Multidimensional-Based Prediction of Pressure Ulcers Development and Severity in Hospitalized Frail Oldest Old: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

In recent times, growing uncertainty has emerged regarding the effectiveness of standard pressure ulcer (PU) risk assessment tools, which are suspected to be no better than clinical judgment, especially in the frail and comorbid elderly population. This study aimed to identify the primary clinical predictive variables for PU development and severity in hospitalized older adults, utilizing a multidimensional frailty assessment, and compare them with the Braden scale.

Patients and methods

The population consisted of 316 patients, admitted to the Geriatric Unit and Transitional Care of San Bartolomeo Hospital in Sarzana (Italy) during the period 21/02/22-01/07/22. The collected information included both anamnestic and laboratory data. A comprehensive geriatric assessment was performed, including also anthropometric and physical performance measurements. Multivariate logistic analysis was used, both in a binary classification test and in the subsequent ordinal classification test of severity levels. The final performance of the model was assessed by ROC curve estimation and AUC comparison with the Braden scale.

Results

Within the population, 152 subjects (48%) developed PU at different levels of severity. The results showed that age, Braden scale (subscales of mobility and friction/shear), Barthel scale, Mini Nutritional Assessment, hemoglobin, and albumin are predictors associated with the development of PU (AUC 85%). The result is an improvement over the use of the Braden scale alone (AUC 75%). Regarding the identification of predictive factors for PU severity, 4AT also emerges as potentially relevant.

Conclusion

Assessing the subject's nutritional status, physical performance, and functional autonomies enables the effective integration of the Braden scale in identifying patients most susceptible to developing PU. Our findings support the integration of a comprehensive set of methodologically robust frailty determinants into traditional risk assessment tools. This integration reflects the mutual interplay between patients' frailty, skin frailty, and PU development in very old hospitalized patients.

Implementable Prediction of Pressure Injuries in Hospitalized Adults: Model Development and Validation

Background

Numerous pressure injury prediction models have been developed using electronic health record data, yet hospital-acquired pressure injuries (HAPIs) are increasing, which demonstrates the critical challenge of implementing these models in routine care.

Objective

To help bridge the gap between development and implementation, we sought to create a model that was feasible, broadly applicable, dynamic, actionable, and rigorously validated and then compare its performance to usual care (ie, the Braden scale).

Methods

We extracted electronic health record data from 197,991 adult hospital admissions with 51 candidate features. For risk prediction and feature selection, we used logistic regression with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) approach. To compare the model with usual care, we used the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), Brier score, slope, intercept, and integrated calibration index. The model was validated using a temporally staggered cohort.

Results

A total of 5458 HAPIs were identified between January 2018 and July 2022. We determined 22 features were necessary to achieve a parsimonious and highly accurate model. The top 5 features included tracheostomy, edema, central line, first albumin measure, and age. Our model achieved higher discrimination than the Braden scale (AUC 0.897, 95% CI 0.893-0.901 vs AUC 0.798, 95% CI 0.791-0.803).

Conclusions

We developed and validated an accurate prediction model for HAPIs that surpassed the standard-of-care risk assessment and fulfilled necessary elements for implementation. Future work includes a pragmatic randomized trial to assess whether our model improves patient outcomes.

Image Smart Segmentation Analysis Against Diabetic Foot Ulcer Using Internet of Things with Virtual Sensing

Diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is a problem worldwide, and prevention is crucial. The image segmentation analysis of DFU identification plays a significant role. This will produce different segmentation of the same idea, incomplete, imprecise, and other problems. To address these issues, a method of image segmentation analysis of DFU through internet of things with the technique of virtual sensing for semantically similar objects, the analysis of four levels of range segmentation (region-based, edge-based, image-based, and computer-aided design-based range segmentation) for deeper segmentation of images is implemented. In this study, the multimodal is compressed with the object co-segmentation for semantical segmentation. The result is predicting the better validity and reliability assessment. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model can efficiently perform segmentation analysis, with a lower error rate, than the existing methodologies. The findings on the multiple-image dataset show that DFU obtains an average segmentation score of 90.85% and 89.03% correspondingly in two types of labeled ratios before DFU with virtual sensing and after DFU without virtual sensing (i.e., 25% and 30%), which is an increase of 10.91% and 12.22% over the previous best results. In live DFU studies, our proposed system improved by 59.1% compared with existing deep segmentation-based techniques and its average image smart segmentation improvements over its contemporaries are 15.06%, 23.94%, and 45.41%, respectively. Proposed range-based segmentation achieves interobserver reliability by 73.9% on the positive test namely likelihood ratio test set with only a 0.25 million parameters at the pace of labeled data.

In-Advance Prediction of Pressure Ulcers via Deep-Learning-Based Robust Missing Value Imputation on Real-Time Intensive Care Variables

Pressure ulcers (PUs) are a prevalent skin disease affecting patients with impaired mobility and in high-risk groups. These ulcers increase patients' suffering, medical expenses, and burden on medical staff. This study introduces a clinical decision support system and verifies it for predicting real-time PU occurrences within the intensive care unit (ICU) by using MIMIC-IV and in-house ICU data. We develop various machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for predicting PU occurrences in real time using the MIMIC-IV and validate using the MIMIC-IV and Kangwon National University Hospital (KNUH) dataset. To address the challenge of missing values in time series, we propose a novel recurrent neural network model, GRU-D++. This model outperformed other experimental models by achieving the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.945 for the on-time prediction and AUROC of 0.912 for 48h in-advance prediction. Furthermore, in the external validation with the KNUH dataset, the fine-tuned GRU-D++ model demonstrated superior performances, achieving an AUROC of 0.898 for on-time prediction and an AUROC of 0.897 for 48h in-advance prediction. The proposed GRU-D++, designed to consider temporal information and missing values, stands out for its predictive accuracy. Our findings suggest that this model can significantly alleviate the workload of medical staff and prevent the worsening of patient conditions by enabling timely interventions for PUs in the ICU.

Leveraging artificial intelligence and decision support systems in hospital-acquired pressure injuries prediction: A comprehensive review

BACKGROUND

Hospital-acquired pressure injuries (HAPIs) constitute a significant challenge harming thousands of people worldwide yearly. While various tools and methods are used to identify pressure injuries, artificial intelligence (AI) and decision support systems (DSS) can help to reduce HAPIs risks by proactively identifying patients at risk and preventing them before harming patients.

OBJECTIVE

This paper comprehensively reviews AI and DSS applications for HAPIs prediction using Electronic Health Records (EHR), including a systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted through PRISMA and bibliometric analysis. In February 2023, the search was performed using four electronic databases: SCOPIS, PubMed, EBSCO, and PMCID. Articles on using AI and DSS in the management of PIs were included.

RESULTS

The search approach yielded 319 articles, 39 of which have been included and classified into 27 AI-related and 12 DSS-related categories. The years of publication varied from 2006 to 2023, with 40% of the studies taking place in the US. Most studies focused on using AI algorithms or DSS for HAPIs prediction in inpatient units using various types of data such as electronic health records, PI assessment scales, and expert knowledge-based and environmental data to identify the risk factors associated with HAPIs development.

CONCLUSIONS

There is insufficient evidence in the existing literature concerning the real impact of AI or DSS on making decisions for HAPIs treatment or prevention. Most studies reviewed are solely hypothetical and retrospective prediction models, with no actual application in healthcare settings. The accuracy rates, prediction results, and intervention procedures suggested based on the prediction, on the other hand, should inspire researchers to combine both approaches with larger-scale data to bring a new venue for HAPIs prevention and to investigate and adopt the suggested solutions to the existing gaps in AI and DSS prediction methods.

An Integrated System of Braden Scale and Random Forest Using Real-Time Diagnoses to Predict When Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries (Bedsores) Occur

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Bedsores/Pressure Injuries (PIs) are the second most common diagnosis in healthcare system billing records in the United States and account for 60,000 deaths annually. Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries (HAPIs) are one classification of PIs and indicate injuries that occurred while the patient was cared for within the hospital. Until now, all studies have predicted who will develop HAPI using classic machine algorithms, which provides incomplete information for the clinical team. Knowing who will develop HAPI does not help differentiate at which point those predicted patients will develop HAPIs; no studies have investigated when HAPI develops for predicted at-risk patients. This research aims to develop a hybrid system of Random Forest (RF) and Braden Scale to predict HAPI time by considering the changes in patients' diagnoses from admission until HAPI occurrence.

METHODS

Real-time diagnoses and risk factors were collected daily for 485 patients from admission until HAPI occurrence, which resulted in 4619 records. Then for each record, HAPI time was calculated from the day of diagnosis until HAPI occurrence. Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) selected the best factors among the 60 factors. The dataset was separated into 80% training (10-fold cross-validation) and 20% testing. Grid Search (GS) with RF (GS-RF) was adopted to predict HAPI time using collected risk factors, including Braden Scale. Then, the proposed model was compared with the seven most common algorithms used to predict HAPI; each was replicated for 50 different experiments.

RESULTS

GS-RF achieved the best Area Under the Curve (AUC) (91.20 ± 0.26) and Geometric Mean (G-mean) (91.17 ± 0.26) compared to the seven algorithms. RFE selected 43 factors. The most dominant interactable risk factors in predicting HAPI time were visiting ICU during hospitalization, Braden subscales, BMI, Stimuli Anesthesia, patient refusal to change position, and another lab diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Identifying when the patient is likely to develop HAPI can target early intervention when it is needed most and reduces unnecessary burden on patients and care teams when patients are at lower risk, which further individualizes the plan of care.

An Integrated System of Multifaceted Machine Learning Models to Predict If and When Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries (Bedsores) Occur

Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injury (HAPI), known as bedsore or decubitus ulcer, is one of the most common health conditions in the United States. Machine learning has been used to predict HAPI. This is insufficient information for the clinical team because knowing who would develop HAPI in the future does not help differentiate the severity of those predicted cases. This research develops an integrated system of multifaceted machine learning models to predict if and when HAPI occurs. Phase 1 integrates Genetic Algorithm with Cost-Sensitive Support Vector Machine (GA-CS-SVM) to handle the high imbalance HAPI dataset to predict if patients will develop HAPI. Phase 2 adopts Grid Search with SVM (GS-SVM) to predict when HAPI will occur for at-risk patients. This helps to prioritize who is at the highest risk and when that risk will be highest. The performance of the developed models is compared with state-of-the-art models in the literature. GA-CS-SVM achieved the best Area Under the Curve (AUC) (75.79 ± 0.58) and G-mean (75.73 ± 0.59), while GS-SVM achieved the best AUC (75.06) and G-mean (75.06). The research outcomes will help prioritize at-risk patients, allocate targeted resources and aid with better medical staff planning to provide intervention to those patients.

Machine Learning Techniques, Applications, and Potential Future Opportunities in Pressure Injuries (Bedsores) Management: A Systematic Review

Pressure Injuries (PI) are one of the most common health conditions in the United States. Most acute or long-term care patients are at risk of developing PI. Machine Learning (ML) has been utilized to manage patients with PI, in which one systematic review describes how ML is used in PI management in 32 studies. This research, different from the previous systematic review, summarizes the previous contributions of ML in PI from January 2007 to July 2022, categorizes the studies according to medical specialties, analyzes gaps, and identifies opportunities for future research directions. PRISMA guidelines were adopted using the four most common databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Science Direct) and other resources, which result in 90 eligible studies. The reviewed articles are divided into three categories based on PI time of occurrence: before occurrence (48%); at time of occurrence (16%); and after occurrence (36%). Each category is further broken down into sub-fields based on medical specialties, which result in sixteen specialties. Each specialty is analyzed in terms of methods, inputs, and outputs. The most relevant and potentially useful applications and methods in PI management are outlined and discussed. This includes deep learning techniques and hybrid models, integration of existing risk assessment tools with ML that leads to a partnership between provider assessment and patients' Electronic Health Records (EHR).

A Hybrid System of Braden Scale and Machine Learning to Predict Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries (Bedsores): A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Background: The Braden Scale is commonly used to determine Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries (HAPI). However, the volume of patients who are identified as being at risk stretches already limited resources, and caregivers are limited by the number of factors that can reasonably assess during patient care. In the last decade, machine learning techniques have been used to predict HAPI by utilizing related risk factors. Nevertheless, none of these studies consider the change in patient status from admission until discharge. Objectives: To develop an integrated system of Braden and machine learning to predict HAPI and assist with resource allocation for early interventions. The proposed approach captures the change in patients' risk by assessing factors three times across hospitalization. Design: Retrospective observational cohort study. Setting(s): This research was conducted at ChristianaCare hospital in Delaware, United States. Participants: Patients discharged between May 2020 and February 2022. Patients with HAPI were identified from Nursing documents (N = 15,889). Methods: Support Vector Machine (SVM) was adopted to predict patients' risk for developing HAPI using multiple risk factors in addition to Braden. Multiple performance metrics were used to compare the results of the integrated system versus Braden alone. Results: The HAPI rate is 3%. The integrated system achieved better sensitivity (74.29 ± 1.23) and detection prevalence (24.27 ± 0.16) than the Braden scale alone (sensitivity (66.90 ± 4.66) and detection prevalence (41.96 ± 1.35)). The most important risk factors to predict HAPI were Braden sub-factors, overall Braden, visiting ICU during hospitalization, and Glasgow coma score. Conclusions: The integrated system which combines SVM with Braden offers better performance than Braden and reduces the number of patients identified as at-risk. Furthermore, it allows for better allocation of resources to high-risk patients. It will result in cost savings and better utilization of resources. Relevance to clinical practice: The developed model provides an automated system to predict HAPI patients in real time and allows for ongoing intervention for patients identified as at-risk. Moreover, the integrated system is used to determine the number of nurses needed for early interventions. Reporting Method: EQUATOR guidelines (TRIPOD) were adopted in this research to develop the prediction model. Patient or Public Contribution: This research was based on a secondary analysis of patients' Electronic Health Records. The dataset was de-identified and patient identifiers were removed before processing and modeling.

Challenges for Artificial Intelligence in Recognizing Mental Disorders

Artificial Intelligence (AI) appears to be making important advances in the prediction and diagnosis of mental disorders. Researchers have used visual, acoustic, verbal, and physiological features to train models to predict or aid in the diagnosis, with some success. However, such systems are rarely applied in clinical practice, mainly because of the many challenges that currently exist. First, mental disorders such as depression are highly subjective, with complex symptoms, individual differences, and strong socio-cultural ties, meaning that their diagnosis requires comprehensive consideration. Second, there are many problems with the current samples, such as artificiality, poor ecological validity, small sample size, and mandatory category simplification. In addition, annotations may be too subjective to meet the requirements of professional clinicians. Moreover, multimodal information does not solve the current challenges, and within-group variations are greater than between-group characteristics, also posing significant challenges for recognition. In conclusion, current AI is still far from effectively recognizing mental disorders and cannot replace clinicians' diagnoses in the near future. The real challenge for AI-based mental disorder diagnosis is not a technical one, nor is it wholly about data, but rather our overall understanding of mental disorders in general.

Machine Learning-Based Pressure Ulcer Prediction in Modular Critical Care Data

Increasingly available open medical and health datasets encourage data-driven research with a promise of improving patient care through knowledge discovery and algorithm development. Among efficient approaches to such high-dimensional problems are a number of machine learning methods, which are applied in this paper to pressure ulcer prediction in modular critical care data. An inherent property of many health-related datasets is a high number of irregularly sampled time-variant and scarcely populated features, often exceeding the number of observations. Although machine learning methods are known to work well under such circumstances, many choices regarding model and data processing exist. In particular, this paper address both theoretical and practical aspects related to the application of six classification models to pressure ulcers, while utilizing one of the largest available Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) databases. Random forest, with an accuracy of 96%, is the best-performing approach among the considered machine learning algorithms.