Tree Crowns Cause Border Effects in Area-Based Biomass Estimations from Remote Sensing

Modeling the horizontal distribution of tree crown biomass from terrestrial laser scanning data

Tree crown biomass is rarely assessed individually in forest monitoring, but when it is to be reported, standard conversion factors are commonly used for predicting crown biomass as a function of stem biomass. Further, in the conventional methods, the predicted total tree biomass is assigned exclusively to the stem position. In reality, however, tree and in particular crown biomass is spatially distributed over the entire crown projection area. In this study, we investigated the "Horizontal Biomass Distribution (HBD)" model, which serves to depict this biomass as a spatial distribution over the crown projection area: here, the individual tree crown biomass is modeled as a continuous distribution within the area defined by the crown projection. We examined two empirical HBD prediction models: (1) Weibull distribution; and (2) Segmented polynomial regression; which describe the biomass contained up to a given crown radius on the horizontal projection of individual trees, i.e., spatial distribution of crown biomass as a function of the horizontal distance from the stem. The approach was demonstrated using terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) on a sample of 33 urban trees from eight species. We found that (1) the segmented polynomial regression model revealed better performance in defining the HBD for various tree species; (2) a certain variability in HBD patterns was observed between the sample trees, with the variability being more pronounced between species groups than within species; and (3) the methodological approaches using TLS proxies are suitable and convenient to non-destructively assess the HBD, which would be otherwise impractical by direct measurements.

Combining Sample Plot Stratification and Machine Learning Algorithms to Improve Forest Aboveground Carbon Density Estimation in Northeast China Using Airborne LiDAR Data

Timely, accurate estimates of forest aboveground carbon density (AGC) are essential for understanding the global carbon cycle and providing crucial reference information for climate-change-related policies. To date, airborne LiDAR has been considered as the most precise remote-sensing-based technology for forest AGC estimation, but it suffers great challenges from various uncertainty sources. Stratified estimation has the potential to reduce the uncertainty and improve the forest AGC estimation. However, the impact of stratification and how to effectively combine stratification and modeling algorithms have not been fully investigated in forest AGC estimation. In this study, we performed a comparative analysis of different stratification approaches (non-stratification, forest type stratification (FTS) and dominant species stratification (DSS)) and different modeling algorithms (stepwise regression, random forest (RF), Cubist, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and categorical boosting (CatBoost)) to identify the optimal stratification approach and modeling algorithm for forest AGC estimation, using airborne LiDAR data. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to quantify and determine the factors that had a significant effect on the estimation accuracy. The results revealed the superiority of stratified estimation models over the unstratified ones, with higher estimation accuracy achieved by the DSS models. Moreover, this improvement was more significant in coniferous species than broadleaf species. The ML algorithms outperformed stepwise regression and the CatBoost models based on DSS provided the highest estimation accuracy (R2 = 0.8232, RMSE = 5.2421, RRMSE = 20.5680, MAE = 4.0169 and Bias = 0.4493). The ANOVA of the prediction error indicated that the stratification method was a more important factor than the regression algorithm in forest AGC estimation. This study demonstrated the positive effect of stratification and how the combination of DSS and the CatBoost algorithm can effectively improve the estimation accuracy of forest AGC. Integrating this strategy with national forest inventory could help improve the monitoring of forest carbon stock over large areas.