Thyroid Cancer Incidence around the Belgian Nuclear Sites, 2000-2014

Study Protocol for Radiation Exposure and Cancer Risk Assessment: The Taiwan Nuclear Power Plants and Epidemiology Cohort Study (TNPECS)

BACKGROUND

This cohort was established to evaluate whether 38-year radiation exposure (since the start of nuclear reactor operations) is related to cancer risk in residents near three nuclear power plants (NPPs).

METHODS

This cohort study enrolled all residents who lived within 8 km of any of the three NPPs in Taiwan from 1978 to 2016 (n = 214,502; person-years = 4,660,189). The control population (n = 257,475; person-years = 6,282,390) from three towns comprised all residents having lived more than 15 km from all three NPPs. Radiation exposure will be assessed via computer programs GASPAR-II and LADTAP-II by following methodologies provided in the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission regulatory guides. We calculated the cumulative individual tissue organ equivalent dose and cumulative effective dose for each resident. This study presents the number of new cancer cases and prevalence in the residence-nearest NPP group and control group in the 38-year research observation period.

CONCLUSION

TNPECS provides a valuable platform for research and opens unique possibilities for testing whether radiation exposure since the start of operations of nuclear reactors will affect health across the life course. The release of radioactive nuclear species caused by the operation of NPPs caused residents to have an effective dose between 10^-7 and 10^-3 mSv/year. The mean cumulative medical radiation exposure dose between the residence-nearest NPP group and the control group was not different (7.69; standard deviation, 18.39 mSv and 7.61; standard deviation, 19.17 mSv; P = 0.114).

On the impact of residential history in the spatial analysis of diseases with a long latency period: A study of mesothelioma in Belgium

Mesothelioma is a rare cancer caused by exposure to asbestos. Belgium has a known long history of asbestos production, resulting in one of the highest mesothelioma mortality rates worldwide. While the production of asbestos has stopped completely, the long latency period of mesothelioma, which can fluctuate between 20 and 40 years after exposure, causes incidences still to be frequent. Mesothelioma's long incubation time affects our assessment of its geographical distribution as well. Since patients' residential locations are likely to change a number of times throughout their lives, the location where the patients develop the disease is often far from the location where they were exposed to asbestos. Using the residential history of patients, we propose the use of a convolution multiple membership model (MMM), which includes both a spatial conditional autoregressive and an unstructured random effect. Pancreatic cancer patients are used as a control population, reflecting the population at risk for mesothelioma. Results show the impact of the residential mobility on the geographical risk estimation, as well as the importance of acknowledging the latency period of a disease. A simulation study was conducted to investigate the properties of the convolution MMM. The robustness of the results for the convolution MMM is assessed via a sensitivity analysis.

Thyroid cancer incidence near nuclear sites in Belgium: An ecological study at small geographical level

In Belgium, variations in thyroid cancer incidence were observed around the major nuclear sites. The present ecological study investigates whether there is an excess incidence of thyroid cancer among people living in the vicinity of the four nuclear sites at the smallest Belgian geographical level. Rate ratios were obtained from a Bayesian hierarchical model for areas of varying sizes around the nuclear sites. Focused hypothesis tests and generalized additive models were performed to test the hypothesis of a gradient in thyroid cancer incidence with increasing levels of surrogate exposures. No evidence was found for more incident cases of thyroid cancer near the two nuclear power plants. Regarding the two industrial and research nuclear sites, no evidence for a higher incidence in the vicinity of Mol‐Dessel was observed, whereas a slightly nonsignificant higher incidence was found in the close vicinity of Fleurus. In addition, significant gradients for thyroid cancer incidence were observed with the different types of surrogate exposure considered in the 20 km area around the site of Fleurus (decreasing distance, increasing wind direction frequency and increasing exposure to estimated hypothetical radioactive discharges of iodine‐131). In the investigation at the smallest Belgian geographical level, variations in thyroid cancer incidence were found around the Belgian nuclear sites. Significant exposure–response relationships were also observed for the site of Fleurus. Further investigations into these findings could be useful to allow inferring causal relationships on the origin of variations in incidence and to provide information at the individual level.

What's new?

Potential cancer risk associated with living near nuclear installations has long been a public concern. In Belgium, a previous study found a higher incidence around the two nuclear sites with research and industrial activities, but not around the two nuclear power plants. Exposure misclassification due to the large geographical scale could not be excluded, however. The present study, which uses data available at the smallest Belgian geographical level, confirms the previously‐described incidence patterns around the nuclear power plants and for one of the research and industrial sites. There was a significant exposure‐response relationship for the latter. This finding is valuable for thyroid cancer etiology.

I-124-PET/US Fusion Imaging in Comparison to Conventional Diagnostics and Tc-99m Pertechnetate SPECT/US Fusion Imaging for the Function Assessment of Thyroid Nodules

The purpose of this study is to investigate I-124 positron emission tomography (PET)/ultrasound (US) fusion imaging for function assessment of thyroid nodules. In 70 patients, 201 lesions were examined with conventional diagnostics (CD) (thyroid US, laboratory findings and Tc-99m pertechnetate scintigraphy), Tc-99m pertechnetate single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and I-124 PET/computed tomography (CT). Subsequently, US fusion imaging (SPECT/US and PET/US) was performed by three experienced investigators. Patients referred for thyroid diagnostics in a clinical routine setting were included in this study if CD produced equivocal results. PET/US was superior to CD and SPECT/US in 96% and 86%, respectively, and ambiguous findings in CD were clarified by PET/US in 96% of the 70 patients. Regarding nodule-based function assessment, 10% (66%), 39% (14%) and 71% (4%) of the 201 lesions were rated with absolute certainty (equivocal or uncertain) using CD, SPECT/US and PET/US, respectively (p < 0.001). PET/US has the potential to improve the function assessment of thyroid nodules in comparison to CD.