Comparison of Two Data Assimilation Methods for Improving MODIS LAI Time Series for Bamboo Forests

Simulated net ecosystem productivity of subtropical forests and its response to climate change in Zhejiang Province, China

Net ecosystem productivity (NEP) is an important index that indicates the carbon sequestration capacity of forest ecosystems. However, the effect of climate change on the spatiotemporal variability in NEP is still unclear. Using the Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon-budget (InTEC) model, this study takes the typical subtropical forests in the Zhejiang Province, China as an example, simulated the spatiotemporal patterns of forest NEP from 1979 to 2079 based on historically observed climate data (1979-2015) and data from three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5). We analyzed the responses of NEP at different forest age classes to the variation in meteorological factors. The NEP of Zhejiang's forests decreased from 1979 to 1985 and then increased from 1985 to 2015, with an annual increase rate of 9.66 g C·m^-2·yr^-1 and a cumulative NEP of 364.99 Tg·C. Forest NEP decreased from 2016 to 2079; however, the cumulative NEP continued to increase. The simulated cumulative NEP under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios was 750 Tg·C, 866 Tg·C, and 958 Tg·C, respectively, at the end of 2079. Partial correlation analysis between forest NEP at different age stages and meteorological factors showed that temperature is the key climatic factor that affects the carbon sequestration capacity of juvenile forests (1979-1999), while precipitation is the key climatic factor that affects middle-aged forests (2000-2015) and mature forests (2016-2079). Adopting appropriate management strategies for forests, such as selective cutting of different ages, is critical for the subtropical forests to adapt to climate change and maintain their high carbon sink capacity.

Assimilating spatiotemporal MODIS LAI data with a particle filter algorithm for improving carbon cycle simulations for bamboo forest ecosystems

Bamboo forests are an important part of the forest ecosystem, which has strong carbon sequestration potential and plays an important role in the global carbon cycle. As a key parameter for simulating the carbon cycle using forest ecosystem models, the quality of leaf area index (LAI) data has a direct influence on the accuracy of modelling results. Here, we used the particle filter (PF) algorithm and PROSAIL model to assimilate MODIS LAI products, which were then used to drive a boreal ecosystem productivity simulator model to simulate the bamboo forest carbon cycle. The results showed that the relationship between the assimilated and observed LAI values was very significant, with an R² of 0.95 and an RMSE of 0.28, greatly improving the precision of MODIS LAI products. The R² values for the gross primary productivity (GPP), net ecosystem exchange (NEE), and total ecosystem respiration (TER) simulated by the assimilated LAI values and observed carbon fluxes were 0.65, 0.45 and 0.70, respectively, and the RMSE values were 1.10 g C m^-2 day^-1, 1.00 g C m^-2 day^-1 and 0.35 g C m^-2 day^-1, respectively. Compared with the results of the carbon cycle simulated by non-assimilated LAI, the R² values of the GPP, NEE and TER values that were simulated by assimilated LAI increased by 27.5%, 45.2% and 6.1%, and the RMSE values decreased by 29.9%, 23.7% and 22.2%, respectively. Therefore, coupling the PF and PROSAIL models can greatly improve the simulation precision for the large-scale bamboo forest carbon cycle. This study laid the foundation for simulating the carbon cycle over a large-scale bamboo forest based on low-resolution data in the future.

Estimating Crown Structure Parameters of Moso Bamboo: Leaf Area and Leaf Angle Distribution

Both leaf area (LA) and leaf angle distribution are the most important eco-physiological measures of tree crowns. However, there are limited published investigations on the two parameters of Moso bamboo (Phyllostachys edulis (Carrière) J. Houz., abbreviated as MB). The aim of this study was to develop allometric equations for predicting crown LA of MB by taking the diameter at breast height (DBH) and tree height (H) as predictors and to investigate the leaf angle distribution of a MB crown based on direct leaf angle measurements. Data were destructively sampled from 29 MB crowns including DBH, H, biomass and the area of sampled leaves, biomass of total crown leaves, and leaf angles. The results indicate that (1) the specific leaf area (SLA) of a MB crown decreases from the bottom to the top; (2) the vertical LA distribution of MB crowns follow a “Muffin top” shape; (3) the LA of MB crowns show large variations, from 7.42 to 74.38 m2; (4) both DBH and H are good predictors in allometry-based LA estimations for a MB crown; (5) linear, exponential, and logarithmic regressions show similar capabilities for the LA estimations; (6) leaf angle distributions from the top to the bottom of a MB crown can be considered as invariant; and (7) the leaf angle distribution of a MB crown is close to the planophile case. The results provide an important tool to estimate the LA of MB on the standing scale based on DBH or H measurements, provide useful prior knowledge for extracting leaf area indexes of MB canopies from remote sensing-based observations, and, therefore, will potentially serve as a crucial reference for calculating carbon balances and other ecological studies of MB forests.