New Adaptable All-in-One Strategy for Estimating Advanced Tropospheric Parameters and Using Real-Time Orbits and Clocks

GNSS Storm Nowcasting Demonstrator for Bulgaria

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is an established atmospheric monitoring technique delivering water vapour data in near-real time with a latency of 90 min for operational Numerical Weather Prediction in Europe within the GNSS water vapour service (E-GVAP). The advancement of GNSS processing made the quality of real-time GNSS tropospheric products comparable to near-real-time solutions. In addition, they can be provided with a temporal resolution of 5 min and latency of 10 min, suitable for severe weather nowcasting. This paper exploits the added value of sub-hourly real-time GNSS tropospheric products for the nowcasting of convective storms in Bulgaria. A convective Storm Demonstrator (Storm Demo) is build using real-time GNSS tropospheric products and Instability Indices to derive site-specific threshold values in support of public weather and hail suppression services. The Storm Demo targets the development of service featuring GNSS products for two regions with hail suppression operations in Bulgaria, where thunderstorms and hail events occur between May and September, with a peak in July. The Storm Demo real-time Precise Point Positioning processing is conducted with the G-Nut software with a temporal resolution of 15 min for 12 ground-based GNSS stations in Bulgaria. Real-time data evaluation is done using reprocessed products and the achieved precision is below 9 mm, which is within the nowcasting requirements of the World Meteorologic Organisation. For the period May–September 2021, the seasonal classification function for thunderstorm nowcasting is computed and evaluated. The probability of thunderstorm detection is 83%, with a false alarm ration of 38%. The added value of the high temporal resolution of the GNSS tropospheric gradients is investigated for a storm case on 24–30 August 2021. Real-time tropospheric products and classification functions are integrated and updated in real-time on a publicly accessible geoportal.

Performance Evaluation of Troposphere Estimated from Galileo-Only Multi-Frequency Observations

The tropospheric delays estimated from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) have been proven to be an efficient product for monitoring variations of water vapor, which plays an important role in meteorology applications. The operational GNSS water vapor monitoring system is currently based on the Global Positioning System (GPS) and GLObal NAvigation Satellite System(GLONASS) dual-frequency observations. The Galileo satellite navigation system has been evolving continuously, and on 11 February 2019, the constellation reached 22 active satellites, achieving a capability of standalone Precise Point Positioning (PPP) and tropospheric estimation that is global in scope. This enhancement shows a 37% improvement if the precision of the Galileo-only zenith tropospheric delay, while we may anticipate further benefits in terms of tropospheric gradients and slant delays in the future if an optimal multi-constellation and multi-frequency processing strategy is used. First, we analyze the performance of the multi-frequency troposphere estimates based on the PPP raw observation model by comparing it with the standard ionosphere-free model. The performance of the Galileo-only tropospheric solution is then validated with respect to GPS-only solution using 48 globally distributed Multi-GNSS Experiment (MGEX) stations. The averaged bias and standard deviations are −0.3 and 5.8 mm when only using GPS satellites, respectively, and 0.0 and 6.2 mm for Galileo, respectively, when compared to the International GNSS Service (IGS) final Zenith Troposphere Delay(ZTD) products. Using receiver antenna phase center corrections from the corresponding GPS dual-frequency observations does not affect the Galileo PPP ambiguity float troposphere solutions. These results demonstrate a comparable precision achieved for both Galileo-only and GPS-only ZTD solutions, however, horizontal tropospheric gradients, estimated from standalone GPS and Galileo solutions, still show larger discrepancies, mainly due to their being less Galileo satellites than GPS satellites. Including Galileo E1, E5a, E5b, and E5 signals, along with their proper observation weighting, show the benefit of multi-frequency observations, further improving the ZTD precision by 4% when compared to the dual-frequency raw observation model. Overall, the presented results demonstrate good prospects for the application of multi-frequency Galileo observations for the tropospheric parameter estimates.

Analysis on the Impacts of Slant Tropospheric Delays on Precise Point Positioning

Tropospheric delay is one main factor affecting the accuracy of precise point positioning (PPP) ambiguity-float and fixed solutions. Investigations mainly focused on evaluating the contributions of tropospheric corrections to the accuracy and reliability of PPP solutions. The tropospheric corrections generally contained the zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) and the horizontal gradients estimated from relative positioning or PPP. However, the estimated tropospheric delays can be partly absorbed by the carrier phase residuals if the stochastic model is not well-defined. Therefore, along with the ZTD and horizontal gradients, the carrier phase residuals from PPP backward filter are considered to reconstruct slant tropospheric delay (STD). Based on the proposed STD model, its marginal effects on GPS PPP were investigated. Results indicated that the consideration of carrier phase residuals for STD modeling can improve the three-dimensional accuracy to 0.5 cm/1 cm/1.2 cm in the South/North/Up (N/E/U) components. Then, the effects of internal and external STD corrections on PPP float and fixed solutions were analyzed. Compared to the ZTD + gradients augmentation, STD corrections from the same station could improve the PPP accuracy by 51%/51%/60%; the large improvements were because the multipath error and observation noise were eliminated. In comparison, the improvement was 14%/28%/31% using external STD corrections, which indicated the effects of unmodeled tropospheric errors in the phase residuals. The ambiguity-fixing results indicated that the fixing rate of PPP ambiguity was increased by 30% with STD augmentation. As the BeiDou System (BDS) suffered longer convergence than that of GPS, the benefits of STD modeling to the BDS observations were also validated. Overall, the results validated the performance of STD-augmented PPP, which demonstrated the potential application of high-accuracy troposphere products.

Establishment of a Real-Time Local Tropospheric Fusion Model

The tropospheric delay is one major error source affecting the precise positioning provided by the global navigation satellite system (GNSS). This error occurs because the GNSS signals are refracted while travelling through the troposphere layer. Nowadays, various types of model can produce the tropospheric delay. Among them, the globally distributed GNSS permanent stations can resolve the tropospheric delay with the highest accuracy and the best continuity. Meteorological models, such as the Saastamoinen model, provide formulae to calculate temperature, pressure, water vapor pressure and subsequently the tropospheric delay. Some grid-based empirical tropospheric delay models directly provide tropospheric parameters at a global scale and in real time without any auxiliary information. However, the spatial resolution of the GNSS tropospheric delay is not sufficient, and the accuracy of the meteorological and empirical models is relatively poor. With the rapid development of satellite navigation systems around the globe, the demand for real-time high-precision GNSS positioning services has been growing dramatically, requiring real-time and high-accuracy troposphere models as a critical prerequisite. Therefore, this paper proposes a multi-source real-time local tropospheric delay model that uses polynomial fitting of ground-based GNSS observations, meteorological data, and empirical GPT2w models. The results show that the accuracy in the zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) of the proposed tropospheric delay model has been verified with a RMS (root mean square) of 1.48 cm in active troposphere conditions, and 1.45 cm in stable troposphere conditions, which is significantly better than the conventional tropospheric GPT2w and Saastamoinen models.

Improving GNSS Zenith Wet Delay Interpolation by Utilizing Tropospheric Gradients: Experiments with a Dense Station Network in Central Europe in the Warm Season

The Benchmark data set collected within the European COST Action ES1206 has aimed to support the development and validation of advanced Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) tropospheric products, in particular high-resolution zenith delays and tropospheric gradients. In this work we utilize this unique data set to show that the interpolation of GNSS Zenith Wet Delays (ZWDs) can be improved by utilizing tropospheric gradients. To do this we first prove the concept with simulated observations, that is, zenith delays and tropospheric gradients derived from a Numerical Weather Model. We show how tropospheric gradients can be converted to ZWD gradients. Then the ZWD gradients together with the ZWDs at selected reference stations are used in an inverse distance weighting interpolation scheme to estimate the ZWD at some target station. For a station configuration with an average station distance of 50 km in Germany and a period of two months (May and June 2013), we find an improvement of 20% in interpolated ZWDs when tropospheric gradients are taken into account. Next, we replace the simulated by real observations, that is, zenith delays and tropospheric gradients from a Precise Point Positioning (PPP) solution provided with the G-Nut/Tefnut analysis software. Here we find an improvement of 10% in interpolated ZWDs when tropospheric gradients are taken into account.

Estimating the Impact of Global Navigation Satellite System Horizontal Delay Gradients in Variational Data Assimilation

We developed operators to assimilate Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Zenith Total Delays (ZTDs) and horizontal delay gradients into a numerical weather model. In this study we experiment with refractivity fields derived from the Global Forecast System (GFS) available with a horizontal resolution of 0.5°. We begin our investigations with simulated observations. In essence, we extract the tropospheric parameters from the GFS analysis, add noise to mimic observation errors and assimilate the simulated observations into the GFS 24h forecast valid at the same time. We consider three scenarios: (1) the assimilation of ZTDs (2) the assimilation of horizontal delay gradients and (3) the assimilation of both ZTDs and horizontal delay gradients. The impact is measured by utilizing the refractivity fields. We find that the assimilation of the horizontal delay gradients in addition to the ZTDs improves the refractivity field around 800 hPa. When we consider a single station there is a clear improvement when horizontal delay gradients are assimilated in addition to the ZTDs because the horizontal delay gradients contain information that is not contained in the ZTDs. On the other hand, when we consider a dense station network there is not a significant improvement when horizontal delay gradients are assimilated in addition to the ZTDs because the horizontal delay gradients do not contain information that is not already contained in the ZTDs. Finally, we replace simulated by real observations, that is, tropospheric parameters from a Precise Point Positioning solution provided with the G-Nut/Tefnut software, in order to show that the GFS 24h forecast is indeed improved when GNSS horizontal delay gradients are assimilated in addition to GNSS ZTDs; for the considered station (Potsdam, Germany) and period (June and July, 2017) we find an improvement in the retrieved refractivity of up to 4%.