Efficacy of the Post-Exposure Prophylaxis and of the HIV Latent Reservoir in HIV Infection

Modelling Botswana's HIV/AIDS response and treatment policy changes: Insights from a cascade of mathematical models

The management of HIV/AIDS has evolved ever since advent of the disease in the past three decades. Many countries have had to revise their policies as new information on the virus, and its transmission dynamics emerged. In this paper, we track the changes in Botswana's HIV/AIDS response and treatment policies using a piece-wise system of differential equations. The policy changes are easily tracked in three epochs. Models for each era are formulated from a "grand model" that can be linked to all the epochs. The grand model's steady states are determined and analysed in terms of the model reproduction number, $ R_{0}. $ The model exhibits a backward bifurcation, where a stable disease-free equilibrium coexists with a stable endemic equilibrium when $ R_{0} < 1. $ The stability of the models for the other epochs can be derived from that of the grand model by setting some parameters to zero. The models are fitted to HIV/AIDS prevalence data from Botswana for the past three decades. The changes in the populations in each compartment are tracked as the response to the disease and treatment policy changed over time. Finally, projections are made to determine the possible trajectory of HIV/AIDS in Botswana. The implications of the policy changes are easily seen, and a discussion on how these changes impacted the epidemic are articulated. The results presented have crucial impact on how policy changes affected and continue to influence the trajectory of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Botswana.

Event-Based Implementation of Fractional Order IMC Controllers for Simple FOPDT Processes

Fractional order calculus has been used to generalize various types of controllers, including internal model controllers (IMC). The focus of this manuscript is towards fractional order IMCs for first order plus dead-time (FOPDT) processes, including delay and lag dominant ones. The design is novel at it is based on a new approximation approach, the non-rational transfer function method. This allows for a more accurate approximation of the process dead-time and ensures an improved closed loop response. The main problem with fractional order controllers is concerned with their implementation as higher order transfer functions. In cases where central processing unit CPU, bandwidth allocation, and energy usage are limited, resources need to be efficiently managed. This can be achieved using an event-based implementation. The novelty of this paper resides in such an event-based algorithm for fractional order IMC (FO-IMC) controllers. Numerical results are provided for lag and delay dominant FOPDT processes. For comparison purposes, an integer order PI controller, tuned according to the same performance specifications as the FO-IMC, is also implemented as an event-based control strategy. The numerical results show that the proposed event-based implementation for the FO-IMC controller is suitable and provides for a smaller computational effort, thus being more suitable in various industrial applications.

Fractional-Order Integral and Derivative Operators and Their Applications

The present volume contains the invited, accepted and published submissions (see [...]