The Severity of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Predicts 30-Day Unplanned Hospital Visit and Readmission after Pancreaticoduodenectomy: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

Readmission after pancreaticoduodenectomy: Birmingham score validation

BACKGROUND

The Birmingham score predicts the risk of hospital readmission after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This study aimed to validate the risk score in a different healthcare cohort.

METHODS

From 2017 to 2021, 301 patients underwent PD. The Birmingham score was applied to 276 patients. Postoperative deceased patients (n = 7) or those requiring a completion of pancreatectomy (n = 18) were excluded.

RESULTS

Forty-seven (17%) patients were readmitted after a median delay of 9 (range 1-49) days and stayed for 5 (range 1-27) days; 4 (8.5%) died during the hospital stay. The leading cause of readmission was a septic condition (53%), mostly resolved by medical treatment (77%). A multivariate analysis identified the occurrence of a clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula, the score criteria, and the score itself as independent factors favouring readmission. Readmission rates in patients with low [n = 97 (35%)], intermediate [n = 98 (36%)], and high [n = 81 (29%)] scores were 5%, 17%, and 31%, respectively (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

This study confirmed the relevance and robustness of the Birmingham risk score. Patients with a high risk of readmission after PD, identified based on the score, were discharged to a partnership medical centre close to the pancreatic centre to plan readmission and avoid futile unplanned hospitalisation.