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For:
Stapper M
.
Count Data Time Series Modelling in Julia-The CountTimeSeries.jl Package and Applications.
Entropy (Basel)
2021;
23
:666. [PMID:
34070616
DOI:
10.3390/e23060666
]
[
Citation(s) in
RCA
: 2
]
[
Impact Index Per Article: 0.7
]
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Reference Citation Analysis
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[Received: 04/15/2021]
[Revised: 05/21/2021]
[Accepted: 05/23/2021]
[Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Number
Cited by Other Article(s)
1
Alzahrani SM
. A log linear Poisson autoregressive model to understand COVID-19 dynamics in Saudi Arabia.
BENI-SUEF UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF BASIC AND APPLIED SCIENCES
2022;
11
:118. [PMID:
36187405
PMCID:
PMC9510320
DOI:
10.1186/s43088-022-00295-z
]
[
Citation(s) in
RCA
: 0
]
[
Impact Index Per Article: 0
]
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[Received: 12/02/2021]
[Accepted: 09/03/2022]
[Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
On March 2, 2020, the first case of COVID-19 infection in Saudi Arabia was identified and announced by the health authorities. From first week of March, the number of new confirmed COVID-cases has gradually increased, reaching 2932 confirmed cases on April 9, 2020. A period of increasing infection cases was noticed in June and July 2020. Many methods have been taken to model and predict the new confirmed cases of COVID-19, such as the traditional time series forecasting method and other several methods.
Results
We present two statistical models, namely the log linear autoregressive Poisson model and the ARIMA model. The COVID-19 infectious dynamics were evaluated using models in Saudi Arabia, which can affect health, economics, finance, and other fields. We applied both models to daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 count time series data. Moreover, we compare the log linear Poisson autoregressive model with the automatic ARIMA model.
Conclusions
The result of this study showed that a log linear Poisson Autoregressive model gives better forecasting and the predicted results of the log linear Poisson Autoregressive model can be used as the baseline for additional interference to avoid future COVID-19 pandemic incidents. Moreover, the application of a log linear Poisson Autoregressive can be comprehensive to other cases in Saudi Arabia.
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2
Weiß CH
. Time Series Modelling.
ENTROPY
2021;
23
:e23091163. [PMID:
34573788
PMCID:
PMC8467401
DOI:
10.3390/e23091163
]
[
Citation(s) in
RCA
: 1
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[
Impact Index Per Article: 0.3
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[Received: 08/25/2021]
[Accepted: 09/01/2021]
[Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Time series consist of data observed sequentially in time, and they are assumed to stem from an underlying stochastic process [...].
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models
time series
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Affiliation(s)
Christian H Weiß
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Helmut Schmidt University, 22043 Hamburg, Germany
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