Discrete Survival Model Analysis of Plasmodium falciparum Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon

Persistence of Residual Submicroscopic P. falciparum Parasitemia following Treatment of Artemether-Lumefantrine in Ethio-Sudan Border, Western Ethiopia

The emergence of artemisinin-resistant parasites in Africa has had a devastating impact, causing most malaria cases and related deaths reported on the continent. In Ethiopia, artemether-lumefantrine (AL) is the first-line drug for the treatment of uncomplicated falciparum malaria. This study is one of the earliest evaluations of artemether-lumefantrine (AL) efficacy in western Ethiopia, 17 years after the introduction of this drug in the study area. This study aimed at assessing PCR- corrected clinical and parasitological responses at 28 days following AL treatment. Sixty uncomplicated falciparum malaria patients were enrolled, treated with standard doses of AL, and monitored for 28 days with clinical and parasitological assessments from September 15 to December 15, 2020. Microscopy was used for patient recruitment and molecular diagnosis of P. falciparum was performed by Var gene acidic terminal sequence (varATS) real-time PCR on dried blood spots collected from each patient from day 0 and on follow-up days 1, 2, 3, 7, 14, 21, and 28. MspI and msp2 genotyping was done to confirm occurrence of recrudescence. Data entry and analysis were done by using the WHO-designed Excel spreadsheet and SPSS version 20 for Windows. A P value of less or equal to 0.05 was considered significant. From a total of 60 patients enrolled in this efficacy study, 10 were lost to follow-up; the results were analyzed for 50 patients. All the patients were fever-free on day 3. The asexual parasite positivity rate on day 3 was zero. However; 60% of the patients were PCR positive on day 3. PCR positivity on day 3 was more common among patients <15 years old as compared with those ≥15 years old (AOR = 6.44, P = 0.027). Only two patients met the case definition of treatment failure. These patients were classified as a late clinical failure as they showed symptoms of malaria and asexual stages of the parasite detected by microscopy on day 14 of their follow-ups. Hence, the Kaplan-Meier analysis of PCR- corrected adequate clinical and parasitological response (ACPR) rate of AL among study participants was 96% (95% CI: 84.9-99). In seven patients, the residual submicroscopic parasitemia persists from day 0 to day 28 of the follow-up. In addition, 16% (8/50) of patients were PCR- and then turned PCR+ after day 7 of the follow-up. AL remains efficacious for the treatment of uncomplicated falciparum malaria in the study area. However, the persistence of PCR-detected residual submicroscopic parasitemia following AL might compromise this treatment and need careful monitoring.