The Global, Regional and National Burden of Pancreatic Cancer Attributable to Smoking, 1990 to 2019: A Systematic Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

The Global Burden of Early-Onset Pancreatic Cancer and Its Risk Factors: A Perspective From Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

OBJECTIVES

Despite evidence of increased incidence of early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC), defined as pancreatic cancer diagnosed in patients below 50 years old, and its risk factors in the Western region, global epidemiological data addressing this issue is still lacking.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we aimed to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its risk factors, including smoking, obesity, and diabetes. The analysis examined the annual percentage change (APC) over the period.

RESULTS

In 2019, the incidence of EOPC surpassed 35,000 cases worldwide. This burden of EOPC tends to be more prevalent in males, as well as in Europe and high SDI countries. However, there is a noticeable upward trend in the burden of EOPC in the Eastern Mediterranean. While there is a global decline in EOPC mortality attributed to smoking (APC -0.33%), there is a concerning increase in mortality associated with diabetes (APC +2.84%) and obesity (APC +2.12%).

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of EOPC has been increasing. The mortality is rising mainly from metabolic factors. There is an urgent need for national policy development for reducing the burden of this disease.

Has the trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in Spain started to slow down?

INTRODUCTION

the aim of this study was to describe the trends of pancreatic cancer mortality by autonomous communities (ACs) and gender in Spain (1980-2021).

METHODS

an ecological trend study was performed (with aggregated data obtained from the National Institute of Statistics). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for pancreatic cancer (per 100,000) were estimated by direct standardization, using the European standard population. Trends in ASMR (all ages and truncated 35-64 years) were analyzed by sex in each AC using a joinpoint regression model. The annual percent changes (APC) and average annual percentage of change (AAPC) were computed for trends using the joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

in both sexes, ASMRs (all ages) increased significantly (p < 0.05) during the study period (AAPC: 1.5 % in males and 1.8 % in females). The joinpoint analysis identified a turning point in the trends in the late 1980s, which delineates two periods: an initial period of significant increase followed by a period of slowing of the increase (APC: 0.9 % and 1.4 % in males and females respectively; p < 0.05). In both sexes, a significant increase in ASMR (all ages) was observed in all ACs, except in Navarre, where the rates remained stable in males. In males, three ACs (Galicia, Madrid and Navarre) showed a point of inflexion in the time trend around the year 2000 (1999, 2000 and 2001 respectively), when the rates, after a period of significant increase (ACs: 2.6 %, 2.4 %, and 2.4 %, respectively; p < 0.05), stabilized (Galicia and Navarre) or the increase slowed (Madrid). In females, only Madrid showed a point of inflection in 1992, when, after a significant increase, the rates slowed down (1992-2021; APC: 1.5 %; p < 0.05).  Conclusions: the upward trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in some ACs seems to have slowed (in both sexes in Madrid), stabilized (in men in Galicia and Navarre) or turned around (in men aged 30-64 in Navarre).

Temporal trends of migraine and tension-type headache burden across the BRICS: implications from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019

Background

Headache disorders have become a significant global public health issue, with a notably high prevalence observed in developing countries. However, few studies have assessed headache disorders trends in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). This study aimed to assess the prevalence of headache disorders in individuals across the BRICS, spanning the years 1990 to 2019.

Methods

We obtained headache disorders data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study (GBD2019). This evaluation examined incidence rates, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for migraine and tension-type headache (TTH) across demographic factors like age, gender, year, and country. Migraine and TTH were diagnosed based on the International Classification of Headache Disorders (ICHD-3) criteria. We used disease codes from the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision to identify migraine and TTH cases. Statistical analyzes included calculating age-standardized rates and estimated annual percentage changes. Future disease burden was projected using a log-linear age-period-cohort model.

Results

In 2019, India had the highest prevalence of migraine (213890207.93 cases) and TTH (374,453,700 cases). Brazil had the highest migraine age-standardized prevalence rate (18,331 per 100,000) and incidence rate (1,489 per 100,000). For TTH, India had the highest prevalence (26,160 per 100,000) while Russia had the highest incidence (11,512 per 100,000). From 1990 to 2019, China showed the greatest increase in migraine and TTH prevalence. India had the highest migraine (7,687,692) and TTH (741,392) DALYs in 2019.

Conclusion

Migraine and TTH remain highly prevalent in BRICS nations, inflicting considerable disability burden. While India and China face mounting disease prevalence, Brazil contends with high incidence rates. Tailored interventions based on country-specific epidemiological profiles are warranted to mitigate the public health impact.