Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis Differences in Patients with Unilateral or Bilateral Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Multi-Center Analysis

Prediction of central lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma by gradient-boosting decision tree model based on ultrasound radiomics and clinical features

Background

In recent years, the study of radiomics in thyroid diseases has developed rapidly. This study aimed to establish a preoperative radiomics prediction model for central compartment lymph node metastases (CLNMs) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients using gradient-boosting decision tree (GBDT) model and evaluate the performance of the model.

Methods

A total of 274 patients with PTMC admitted for thyroid surgery at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University from January 2020 to July 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were randomized into training and validation cohorts according to a ratio of 8:2. Radiomics features were extracted from the ultrasound (US) images of PTMC lesions. The open-source software Pyradiomics was used to extract radiomics features, and WEKA software was used to select CLNM-related radiomics features. Clinical risk factors for CLNM were screened by statistical methods. The GBDT model was constructed by combining radiomics features and clinical risk factors, and compared with the diagnostic efficacy of US-reported cervical lymph node status. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was applied to visualize and analyze the GBDT model globally and locally.

Results

A total of seven radiomics features were significantly correlated with central lymph node status in the training and validation cohorts. The predictors in the GBDT model included the radiomics features, sex, age, and body mass index (BMI). The area under the curve (AUC) values of the GBDT model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.946 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.920-0.972] and 0.845 (95% CI: 0.714-0.976), respectively, compared with 0.583 (95% CI: 0.508-0.659) and 0.582 (95% CI: 0.430-0.736) for US-reported lymph node status alone. The Delong test showed a significant difference between AUS in the training and validation cohorts (P<0.001, respectively). SHAP visual analysis showed the effect of each parameter on the GBDT model globally and locally. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical utility of the GBDT model.

Conclusions

The prediction of CLNM by the GBDT model, based on US radiomics features and clinical factors, can be better than that by using US alone in patients with PTMC. Furthermore, the GBDT model may serve a guidance of clinical decision for patient's treatment strategy.

Thyroglobulin Antibody (TgAb) Positive is an Independent Risk Factor for Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma

Objective

To investigate the relationship between lymph node metastasis and the clinicopathologic features of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients with thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) positive and negative.

Methods

A total of 443 patients with DTC were included in this study. Clinicopathological data of the patients were collected, including tumor size, clinical stage, calcification, Hashimoto's thyroiditis, extra-membrane infiltration, BRAF V600E mutation status, and thyroid-related hormone and antibody levels. The relationship between of lymph node metastasis and clinicopathologic features was analyzed.

Results

There were 227(51.2%) TgAb negative and 216(48.8%) TgAb positive DTC patients. Compared with patients without lymph node metastasis, DTC patients with lymph node metastasis had a higher proportion of patients with <55 years of age, maximum tumor diameter >1cm, calcification, BRAF V600E mutation, and TgAb positive. Multivariate regression logistic analysis showed that <55 years old (odds ratio (OR): 2.744, 95% CI: 1.665-4.522, P<0.001), maximum tumor diameter >1cm (OR: 2.163, 95% CI: 1.431-3.271, P<0.001), BRAF V600E mutation (OR: 2.489, 95% CI: 1.397-4.434, P=0.002), and TgAb positive (OR: 1.540, 95% CI: 1.020-2.326, P=0.040) were risk factors for lymph node metastasis. Maximum tumor diameter >1cm and BRAF V600E increased the risk by more than one fold for lymph node metastasis in TgAb-negative and TgAb-positive DTC patients.

Conclusion

Younger age (<55 years old), maximum tumor diameter >1cm, BRAF V600E mutation, and TgAb positive were independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis in DTC. And maximum tumor diameter >1cm and BRAF V600E mutation were risk factors for lymph node metastasis both in TgAb positive and negative DTC patients.

Prediction of papillary thyroid metastases to the central compartment: proposal of a model taking into consideration other thyroid conditions

Objective

To construct risk prediction models for cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) under different thyroid disease backgrounds and to analyze and compare risk factors among different groups.

Methods

This retrospective study included 518 patients with PTC that was pathologically confirmed post-operatively from January 2021 to November 2021. Demographic, ultrasound and pathological data were recorded. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with CLNM in the whole patient cohort and in patients grouped according to diagnoses of Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT), nodular goiter (NG), and no background disease. Prediction models were constructed for each group, and their performances were compared.

Results

Analysis of the whole PTC patient cohort identified NG as independently associated with CLNM. The independent risk factors for patients with no background disease were the maximum thyroid nodule diameter and American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting & Data System score; those for patients with HT were the maximum thyroid nodule diameter, ACR TI-RADS score, and multifocality; and those for patients with NG were the maximum thyroid nodule diameter, ACR TI-RADS score, multifocality and gender.

Conclusion

Background thyroid disease impacts CLNM in PTC patients, and risk factors for CLNM vary among PTC patients with different background diseases. Ultrasound is useful for diagnosing background thyroid disease, which can inform treatment planning. Different prediction models are recommended for PTC cases with different thyroid diseases.

Predictive factors of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer

This study aimed to evaluate factors that predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). This retrospective cross-sectional study compared the demographic, clinical, and ultrasonographic findings of patients with PTC with and without LNM. Subgroup analysis was conducted for micro-PTCs (<1 cm). Among total (n = 512; mean age, 47.3 ± 12.7 years) and micro-PTC patients (n = 312), 35.7% and 19.6% had LNM, respectively. Younger age, male sex, tumor size, bilaterality, and suspicious ultrasound features of the tumor were associated with LNM. In multiple logistic regression analysis, among all patients, age, tumor size, and extrathyroidal extension were independent risk factors for LNM (all p<0.05). In the micro-PTC subgroup, age, extrathyroidal extension, bilaterality of tumor, and presence of autoimmune thyroid disease were independent risk and protective factors for LNM (all p<0.05). In the receiver operating characteristic analysis, the accuracy of the multivariable logistic regression model for predicting LNM among all patients and micro-PTC was acceptable (area under the curve = 0.729 and 0.733, respectively). Age, sex, tumor size, and extrathyroidal extension can assist in predicting LNM in PTC patients. Additionally, the bilaterality of tumors and presence of autoimmune thyroid disease can assist in predicting LNM in micro-PTCs.

Correlation between Sonographic Features and Central Neck Lymph Node Metastasis in Solitary Solid Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma with a Taller-Than-Wide Shape

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the correlation between sonographic features and central neck lymph node metastasis (CNLM) in solitary solid papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) with a taller-than-wide shape. Methods: A total of 103 patients with solitary solid PTMC with a taller-than-wide shape on ultrasonography who underwent surgical histopathological examination were retrospectively selected. Based on the presence or absence of CNLM, patients with PTMC were divided into a CNLM (n = 45) or nonmetastatic (n = 58) group, respectively. Clinical findings and ultrasonographic features, including a suspicious thyroid capsule involvement sign (STCS, which is defined as PTMC abutment or a disrupted thyroid capsule), were compared between the two groups. Additionally, postoperative ultrasonography was performed to assess patients during the follow-up period. Results: Significant differences were observed in sex and the presence of STCS between the two groups (p < 0.05). The specificity and accuracy of the male sex for predicting CNLM were 86.21% (50/58 patients) and 64.08% (66/103 patients), respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and accuracy of STCS for predicting CNLM were 82.22% (37/45 patients), 70.69% (41/58 patients), 68.52% (37/54 patients), and 75.73% (78/103 patients), respectively. The specificity, PPV, and accuracy of the combination of sex and STCS for predicting CNLM were 96.55% (56/58 patients), 87.50% (14/16 patients), and 67.96% (70/103 patients), respectively. A total of 89 (86.4%) patients were followed up for a median of 4.6 years, with no patient having recurrence as detected on ultrasonography and pathological examination. Conclusions: STCS is a useful ultrasonographic feature for predicting CNLM in patients with solitary solid PTMC with a taller-than-wide shape, especially in male patients. Solitary solid PTMC with a taller-than-wide shape may have a good prognosis.