Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Landscape Ecological Risks in the Ecological Functional Zone of the Upper Yellow River, China

Blackland Conservation and Utilization, Carbon Storage and Ecological Risk in Green Space: A Case Study from Heilongjiang Province in China

Clarifying the relationship between carbon storage and ecological risks is critical to ensuring regional sustainable development. Land use changes caused by land use policy invariably result in substantial changes in carbon storage and ecological risks. The link between carbon storage and ecological risks in green space is still unknown, even though green space is an essential ecological function carrier. According to the Blackland Conservation Utilization (BCU) policy document and natural exploitation (NP) status, this study compared and projected the carbon storage and landscape ecological risk characteristics of green space in Heilongjiang Province (HLJP) for 2030. It also quantitatively assessed the interactions and synergistic changes of the two variables in terms of coupled coordination relationships, quantitative correlations, and spatial correlations. The results demonstrated the following: (1) the green space evolution of HJLP under the BCU scenario is significantly more drastic than under the NP scenario; (2) In 2020-2030, the NP scenario's evolution of green space results in the ecosystem losing 323.51 × 106 t of carbon storage, compared to the BCU scenario's loss of just 216.07 × 106 t. The BCU policy will increase the agglomeration of high-risk ranges in the northeast and southwest will but decrease the overall landscape ecological risk level of green space; (3) BCU policy will prevent the system's orderly development and benign coupling, but it will increase the interdependence between carbon storage and landscape ecological risks in green space; (4) Green space exchange and loss will result in the simultaneous rise or decrease in both variables. The magnitude of carbon storage increase owing to green space expansion tends to increase simultaneously with the magnitude of landscape ecological risk reduction. To a certain extent, the HLJP black land conservation and utilization policy can improve carbon storage and ensure ecological security, and the matching of dominant regions with the status of the landscape evolutionary process can support future carbon-neutral actions.

Landscape ecological risk assessment and driving factor analysis in Dongjiang river watershed

The ecological and environmental quality of Dongjiang river watershed has great influence on Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao. The landscape ecological risk assessment model could effectively monitor and assess environmental quality. In this study, spatial autocorrelation and geographic detector methods were used to explore the spatial characteristics of landscape ecological risk and their driving factors in the Dongjiang river watershed for four decades. The results showed that the ecological risks of Dongjiang River Source Watershed are mainly classified as low and intermediate, which are distributed in the hilly regions and the marginal mountainous regions at the junction of the Xunwu and Dingnan counties. From 1980 to 2018, the area of regions with the low ecological risk increased by 587.01 km 2. The size of regions with moderate, high and severe ecological risk decreased by 165.6 km 2, 258.82 km2 and 162.58 km2, respectively. Moreover, landscape ecological risk values exhibited an apparent spatial dependency, and high-risk areas cluster together. Among influencing factors, population density has the most significant impact on the change of landscape ecological risk in the Dongjiang river watershed, followed by elevation (DEM), human interface, vegetation index (NDVI), and urbanization level. However, the interaction of driving factors has a greater impact on the ecological risk of the Dongjiang river watershed than a single driving factor. The research provides good knowledge for environmental quality management, and the proposed methods can be used for other regions.

Assessing the Landscape Ecological Risks of Land-Use Change

In recent years, a changing global climate and the continuous expansion of the intensity and scope of human activities have led to regional differentiation in the surface landscape. This has caused numerous ecological risks under multiple pressure sources, gradually becoming an important factor restricting the sustainable development of economic and social health. With the continuous development of the social economy, land use and associated ecological risks will inevitably change. According to the forest transformation theory and the environmental Kuznets curve, we put forward the theoretical framework of ecological risk transformation of land-use change and took Zhangjiachuan County (China) as an example to verify it. Therefore, on the basis of Landsat satellite data, this paper used landscape structures to calculate an ecological risk index, and evaluated the ecological risk of land-use changes through pattern index analyses. The results show that, from 2000 to 2020, the ecological risk index of land-use change in Zhangjiachuan County exhibited an increasing and then decreasing trend, showing an overall "inverted U-shaped" trend of change consistent with the transformation theoretical framework of ecological risks of land use change. Secondly, in terms of patterns, the ecological risk of land-use change in Zhangjiachuan County showed a distribution feature of high in the west and low in the east. In 2000, high-risk areas were mainly concentrated in the central and northern areas, while low-risk areas were mainly concentrated in the eastern areas. From 2000 to 2015, the medium-risk areas expanded to the west and midwest, and the geographic centers of the risk areas were slightly offset. From 2015 to 2020, the overall pattern of ecological risk areas was basically the same as that of the previous stage, but the medium-risk areas were slightly reduced. In terms of quantity, from 2000 to 2015, the areas of the lowest risk level and low risk level decreased, while the areas of medium risk level, high risk level, and the highest risk level increased; from 2015 to 2020, the areas of the lowest risk level and low risk level increased, and the areas of medium risk level, high risk level, and highest risk level decreased. Lastly, the spatial aggregation of ecological risks in Zhangjiachuan County weakened slightly from 2000 to 2005, gradually increased from 2005 to 2015, and then slightly weakened from 2015 to 2020.

Assessing the Terrain Gradient Effect of Landscape Ecological Risk in the Dianchi Lake Basin of China Using Geo-Information Tupu Method

The assessment of landscape ecological risk (LER) in different terrain gradients is beneficial to ecological environmental protection and risk management in different terrain gradients. Due to the impact of urban expansion, the landscape pattern of the Dianchi Lake basin (DLB) changed obviously, resulting in significant spatial difference of LER. At present, the LER assessment of the DLB is not clear, and the evolution mechanism of LER in different terrain gradients has not been revealed. Based on the LER assessment model, the geo-information Tupu method, the terrain niche gradient, and distribution index, this paper analyzed the LER and its terrain gradient effect in the DLB of China. The conclusions are as follows: (1) Since 1995, the land use type has mainly changed from grassland and cultivated land to construction land in the DLB of China. (2) The LERs in the DLB of China were mainly low, med low, and med high due to the transformation of land use type. The dominance distribution of the low and high LER was obviously constrained by terrain gradient. While the dominance distribution of med-low LER expanded to med-high terrain gradient, the dominance distribution of the med-high LER decreased to med-low terrain gradient. (3) The Tupu LERs were mainly a stable type of "medium" risk and anaphase change type of "med-high to medium" risk. The dominant distribution regions of the stable type, the prophase change type, and the continuous change type were relatively stable; the anaphase and middle change type expanded to the higher terrain gradient, and the repeated change type decreased to the med-high terrain gradient. In the process of ecological risk management and protection in the DLB, attention should be paid to the water area structure and LER control in med-high and high terrain gradients.

Impact of Cereal Production Displacement from Urban Expansion on Ecosystem Service Values in China: Based on Three Cropland Supplement Strategies

The acceleration of global urban expansion constantly occupies high-quality cropland and affects regional food security. The implementation of cropland protection policies has alleviated the pressure of cropland loss worldwide, and thus keeping a dynamic balance of cereal production. Such a displacement of cereal production from the lost cropland to the supplemented cropland has resulted in the massive losses of natural habitats (such as forests, grasslands, and wetlands) as well as ecosystem service values. However, the impact of cereal production displacement caused by different cropland supplement strategies has not been concerned. Therefore, taking China (mainland) as a case, this study used the LANDSCAPE model to simulate cereal production displacement caused by urban expansion and cropland supplement between 2020 and 2040, based on three scales of the Chinese administration system (i.e., the national level, the provincial level, and the municipal level). The natural habitat loss and corresponding ecosystem service value (ESV) loss were assessed. The results show that the national-scale cereal displacement will lead to a large reclamation of cropland in North China, causing the most natural habitat loss (5090 km2), and the least ESV loss (46.53 billion yuan). Cereal production displacement at the provincial and municipal scales will lead to fewer natural habitat losses (4696 km2 and 4954 km2, respectively), but more ESV losses (54.16 billion yuan and 54.02 billion yuan, respectively). Based on the national food security and ecological conservation in China, this study discussed the reasons for the ecological effects of cereal production displacement, direct and indirect natural habitat loss of urban expansion, and cropland protection policies in China. We suggest that China's cropland protection policy should emphasize avoiding large-scale cropland displacement and occupation of natural habitat with high ESV for cropland supplement.