A Scenario-Based Optimization Model for Planning Sustainable Water-Resources Process Management under Uncertainty

CWM-CGAN Method for Renewable Energy Scenario Generation Based on Weather Label Multi-Factor Definition

With the increasing installed capacity of renewable energy in the energy system, the uncertainty of renewable energy has an increasingly prominent impact on power system planning and operation. Renewable energy such as wind and solar energy is greatly affected by the external weather. How to use a reasonable method to describe the relationship between weather and renewable energy output, so as to measure the uncertainty of renewable energy more accurately, is an important problem. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a renewable energy scenario generation method based on a conditional generation countermeasure network and combination weighting method (CWM-CGAN). In this method, the combination of AHP and the entropy weight method is used to analyze the meteorological factors, the weather classification is defined as the condition label in the conditional generation countermeasure network, and the energy scenario is generated by the conditional generation confrontation network. In this paper, the proposed method is tested with actual PV data, and the results show that the proposed model can describe the uncertainty of PV more accurately.

Special Issue on “Energy, Economy and Environment for Industrial Production Processes”

Facing significant natural resource consumption, environmental degradation, and climate warming, governments and international organizations have increased their focus on ecological modernization, green growth, and low carbon development, with various sustainable development strategies [...]

Data-Driven Robust Optimization for Steam Systems in Ethylene Plants under Uncertainty

In an ethylene plant, steam system provides shaft power to compressors and pumps and heats the process streams. Modeling and optimization of a steam system is a powerful tool to bring benefits and save energy for ethylene plants. However, the uncertainty of device efficiencies and the fluctuation of the process demands cause great difficulties to traditional mathematical programming methods, which could result in suboptimal or infeasible solution. The growing data-driven optimization approaches offer new techniques to eliminate uncertainty in the process system engineering community. A data-driven robust optimization (DDRO) methodology is proposed to deal with uncertainty in the optimization of steam system in an ethylene plant. A hybrid model of extraction–exhausting steam turbine is developed, and its coefficients are considered as uncertain parameters. A deterministic mixed integer linear programming model of the steam system is formulated based on the model of the components to minimize the operating cost of the ethylene plant. The uncertain parameter set of the proposed model is derived from the historical data, and the Dirichlet process mixture model is employed to capture the features for the construction of the uncertainty set. In combination with the derived uncertainty set, a data-driven conic quadratic mixed-integer programming model is reformulated for the optimization of the steam system under uncertainty. An actual case study is utilized to validate the performance of the proposed DDRO method.