Long-Term Outcome in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus; Knowledge from Population-Based Cohorts

Declining Incidence of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in Norway 1999-2017: Data From a Population Cohort Identified by International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision Code and Verified by Classification

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to provide complete, robust data on annual systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) incidence rates over nearly two decades from the Southeast Norway area (2.9 million inhabitants) and assess accuracy of SLE-specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for SLE diagnosis.

METHODS

From administrative databases, we identified all cases International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) coded as SLE during 1999 through 2017 in Southeast Norway. We manually reviewed the chart of every case ICD-10 coded as SLE to either confirm or reject SLE diagnosis. Using SLE classification criteria, we classified all cases with confirmed SLE. We estimated annual incidence rates of classified SLE, and subsets, defined by age at diagnosis, sex, and parental country of birth. The chi-square test was applied for linear time-trend analyses of incidence.

RESULTS

Among the 3,488 cases ICD-10 coded as SLE, chart reviews confirmed SLE diagnosis in 1,558 (45%), of which 797 had new-onset disease during 1999 through 2017. Annual SLE incidence rates fell during 1999 to 2017. The fall was most pronounced in female persons 50 to 59 years old at diagnosis, in whom incidence fell from 3.4 to 1.1 per 100,000 persons (P trend < 0.001). Concurrent ecological data from the study area showed a 74% reduction in prescriptions of menopausal hormone treatment. Accuracy of ICD-10 codes for incident SLE diagnosis was acceptable in juveniles and young adults (up to 20 years) but otherwise low.

CONCLUSION

In a presumably complete population-based cohort, we identified decreasing incidence of SLE, especially among female persons 50 to 59 years old. Although reasons for declining incidence are not clear, ecological data indicate a possible role of environmental factors, for example, menopausal hormone treatments.

Clustering of systemic lupus erythematosus mortality in southwestern Spain

OBJECTIVE

To analyse time trends in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) mortality and explore possible provincial clustering of SLE mortality in Spain (2001-2020).

METHODS

We conducted an ecological study using deaths registered in SLE at the Spanish National Institute of Statistics between 2001 and 2020. Jointpoint regression models have been used to evaluate temporal trends. To analyse the spatial pattern of SLE mortality in men and women in Spain, crude rates, age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), smooth relative risk (RR) and posterior probabilities (PP) for RR greater than one for the period 2001-2020 were calculated. The Global Moran I index was used to assess the existence of global spatial autocorrelation. Local indicators of spatial association (LISA) and Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic were used to identify clusters.

RESULTS

Over the 20 years analyzed in this study, the SLE average ASMR for the period was 2.7 for women and 0.7 for men, with a sex ratio (female/male) of 3.8. In men, no province showed a RR>1. Conversely, in women, eight provinces showed values of RR> 1 with a PP greater than 0.8 (Seville, Cadiz, Huelva and Murcia in the south, Barcelona, Zaragoza, Huesca and Leon in the north). In men, neither of the two methods detected a clustering of provinces. However, in women, both methods identified a cluster of provinces located in the southwest of the country (Huelva, Cádiz, Seville and Malaga) as a cluster with significant excess mortality. In the second cluster (centred on the province of Huelva) obtained with the Kulldorff method, two more provinces were added (Badajoz and Cordoba, also located in the southwest).

CONCLUSIONS

We detected a cluster of provinces with an excess risk of female SLE mortality in the southwest of Spain.

Clinical Heterogeneity, Unmet Needs and Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

The clinical presentation of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is highly heterogeneous, ranging from mild disease limited to skin and joint involvement to life-threatening conditions with renal impairment, severe cytopenias, central nervous system disease, and thromboembolic events [...].

Mendelian randomization and pathway analysis demonstrate shared genetic associations between lupus and coronary artery disease

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of death in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Despite clinical evidence supporting an association between SLE and CAD, pleiotropy-adjusted genetic association studies are limited and focus on only a few common risk loci. Here, we identify a net positive causal estimate of SLE-associated non-HLA SNPs on CAD by traditional Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches. Pathway analysis using SNP-to-gene mapping followed by unsupervised clustering based on protein-protein interactions (PPIs) identifies biological networks composed of positive and negative causal sets of genes. In addition, we confirm the casual effects of specific SNP-to-gene modules on CAD using only SNP mapping to each PPI-defined functional gene set as instrumental variables. This PPI-based MR approach elucidates various molecular pathways with causal implications between SLE and CAD and identifies biological pathways likely causative of both pathologies, revealing known and novel therapeutic interventions for managing CAD in SLE.

Patient-Reported Outcomes in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus. Can Lupus Patients Take the Driver's Seat in Their Disease Monitoring?

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disorder that has detrimental effects on patient’s health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Owing to its immense heterogeneity of symptoms and its complexity regarding comorbidity burden, management of SLE necessitates interdisciplinary care, with the goal being the best possible HRQoL and long-term outcomes. Current definitions of remission, low disease activity, and response to treatment do not incorporate self-reported patient evaluation, while it has been argued that the physician’s global assessment should capture the patient’s perspective. However, even the judgment of a very well-trained physician might not replace a patient-reported outcome measure (PROM), not only owing to the multidimensionality of self-perceived health experience but also since this notion would constitute a direct contradiction to the definition of PROMs. The proper use of PROMs is not only an important conceptual issue but also an opportunity to build bridges in the partnership between patients and physicians. These points of consideration adhere to the overall framework that there will seldom be one single best marker that helps interpret the activity, severity, and impact of SLE at the same time. For optimal outcomes, we not only stress the importance of the use of PROMs but also emphasize the urgency of adoption of the conception of forming alliances with patients and facilitating patient participation in surveillance and management processes. Nevertheless, this should not be misinterpreted as a transfer of responsibility from healthcare professionals to patients but rather a step towards shared decision-making.