Spatiotemporal Variability in Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in Eastern Canadian Lakes Related to Physiographic, Morphologic, and Climatic Drivers

Spatiotemporal insights of phytoplankton dynamics in a northern, rural-urban lake using a 3D water quality model

Lake St. Charles, located north of Quebec City, Canada, is a shallow fluvial lake with two distinct basins bridging rural and urban landscapes. Mainly used as a source of drinking water for 300,000 residents, the lake has faced a steady degradation in water quality due to urbanization and the discharge of domestic wastewater. This study introduces a 3D hydrodynamics and water quality model using the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code to enhance our understanding of algal bloom dynamics in Lake St. Charles. More specifically, we ran simulations for eight years (i.e., a three-year period for calibration, 2015 to 2017; and a five-year period for validation, 2018 to 2022) to reproduce the complex circulation patterns and dynamics of water quality within the system. The simulation results for chlorophyll-a demonstrate seasonal fluctuations in phytoplankton biomass, closely aligning with in situ observations and achieving Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE) values below 50%. (i) In spring, runoff from snowmelt brought phosphorus into the lake, triggering primary production. Diatom growth was initially predominant in the shallow southern basin, then spread to the deeper northern basin due to favorable environmental conditions, including flow- and wind-induced currents, warmer water temperatures and nutrient availability. (ii) In summer, warm water temperatures stimulated biological activity, leading to the growth of cyanobacteria at the expense of diatoms, as well as a drop in phosphorus. (iii) The cyanobacteria persisted into the fall but began to decline in mid-November. (iv) Winter conditions, including the presence of an ice cover, limited the input of phosphorus and minimized phytoplankton production, but diatoms were observed in low concentrations near Des Hurons River inflow. Overall, during the open-water period, the lake-maintained chlorophyll-a concentrations indicative of mesotrophic conditions, with occasional periods when the biomass increased above the eutrophic threshold. Temperature, nutrient levels, and the fluvial dynamics of the lake are the primary factors influencing phytoplankton formation and distribution in lake St. Charles.

Carbon, nutrient and metal controls on phytoplankton concentration and biodiversity in thermokarst lakes of latitudinal gradient from isolated to continuous permafrost

Shallow thaw (thermokarst) lakes abundant in regions of permafrost-affected peatlands represent important sources of carbon dioxide and methane emission to the atmosphere, however the quantitative parameters of phytoplankton communities which control the C cycle in these lakes remain poorly known. This is especially true considering the roles of permafrost, hydrochemical composition of lakes, lake sizes and season as major governing factors on phytoplankton abundance and biodiversity. In this work, we quantified phytoplankton characteristics of 27 thermokarst lakes (sizes ranging from 115 m2 to 1.24 km²) sampled in spring, summer and autumn across a permafrost gradient (isolated, sporadic, discontinuous and continuous zone) in the Western Siberia Lowland (WSL). The biodiversity indices were highest during all seasons in lakes of the continuous permafrost zone and rather similar in lakes of isolated, sporadic and discontinuous permafrost zone. Considering all seasons and permafrost zones, the biomass and cell number of phytoplankton correlated with Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC), phosphate, and some metal micro-nutrients (Ni, Zn). The strongest correlations were observed for Cyanophycea during summer, with pH, Ni, Cu, Zn, Sr, Ba (cell number) and Cu, Zn, Ba (biomass), and during autumn, with DOC, K, Cr, Cu, Zn, Ba, Cd, Pb (biomass). Using a substituting space for time approach for climate warming and permafrost thaw and suggesting a shift in permafrost boundaries northward, we foresee an increase in cell number and biomass in continuous permafrost zone in spring and summer, and a decrease in phytoplankton abundance in the discontinuous and sporadic permafrost zones. The biodiversity of phytoplankton in the continuous permafrost zone might decrease whereas in other zones, it may not exhibit any sizably change. However, in case of strong deepening of the active layer down to underlaying mineral horizons, and the release of some limiting nutrients (Si, P) due to enhanced connectivity of the lake with groundwater, the share of cyanobacteria and diatoms may increase.