessed methodological quality of studies included in the review. QUADAS-2 assessed the risk of bias. A meta-analysis and three meta regressions were conducted on study performance based on model type, imaging modality and segmentation method.

RESULTS

RQS assessed methodological quality, revealing an overall low score and consistent findings with other radiology domains. QUADAS-2 indicated an overall low risk, except for a single study with high bias. The meta-analysis demonstrated that radiomics-based ML models for predicting culprit plaques had a satisfactory performance, with an AUC of 0.85, surpassing clinical models. However, combining radiomics with clinical features yielded the highest AUC of 0.89. Meta-regression analyses confirmed these findings. MRI-based models slightly outperformed CT-based ones, but the difference was not significant.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, radiomics and ML hold promise for assessing carotid plaque vulnerability, aiding in early cerebrovascular event prediction. Combining radiomics with clinical data enhances predictive performance.

Quality assessment of radiomics models in carotid plaque: a systematic review

Background

Although imaging techniques provide information about the morphology and stability of carotid plaque, they are operator dependent and may miss certain subtleties. A variety of radiomics models for carotid plaque have recently been proposed for identifying vulnerable plaques and predicting cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. The purpose of this review was to assess the risk of bias, reporting, and methodological quality of radiomics models for carotid atherosclerosis plaques.

Methods

A systematic search was carried out to identify available literature published in PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library up to March 2023. Studies that developed and/or validated machine learning models based on radiomics data to identify and/or predict unfavorable cerebral and cardiovascular events in carotid plaque were included. The basic information of each piece of included literature was identified, and the reporting quality, risk of bias, and radiomics methodology quality were assessed according the TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) checklist, the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST), and the radiomics quality score (RQS), respectively.

Results

A total of 2,738 patients from 19 studies were included. The mean overall TRIPOD adherence rate was 66.1% (standard deviation 12.8%), with a range of 45-87%. All studies had a high overall risk of bias, with the analysis domain being the most common source of bias. The mean RQS was 9.89 (standard deviation 5.70), accounting for 27.4% of the possible maximum value of 36. The mean area under the curve for diagnostic or predictive properties of these included radiomics models was 0.876±0.09, with a range of 0.741-0.989.

Conclusions

Radiomics models may have value in the assessment of carotid plaque, the overall scientific validity and reporting quality of current carotid plaque radiomics reports are still lacking, and many barriers must be overcome before these models can be applied in clinical practice.

Radiomics in Carotid Plaque: A Systematic Review and Radiomics Quality Score Assessment

Imaging modalities provide information on plaque morphology and vulnerability; however, they are operator dependent and miss a great deal of microscopic information. Recently, many radiomics models for carotid plaque that identify unstable plaques and predict cardiovascular outcomes have been proposed. This systematic review was aimed at assessing whether radiomics is a reliable and reproducible method for the clinical prediction of carotid plaque. A systematic search was conducted to identify studies published in PubMed and Cochrane library from January 1, 2001, to September 30, 2022. Both retrospective and prospective studies that developed and/or validated machine learning models based on radiomics data to classify or predict carotid plaques were included. The general characteristics of each included study were selected, and the methodological quality of radiomics reports and risk of bias were evaluated using the radiomics quality score (RQS) tool and Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2, respectively. Two investigators independently reviewed each study, and the consensus data were used for analysis. A total of 2429 patients from 16 studies were included. The mean area under the curve of radiomics models for diagnostic or predictive performance of the included studies was 0.88 ± 0.02, with a range of 0.741-0.989. The mean RQS was 9.25 (standard deviation: 6.04), representing 25.7% of the possible maximum value of 36, whereas the lowest point was -2, and the highest score was 22. Radiomics models have revealed additional information on patients with carotid plaque, but with respect to methodological quality, radiomics reports are still in their infancy, and many hurdles need to be overcome.

Intraplaque neovascularisation is associated with ischaemic events after carotid artery stenting: an observational prospective study

Background

Intraplaque neovascularisation (IPN) is a component of vulnerable atherosclerotic plaque, which is a biomarker of cardiovascular events. However, the identification of patients with high probability of ischaemic events after carotid artery stenting (CAS) is mainly based on vascular risk factors. Prospective studies on the development of plaques are lacking.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate whether IPN detected by contrast-enhanced ultrasound is related to the occurrence of ischaemic events after CAS.

Methods

Sixty consecutive patients receiving CAS were prospectively enrolled in our centre. The patients were evaluated using contrast-enhanced ultrasound before CAS. According to the degree of microbubble enhancement, IPN was graded from 0 to 2. Endpoint events, including ischaemic stroke and other cardiovascular events, were recorded during follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional-hazards models were used to evaluate the risk factors for endpoint events. At a median follow-up of 30 months, 13 patients (28.9%) experienced endpoint events. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with grade 2 IPN had a higher risk of future ischaemic events than those with grade 0 or 1 IPN (p < 0.05). Cox proportional-hazards models showed that grade 2 IPN [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 4.049; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.078-15.202] was a significant predictor of endpoint events (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Grade 2 IPN evaluated by contrast-enhanced ultrasound has predictive value for ischaemic events in patients after CAS and may help clinicians identify high-risk patients who need close follow-up.

Plain Language Summary

Neovascularisation and carotid artery stenting Introduction: Introduction: It is unclear whether intraplaque neovascularisation (IPN) can be used as an biomarker of high probability ischemic events after carotid artery stenting (CAS).Materials and methods: We enrolled 60 patients who underwent CAS, all of whom underwent CEUS before CAS. We recorded ischaemic events during follow-up. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to evaluate the risk factors for ischaemic events.Results: We found that grade 2 IPN was an independent predictor (hazard ratio, 4.049; 95% confidence interval, 1.078-15.202; p < 0.05) of ischaemic events in patients after CAS.Conclusion: This may help clinicians identify high-risk patients who need close follow-up.

Texture Features of Computed Tomography Image under the Artificial Intelligence Algorithm and Its Predictive Value for Colorectal Liver Metastasis

The aim of this research was to investigate the predictive role of texture features in computed tomography (CT) images based on artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). A total of 150 patients with colorectal cancer who were admitted to the hospital were selected as the research objects and randomly divided into three groups with 50 cases in each group. The patients who were found to suffer from the CRLM in the initial examination were included in group A. Patients who were found with CRLM in the follow-up were assigned to group B (B1: metastasis within 0.5 years, 16 cases; B2: metastasis within 0.5–1.0 years, 17 cases; and B3: metastasis within 1.0–2.0 years, 17 cases). Patients without liver metastases during the initial examination and subsequent follow-up were designated as group C. Image textures were analyzed for patients in each group. The prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of CRLM in patients with six classifiers were calculated, based on which the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn. The results showed that the logistic regression (LR) classifier had the highest prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity, showing the best prediction effect, followed by the linear discriminant (LD) classifier. The prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the LR classifier were higher in group B1 and group B3, and the prediction effect was better than that in group B2. The texture features of CT images based on the AI algorithms showed a good prediction effect on CRLM and had a guiding significance for the early diagnosis and treatment of CRLM. In addition, the LR classifier showed the best prediction effect and high clinical value and can be popularized and applied.