Does Combining Biomarkers and Brain Images Provide Improved Prognostic Predictive Performance for Out-Of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors before Target Temperature Management?

Standardised and automated assessment of head computed tomography reliably predicts poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest: a prospective multicentre study

PURPOSE

Application of standardised and automated assessments of head computed tomography (CT) for neuroprognostication after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

Prospective, international, multicentre, observational study within the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Routine CTs from adult unconscious patients obtained > 48 h ≤ 7 days post-arrest were assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by seven international raters blinded to clinical information using a pre-published protocol. Grey-white-matter ratio (GWR) was calculated from four (GWR-4) and eight (GWR-8) regions of interest manually placed at the basal ganglia level. Additionally, GWR was obtained using an automated atlas-based approach. Prognostic accuracies for prediction of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) for the qualitative assessment and for the pre-defined GWR cutoff < 1.10 were calculated.

RESULTS

140 unconscious patients were included; median age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR] 59-76), 76% were male, and 75% had poor outcome. Standardised qualitative assessment and all GWR models predicted poor outcome with 100% specificity (95% confidence interval [CI] 90-100). Sensitivity in median was 37% for the standardised qualitative assessment, 39% for GWR-8, 30% for GWR-4 and 41% for automated GWR. GWR-8 was superior to GWR-4 regarding prognostic accuracies, intra- and interrater agreement. Overall prognostic accuracy for automated GWR (area under the curve [AUC] 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91) did not significantly differ from manually obtained GWR.

CONCLUSION

Standardised qualitative and quantitative assessments of CT are reliable and feasible methods to predict poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest. Automated GWR has the potential to make CT quantification for neuroprognostication accessible to all centres treating cardiac arrest patients.

Recovery and Survival of Patients After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Literature Review Showcasing the Big Picture of Intensive Care Unit-Related Factors

As an important public health issue, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) requires several stages of high quality medical care, both on-field and after hospital admission. Post-cardiac arrest shock can lead to severe neurological injury, resulting in poor recovery outcome and increased risk of death. These characteristics make this condition one of the most important issues to deal with in post-OHCA patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICUs). Also, the majority of initial post-resuscitation survivors have underlying coronary diseases making revascularization procedure another crucial step in early management of these patients. Besides keeping myocardial blood flow at a satisfactory level, other tissues must not be neglected as well, and maintaining mean arterial pressure within optimal range is also preferable. All these procedures can be simplified to a certain level along with using targeted temperature management methods in order to decrease metabolic demands in ICU-hospitalized post-OHCA patients. Additionally, withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy as a controversial ethical topic is under constant re-evaluation due to its possible influence on overall mortality rates in patients initially surviving OHCA. Focusing on all of these important points in process of managing ICU patients is an imperative towards better survival and complete recovery rates.

Predictive Performance of Neuron-Specific Enolase (NSE) for Survival after Resuscitation from Cardiac Arrest: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The prediction of outcomes following cardiac arrest continues to provide significant difficulties. A preferred strategy involves adopting a multimodal approach, which encompasses the careful evaluation of the biomarker neuron-specific enolase (NSE). This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to gather and summarize new and existing evidence on the prediction effect of neuron-specific enolase for survival to hospital discharge among adult patients with cardiac arrest. We searched PubMed Central, Scopus, EMBASE databases, and the Cochrane Library without language restrictions from their inceptions until 30 October 2023 and checked the reference lists of the included studies. Pooled results were reported as standardized mean differences (SMDs) and were presented with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge (SHD). Eighty-six articles with 10,845 participants were included. NSE showed a notable degree of specificity in its ability to predict mortality as well as neurological status among individuals who experienced cardiac arrest (p < 0.05). This study demonstrates the ability to predict fatality rates and neurological outcomes, both during the time of admission and at various time intervals after cardiac arrest. The use of NSE in a multimodal neuroprognostication algorithm has promise in improving the accuracy of prognoses for persons who have undergone cardiac arrest.

Association of ultra-early diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging with neurological outcomes after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between ultra-early (within 6 h after return of spontaneous circulation [ROSC]) brain diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and neurological outcomes in comatose survivors after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

We conducted a registry-based observational study from May 2018 to February 2022 at a Chungnam national university hospital in Daejeon, Korea. Presence of high-signal intensity (HSI) (P_HSI) was defined as a HSI on DW-MRI with corresponding hypoattenuation on the apparent diffusion coefficient map irrespective of volume after hypoxic ischemic brain injury; absence of HSI was defined as A_HSI. The primary outcome was the dichotomized cerebral performance category (CPC) at 6 months, defined as good (CPC 1-2) or poor (CPC 3-5).

RESULTS

Of the 110 patients (30 women [27.3%]; median (interquartile range [IQR]) age, 58 [38-69] years), 48 (43.6%) had a good neurological outcome, time from ROSC to MRI scan was 2.8 h (IQR 2.0-4.0 h), and the P_HSI on DW-MRI was observed in 46 (41.8%) patients. No patients in the P_HSI group had a good neurological outcome compared with 48 (75%) patients in the A_HSI group. In the A_HSI group, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) neuron-specific enolase (NSE) levels were significantly lower in the group with good neurological outcome compared to the group with poor neurological outcome (20.1 [14.4-30.7] ng/mL vs. 84.3 [32.4-167.0] ng/mL, P < 0.001). The area under the curve for P_HSI on DW-MRI was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-0.93), and the specificity and sensitivity for predicting a poor neurological outcome were 100% (95% CI 91.2%-100%) and 74.2% (95% CI 62.0-83.5%), respectively. A higher sensitivity was observed when CSF NSE levels were combined (88.7% [95% CI 77.1-95.1%]; 100% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort study, P_HSI findings on ultra-early DW-MRI were associated with poor neurological outcomes 6 months following the cardiac arrest. The combined CSF NSE levels showed higher sensitivity at 100% specificity than on DW-MRI alone. Prospective multicenter studies are required to confirm these results.

Gray-White Matter Ratio at the Level of the Basal Ganglia as a Predictor of Neurologic Outcomes in Cardiac Arrest Survivors: A Literature Review

Loss of gray-white matter discrimination is the primary early imaging finding within of cranial computed tomography in cardiac arrest survivors, and this has been also regarded as a novel predictor for evaluating neurologic outcome. As displayed clearly on computed tomography and based on sensitivity to hypoxia, the gray-white matter ratio at basal ganglia (GWR-BG) region was frequently detected to assess the neurologic outcome by several studies. The specificity of GWR-BG is 72.4 to 100%, while the sensitivity is significantly different. Herein we review the mechanisms mediating cerebral edema following cardiac arrest, demonstrate the determination procedures with respect to GWR-BG, summarize the related researches regarding GWR-BG in predicting neurologic outcomes within cardiac arrest survivors, and discuss factors associated with predicting the accuracy of this methodology. Finally, we describe the effective measurements to increase the sensitivity of GWR-BG in predicting neurologic outcome.

Delayed head CT in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors: Does this improve predictive performance of neurological outcome?

BACKGROUND

We compared the ability of head computed tomography (HCT) and MRI, respectively, obtained before or after target temperature management to predict neurologic outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors.

METHODS

This retrospective study included adult comatose OHCA survivors who underwent neuroimaging scans within 6 h (first HCT) or 72-96 h (second HCT and MRI) after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). We calculated the gray-white matter ratio (GWR), hypoxic-ischemic brain injury presence (loss of boundary at the basal ganglia level [LOB at BG], sulcal effacement at the centrum semiovale [SE at CS], and pseudo-SAH sign), and the overall score based on MRI findings (a total score of 21 brain regions individually scored according to the degree of signal abnormality).

RESULTS

Overall, 78 patients were included in this analysis, of whom 45 (58%) showed poor outcomes. The second HCT scan showed greater prognostic performance than the first HCT scan for GWR (area under curve 0.92 vs. 0.70), LOB at BG (0.93 vs. 0.65), SE at CS (0.89 vs. 0.64), and pseudo-SAH sign (0.75 vs. 0.51). The overall score on MRI (0.99) showed the highest prognostic performance. However, on the second HCT scan, the combination of GWR and LOB at BG showed prognostic performance (0.96) comparable to the overall score on MRI (P=0.12); the corresponding sensitivity and specificity values were 85.7% and 100%.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall score on MRI and the combination of GWR and LOB at BG findings on second HCT scans may help predict poor outcomes in OHCA survivors.

Brain injury after cardiac arrest: pathophysiology, treatment, and prognosis

Post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI) is caused by initial ischaemia and subsequent reperfusion of the brain following resuscitation. In those who are admitted to intensive care unit after cardiac arrest, PCABI manifests as coma, and is the main cause of mortality and long-term disability. This review describes the mechanisms of PCABI, its treatment options, its outcomes, and the suggested strategies for outcome prediction.

Early head CT in post-cardiac arrest patients: A helpful tool or contributor to self-fulfilling prophecy?

OBJECTIVE

Neuroprognostication guidelines suggest that early head computed tomography (HCT) might be useful in the evaluation of cardiac arrest (CA) patients following return of spontaneous circulation. We aimed to determine the impact of early HCT, performed within the first 6 h following CA, on decision-making following resuscitation.

METHODS

We identified a cohort of initially unconscious post-CA patients at a tertiary care academic medical center from 2012 to 2017. Variables pertaining to demographics, CA details, post-CA care, including neuroimaging and neurophysiologic testing, were abstracted retrospectively from the electronic medical records. Changes in management resulting from HCT findings were recorded. Blinded board-certified neurointensivists adjudicated HCT findings related to hypoxic-ischemic brain injury (HIBI) burden. The gray-white matter ratio (GWR) was also calculated.

RESULTS

Of 302 patients, 182 (60.2%) underwent HCT within six hours of CA (early HCT group). Approximately 1 in 4 early HCTs were abnormal (most commonly HIBI changes; 78.7%, n = 37), which resulted in a change in management in nearly half of cases (46.8%, n = 22). The most common changes in management were de-escalation in care [including transition to do not resuscitate status), withholding targeted temperature management, and withdrawal of life sustaining therapy (WLST)]. In cases with radiographic HIBI, mean [standard deviation] GWR was lower (1.20 [0.10] vs 1.30 [0.09], P < 0.001) and progression to brain death was higher (44.4% vs 2.9%; P < 0.001). The inter-rater reliability (IRR) of early HCT to determine presence of HIBI between radiology and three neurointensivists had a wide range (κ 0.13-0.66).

CONCLUSION

Early HCT identified abnormalities in 25% of cases and frequently influenced therapeutic decisions. Neuroimaging interpretation discrepancies between radiology and neurointensivists are common and agreement on severity of HIBI on early HCT is poor (k 0.11).

Predictive values of early head computed tomography for survival outcome after cardiac arrest in childhood: a pilot study

Predicting outcomes of children after cardiac arrest (CA) remains challenging. To identify useful prognostic markers for pediatric CA, we retrospectively analyzed the early findings of head computed tomography (CT) of patients. Subjects were non-traumatic, out-of-hospital CA patients < 16 years of age who underwent the first head CT within 24 h in our institute from 2006 to 2018 (n = 70, median age: 4 months, range 0–163). Of the 24 patients with return of spontaneous circulation, 14 survived up to 30 days after CA. The degree of brain damage was quantitatively measured with modified methods of the Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (mASPECTS) and simplified gray-matter-attenuation-to-white-matter-attenuation ratio (sGWR). The 14 survivors showed higher mASPECTS values than the 56 non-survivors (p = 0.035). All 3 patients with mASPECTS scores ≥ 20 survived, while an sGWR ≥ 1.14 indicated a higher chance of survival than an sGWR < 1.14 (54.5% vs. 13.6%). Follow-up magnetic resonance imaging for survivors validated the correlation of the mASPECTS < 15 with severe brain damage. Thus, low mASPECTS scores were associated with unfavorable neurological outcomes on the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category scale. A quantitative analysis of early head CT findings might provide clues for predicting survival of pediatric CA.

Using Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) Scores with Modified Objective Data to Improve Neurological Prognostic Performance for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors

This study aimed to determine whether accuracy and sensitivity concerning neurological prognostic performance increased for survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) treated with targeted temperature management (TTM), using OHCA and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) scores and modified objective variables. We retrospectively analyzed non-traumatic OHCA survivors treated with TTM. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at 3 months after return of spontaneous circulation (cerebral performance category, 3–5). We compared neurological prognostic performance using existing models after adding objective data obtained before TTM from computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and biomarkers to replace the no-flow time component of the OHCA and CAHP models. Among 106 patients, 61 (57.5%) had poor neurologic outcomes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for the OHCA and CAHP models was 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81–0.94) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.82–0.95), respectively. The prediction of poor neurological outcome improved after replacing no-flow time with a grey/white matter ratio measured using CT, high-signal intensity (HSI) on diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI), percentage of voxel using apparent diffusion coefficient value, and serum neuron-specific enolase levels. When replaced with HSI on DWI, the AUROC and sensitivity of the OHCA and CAHP models were 0.96 and 74.5% and 0.97 and 83.8%, respectively (100% specificity). Prognoses concerning neurologic outcomes improved compared with existing OHCA and CAHP models by adding new objective variables to replace no-flow time. External validation is required to generalize these results in various contexts.

The first national survey on practices of neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest in China, still a lot to do

AIMS

To investigate current awareness and practices of neurological prognostication in comatose cardiac arrest (CA) patients.

METHODS

An anonymous questionnaire was distributed to 1600 emergency physicians in 75 hospitals which were selected randomly from China between January and July 2018.

RESULTS

92.1% respondents fulfilled the survey. The predictive value of brain stem reflex, motor response and myoclonus was confirmed by 63.5%, 44.6% and 31.7% respondents, respectively. Only 30.7% knew that GWR value < 1.1 indicated poor prognosis and only 8.1% know the most commonly used SSEP N20. Status epilepticus, burst suppression and suppression were considered to predict poor outcome by only 35.0%, 27.4% and 20.9% respondents, respectively. Only 46.7% knew NSE and only 24.7% knew S-100. Only a few respondents knew that neurological prognostication should be performed later than 72 hours from CA either in TTM or non-TTM patients. In practice, the most commonly used method was clinical examination (85.4%). Only 67.9% had used brain CT for prognosis and 18.4% for MRI. NSE (39.6%) was a little more widely used than S-100β (18.0%). However, SSEP (4.4%) and EEG (11.4%) were occasionally performed.

CONCLUSIONS

Neurological prognostication in CA survivors had not been well understood and performed by emergency physicians in China. They were more likely to use clinical examination rather than objective tools, especially SSEP and EEG, which also illustrated that multimodal approach was not well performed in practice.

Prognostic Values of the Gray-to-White Matter Ratio on Brain Computed Tomography Images for Neurological Outcomes after Cardiac Arrest: A Meta-Analysis

Materials and Methods

The PubMed, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were searched for all relevant articles published before March 31, 2020, without any language restrictions. The pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with a random-effects model using Stata 14.0 software.

Result

A total of 24 eligible studies with 2812 CA patients were recruited in the meta-analysis. The pooled result showed that decreased GWR was correlated with poor neurological outcomes after CA (OR = 11.28, 95% CI: 6.29–20.21, and P < 0.001) with moderate heterogeneity (I² = 71.5%, P < 0.001). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.58 (95% CI: 0.47–0.68) and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.87–0.98), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of GWR was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.80–0.87). Compared with GWR (cerebrum) and GWR (average), GWR using the basal ganglion level of brain CT had the highest AUC of 0.87 (0.84–0.90). Subgroup analysis indicated that heterogeneity may be derived from the time of CT measurement, preset specificity, targeted temperature management, or proportion of cardiac etiology. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the result was stable, and Deeks' plot showed no possible publication bias (P = 0 .64).

Conclusion

Current research suggests that GWR, especially using the basal ganglion level of brain CT, is a useful parameter for determining neurological outcomes after CA.

The Usefulness of Quantitative Analysis of Blood-Brain Barrier Disruption Measured Using Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging to Predict Neurological Prognosis in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors: A Preliminary Study

We aimed to evaluate neurological outcomes associated with blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption using contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. This retrospective observational study involved OHCA survivors who had undergone CE-MRI for prognostication. Qualitative and quantitative analyses were performed using the presence of BBB disruption (pBD) and the BBB disruption score (sBD) in CE-MRI scans, respectively. For the sBD, 1 point was assigned for each area of BBB disruption, and 6 points were assigned when an absence of intracranial blood flow due to severe brain oedema was confirmed. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at 3 months (defined as cerebral performance categories 3-5). We analysed 46 CE-MRI brain scans (27 patients). Of these, 15 (55.6%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. Poor neurological outcome group patients showed a significantly higher proportion of pBD than those in the good neurological outcome group (22 (88%) vs. 6 (28.6%) patients, respectively, p < 0.001) and a higher sBD (5.0 (4.0-5.0) vs. 0.0 (0.0-1.0) patients, p < 0.001). Poor neurological outcome predictions showed that the sBD had a significantly better prognostic performance (area under the curve (AUC) 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84-0.99) than the pBD (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.65-0.90). The sBD cut-off value was >1 point (sensitivity, 96.0%; specificity, 81.0%). The sBD is a highly predictive and sensitive marker of 3-month poor neurological outcome in OHCA survivors. Multicentre prospective studies are required to determine the generalisability of these results.

Prediction of poor neurological outcome in comatose survivors of cardiac arrest: a systematic review

Purpose

To assess the ability of clinical examination, blood biomarkers, electrophysiology, or neuroimaging assessed within 7 days from return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) to predict poor neurological outcome, defined as death, vegetative state, or severe disability (CPC 3–5) at hospital discharge/1 month or later, in comatose adult survivors from cardiac arrest (CA).

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (January 2013–April 2020) were searched. Sensitivity and false-positive rate (FPR) for each predictor were calculated. Due to heterogeneities in recording times, predictor thresholds, and definition of some predictors, meta-analysis was not performed.

Results

Ninety-four studies (30,200 patients) were included. Bilaterally absent pupillary or corneal reflexes after day 4 from ROSC, high blood values of neuron-specific enolase from 24 h after ROSC, absent N20 waves of short-latency somatosensory-evoked potentials (SSEPs) or unequivocal seizures on electroencephalogram (EEG) from the day of ROSC, EEG background suppression or burst-suppression from 24 h after ROSC, diffuse cerebral oedema on brain CT from 2 h after ROSC, or reduced diffusion on brain MRI at 2–5 days after ROSC had 0% FPR for poor outcome in most studies. Risk of bias assessed using the QUIPS tool was high for all predictors.

Conclusion

In comatose resuscitated patients, clinical, biochemical, neurophysiological, and radiological tests have a potential to predict poor neurological outcome with no false-positive predictions within the first week after CA. Guidelines should consider the methodological concerns and limited sensitivity for individual modalities. (PROSPERO CRD42019141169)

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00134-020-06198-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Volume Proportion Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging as a Predictor of Poor Neurological Outcome in Survivors of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest

We aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of the proportion of cerebrospinal fluid volume (pCSV) using brain apparent diffusion coefficient-magnetic resonance imaging (ADC-MRI) in cardiac arrest (CA) survivors. This retrospective single-cohort study comprised adult comatose CA survivors who underwent brain MRI and targeted temperature management (TTM) from March 2018 to October 2019. We calculated pCSV (pCSV0 and pCSV72 within 6 and 72 hours after return of spontaneous circulation, respectively) using an automated quantitative analysis program. The difference between pCSV0 and pCSV72 was defined as the pCSVd. Neurologic outcome 3 months after CA was assessed with the Cerebral Performance Category scale and dichotomized as good (1 or 2) or poor (3-5). Of the 73 patients included, 44 (60.3%) had a poor neurological outcome. Patients with poor outcome had significantly lower pCSV at baseline and at 72 hours, and a negative change in pCSV over time. The prognostic performance of pCSV72 and pCSVd was significantly higher compared with pCSV0 (all p < 0.001). The pCSVd showed excellent area under the curve values (0.96; 95% confidence interval 0.85-0.99) and highest sensitivity (95%) at 100% specificity. pCSV on brain ADC-MRI was associated with 3-month neurologic outcome in CA survivors. The pCSVd is a highly predictive and sensitive marker of 3-month poor neurological outcome in CA survivors treated with TTM. Multicenter prospective studies are required to determine the generalizability of these results.