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Stone PW, Minelli C, Feary J, Roberts CM, Quint JK, Hurst JR. “NEWS2” as an Objective Assessment of Hospitalised COPD Exacerbation Severity. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2022; 17:763-772. [PMID: 35431544 PMCID: PMC9005866 DOI: 10.2147/copd.s359123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2022] [Accepted: 03/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction There is currently no accepted way to risk-stratify hospitalised exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We hypothesised that the revised UK National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) calculated at admission would predict inpatient mortality, need for non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and length-of-stay. Methods We included data from 52,284 admissions for exacerbation of COPD. Data were divided into development and validation cohorts. Logistic regression was used to examine relationships between admission NEWS2 and outcome measures. Predictive ability of NEWS2 was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). We assessed the benefit of including other baseline data in the prediction models and assessed whether these variables themselves predicted admission NEWS2. Results 53% of admissions had low risk, 24% medium risk and 23% a high risk NEWS2 in the development cohort. The proportions dying as an inpatient were 2.2%, 3.6% and 6.5% by NEWS2 risk category, respectively. The proportions needing NIV were 4.4%, 9.2% and 18.0%, respectively. NEWS2 was poorly predictive of length-of-stay (AUC: 0.59[0.57–0.61]). In the external validation cohort, the AUC (95% CI) for NEWS2 to predict inpatient death and need for NIV were 0.72 (0.68–0.77) and 0.70 (0.67–0.73). Inclusion of patient demographic factors, co-morbidity and COPD severity improved model performance. However, only 1.34% of the variation in admission NEWS2 was explained by these baseline variables. Conclusion The generic NEWS2 risk assessment tool, readily calculated from simple physiological data, predicts inpatient mortality and need for NIV (but not length-of-stay) at exacerbations of COPD. NEWS2 therefore provides a classification of hospitalised COPD exacerbation severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philip W Stone
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Cosetta Minelli
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Johanna Feary
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - C Michael Roberts
- National Asthma and COPD Audit Programme, Royal College of Physicians of London, London, UK
| | - Jennifer K Quint
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
- National Asthma and COPD Audit Programme, Royal College of Physicians of London, London, UK
| | - John R Hurst
- National Asthma and COPD Audit Programme, Royal College of Physicians of London, London, UK
- UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
- Correspondence: John R Hurst, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK, Email
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Dransfield MT, Crim C, Criner GJ, Day NC, Halpin DMG, Han MK, Jones CE, Kilbride S, LaFon D, Lipson DA, Lomas DA, Martin N, Martinez FJ, Singh D, Wise RA, Lange P. Risk of Exacerbation and Pneumonia with Single-Inhaler Triple versus Dual Therapy in IMPACT. Ann Am Thorac Soc 2021; 18:788-798. [PMID: 33108212 PMCID: PMC8086537 DOI: 10.1513/annalsats.202002-096oc] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2020] [Accepted: 10/27/2020] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Rationale: In the IMPACT (Informing the Pathway of COPD Treatment) trial, single-inhaler fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol (FF/UMEC/VI) triple therapy reduced exacerbation risk versus FF/VI and UMEC/VI and mortality risk versus UMEC/VI. However, pneumonia incidence was higher in the inhaled corticosteroid (FF)-containing arms, raising questions about the relative benefit of exacerbation reduction compared with the increased risk of pneumonia.Objectives: Determine benefit-risk of the three treatments by evaluating time-to-first and rates of composite exacerbation or pneumonia outcomes.Methods: We evaluated time-to-first (prespecified) and rates (post hoc) of investigator-reported pneumonia, serious pneumonia leading to hospitalization or death, and the composite endpoints of 1) moderate (required antibiotics/corticosteroids)/severe (hospitalized) exacerbation or pneumonia and 2) severe exacerbation or serious (hospitalized) pneumonia. Analyses were repeated for radiographically confirmed pneumonia (post hoc).Results: Moderate/severe exacerbations occurred in 47%, 49%, and 50% of patients randomized to FF/UMEC/VI, FF/VI and UMEC/VI, and pneumonias in 8%, 7%, and 5%, respectively. FF/UMEC/VI reduced the risk of combined moderate/severe exacerbation or pneumonia (time-to-first) versus FF/VI (hazard ratio, 0.87 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.82-0.92]) and UMEC/VI (0.87 [0.81-0.94]), as well as the risk of combined severe exacerbation or serious pneumonia versus UMEC/VI (0.83 [0.72-0.96]). FF/UMEC/VI reduced the rate of combined moderate/severe exacerbation or pneumonia (rate ratio, 0.78 [0.72-0.84]) and combined severe exacerbation or serious pneumonia (rate ratio, 0.76 [0.65-0.89]) versus UMEC/VI. Results were similar for radiographically confirmed pneumonia endpoints.Conclusions: Despite higher incidence of pneumonia in FF-containing arms, these composite exacerbation/pneumonia outcomes support a favorable benefit-risk profile of FF/UMEC/VI versus FF/VI and UMEC/VI in patients with symptomatic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and a history of exacerbations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark T. Dransfield
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Lung Health Center, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama
| | - Courtney Crim
- Clinical Sciences–Respiratory, GlaxoSmithKline, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
| | - Gerard J. Criner
- Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Nicola C. Day
- GlaxoSmithKline, Uxbridge, Middlesex, United Kingdom
| | - David M. G. Halpin
- University of Exeter Medical School, College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
| | - MeiLan K. Han
- Pulmonary and Critical Care, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan
| | - C. Elaine Jones
- Clinical Sciences–Respiratory, GlaxoSmithKline, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
| | | | - David LaFon
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Lung Health Center, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama
| | - David A. Lipson
- Clinical Sciences, GlaxoSmithKline, Collegeville, Pennsylvania
- Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care Division, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - David A. Lomas
- UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Neil Martin
- Global Medical Affairs, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, United Kingdom
- Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Dave Singh
- Centre for Respiratory Medicine and Allergy, Institute of Inflammation and Repair, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Robert A. Wise
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Peter Lange
- Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; and
- Medical Department, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Herlev, Denmark
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Bourbeau J, Bafadhel M, Barnes NC, Compton C, Di Boscio V, Lipson DA, Jones PW, Martin N, Weiss G, Halpin DMG. Benefit/Risk Profile of Single-Inhaler Triple Therapy in COPD. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2021; 16:499-517. [PMID: 33688176 PMCID: PMC7935340 DOI: 10.2147/copd.s291967] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2020] [Accepted: 02/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with major healthcare and socioeconomic burdens. International consortia recommend a personalized approach to treatment and management that aims to reduce both symptom burden and the risk of exacerbations. Recent clinical trials have investigated single-inhaler triple therapy (SITT) with a long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA), long-acting β2-agonist (LABA), and inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) for patients with symptomatic COPD. Here, we review evidence from randomized controlled trials showing the benefits of SITT and weigh these against the reported risk of pneumonia with ICS use. We highlight the challenges associated with cross-trial comparisons of benefit/risk, discuss blood eosinophils as a marker of ICS responsiveness, and summarize current treatment recommendations and the position of SITT in the management of COPD, including potential advantages in terms of improving patient adherence. Evidence from trials of SITT versus dual therapies in symptomatic patients with moderate to very severe airflow limitation and increased risk of exacerbations shows benefits in lung function and patient-reported outcomes. Moreover, the key benefits reported with SITT are significant reductions in exacerbations and hospitalizations, with data also suggesting reduced all-cause mortality. These benefits outweigh the ICS-class effect of higher incidence of study-reported pneumonia compared with LAMA/LABA. Important differences in trial design, baseline population characteristics, such as exacerbation history, and assessment of outcomes, have significant implications for interpreting data from cross-trial comparisons. Current understanding interprets the blood eosinophil count as a continuum that can help predict response to ICS and has utility alongside other clinical factors to aid treatment decision-making. We conclude that treatment decisions in COPD should be guided by an approach that considers benefit versus risk, with early optimization of treatment essential for maximizing long-term benefits and patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean Bourbeau
- Respiratory Epidemiology and Clinical Research Unit, Department of Medicine, McGill University and Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Mona Bafadhel
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Neil C Barnes
- Respiratory Therapy Area, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, UK
- William Harvey Institute, Bart’s and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, UK
| | - Chris Compton
- Respiratory Therapy Area, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, UK
| | | | - David A Lipson
- Clinical Sciences, GlaxoSmithKline, Collegeville, PA, USA
- Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care Division, Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Paul W Jones
- Respiratory Therapy Area, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, UK
- Institute of Infection and Immunity, St George’s, University of London, London, UK
| | - Neil Martin
- Respiratory Therapy Area, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, UK
- University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Gudrun Weiss
- Respiratory Therapy Area, GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, Middlesex, UK
| | - David M G Halpin
- University of Exeter Medical School, College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
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Trethewey SP, Hurst JR, Turner AM. Pneumonia in exacerbations of COPD: what is the clinical significance? ERJ Open Res 2020; 6:00282-2019. [PMID: 32010721 PMCID: PMC6983498 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00282-2019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2019] [Accepted: 11/20/2019] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Does it matter if a patient presenting with an exacerbation of COPD (ECOPD) is found to have consolidation on imaging? In the 2010 European COPD Audit, which included 14 111 patients from 384 hospitals in 13 countries with a primary discharge diagnosis of ECOPD, ∼20% had concomitant consolidation on admission chest radiography [1]. Crucially, the presence of consolidation was associated with increased 90-day mortality in this cohort (adjusted OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.2–1.55) [1]. Similar findings were seen in the large 2014 UK National COPD Audit, which found that ECOPD patients with consolidation experienced increased in-hospital mortality (6.7% versus 3.6%, p<0.001) and increased 90-day mortality (15.9% versus 10.8%, p<0.001) compared to patients without consolidation [2]. It is vital that clinicians identify radiological consolidation in hospitalised COPD patients, as this confers an increased mortality risk, has important implications for risk stratification and influences managementhttp://bit.ly/2q2vH2J
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Affiliation(s)
| | - John R Hurst
- UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | - Alice M Turner
- Respiratory Medicine, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK.,Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
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Finney LJ, Padmanaban V, Todd S, Ahmed N, Elkin SL, Mallia P. Validity of the diagnosis of pneumonia in hospitalised patients with COPD. ERJ Open Res 2019; 5:00031-2019. [PMID: 31249841 PMCID: PMC6589445 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00031-2019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2019] [Accepted: 05/14/2019] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Rationale Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pneumonia are two of the most common reasons for acute hospital admissions. Acute exacerbations and pneumonia present with similar symptoms in COPD patients, representing a diagnostic challenge with a significant impact on patient outcomes. The objectives of this study were to compare the prevalence of radiographic consolidation with the discharge diagnoses of hospitalised COPD patients. Methods COPD patients admitted to three UK hospitals over a 3-year period were identified. Participants were included if they were admitted with an acute respiratory illness, COPD was confirmed by spirometry and a chest radiograph was performed within 24 h of admission. Pneumonia was defined as consolidation on chest radiograph reviewed by two independent observers Results There were 941 admissions in 621 patients included in the final analysis. In 235 admissions, consolidation was present on chest radiography and there were 706 admissions without consolidation. Of the 235 admissions with consolidation, only 42.9% had a discharge diagnosis of pneumonia; 90.7% of patients without consolidation had a discharge diagnosis of COPD exacerbation. The presence of consolidation was associated with increased rate of high-dependency care admission, increased mortality and prolonged length of stay. Inhaled corticosteroid use was associated with recurrent pneumonia. Conclusions Pneumonia is underdiagnosed in patients with COPD. Radiographic consolidation is associated with worse outcomes and prolonged length of stay. Incorrect diagnosis could result in inappropriate use of inhaled corticosteroids. Future guidelines should specifically address the diagnosis and management of pneumonia in COPD. Pneumonia is common in hospitalised COPD patients but is frequently not recognised and underdiagnosed. This has implications for the correct risk stratification and treatment of COPD patients.http://bit.ly/2HTfIKo
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Affiliation(s)
- Lydia J Finney
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College, London, UK
| | | | - Samuel Todd
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Nadia Ahmed
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Sarah L Elkin
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK.,These authors contributed equally
| | - Patrick Mallia
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College, London, UK.,Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK.,These authors contributed equally
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