Curated Database and Preliminary AutoML QSAR Model for 5-HT1A Receptor

Cross-column density functional theory-based quantitative structure-retention relationship model development powered by machine learning

Quantitative structure-retention relationship (QSRR) modeling has emerged as an efficient alternative to predict analyte retention times using molecular descriptors. However, most reported QSRR models are column-specific, requiring separate models for each high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) system. This study evaluates the potential of machine learning (ML) algorithms and quantum mechanical (QM) descriptors to develop QSRR models that can predict retention times across three different reversed-phase HPLC columns under varying conditions. Four machine learning methods-partial least squares (PLS) regression, ridge regression (RR), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting (GB)-were compared on a dataset of 360 retention times for 15 aromatic analytes. Molecular descriptors were calculated using density functional theory (DFT). Column characteristics like particle size and pore size and experimental conditions like temperature and gradient time were additionally used as descriptors. Results showed that the GB-QSRR model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with Q2 of 0.989 and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.749 min on the test set. Feature analysis revealed that solvation energy (SE), HOMO-LUMO energy gap (∆E HOMO-LUMO), total dipole moment (Mtot), and global hardness (η) are among the most influential predictors for retention time prediction, indicating the significance of electrostatic interactions and hydrophobicity. Our findings underscore the efficiency of ensemble methods, GB and RF models employing non-linear learners, in capturing local variations in retention times across diverse experimental setups. This study emphasizes the potential of cross-column QSRR modeling and highlights the utility of ML models in optimizing chromatographic analysis.

Explainability and white box in drug discovery

Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been increasingly used to overcome the challenges in drug discovery. Although traditional AI techniques generally have high accuracy rates, there may be difficulties in explaining the decision process and patterns. This can create difficulties in understanding and making sense of the outputs of algorithms used in drug discovery. Therefore, using explainable AI (XAI) techniques, the causes and consequences of the decision process are better understood. This can help further improve the drug discovery process and make the right decisions. To address this issue, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) emerged as a process and method that securely captures the results and outputs of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms. Using techniques such as SHAP (SHApley Additive ExPlanations) and LIME (Locally Interpretable Model-Independent Explanations) has made the drug targeting phase clearer and more understandable. XAI methods are expected to reduce time and cost in future computational drug discovery studies. This review provides a comprehensive overview of XAI-based drug discovery and development prediction. XAI mechanisms to increase confidence in AI and modeling methods. The limitations and future directions of XAI in drug discovery are also discussed.

Prediction of subjective cognitive decline after corpus callosum infarction by an interpretable machine learning-derived early warning strategy

Background and purpose

Corpus callosum (CC) infarction is an extremely rare subtype of cerebral ischemic stroke, however, the symptoms of cognitive impairment often fail to attract early attention of patients, which seriously affects the long-term prognosis, such as high mortality, personality changes, mood disorders, psychotic reactions, financial burden and so on. This study seeks to develop and validate models for early predicting the risk of subjective cognitive decline (SCD) after CC infarction by machine learning (ML) algorithms.

Methods

This is a prospective study that enrolled 213 (only 3.7%) CC infarction patients from a nine-year cohort comprising 8,555 patients with acute ischemic stroke. Telephone follow-up surveys were carried out for the patients with definite diagnosis of CC infarction one-year after disease onset, and SCD was identified by Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) questionnaire. Based on the significant features selected by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), seven ML models including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Logistic Regression (LR), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB), Complement Naïve Bayes (CNB), and Support vector machine (SVM) were established and their predictive performances were compared by different metrics. Importantly, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was also utilized to examine internal behavior of the highest-performance ML classifier.

Results

The Logistic Regression (LR)-model performed better than other six ML-models in SCD predictability after the CC infarction, with the area under the receiver characteristic operator curve (AUC) of 77.1% in the validation set. Using LASSO and SHAP analysis, we found that infarction subregions of CC infarction, female, 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score, age, homocysteine, location of angiostenosis, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, pure CC infarction, and number of angiostenosis were the top-nine significant predictors in the order of importance for the output of LR-model. Meanwhile, we identified that infarction subregion of CC, female, 3-month mRS score and pure CC infarction were the factors which independently associated with the cognitive outcome.

Conclusion

Our study firstly demonstrated that the LR-model with 9 common variables has the best-performance to predict the risk of post-stroke SCD due to CC infarcton. Particularly, the combination of LR-model and SHAP-explainer could aid in achieving personalized risk prediction and be served as a decision-making tool for early intervention since its poor long-term outcome.

Toward a general and interpretable umami taste predictor using a multi-objective machine learning approach

The umami taste is one of the five basic taste modalities normally linked to the protein content in food. The implementation of fast and cost-effective tools for the prediction of the umami taste of a molecule remains extremely interesting to understand the molecular basis of this taste and to effectively rationalise the production and consumption of specific foods and ingredients. However, the only examples of umami predictors available in the literature rely on the amino acid sequence of the analysed peptides, limiting the applicability of the models. In the present study, we developed a novel ML-based algorithm, named VirtuousUmami, able to predict the umami taste of a query compound starting from its SMILES representation, thus opening up the possibility of potentially using such a model on any database through a standard and more general molecular description. Herein, we have tested our model on five databases related to foods or natural compounds. The proposed tool will pave the way toward the rationalisation of the molecular features underlying the umami taste and toward the design of specific peptide-inspired compounds with specific taste properties.

Do AutoML-Based QSAR Models Fulfill OECD Principles for Regulatory Assessment? A 5-HT1A Receptor Case

The drug discovery and development process requires a lot of time, financial, and workforce resources. Any reduction in these burdens might benefit all stakeholders in the healthcare domain, including patients, government, and companies. One of the critical stages in drug discovery is a selection of molecular structures with a strong affinity to a particular molecular target. The possible solution is the development of predictive models and their application in the screening process, but due to the complexity of the problem, simple and statistical models might not be sufficient for practical application. The manuscript presents the best-in-class predictive model for the serotonin 1A receptor affinity and its validation according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development guidelines for regulatory purposes. The model was developed based on a database with close to 9500 molecules by using an automatic machine learning tool (AutoML). The model selection was conducted based on the Akaike information criterion value and 10-fold cross-validation routine, and later good predictive ability was confirmed with an additional external validation dataset with over 700 molecules. Moreover, the multi-start technique was applied to test if an automatic model development procedure results in reliable results.