Simulation of Phosphorus Chemistry, Uptake and Utilisation by Winter Wheat

Apple-Net: A Model Based on Improved YOLOv5 to Detect the Apple Leaf Diseases

Effective identification of apple leaf diseases can reduce pesticide spraying and improve apple fruit yield, which is significant to agriculture. However, the existing apple leaf disease detection models lack consideration of disease diversity and accuracy, which hinders the application of intelligent agriculture in the apple industry. In this paper, we explore an accurate and robust detection model for apple leaf disease called Apple-Net, improving the conventional YOLOv5 network by adding the Feature Enhancement Module (FEM) and Coordinate Attention (CA) methods. The combination of the feature pyramid and pan in YOLOv5 can obtain richer semantic information and enhance the semantic information of low-level feature maps but lacks the output of multi-scale information. Thus, the FEM was adopted to improve the output of multi-scale information, and the CA was used to improve the detection efficiency. The experimental results show that Apple-Net achieves a higher mAP@0.5 (95.9%) and precision (93.1%) than four classic target detection models, thus proving that Apple-Net achieves more competitive results on apple leaf disease identification.

Exploring the effects of land management change on productivity, carbon and nutrient balance: Application of an Ensemble Modelling Approach to the upper River Taw observatory, UK

Agriculture is challenged to produce healthy food and to contribute to cleaner energy whilst mitigating climate change and protecting ecosystems. To achieve this, policy-driven scenarios need to be evaluated with available data and models to explore trade-offs with robust accounting for the uncertainty in predictions. We developed a novel model ensemble using four complementary state-of-the-art agroecosystems models to explore the impacts of land management change. The ensemble was used to simulate key agricultural and environmental outputs under various scenarios for the upper River Taw observatory, UK. Scenarios assumed (i) reducing livestock production whilst simultaneously increasing the area of arable where it is feasible to cultivate (PG2A), (ii) reducing livestock production whilst simultaneously increasing bioenergy production in areas of the catchment that are amenable to growing bioenergy crops (PG2BE) and (iii) increasing both arable and bioenergy production (PG2A + BE). Our ensemble approach combined model uncertainty using the tower property of expectation and the law of total variance. Results show considerable uncertainty for predicted nutrient losses with different models partitioning the uncertainty into different pathways. Bioenergy crops were predicted to produce greatest yields from Miscanthus in lowland and from SRC-willow (cv. Endurance) in uplands. Each choice of management is associated with trade-offs; e.g. PG2A results in a significant increase of edible calories (6736 Mcal ha^-1) but reduced soil C (-4.32 t C ha^-1). Model ensembles in the agroecosystem context are difficult to implement due to challenges of model availability and input and output alignment. Despite these challenges, we show that ensemble modelling is a powerful approach for applications such as ours, offering benefits such as capturing structural as well as data uncertainty and allowing greater combinations of variables to be explored. Furthermore, the ensemble provides a robust means for combining uncertainty at different scales and enables us to identify weaknesses in system understanding.

Simulating grazing beef and sheep systems

CONTEXT

Ruminant livestock make an important contribution to global food security by converting feed that is unsuitable for human consumption into high value food protein, demand for which is currently increasing at an unprecedented rate because of increasing global population and income levels. Factors affecting production efficiency, product quality, and consumer acceptability, such as animal fertility, health and welfare, will ultimately define the sustainability of ruminant production systems. These more complex systems can be developed and analysed by using models that can predict system responses to environment and management.

OBJECTIVE

We present a framework that dynamically models, using a process-based and mechanistic approach, animal and grass growth, nutrient cycling and water redistribution in a soil profile taking into account the effects of animal genotype, climate, feed quality and quantity on livestock production, greenhouse gas emissions, water use and quality, and nutrient cycling in a grazing system.

METHODS

A component to estimate ruminant animal growth was developed and integrated with the existing components of the SPACSYS model. Intake of herbage and/or concentrates and partitioning of the energy and protein contained in consumed herbage and/or concentrates were simulated in the component. Simulated animal growth was validated using liveweight data from over 200 finishing beef cattle and 900 lambs collected from the North Wyke Farm Platform (NWFP) in southwest England, UK, between 2011 and 2018. Annual nitrous oxide (N₂O), ammonia, methane and carbon dioxide emissions from individual fields were simulated based on previous validated parameters.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

A series of statistical indicators demonstrated that the model could simulate liveweight gain of beef cattle and lamb. Simulated nitrogen (N) cycling estimated N input of 190 to 260 kg ha^-1, of which 37-61% was removed from the fields either as silage or animal intake, 15-26% was lost through surface runoff or lateral drainage and 1.14% was emitted to the atmosphere as N₂O. About 13% of the manure N applied to the NWFP and excreta N deposited at grazing was lost via ammonia volatilisation.

SIGNIFICANCE

The extended model has the potential to investigate the responses of the system on and consequences of a range of agronomic management and grazing strategies. However, modelling of multi-species swards needs to be validated including the dynamics of individual species in the swards, preferential selection by grazing animals and the impact on animal growth and nutrient flows.

Assessment of Nitrogen Uptake and Biological Nitrogen Fixation Responses of Soybean to Nitrogen Fertiliser with SPACSYS

Chemical fertiliser nitrogen addition will inhibit biological nitrogen fixation (BNF) for soybean (Glycine max [L.] Merr) growth. The optimal balance of these two nitrogen input sources has been a key issue for sustainable development in Northeast China. We used the data collected from a four-year experiment with varied irrigation and fertiliser treatments from 2007 to 2010 to evaluate the SPACSYS (Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Continuum SYStem) model. The validated model was run to investigate the responses to different management practices in seed yield, BNF, protein yield and soil nitrogen budgets. Scenario testing showed average yield increase of 2.4–5.2% with additional 50–100 kg N/ha application. Irrigation at the reproductive stage improved seed yield in drier years with an increase of 12–33% compared with the rain-fed treatment. BNF was suppressed by fertiliser nitrogen application and drought stress with a decrease of 6–33% and 8–34%, respectively. The average nitrogen budget without fertilization indicated a deficit of 39 kg N/ha. To attain higher seed yield, applying fertiliser at 25–30 and 15–20 kg N/ha before sowing is advised in drier and wetter years, respectively. To achieve a higher seed nitrogen content, an application rate of 55–60 and 45–50 kg N/ha is recommended for drier and wetter years, respectively.