1
|
Bebchuk T, Moir AK, Arosio T, Kirdyanov AV, Torbenson MCA, Krusic PJ, Hindson TR, Howard H, Buchwal A, Norman CAP, Büntgen U. Taxus tree-ring chronologies from southern England reveal western European hydroclimate changes over the past three centuries. CLIMATE DYNAMICS 2025; 63:108. [PMID: 39896849 PMCID: PMC11782366 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-025-07601-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2024] [Accepted: 01/15/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025]
Abstract
Heatwaves and summer droughts across Europe are likely to intensify under anthropogenic global warming thereby affecting ecological and societal systems. To place modern trends and extremes in the context of past natural variability, annually resolved and absolutely dated climate reconstructions are needed. Here, we present a network of 153 yew (Taxus baccata L.) tree-ring width (TRW) series from 22 sites in southern England that cover the past 310 years. Significant positive correlations were found between TRW chronologies and both April-July precipitation totals (r > 0.7) and July drought indices (r > 0.59) back to 1901 CE (p < 0.05). We used a suite of residual and standard TRW chronologies to reconstruct interannual to multi-decadal spring-summer precipitation and mid-summer drought variability over western Europe, respectively. Our yew hydroclimate reconstructions capture the majority of reported summer droughts and pluvials back to 1710 CE. Clusters of severe drought spells occurred in the second half of the 18th and mid-twentieth century. Our study suggests that the frequency and intensity of recent hydroclimate extremes over western Europe are likely still within the range of past natural variability. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00382-025-07601-2.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tatiana Bebchuk
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
| | - Andy K. Moir
- Institute for the Environment, Brunel University, London, WC1H 0DG UK
- Tree-Ring Services, Oakraven Field Centre, Mitcheldean, Gloucestershire GL17 0EE UK
| | - Tito Arosio
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
| | - Alexander V. Kirdyanov
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
- Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, 660041 Russian Federation
| | - Max C. A. Torbenson
- Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, 55099 Mainz, Germany
| | - Paul J. Krusic
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
- Department of History, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Toby R. Hindson
- Tree-Ring Services, Oakraven Field Centre, Mitcheldean, Gloucestershire GL17 0EE UK
| | - Heidi Howard
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
| | - Agata Buchwal
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
- Institute of Geoecology and Geoinformation, Adam Mickiewicz University, B. Krygowskiego 10, 61-680 Poznan, Poland
- Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, 1215 E. Lowell Street, AZ 85721 Tucson, USA
| | | | - Ulf Büntgen
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN UK
- Czech Globe Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300 Brno, Czech Republic
- Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic
| |
Collapse
|