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Shirvani O, Warnat-Herresthal S, Savchuk I, Bode FJ, Nitsch L, Stösser S, Ebrahimi T, von Danwitz N, Asperger H, Layer J, Meissner J, Thielscher C, Dorn F, Lehnen N, Schultze JL, Petzold GC, Weller JM. Machine learning models for outcome prediction in thrombectomy for large anterior vessel occlusion. Ann Clin Transl Neurol 2024. [PMID: 39180278 DOI: 10.1002/acn3.52185] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2024] [Revised: 07/18/2024] [Accepted: 08/10/2024] [Indexed: 08/26/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Predicting long-term functional outcomes shortly after a stroke is challenging, even for experienced neurologists. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate multiple machine learning models and the importance of clinical/radiological parameters to develop a model that balances minimal input data with reliable predictions of long-term functional independency. METHODS Our study utilized data from the German Stroke Registry on patients with large anterior vessel occlusion who underwent endovascular treatment. We trained seven machine learning models using 30 parameters from the first day postadmission to predict a modified Ranking Scale of 0-2 at 90 days poststroke. Model performance was assessed using a 20-fold cross-validation and one-sided Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Key features were identified through backward feature selection. RESULTS We included 7485 individuals with a median age of 75 years and a median NIHSS score at admission of 14 in our analysis. Our Deep Neural Network model demonstrated the best performance among all models including data from 24 h postadmission. Backward feature selection identified the seven most important features to be NIHSS after 24 h, age, modified Ranking Scale after 24 h, premorbid modified Ranking Scale, intracranial hemorrhage within 24 h, intravenous thrombolysis, and NIHSS at admission. Narrowing the Deep Neural Network model's input data to these features preserved the high performance with an AUC of 0.9 (CI: 0.89-0.91). INTERPRETATION Our Deep Neural Network model, trained on over 7000 patients, predicts 90-day functional independence using only seven clinical/radiological features from the first day postadmission, demonstrating both high accuracy and practicality for clinical implementation on stroke units.
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Affiliation(s)
- Omid Shirvani
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Bonn, Germany
| | - Stefanie Warnat-Herresthal
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Bonn, Germany
- Genomics and Immunoregulation, Life & Medical Sciences (LIMES) Institute, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Ivan Savchuk
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Bonn, Germany
| | - Felix J Bode
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Louisa Nitsch
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Sebastian Stösser
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Taraneh Ebrahimi
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Niklas von Danwitz
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Hannah Asperger
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Julia Layer
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Julius Meissner
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | | | - Franziska Dorn
- Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Nils Lehnen
- Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Joachim L Schultze
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Bonn, Germany
- Genomics and Immunoregulation, Life & Medical Sciences (LIMES) Institute, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Gabor C Petzold
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
- German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Bonn, Germany
| | - Johannes M Weller
- Department of Vascular Neurology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
- Department of Neurooncology, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany
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Wijaya R, Saeed F, Samimi P, Albarrak AM, Qasem SN. An Ensemble Machine Learning and Data Mining Approach to Enhance Stroke Prediction. Bioengineering (Basel) 2024; 11:672. [PMID: 39061754 PMCID: PMC11274138 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering11070672] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2024] [Revised: 06/20/2024] [Accepted: 06/20/2024] [Indexed: 07/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Stroke poses a significant health threat, affecting millions annually. Early and precise prediction is crucial to providing effective preventive healthcare interventions. This study applied an ensemble machine learning and data mining approach to enhance the effectiveness of stroke prediction. By employing the cross-industry standard process for data mining (CRISP-DM) methodology, various techniques, including random forest, ExtraTrees, XGBoost, artificial neural network (ANN), and genetic algorithm with ANN (GANN) were applied on two benchmark datasets to predict stroke based on several parameters, such as gender, age, various diseases, smoking status, BMI, HighCol, physical activity, hypertension, heart disease, lifestyle, and others. Due to dataset imbalance, Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to the datasets. Hyperparameter tuning optimized the models via grid search and randomized search cross-validation. The evaluation metrics included accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the curve (AUC). The experimental results show that the ensemble ExtraTrees classifier achieved the highest accuracy (98.24%) and AUC (98.24%). Random forest also performed well, achieving 98.03% in both accuracy and AUC. Comparisons with state-of-the-art stroke prediction methods revealed that the proposed approach demonstrates superior performance, indicating its potential as a promising method for stroke prediction and offering substantial benefits to healthcare.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard Wijaya
- College of Computing and Digital Technology, Birmingham City University, Birmingham B4 7XG, UK; (R.W.); (P.S.)
| | - Faisal Saeed
- College of Computing and Digital Technology, Birmingham City University, Birmingham B4 7XG, UK; (R.W.); (P.S.)
| | - Parnia Samimi
- College of Computing and Digital Technology, Birmingham City University, Birmingham B4 7XG, UK; (R.W.); (P.S.)
| | - Abdullah M. Albarrak
- Computer Science Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia; (A.M.A.); (S.N.Q.)
| | - Sultan Noman Qasem
- Computer Science Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia; (A.M.A.); (S.N.Q.)
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Son YS, Kwon KH. Utilization of smart devices and the evolution of customized healthcare services focusing on big data: a systematic review. Mhealth 2023; 10:7. [PMID: 38323151 PMCID: PMC10839508 DOI: 10.21037/mhealth-23-24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2023] [Accepted: 10/24/2023] [Indexed: 02/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Currently, smart devices can prevent diseases by continuously collecting user information and providing health-related feedback. Smart devices big data provide personalized, faster, and more accurate health care. By examining existing studies, we suggest a new healthcare evolution and health promotion through information technology (IT) convergence. A big data systematic review examined the evolution of new health care and their potential for health promotion by monitoring physical activities, preventing diseases, and analyzing health data smart devices. Methods Therefore, this evaluates whether a new healthcare industry combining smart devices and big-data-based customized health care services can promote health. This study searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Scopus, and Research Information Sharing Service (RISS) for keywords related to big data, smart devices, healthcare, customized health services, health apps, and mobile health. This study comprised 43 of 453 publications from 2007 to 2023. Among them, a total of 43 articles were successfully completed in this study using the PRISMA flowchart in the final stage. Results Smart devices centered on big data enable personalized health care, and app technologies that promote well-being to prepare for aging society have many applications in clinical, prevention, public health, and rehabilitation settings. Smart devices and tailored healthcare services using big data to inform individuals about exercise, health status, diagnosis, and health information will expand into major sectors. By reviewing previous studies, the convergence of the IT technology field, which allows you to easily identify individual health and receive faster and more accurate medical services through customized health care services, has future-oriented values as, new health care services evolve. The systematic review of big data herein can monitor physical activity and prevent diseases using smart devices, thus promoting a healthy lifestyle. Conclusions Smart devices that analyze data to provide personal exercise and health conditions, checkups, and information, are making our lives easier. The information service using big data will continue to evolve into a personalized management service and provide basic healthcare data as it grows into an expected industry in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Youn Sun Son
- Division of Beauty Arts Care, Department of Practical Arts, Graduate School of Culture and Arts, Dongguk University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ki Han Kwon
- College of General Education, Kookmin University, Seoul, Korea
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Gallo C. Artificial Intelligence for Personalized Genetics and New Drug Development: Benefits and Cautions. Bioengineering (Basel) 2023; 10:bioengineering10050613. [PMID: 37237683 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering10050613] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
As the global health care system grapples with steadily rising costs, increasing numbers of admissions, and the chronic defection of doctors and nurses from the profession, appropriate measures need to be put in place to reverse this course before it is too late [...].
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Affiliation(s)
- Crescenzio Gallo
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Foggia, 71121 Foggia, Italy
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On p-Values and Statistical Significance. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12030900. [PMID: 36769547 PMCID: PMC9917591 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12030900] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/20/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2023] Open
Abstract
At the beginning of our research training, we learned about hypothesis testing, p-values, and statistical inference [...].
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