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Sorayaie Azar A, Samimi T, Tavassoli G, Naemi A, Rahimi B, Hadianfard Z, Wiil UK, Nazarbaghi S, Bagherzadeh Mohasefi J, Lotfnezhad Afshar H. Predicting stroke severity of patients using interpretable machine learning algorithms. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:547. [PMID: 39538301 PMCID: PMC11562860 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-02147-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Stroke is a significant global health concern, ranking as the second leading cause of death and placing a substantial financial burden on healthcare systems, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Timely evaluation of stroke severity is crucial for predicting clinical outcomes, with standard assessment tools being the Rapid Arterial Occlusion Evaluation (RACE) and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). This study aims to utilize Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to predict stroke severity using these two distinct scales. METHODS We conducted this study using two datasets collected from hospitals in Urmia, Iran, corresponding to stroke severity assessments based on RACE and NIHSS. Seven ML algorithms were applied, including K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Hyperparameter tuning was performed using grid search to optimize model performance, and SHapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) were used to interpret the contribution of individual features. RESULTS Among the models, the RF achieved the highest performance, with accuracies of 92.68% for the RACE dataset and 91.19% for the NIHSS dataset. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) was 92.02% and 97.86% for the RACE and NIHSS datasets, respectively. The SHAP analysis identified triglyceride levels, length of hospital stay, and age as critical predictors of stroke severity. CONCLUSIONS This study is the first to apply ML models to the RACE and NIHSS scales for predicting stroke severity. The use of SHAP enhances the interpretability of the models, increasing clinicians' trust in these ML algorithms. The best-performing ML model can be a valuable tool for assisting medical professionals in predicting stroke severity in clinical settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amir Sorayaie Azar
- SDU Health Informatics and Technology, The Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller Institute, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Computer Engineering, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
| | - Tahereh Samimi
- Department of Health Information Technology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
- Health and Biomedical Informatics Research Center, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
| | - Ghanbar Tavassoli
- Department of Health Information Technology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
- Health and Biomedical Informatics Research Center, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
- Department of Computer Engineering, Urmia Branch, Islamic Azad University, Urmia, Iran
| | - Amin Naemi
- SDU Health Informatics and Technology, The Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller Institute, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Bahlol Rahimi
- Department of Health Information Technology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
- Health and Biomedical Informatics Research Center, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
| | - Zahra Hadianfard
- Department of Health Information Technology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
| | - Uffe Kock Wiil
- SDU Health Informatics and Technology, The Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller Institute, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Surena Nazarbaghi
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran
| | - Jamshid Bagherzadeh Mohasefi
- SDU Health Informatics and Technology, The Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller Institute, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
- Department of Computer Engineering, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran.
| | - Hadi Lotfnezhad Afshar
- Department of Health Information Technology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.
- Health and Biomedical Informatics Research Center, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.
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Dubey Y, Tarte Y, Talatule N, Damahe K, Palsodkar P, Fulzele P. Explainable and Interpretable Model for the Early Detection of Brain Stroke Using Optimized Boosting Algorithms. Diagnostics (Basel) 2024; 14:2514. [PMID: 39594180 PMCID: PMC11592493 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics14222514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2024] [Revised: 10/11/2024] [Accepted: 10/14/2024] [Indexed: 11/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Stroke stands as a prominent global health issue, causing con-siderable mortality and debilitation. It arises when cerebral blood flow is compromised, leading to irreversible brain cell damage or death. Leveraging the power of machine learning, this paper presents a systematic approach to predict stroke patient survival based on a comprehensive set of factors. These factors include demographic attributes, medical history, lifestyle elements, and physiological metrics. Method: An effective random sampling method is proposed to handle the highly biased data of stroke. The stroke pre-diction using optimized boosting machine learning algorithms is supported with explainable AI using LIME and SHAP. This enables the models to discern intricate data patterns and establish correlations between selected features and patient survival. Results: The performance of three boosting algorithms is studied for stroke prediction, which include Gradient Boosting (GB), AdaBoost (ADB), and XGBoost (XGB) with XGB achieved the best outcome overall with a training accuracy of 96.97% and testing accuracy of 92.13%. Conclusions: Through this approach, the study seeks to uncover actionable insights to guide healthcare practitioners in devising personalized treatment strategies for stroke patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yogita Dubey
- Department of Electronics and Telecommunication, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur 441110, India; (Y.T.); (N.T.); (K.D.)
| | - Yashraj Tarte
- Department of Electronics and Telecommunication, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur 441110, India; (Y.T.); (N.T.); (K.D.)
| | - Nikhil Talatule
- Department of Electronics and Telecommunication, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur 441110, India; (Y.T.); (N.T.); (K.D.)
| | - Khushal Damahe
- Department of Electronics and Telecommunication, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur 441110, India; (Y.T.); (N.T.); (K.D.)
| | - Prachi Palsodkar
- Department of Electronics Engineering, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur 441110, India;
| | - Punit Fulzele
- Directorate of Research and Innovation, SPDC, Datta Meghe Institute of Higher Education & Research, Wardha 442001, India;
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Sakai Y, Kim J, Phi HQ, Hu AC, Balali P, Guggenberger KV, Woo JH, Bos D, Kasner SE, Cucchiara BL, Saba L, Huang Z, Haehn D, Song JW. Explainable machine-learning model to classify culprit calcified carotid plaque in embolic stroke of undetermined source. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2024:2024.10.25.24316081. [PMID: 39574846 PMCID: PMC11581071 DOI: 10.1101/2024.10.25.24316081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2024]
Abstract
Background Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) may be associated with carotid artery plaques with <50% stenosis. Plaque vulnerability is multifactorial, possibly related to intraplaque hemorrhage (IPH), lipid-rich-necrotic-core (LRNC), perivascular adipose tissue (PVAT), and calcification morphology. Machine-learning (ML) approaches in plaque classification are increasingly popular but often limited in clinical interpretability by black-box nature. We apply an explainable ML approach, using noncalcified plaque components and calcification features with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework to classify calcified carotid plaques as culprit/non-culprit. Methods In this retrospective cross-sectional study, patients with unilateral anterior circulation ESUS who underwent neck CT angiography and had calcific carotid plaque were analyzed. Calcification-level features were derived from manual segmentations. Plaque-level features were assessed by a neuroradiologist blinded to stroke-side and by semi-automated software. Calcifications/plaques were classified as culprit if ipsilateral to stroke-side. Eight baseline ML models were compared. Three CatBoost models were trained: Plaque-level, Calcification-level, and Combined. SHAP was incorporated to explain model decisions. Results 70 patients yielded 116 calcific carotid plaques (60 ipsilateral to stroke; 270 calcifications (146 ipsilateral)). 17 plaque-level and 15 calcification-level features were extracted. Baseline CatBoost model outperformed other models. Combined model achieved test AUC 0.77 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92), accuracy 0.82 (95% CI: 0.71 - 0.91), mean cross-validation AUC 0.78. Plaque-level and calcification-level models performed lower (AUC 0.41 95% CI: 0.15-0.68, 0.60 95% CI 0.44-0.76). Combined model utilized five features: plaque thickness, IPH/LRNC volume ratio, PVAT volume, calcification minimum density, and total calcification volume over mean density ratio. Plaque thickness was most important feature based on SHAP values, with potential threshold at >2.6 mm. Conclusions ML model trained with noncalcified plaque and calcification features can classify culprit calcific carotid plaque with greater accuracy than models trained using only plaque-level or calcification-level features. Model using clinically interpretable features with SHAP framework provides explanations for its decisions and allows identification of potential thresholds for high-risk features.
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Rodríguez Mallma MJ, Zuloaga-Rotta L, Borja-Rosales R, Rodríguez Mallma JR, Vilca-Aguilar M, Salas-Ojeda M, Mauricio D. Explainable Machine Learning Models for Brain Diseases: Insights from a Systematic Review. Neurol Int 2024; 16:1285-1307. [PMID: 39585057 PMCID: PMC11587041 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint16060098] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2024] [Revised: 10/10/2024] [Accepted: 10/23/2024] [Indexed: 11/26/2024] Open
Abstract
In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods, specifically Machine Learning (ML) models, have been providing outstanding results in different areas of knowledge, with the health area being one of its most impactful fields of application. However, to be applied reliably, these models must provide users with clear, simple, and transparent explanations about the medical decision-making process. This systematic review aims to investigate the use and application of explainability in ML models used in brain disease studies. A systematic search was conducted in three major bibliographic databases, Web of Science, Scopus, and PubMed, from January 2014 to December 2023. A total of 133 relevant studies were identified and analyzed out of a total of 682 found in the initial search, in which the explainability of ML models in the medical context was studied, identifying 11 ML models and 12 explainability techniques applied in the study of 20 brain diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mirko Jerber Rodríguez Mallma
- Facultad de Ingeniería Industrial y de Sistemas, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Lima 15333, Peru; (M.J.R.M.); (L.Z.-R.)
| | - Luis Zuloaga-Rotta
- Facultad de Ingeniería Industrial y de Sistemas, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Lima 15333, Peru; (M.J.R.M.); (L.Z.-R.)
| | - Rubén Borja-Rosales
- Facultad de Ingeniería Industrial y de Sistemas, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Lima 15333, Peru; (M.J.R.M.); (L.Z.-R.)
| | - Josef Renato Rodríguez Mallma
- Facultad de Ingeniería Industrial y de Sistemas, Universidad Nacional de Ingeniería, Lima 15333, Peru; (M.J.R.M.); (L.Z.-R.)
| | | | - María Salas-Ojeda
- Facultad de Artes y Humanidades, Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola, Lima 15024, Peru
| | - David Mauricio
- Facultad de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Informática, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima 15081, Peru;
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Hassan A, Gulzar Ahmad S, Ullah Munir E, Ali Khan I, Ramzan N. Predictive modelling and identification of key risk factors for stroke using machine learning. Sci Rep 2024; 14:11498. [PMID: 38769427 PMCID: PMC11106277 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-61665-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 05/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/22/2024] Open
Abstract
Strokes are a leading global cause of mortality, underscoring the need for early detection and prevention strategies. However, addressing hidden risk factors and achieving accurate prediction become particularly challenging in the presence of imbalanced and missing data. This study encompasses three imputation techniques to deal with missing data. To tackle data imbalance, it employs the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). The study initiates with a baseline model and subsequently employs an extensive range of advanced models. This study thoroughly evaluates the performance of these models by employing k-fold cross-validation on various imbalanced and balanced datasets. The findings reveal that age, body mass index (BMI), average glucose level, heart disease, hypertension, and marital status are the most influential features in predicting strokes. Furthermore, a Dense Stacking Ensemble (DSE) model is built upon previous advanced models after fine-tuning, with the best-performing model as a meta-classifier. The DSE model demonstrated over 96% accuracy across diverse datasets, with an AUC score of 83.94% on imbalanced imputed dataset and 98.92% on balanced one. This research underscores the remarkable performance of the DSE model, compared to the previous research on the same dataset. It highlights the model's potential for early stroke detection to improve patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Hassan
- Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Wah Campus, Grand Trunk Road, Wah, 47010, Pakistan
| | - Saima Gulzar Ahmad
- Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Wah Campus, Grand Trunk Road, Wah, 47010, Pakistan
| | - Ehsan Ullah Munir
- Department of Computer Science, COMSATS University Islamabad, Wah Campus, Grand Trunk Road, Wah, 47010, Pakistan
| | - Imtiaz Ali Khan
- Department of Computer Science, Cardiff School of Technologies, Llandaff Campus, Western Avenue, Cardiff, CF5 2YB, UK
| | - Naeem Ramzan
- School of Computing, Engineering and Physical Sciences, University of the West of Scotland, High Street, Paisley, PA1 2BE, UK.
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Abujaber AA, Albalkhi I, Imam Y, Nashwan A, Akhtar N, Alkhawaldeh IM. Machine learning-based prognostication of mortality in stroke patients. Heliyon 2024; 10:e28869. [PMID: 38601648 PMCID: PMC11004568 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28869] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2023] [Revised: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 03/26/2024] [Indexed: 04/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives Predicting stroke mortality is crucial for personalized care. This study aims to design and evaluate a machine learning model to predict one-year mortality after a stroke. Materials and methods Data from the National Multiethnic Stroke Registry was utilized. Eight machine learning (ML) models were trained and evaluated using various metrics. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was used to identify the influential predictors. Results The final analysis included 9840 patients diagnosed with stroke were included in the study. The XGBoost algorithm exhibited optimal performance with high accuracy (94.5%) and AUC (87.3%). Core predictors encompassed National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission, age, hospital length of stay, mode of arrival, heart rate, and blood pressure. Increased NIHSS, age, and longer stay correlated with higher mortality. Ambulance arrival and lower diastolic blood pressure and lower body mass index predicted poorer outcomes. Conclusions This model's predictive capacity emphasizes the significance of NIHSS, age, hospital stay, arrival mode, heart rate, blood pressure, and BMI in stroke mortality prediction. Specific findings suggest avenues for data quality enhancement, registry expansion, and real-world validation. The study underscores machine learning's potential for early mortality prediction, improving risk assessment, and personalized care. The potential transformation of care delivery through robust ML predictive tools for Stroke outcomes could revolutionize patient care, allowing for personalized plans and improved preventive strategies for stroke patients. However, it is imperative to conduct prospective validation to evaluate its practical clinical effectiveness and ensure its successful adoption across various healthcare environments.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ibrahem Albalkhi
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Department of Neuroradiology, Great Ormond Street Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Great Ormond St, London WC1N 3JH, United Kingdom
| | - Yahia Imam
- Neurology Section, Neuroscience Institute, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | | | - Naveed Akhtar
- Neurology Section, Neuroscience Institute, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
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Sahriar S, Akther S, Mauya J, Amin R, Mia MS, Ruhi S, Reza MS. Unlocking stroke prediction: Harnessing projection-based statistical feature extraction with ML algorithms. Heliyon 2024; 10:e27411. [PMID: 38495193 PMCID: PMC10943390 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27411] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2023] [Revised: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/28/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Non-communicable diseases, such as cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic respiratory diseases, and diabetes, are responsible for approximately 71% of all deaths worldwide. Stroke, a cerebrovascular disorder, is one of the leading contributors to this burden among the top three causes of death. Early recognition of symptoms can encourage a balanced lifestyle and provide essential information for stroke prediction. To identify a stroke patient and risk factors, machine learning (ML) is a key tool for physicians. Due to different data measurement scales and their probability distributional assumptions, ML-based algorithms struggle to detect risk factors. Furthermore, when dealing with risk factors with high-dimensional features, learning algorithms struggle with complexity. In this study, rigorous statistical tests are used to identify risk factors, and PCA-FA (Integration of Principal Components and Factors) and FPCA (Factor Based PCA) approaches are proposed for projecting suitable feature representations for improving learning algorithm performances. The study dataset consists of different clinical, lifestyle, and genetic attributes, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of potential risk factors associated with stroke, which contains 5110 patient records. Using significant test (P-value <0.05), chi-square and independent sample t-test identified age, heart_disease, hypertension, work_type, ever_married, bmi, and smoking_status as risk factors for stroke. To develop the predicting model with proposed feature extraction techniques, random forests approach provides the best results when utilizing the PCA-FA method. The best accuracy rate for this approach is 92.55%, while the AUC score is 98.15%. The prediction accuracy has increased from 2.19% to 19.03% compared to the existing work. Additionally, the prediction results is robustified and reproducible with a stacking ensemble-based classification algorithm. We also developed a web-based application to help doctors diagnose stroke risk based on the findings of this study, which could be used as an additional tool to help doctors diagnose.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saad Sahriar
- Deep Statistical Learning and Research Lab, Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Sanjida Akther
- Deep Statistical Learning and Research Lab, Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Jannatul Mauya
- Deep Statistical Learning and Research Lab, Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Ruhul Amin
- Deep Statistical Learning and Research Lab, Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Md Shahajada Mia
- Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Sabba Ruhi
- Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
| | - Md Shamim Reza
- Deep Statistical Learning and Research Lab, Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
- Department of Statistics, Pabna University of Science & Technology, Pabna, 6600, Bangladesh
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Tziaka E, Tsiakiri A, Vlotinou P, Christidi F, Tsiptsios D, Aggelousis N, Vadikolias K, Serdari A. A Holistic Approach to Expressing the Burden of Caregivers for Stroke Survivors: A Systematic Review. Healthcare (Basel) 2024; 12:565. [PMID: 38470676 PMCID: PMC10930970 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare12050565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2024] [Revised: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/27/2024] [Indexed: 03/14/2024] Open
Abstract
This systematic review explores the multifaceted challenges faced by caregivers of stroke survivors, addressing the global impact of strokes and the anticipated rise in survivors over the coming decades. Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, a thorough literature search identified 34 relevant studies published between 2018 and 2023. The review categorizes caregiver burden into four domains: physical health, social functioning, financial issues, and psychological health. Caregivers often experience a decline in physical health, marked by chronic fatigue, sleep disturbances, and pain. Emotional distress is prevalent, leading to anxiety and depression, especially in cases of high burden. Financial strains arise from medical expenses and employment changes, exacerbating the overall burden. Contextual factors, such as cultural norms and resource availability, influence the caregiver experience. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale assessed the methodological quality of studies. The conclusion emphasizes tailored interventions and support systems for caregivers, with practical recommendations for healthcare professionals, therapists, mental health professionals, financial counselors, and policymakers. This comprehensive review enhances the understanding of caregiver experiences and provides actionable insights to improve stroke care and rehabilitation The study's novelty lies in its holistic examination of caregiver burden in stroke care, its focus on the recent literature, and its emphasis on forecasting caregiver outcomes, contributing valuable insights for proactive intervention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Tziaka
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (E.T.); (F.C.); (K.V.)
| | - Anna Tsiakiri
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (E.T.); (F.C.); (K.V.)
| | - Pinelopi Vlotinou
- Department of Occupational Therapy, University of West Attica, 12243 Athens, Greece;
| | - Foteini Christidi
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (E.T.); (F.C.); (K.V.)
| | - Dimitrios Tsiptsios
- 3rd Department of Neurology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece;
| | - Nikolaos Aggelousis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece;
| | - Konstantinos Vadikolias
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (E.T.); (F.C.); (K.V.)
| | - Aspasia Serdari
- Department of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, Medical School, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece;
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Mitu M, Hasan SMM, Uddin MP, Mamun MA, Rajinikanth V, Kadry S. A stroke prediction framework using explainable ensemble learning. Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin 2024:1-20. [PMID: 38384147 DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2024.2316877] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 01/23/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
The death of brain cells occurs when blood flow to a particular area of the brain is abruptly cut off, resulting in a stroke. Early recognition of stroke symptoms is essential to prevent strokes and promote a healthy lifestyle. FAST tests (looking for abnormalities in the face, arms, and speech) have limitations in reliability and accuracy for diagnosing strokes. This research employs machine learning (ML) techniques to develop and assess multiple ML models to establish a robust stroke risk prediction framework. This research uses a stacking-based ensemble method to select the best three machine learning (ML) models and combine their collective intelligence. An empirical evaluation of a publicly available stroke prediction dataset demonstrates the superior performance of the proposed stacking-based ensemble model, with only one misclassification. The experimental results reveal that the proposed stacking model surpasses other state-of-the-art research, achieving accuracy, precision, F1-score of 99.99%, recall of 100%, receiver operating characteristics (ROC), Mathews correlation coefficient (MCC), and Kappa scores 1.0. Furthermore, Shapley's Additive Explanations (SHAP) are employed to analyze the predictions of the black-box machine learning (ML) models. The findings highlight that age, BMI, and glucose level are the most significant risk factors for stroke prediction. These findings contribute to the development of more efficient techniques for stroke prediction, potentially saving many lives.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mostarina Mitu
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering & Technology, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
| | - S M Mahedy Hasan
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering & Technology, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
| | - Md Palash Uddin
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur, Bangladesh
- School of Information Technology, Deakin University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Md Al Mamun
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering & Technology, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
| | - Venkatesan Rajinikanth
- Division of Research and Innovation, Saveetha School of Engineering, SIMATS, Chennai, India
| | - Seifedine Kadry
- Department of Applied Data Science, Noroff University College, Kristiansand, Norway
- Artificial Intelligence Research Center (AIRC), Ajman University, Ajman, United Arab Emirates
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Lebanese American University, Byblos, Lebanon
- MEU Research Unit, Middle East University, Amman, Jordan
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Wang J, Gu H, Gu H. Optimizing Stroke Prediction in Machine Learning by Addressing Data Imbalance. 2023 3RD INTERNATIONAL SIGNAL PROCESSING, COMMUNICATIONS AND ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE (ISPCEM) 2023:665-669. [DOI: 10.1109/ispcem60569.2023.00125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Jiacheng Wang
- School of Electronic and Optical Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing,China
| | - Hanwen Gu
- University of Washington,Department of Bioengineering,Seattle,USA
| | - Hong Gu
- School of Electronic and Optical Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing,China
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Saceleanu VM, Toader C, Ples H, Covache-Busuioc RA, Costin HP, Bratu BG, Dumitrascu DI, Bordeianu A, Corlatescu AD, Ciurea AV. Integrative Approaches in Acute Ischemic Stroke: From Symptom Recognition to Future Innovations. Biomedicines 2023; 11:2617. [PMID: 37892991 PMCID: PMC10604797 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines11102617] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2023] [Revised: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Among the high prevalence of cerebrovascular diseases nowadays, acute ischemic stroke stands out, representing a significant worldwide health issue with important socio-economic implications. Prompt diagnosis and intervention are important milestones for the management of this multifaceted pathology, making understanding the various stroke-onset symptoms crucial. A key role in acute ischemic stroke management is emphasizing the essential role of a multi-disciplinary team, therefore, increasing the efficiency of recognition and treatment. Neuroimaging and neuroradiology have evolved dramatically over the years, with multiple approaches that provide a higher understanding of the morphological aspects as well as timely recognition of cerebral artery occlusions for effective therapy planning. Regarding the treatment matter, the pharmacological approach, particularly fibrinolytic therapy, has its merits and challenges. Endovascular thrombectomy, a game-changer in stroke management, has witnessed significant advances, with technologies like stent retrievers and aspiration catheters playing pivotal roles. For select patients, combining pharmacological and endovascular strategies offers evidence-backed benefits. The aim of our comprehensive study on acute ischemic stroke is to efficiently compare the current therapies, recognize novel possibilities from the literature, and describe the state of the art in the interdisciplinary approach to acute ischemic stroke. As we aspire for holistic patient management, the emphasis is not just on medical intervention but also on physical therapy, mental health, and community engagement. The future holds promising innovations, with artificial intelligence poised to reshape stroke diagnostics and treatments. Bridging the gap between groundbreaking research and clinical practice remains a challenge, urging continuous collaboration and research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vicentiu Mircea Saceleanu
- Neurosurgery Department, Sibiu County Emergency Hospital, 550245 Sibiu, Romania;
- Neurosurgery Department, “Lucian Blaga” University of Medicine, 550024 Sibiu, Romania
| | - Corneliu Toader
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
- Department of Vascular Neurosurgery, National Institute of Neurology and Neurovascular Diseases, 020022 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Horia Ples
- Centre for Cognitive Research in Neuropsychiatric Pathology (NeuroPsy-Cog), “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300736 Timisoara, Romania
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania
| | - Razvan-Adrian Covache-Busuioc
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - Horia Petre Costin
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - Bogdan-Gabriel Bratu
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - David-Ioan Dumitrascu
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - Andrei Bordeianu
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - Antonio Daniel Corlatescu
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
| | - Alexandru Vlad Ciurea
- Department of Neurosurgery, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (R.-A.C.-B.); (H.P.C.); (B.-G.B.); (D.-I.D.); (A.B.); (A.D.C.); (A.V.C.)
- Neurosurgery Department, Sanador Clinical Hospital, 010991 Bucharest, Romania
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12
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Gkantzios A, Kokkotis C, Tsiptsios D, Moustakidis S, Gkartzonika E, Avramidis T, Tripsianis G, Iliopoulos I, Aggelousis N, Vadikolias K. From Admission to Discharge: Predicting National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Progression in Stroke Patients Using Biomarkers and Explainable Machine Learning. J Pers Med 2023; 13:1375. [PMID: 37763143 PMCID: PMC10532952 DOI: 10.3390/jpm13091375] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2023] [Revised: 09/03/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 09/29/2023] Open
Abstract
As a result of social progress and improved living conditions, which have contributed to a prolonged life expectancy, the prevalence of strokes has increased and has become a significant phenomenon. Despite the available stroke treatment options, patients frequently suffer from significant disability after a stroke. Initial stroke severity is a significant predictor of functional dependence and mortality following an acute stroke. The current study aims to collect and analyze data from the hyperacute and acute phases of stroke, as well as from the medical history of the patients, in order to develop an explainable machine learning model for predicting stroke-related neurological deficits at discharge, as measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). More specifically, we approached the data as a binary task problem: improvement of NIHSS progression vs. worsening of NIHSS progression at discharge, using baseline data within the first 72 h. For feature selection, a genetic algorithm was applied. Using various classifiers, we found that the best scores were achieved from the Random Forest (RF) classifier at the 15 most informative biomarkers and parameters for the binary task of the prediction of NIHSS score progression. RF achieved 91.13% accuracy, 91.13% recall, 90.89% precision, 91.00% f1-score, 8.87% FNrate and 4.59% FPrate. Those biomarkers are: age, gender, NIHSS upon admission, intubation, history of hypertension and smoking, the initial diagnosis of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia and atrial fibrillation, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) levels, stroke localization, systolic blood pressure levels, as well as erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) levels upon admission and the onset of respiratory infection. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) model interpreted the impact of the selected features on the model output. Our findings suggest that the aforementioned variables may play a significant role in determining stroke patients' NIHSS progression from the time of admission until their discharge.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aimilios Gkantzios
- Department of Neurology, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (D.T.); (I.I.); (K.V.)
- Department of Neurology, Korgialeneio—Benakeio “Hellenic Red Cross” General Hospital of Athens, 11526 Athens, Greece;
| | - Christos Kokkotis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece; (C.K.); (S.M.); (N.A.)
| | - Dimitrios Tsiptsios
- Department of Neurology, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (D.T.); (I.I.); (K.V.)
| | - Serafeim Moustakidis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece; (C.K.); (S.M.); (N.A.)
| | - Elena Gkartzonika
- School of Philosophy, University of Ioannina, 45110 Ioannina, Greece;
| | - Theodoros Avramidis
- Department of Neurology, Korgialeneio—Benakeio “Hellenic Red Cross” General Hospital of Athens, 11526 Athens, Greece;
| | - Gregory Tripsianis
- Laboratory of Medical Statistics, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece;
| | - Ioannis Iliopoulos
- Department of Neurology, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (D.T.); (I.I.); (K.V.)
| | - Nikolaos Aggelousis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece; (C.K.); (S.M.); (N.A.)
| | - Konstantinos Vadikolias
- Department of Neurology, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece; (D.T.); (I.I.); (K.V.)
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13
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Lolak S, Attia J, McKay GJ, Thakkinstian A. Comparing Explainable Machine Learning Approaches With Traditional Statistical Methods for Evaluating Stroke Risk Models: Retrospective Cohort Study. JMIR Cardio 2023; 7:e47736. [PMID: 37494080 PMCID: PMC10413234 DOI: 10.2196/47736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Revised: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 06/15/2023] [Indexed: 07/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Stroke has multiple modifiable and nonmodifiable risk factors and represents a leading cause of death globally. Understanding the complex interplay of stroke risk factors is thus not only a scientific necessity but a critical step toward improving global health outcomes. OBJECTIVE We aim to assess the performance of explainable machine learning models in predicting stroke risk factors using real-world cohort data by comparing explainable machine learning models with conventional statistical methods. METHODS This retrospective cohort included high-risk patients from Ramathibodi Hospital in Thailand between January 2010 and December 2020. We compared the performance and explainability of logistic regression (LR), Cox proportional hazard, Bayesian network (BN), tree-augmented Naïve Bayes (TAN), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and explainable boosting machine (EBM) models. We used multiple imputation by chained equations for missing data and discretized continuous variables as needed. Models were evaluated using C-statistics and F1-scores. RESULTS Out of 275,247 high-risk patients, 9659 (3.5%) experienced a stroke. XGBoost demonstrated the highest performance with a C-statistic of 0.89 and an F1-score of 0.80 followed by EBM and TAN with C-statistics of 0.87 and 0.83, respectively; LR and BN had similar C-statistics of 0.80. Significant factors associated with stroke included atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension (HT), antiplatelets, HDL, and age. AF, HT, and antihypertensive medication were common significant factors across most models, with AF being the strongest factor in LR, XGBoost, BN, and TAN models. CONCLUSIONS Our study developed stroke prediction models to identify crucial predictive factors such as AF, HT, or systolic blood pressure or antihypertensive medication, anticoagulant medication, HDL, age, and statin use in high-risk patients. The explainable XGBoost was the best model in predicting stroke risk, followed by EBM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sermkiat Lolak
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - John Attia
- Centre for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine and Public Health, Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Gareth J McKay
- Centre for Public Health, School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
| | - Ammarin Thakkinstian
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
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14
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Gottesman RF, Latour L. What's the Future of Vascular Neurology? Neurotherapeutics 2023; 20:605-612. [PMID: 37129762 PMCID: PMC10275820 DOI: 10.1007/s13311-023-01374-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/23/2023] [Indexed: 05/03/2023] Open
Abstract
The field of vascular neurology has made tremendous advances over the last several decades, with major shifts in diagnosis, treatment, prevention, and rehabilitation of patients with stroke. Furthermore, the individuals who are providing the care represent a different cohort than those who were caring for stroke patients 30 years ago, with the increasing need for rapid decision-making for acute interventions and a larger workforce being needed to provide the many complicated aspects of care of stroke patients. Understanding the history of the field is critical before one can speculate about its future directions. In summarizing some of the past massive shifts in the past few decades, this review will discuss future opportunities and future challenges and will introduce the rest of this special issue focusing on vascular neurology in a post-thrombectomy era. Although thrombolysis and thrombectomy remain a major part of ischemic stroke management and care, in the coming years, there will likely be further modifications in how we provide the care, who provides it, how we train those individuals who provide it, where it is provided, and what data inform early management decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rebecca F Gottesman
- Stroke Branch, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, Intramural Research Program, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
| | - Lawrence Latour
- Stroke Branch, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, Intramural Research Program, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
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15
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Tziaka E, Christidi F, Tsiptsios D, Sousanidou A, Karatzetzou S, Tsiakiri A, Doskas TK, Tsamakis K, Retzepis N, Konstantinidis C, Kokkotis C, Serdari A, Aggelousis N, Vadikolias K. Leukoaraiosis as a Predictor of Depression and Cognitive Impairment among Stroke Survivors: A Systematic Review. Neurol Int 2023; 15:238-272. [PMID: 36810471 PMCID: PMC9944578 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint15010016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2022] [Revised: 02/02/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Stroke survivors are at increased risk of developing depression and cognitive decline. Thus, it is crucial for both clinicians and stroke survivors to be provided with timely and accurate prognostication of post-stroke depression (PSD) and post-stroke dementia (PSDem). Several biomarkers regarding stroke patients' propensity to develop PSD and PSDem have been implemented so far, leukoaraiosis (LA) being among them. The purpose of the present study was to review all available work published within the last decade dealing with pre-existing LA as a predictor of depression (PSD) and cognitive dysfunction (cognitive impairment or PSDem) in stroke patients. A literature search of two databases (MEDLINE and Scopus) was conducted to identify all relevant studies published between 1 January 2012 and 25 June 2022 that dealt with the clinical utility of preexisting LA as a prognostic indicator of PSD and PSDem/cognitive impairment. Only full-text articles published in the English language were included. Thirty-four articles were traced and are included in the present review. LA burden, serving as a surrogate marker of "brain frailty" among stroke patients, appears to be able to offer significant information about the possibility of developing PSD or cognitive dysfunction. Determining the extent of pre-existing white matter abnormalities can properly guide decision making in acute stroke settings, as a greater degree of such lesioning is usually coupled with neuropsychiatric aftermaths, such as PSD and PSDem.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eftychia Tziaka
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Foteini Christidi
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Tsiptsios
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +30-6944320016
| | - Anastasia Sousanidou
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Stella Karatzetzou
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Anna Tsiakiri
- Neurology Department, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | | | - Konstantinos Tsamakis
- Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience (IoPPN), King’s College London, London SE5 8AB, UK
| | - Nikolaos Retzepis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Christos Konstantinidis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Christos Kokkotis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Aspasia Serdari
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Medical School, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Nikolaos Aggelousis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
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16
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Gkantzios A, Kokkotis C, Tsiptsios D, Moustakidis S, Gkartzonika E, Avramidis T, Aggelousis N, Vadikolias K. Evaluation of Blood Biomarkers and Parameters for the Prediction of Stroke Survivors' Functional Outcome upon Discharge Utilizing Explainable Machine Learning. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 13:diagnostics13030532. [PMID: 36766637 PMCID: PMC9914778 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13030532] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2023] [Revised: 01/25/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2023] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Despite therapeutic advancements, stroke remains a leading cause of death and long-term disability. The quality of current stroke prognostic models varies considerably, whereas prediction models of post-stroke disability and mortality are restricted by the sample size, the range of clinical and risk factors and the clinical applicability in general. Accurate prognostication can ease post-stroke discharge planning and help healthcare practitioners individualize aggressive treatment or palliative care, based on projected life expectancy and clinical course. In this study, we aimed to develop an explainable machine learning methodology to predict functional outcomes of stroke patients at discharge, using the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) as a binary classification problem. We identified 35 parameters from the admission, the first 72 h, as well as the medical history of stroke patients, and used them to train the model. We divided the patients into two classes in two approaches: "Independent" vs. "Non-Independent" and "Non-Disability" vs. "Disability". Using various classifiers, we found that the best models in both approaches had an upward trend, with respect to the selected biomarkers, and achieved a maximum accuracy of 88.57% and 89.29%, respectively. The common features in both approaches included: age, hemispheric stroke localization, stroke localization based on blood supply, development of respiratory infection, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) upon admission and systolic blood pressure levels upon admission. Intubation and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels upon admission are additional features for the first approach and Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR) levels upon admission for the second. Our results suggest that the said factors may be important predictors of functional outcomes in stroke patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aimilios Gkantzios
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, University Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
- Department of Neurology, Korgialeneio—Benakeio “Hellenic Red Cross” General Hospital of Athens, 11526 Athens, Greece
- Correspondence:
| | - Christos Kokkotis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Tsiptsios
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, University Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Serafeim Moustakidis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
- AIDEAS OÜ, Narva mnt 5, 10117 Tallinn, Estonia
| | - Elena Gkartzonika
- School of Philosophy, University of Ioannina, 45110 Ioannina, Greece
| | - Theodoros Avramidis
- Department of Neurology, Korgialeneio—Benakeio “Hellenic Red Cross” General Hospital of Athens, 11526 Athens, Greece
| | - Nikolaos Aggelousis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Konstantinos Vadikolias
- Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, University Hospital of Alexandroupolis, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
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17
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Exploring the Impact of Cerebral Microbleeds on Stroke Management. Neurol Int 2023; 15:188-224. [PMID: 36810469 PMCID: PMC9944881 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint15010014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2022] [Revised: 01/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/26/2023] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Stroke constitutes a major cause of functional disability and mortality, with increasing prevalence. Thus, the timely and accurate prognosis of stroke outcomes based on clinical or radiological markers is vital for both physicians and stroke survivors. Among radiological markers, cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) constitute markers of blood leakage from pathologically fragile small vessels. In the present review, we evaluated whether CMBs affect ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke outcomes and explored the fundamental question of whether CMBs may shift the risk-benefit balance away from reperfusion therapy or antithrombotic use in acute ischemic stroke patients. A literature review of two databases (MEDLINE and Scopus) was conducted to identify all the relevant studies published between 1 January 2012 and 9 November 2022. Only full-text articles published in the English language were included. Forty-one articles were traced and included in the present review. Our findings highlight the utility of CMB assessments, not only in the prognostication of hemorrhagic complications of reperfusion therapy, but also in forecasting hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke patients' functional outcomes, thus indicating that a biomarker-based approach may aid in the provision of counseling for patients and families, improve the selection of more appropriate medical therapies, and contribute to a more accurate choice of patients for reperfusion therapy.
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18
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Christidi F, Tsiptsios D, Sousanidou A, Karamanidis S, Kitmeridou S, Karatzetzou S, Aitsidou S, Tsamakis K, Psatha EA, Karavasilis E, Kokkotis C, Aggelousis N, Vadikolias K. The Clinical Utility of Leukoaraiosis as a Prognostic Indicator in Ischemic Stroke Patients. Neurol Int 2022; 14:952-980. [PMID: 36412698 PMCID: PMC9680211 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint14040076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2022] [Revised: 11/14/2022] [Accepted: 11/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Stroke constitutes a major cause of functional disability with increasing prevalence among adult individuals. Thus, it is of great importance for both clinicians and stroke survivors to be provided with a timely and accurate prognostication of functional outcome. A great number of biomarkers capable of yielding useful information regarding stroke patients' recovery propensity have been evaluated so far with leukoaraiosis being among them. Literature research of two databases (MEDLINE and Scopus) was conducted to identify all relevant studies published between 1 January 2012 and 25 June 2022 that dealt with the clinical utility of a current leukoaraiosis as a prognostic indicator following stroke. Only full-text articles published in English language were included. Forty-nine articles have been traced and are included in the present review. Our findings highlight the prognostic value of leukoaraiosis in an acute stroke setting. The assessment of leukoaraiosis with visual rating scales in CT/MRI imaging appears to be able to reliably provide important insight into the recovery potential of stroke survivors, thus significantly enhancing stroke management. Yielding additional information regarding both short- and long-term functional outcome, motor recovery capacity, hemorrhagic transformation, as well as early neurological deterioration following stroke, leukoaraiosis may serve as a valuable prognostic marker poststroke. Thus, leukoaraiosis represents a powerful prognostic tool, the clinical implementation of which is expected to significantly facilitate the individualized management of stroke patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Foteini Christidi
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Tsiptsios
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
- Correspondence:
| | - Anastasia Sousanidou
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Stefanos Karamanidis
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Sofia Kitmeridou
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Stella Karatzetzou
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Souzana Aitsidou
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Konstantinos Tsamakis
- Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience (IoPPN), King’s College London, London SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Evlampia A. Psatha
- Department of Radiology, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Efstratios Karavasilis
- Medical Physics Laboratory, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
| | - Christos Kokkotis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Nikolaos Aggelousis
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Democritus University of Thrace, 69100 Komotini, Greece
| | - Konstantinos Vadikolias
- Neurology Department, School of Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, 68100 Alexandroupolis, Greece
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19
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Elucidating the Role of Baseline Leukoaraiosis on Forecasting Clinical Outcome of Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Undergoing Reperfusion Therapy. Neurol Int 2022; 14:923-942. [PMID: 36412696 PMCID: PMC9680372 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint14040074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2022] [Revised: 11/06/2022] [Accepted: 11/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Stroke stands as a major cause of death and disability with increasing prevalence. The absence of clinical improvement after either intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) or mechanical thrombectomy (MT) represents a frequent concern in the setting of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). In an attempt to optimize overall stroke management, it is clinically valuable to provide important insight into functional outcomes after reperfusion therapy among patients presenting with AIS. The aim of the present review is to explore the predictive value of leukoaraiosis (LA) in terms of clinical response to revascularization poststroke. A literature research of two databases (MEDLINE and Scopus) was conducted in order to trace all relevant studies published between 1 January 2012 and 1 November 2022 that focused on the potential utility of LA severity regarding reperfusion status and clinical outcome after revascularization. A total of 37 articles have been traced and included in this review. LA burden assessment is indicative of functional outcome post-intervention and may be associated with hemorrhagic events' incidence among stroke individuals. Nevertheless, LA may not solely guide decision-making about treatment strategy poststroke. Overall, the evaluation of LA upon admission seems to have interesting prognostic potential and may substantially enhance individualized stroke care.
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