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Li W, Wang Y, Zhou S, Liu S, Di L, Chen W, Lv H. Development and validation of predictive nomogram for postoperative non-union of closed femoral shaft fracture. Sci Rep 2024; 14:3543. [PMID: 38347044 PMCID: PMC10861573 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-53356-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2023] [Accepted: 01/31/2024] [Indexed: 02/15/2024] Open
Abstract
Closed femoral shaft fracture is caused by high-energy injuries, and non-union exists after operation, which can significantly damage patients' body and mind. This study aimed to explore the factors influencing postoperative non-union of closed femoral shaft fractures and establish a predictive nomogram. Patients with closed femoral shaft fractures treated at Hebei Medical University Third Hospital between January 2015 and December 2021 were retrospectively enrolled. A total of 729 patients met the inclusion criteria; of them, those treated in 2015-2019 comprised the training cohort (n = 617), while those treated in 2020-2021 comprised the external validation cohort (n = 112). According to multivariate logistic regression analysis, complex fractures, bone defects, smoking, and postoperative infection were independent risk factors. Based on the factors, a predictive nomogram was constructed and validated. The C-indices in training and external validation cohorts were 0.818 and 0.781, respectively; and the C-index of internal validation via bootstrap resampling was 0.804. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good fit of the nomogram (P > 0.05) consistent with the calibration plot results. The clinical effectiveness was best at a threshold probability of 0.10-0.40 in decision curve analysis. The risk prediction for patients with fractures using this nomogram may aid targeted prevention and rehabilitation programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenjing Li
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, No.361 Zhongshan East Road, Shijiazhuang, 050017, China
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
| | - Yan Wang
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, No.361 Zhongshan East Road, Shijiazhuang, 050017, China
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
| | - Shuai Zhou
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, No.361 Zhongshan East Road, Shijiazhuang, 050017, China
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
| | - Shihang Liu
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, No.361 Zhongshan East Road, Shijiazhuang, 050017, China
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
| | - Luqin Di
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
| | - Wei Chen
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
| | - Hongzhi Lv
- Hebei Provincial Key Laboratory of Orthopaedic Biomechanics, Hebei Orthopaedic Research Institute, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
- School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, No.361 Zhongshan East Road, Shijiazhuang, 050017, China.
- Trauma Emergency Center, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, No. 139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
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Piórkowski A, Obuchowicz R, Urbanik A, Strzelecki M. Advances in Musculoskeletal Imaging and Their Applications. J Clin Med 2023; 12:6585. [PMID: 37892722 PMCID: PMC10607761 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12206585] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Modern medical imaging systems provide ever-more information about the patient's health condition [...].
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Affiliation(s)
- Adam Piórkowski
- Department of Biocybernetics and Biomedical Engineering, AGH University of Science and Technology, 30-059 Krakow, Poland
| | - Rafał Obuchowicz
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Jagiellonian University Medical College, 31-008 Krakow, Poland; (R.O.); (A.U.)
| | - Andrzej Urbanik
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Jagiellonian University Medical College, 31-008 Krakow, Poland; (R.O.); (A.U.)
| | - Michał Strzelecki
- Institute of Electronics, Lodz University of Technology, 93-590 Lodz, Poland;
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