External Validation of the American College of Surgeons Surgical Risk Calculator in Elderly Patients Undergoing General Surgery Operations

Should We Operate Nonagenarians with Symptomatic Giant Paraesophageal Hernias?

Introduction: Hiatal hernia (HH) is a common disorder of the upper gastrointestinal (UGI) tract that general surgeons encounter. Giant paraesophageal is a subtype of HH in which more than 30% of the stomach is located in the chest. It can cause symptoms such as dysphagia, UGI bleeding, gastroesophageal reflux disease, and vomiting. As the life expectancy of the general population increases, the incidence of giant HH increases and can cause morbidity, including recurrent admissions and prolonged length of hospitalization. In this article, we describe a cohort of nonagenarian patients with HH who were admitted to our institution and were treated either surgically or medically. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed our prospectively maintained database of all nonagenarians who were admitted to our center between 2018 and 2022 with the diagnosis of HH. We compared the demographic data, clinical data, and outcomes between patients undergoing operative and nonoperative management. Results: Twenty patients of age over 90 years were hospitalized with HH-related symptoms. Six underwent surgery, whereas 14 received medical management. Surgical patients had fewer overall hospitalization days, shorter length of stay, and less blood product requirements. Notably two cases of in-hospital mortality occurred in the nonoperative group, whereas none occurred in the operative group. All surgical procedures were performed laparoscopically, with two minor perioperative complications. Conclusion: In selected nonagenarian patients, laparoscopic HH repair is safe and should be considered favorably. It can reduce hospitalization time and can mitigate morbidity.

Validation of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program risk predictor in an Australian general surgical cohort

BACKGROUND

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) Surgical Risk Calculator from the American College of Surgeons is a widely available tool for peri-operative risk prediction. This study investigates its predictive performance in an Australian setting.

METHODS

A single-centre retrospective external validation study was conducted at a tertiary referral centre in New South Wales, Australia. Data from a general surgical cohort in a 2-year period from 2020 to 2021 was collected from the NSQIP database and entered into the NSQIP calculator. The predictive performance of the calculator was analysed across the standard 14 NSQIP postoperative outcome measures at 30 days.

RESULTS

There were 2121 patient records analysed using tests of accuracy and in the discrimination and calibration domains. The overall predictive performance of the NSQIP calculator was reasonable. There was greater accuracy at lower-risk predictions. At higher-risk predictions, Readmission, Death, and Discharge to Nursing or Rehab Facility, and Length of Stay were overestimated, whilst other outcomes were underestimated.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates reasonable overall performance of the NSQIP calculator in the context of this cohort and provides data to support the need for locally adapted and validated risk prediction tools for use by Australian perioperative physicians.

Application of national early warning score in assessing postoperative illness severity in elderly patients with gastrointestinal illnesses

BACKGROUND

Population aging is a social problem that is being faced in most countries.

OBJECTIVE

To apply the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) for an early warning on the vital signs and consciousness of elderly patients who are hospitalized in the gastrointestinal surgical department and to provide a reference for early detection of changes in illness severity in elderly patients by studying the correlation between NEWS value and changes in illness severity.

METHODS

We enrolled 528 elderly patients who were hospitalized in the gastrointestinal surgical department of a tertiary grade A hospital in Guizhou Province between June 2020 and May 2021, to analyze how NEWS max value correlates with illness severity and obtain the optimal NEWS cutoff value for both potentially critically ill and critically ill elderly patients using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences in NEWS values between elderly patients with various illness severities (P< 0.05). NEWS values correlated positively with illness severity (r= 0.605, P< 0.001). Based on the ROC curve, early warning trigger values for NEWS to identify potentially critically ill, critically ill and terminally ill elderly patients were 6, 7 and 8, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for potentially critically ill, critically ill and terminally ill elderly patients was 0.907, 0.921 and 0.939, respectively. NEWS performed better in detecting patient illness severity than Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) in AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and Youden's index, with statistically significant differences (P< 0.05).

CONCLUSION

An early warning on the vital signs and consciousness of hospitalized elderly patients using NEWS can facilitate advanced detection of changes in illness severity of elderly patients by medical staff and enable timely treatment, thus significantly lowering the risks of illness deterioration.

Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic tail cancer in a 100-year-old patient

We present the case of a 100-year-old man with no specific symptoms. Computed tomography (CT) revealed a 34 mm tumor in the pancreatic tail, which was diagnosed as pancreatic cancer by biopsy. CT and magnetic resonance imaging showed that the tumor was resectable, and there were no noncurative factors on staging laparoscopy (cT3N0M0: cStage IIA). His performance status was good, and hypertension was the only comorbidity. A cardiologist, respiratory physician, and anesthesiologist examined the patient and determined that his condition was suitable for surgery. His postoperative predicted mortality rate was 0.9% using the American College of Surgeons risk calculator. We administered synbiotics and nutrients before surgery and introduced preoperative rehabilitation to improve his activities of daily living (ADL) as well as respiratory training to prevent postoperative pneumonia. Regarding the invasiveness of the surgery, we performed laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy with D1 lymphadenectomy. The patient was discharged on postoperative day 17, without any major complications. When performing pancreatectomy in older adults, it is important to fully assess preoperative tolerance and perioperative risk and prevent worsening of ADL by introducing nutritional therapy and rehabilitation.