Nonlinear T-Wave Time Warping-Based Sensing Model for Non-Invasive Personalised Blood Potassium Monitoring in Hemodialysis Patients: A Pilot Study

Differences in ventricular wall composition may explain inter-patient variability in the ECG response to variations in serum potassium and calcium

Objective: Chronic kidney disease patients have a decreased ability to maintain normal electrolyte concentrations in their blood, which increases the risk for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Non-invasive monitoring of serum potassium and calcium concentration, [K+] and [Ca2+], can help to prevent arrhythmias in these patients. Electrocardiogram (ECG) markers that significantly correlate with [K+] and [Ca2+] have been proposed, but these relations are highly variable between patients. We hypothesized that inter-individual differences in cell type distribution across the ventricular wall can help to explain this variability. Methods: A population of human heart-torso models were built with different proportions of endocardial, midmyocardial and epicardial cells. Propagation of ventricular electrical activity was described by a reaction-diffusion model, with modified Ten Tusscher-Panfilov dynamics. [K+] and [Ca2+] were varied individually and in combination. Twelve-lead ECGs were simulated and the width, amplitude and morphological variability of T waves and QRS complexes were quantified. Results were compared to measurements from 29 end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD). Results: Both simulations and patients data showed that most of the analyzed T wave and QRS complex markers correlated strongly with [K+] (absolute median Pearson correlation coefficients, r, ranging from 0.68 to 0.98) and [Ca2+] (ranging from 0.70 to 0.98). The same sign and similar magnitude of median r was observed in the simulations and the patients. Different cell type distributions in the ventricular wall led to variability in ECG markers that was accentuated at high [K+] and low [Ca2+], in agreement with the larger variability between patients measured at the onset of HD. The simulated ECG variability explained part of the measured inter-patient variability. Conclusion: Changes in ECG markers were similarly related to [K+] and [Ca2+] variations in our models and in the ESRD patients. The high inter-patient ECG variability may be explained by variations in cell type distribution across the ventricular wall, with high sensitivity to variations in the proportion of epicardial cells. Significance: Differences in ventricular wall composition help to explain inter-patient variability in ECG response to [K+] and [Ca2+]. This finding can be used to improve serum electrolyte monitoring in ESRD patients.

Monitoring of Serum Potassium and Calcium Levels in End-Stage Renal Disease Patients by ECG Depolarization Morphology Analysis

Objective: Non-invasive estimation of serum potassium, [K+], and calcium, [Ca2+], can help to prevent life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias in patients with advanced renal disease, but current methods for estimation of electrolyte levels have limitations. We aimed to develop new markers based on the morphology of the QRS complex of the electrocardiogram (ECG). Methods: ECG recordings from 29 patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD) were processed. Mean warped QRS complexes were computed in two-minute windows at the start of an HD session, at the end of each HD hour and 48 h after it. We quantified QRS width, amplitude and the proposed QRS morphology-based markers that were computed by warping techniques. Reference [K+] and [Ca2+] were determined from blood samples acquired at the time points where the markers were estimated. Linear regression models were used to estimate electrolyte levels from the QRS markers individually and in combination with T wave morphology markers. Leave-one-out cross-validation was used to assess the performance of the estimators. Results: All markers, except for QRS width, strongly correlated with [K+] (median Pearson correlation coefficients, r, ranging from 0.81 to 0.87) and with [Ca2+] (r ranging from 0.61 to 0.76). QRS morphology markers showed very low sensitivity to heart rate (HR). Actual and estimated serum electrolyte levels differed, on average, by less than 0.035 mM (relative error of 0.018) for [K+] and 0.010 mM (relative error of 0.004) for [Ca2+] when patient-specific multivariable estimators combining QRS and T wave markers were used. Conclusion: QRS morphological markers allow non-invasive estimation of [K+] and [Ca2+] with low sensitivity to HR. The estimation performance is improved when multivariable models, including T wave markers, are considered. Significance: Markers based on the QRS complex of the ECG could contribute to non-invasive monitoring of serum electrolyte levels and arrhythmia risk prediction in patients with renal disease.