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Kong F, Wang X, Xiang J, Yang S, Wang X, Yue M, Zhang J, Zhao J, Han X, Dong Y, Zhu B, Wang F, Liu Y. Federated attention consistent learning models for prostate cancer diagnosis and Gleason grading. Comput Struct Biotechnol J 2024; 23:1439-1449. [PMID: 38623561 PMCID: PMC11016961 DOI: 10.1016/j.csbj.2024.03.028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2024] [Revised: 03/29/2024] [Accepted: 03/29/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) holds significant promise in transforming medical imaging, enhancing diagnostics, and refining treatment strategies. However, the reliance on extensive multicenter datasets for training AI models poses challenges due to privacy concerns. Federated learning provides a solution by facilitating collaborative model training across multiple centers without sharing raw data. This study introduces a federated attention-consistent learning (FACL) framework to address challenges associated with large-scale pathological images and data heterogeneity. FACL enhances model generalization by maximizing attention consistency between local clients and the server model. To ensure privacy and validate robustness, we incorporated differential privacy by introducing noise during parameter transfer. We assessed the effectiveness of FACL in cancer diagnosis and Gleason grading tasks using 19,461 whole-slide images of prostate cancer from multiple centers. In the diagnosis task, FACL achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9718, outperforming seven centers with an average AUC of 0.9499 when categories are relatively balanced. For the Gleason grading task, FACL attained a Kappa score of 0.8463, surpassing the average Kappa score of 0.7379 from six centers. In conclusion, FACL offers a robust, accurate, and cost-effective AI training model for prostate cancer pathology while maintaining effective data safeguards.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fei Kong
- Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Xiyue Wang
- College of Biomedical Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065, China
| | | | - Sen Yang
- AI Lab, Tencent, Shenzhen, 518057, China
| | - Xinran Wang
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050035, China
| | - Meng Yue
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050035, China
| | - Jun Zhang
- AI Lab, Tencent, Shenzhen, 518057, China
| | - Junhan Zhao
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, 02114, United States
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, United States
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02115, United States
| | - Xiao Han
- AI Lab, Tencent, Shenzhen, 518057, China
| | - Yuhan Dong
- Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Biyue Zhu
- Department of Pharmacy, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400014, China
| | - Fang Wang
- Department of Pathology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, Yantai, 264000, China
| | - Yueping Liu
- Department of Pathology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050035, China
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Tang H, Ma G, Qiu L, Zheng L, Bao R, Liu J, Wang L. Blood Pressure Estimation Based on PPG and ECG Signals Using Knowledge Distillation. Cardiovasc Eng Technol 2024; 15:39-51. [PMID: 38191807 DOI: 10.1007/s13239-023-00695-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 01/10/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Easy access bio-signals are useful for alleviating the shortcomings and difficulties associated with cuff-based and invasive blood pressure (BP) measurement techniques. This study proposes a deep learning model, trained using knowledge distillation, based on photoplethysmographic (PPG) and electrocardiogram (ECG) signals to estimate systolic and diastolic blood pressures. METHODS The estimation model comprises convolutional layers followed by one bidirectional recurrent layer and attention layers. The training approach involves knowledge distillation, where a smaller model (student model) is trained by leveraging information from a larger model (teacher model). RESULTS The proposed multistage model was evaluated on 1205 subjects from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III database using the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation (AAMI) and the standards of the British Hypertension Society (BHS). The results revealed that our model performance achieved grade A in estimating both systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and met the requirements of the AAMI standard. After training with knowledge distillation (KD), the model achieved a mean absolute error and standard deviation of 2.94 ± 5.61 mmHg for SBP and 2.02 ± 3.60 mmHg for DBP. CONCLUSION Our results demonstrate the benefits of the knowledge distillation training method in reducing the number of parameters and improving the predictive accuracy of the blood pressure regression model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hui Tang
- School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Soochow University, Suzhou, 215006, China
| | - Gang Ma
- School of Biomedical Engineering (Suzhou), Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, China
- Suzhou Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, China Academy of Sciences, Suzhou, 215163, China
| | - Lishen Qiu
- School of Biomedical Engineering (Suzhou), Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, China
- Suzhou Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, China Academy of Sciences, Suzhou, 215163, China
| | - Lesong Zheng
- School of Biomedical Engineering (Suzhou), Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, China
- Suzhou Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, China Academy of Sciences, Suzhou, 215163, China
| | - Rui Bao
- School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Soochow University, Suzhou, 215006, China
| | - Jing Liu
- School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Soochow University, Suzhou, 215006, China
| | - Lirong Wang
- School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Soochow University, Suzhou, 215006, China.
- Suzhou Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, China Academy of Sciences, Suzhou, 215163, China.
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Moshawrab M, Adda M, Bouzouane A, Ibrahim H, Raad A. Reviewing Federated Machine Learning and Its Use in Diseases Prediction. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 23:s23042112. [PMID: 36850717 PMCID: PMC9958993 DOI: 10.3390/s23042112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Revised: 02/04/2023] [Accepted: 02/09/2023] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
Machine learning (ML) has succeeded in improving our daily routines by enabling automation and improved decision making in a variety of industries such as healthcare, finance, and transportation, resulting in increased efficiency and production. However, the development and widespread use of this technology has been significantly hampered by concerns about data privacy, confidentiality, and sensitivity, particularly in healthcare and finance. The "data hunger" of ML describes how additional data can increase performance and accuracy, which is why this question arises. Federated learning (FL) has emerged as a technology that helps solve the privacy problem by eliminating the need to send data to a primary server and collect it where it is processed and the model is trained. To maintain privacy and improve model performance, FL shares parameters rather than data during training, in contrast to the typical ML practice of sending user data during model development. Although FL is still in its infancy, there are already applications in various industries such as healthcare, finance, transportation, and others. In addition, 32% of companies have implemented or plan to implement federated learning in the next 12-24 months, according to the latest figures from KPMG, which forecasts an increase in investment in this area from USD 107 million in 2020 to USD 538 million in 2025. In this context, this article reviews federated learning, describes it technically, differentiates it from other technologies, and discusses current FL aggregation algorithms. It also discusses the use of FL in the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and cancer. Finally, the problems hindering progress in this area and future strategies to overcome these limitations are discussed in detail.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Moshawrab
- Département de Mathématiques, Informatique et Génie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC G5L 3A1, Canada
| | - Mehdi Adda
- Département de Mathématiques, Informatique et Génie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC G5L 3A1, Canada
| | - Abdenour Bouzouane
- Département d’Informatique et de Mathématique, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, 555 Boulevard de l’Université, Chicoutimi, QC G7H 2B1, Canada
| | - Hussein Ibrahim
- Institut Technologique de Maintenance Industrielle, 175 Rue de la Vérendrye, Sept-Îles, QC G4R 5B7, Canada
| | - Ali Raad
- Faculty of Arts & Sciences, Islamic University of Lebanon, Wardaniyeh P.O. Box 30014, Lebanon
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Aguirre N, Cymberknop LJ, Grall-Maës E, Ipar E, Armentano RL. Central Arterial Dynamic Evaluation from Peripheral Blood Pressure Waveforms Using CycleGAN: An In Silico Approach. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 23:1559. [PMID: 36772599 PMCID: PMC9919893 DOI: 10.3390/s23031559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2022] [Revised: 01/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Arterial stiffness is a major condition related to many cardiovascular diseases. Traditional approaches in the assessment of arterial stiffness supported by machine learning techniques are limited to the pulse wave velocity (PWV) estimation based on pressure signals from the peripheral arteries. Nevertheless, arterial stiffness can be assessed based on the pressure-strain relationship by analyzing its hysteresis loop. In this work, the capacity of deep learning models based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) to transfer pressure signals from the peripheral arterial region to pressure and area signals located in the central arterial region is explored. The studied signals are from a public and validated virtual database. Compared to other works in which the assessment of arterial stiffness was performed via PWV, in the present work the pressure-strain hysteresis loop is reconstructed and evaluated in terms of classical machine learning metrics and clinical parameters. Least-square GAN (LSGAN) and Wasserstein GAN with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) adversarial losses are compared, yielding better results with LSGAN. LSGAN mean ± standard deviation of error for pressure and area pulse waveforms are 0.8 ± 0.4 mmHg and 0.1 ± 0.1 cm2, respectively. Regarding the pressure-strain elastic modulus, it is achieved a mean absolute percentage error of 6.5 ± 5.1%. GAN-based deep learning models can recover the pressure-strain loop of central arteries while observing pressure signals from peripheral arteries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicolas Aguirre
- GIBIO, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Buenos Aires C1179AAQ, Argentina
- LIST3N, Université de Technologie de Troyes, 10004 Troyes, France
| | - Leandro J. Cymberknop
- GIBIO, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Buenos Aires C1179AAQ, Argentina
| | - Edith Grall-Maës
- LIST3N, Université de Technologie de Troyes, 10004 Troyes, France
| | - Eugenia Ipar
- GIBIO, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Buenos Aires C1179AAQ, Argentina
| | - Ricardo L. Armentano
- GIBIO, Facultad Regional Buenos Aires, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Buenos Aires C1179AAQ, Argentina
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Gupta S, Singh A, Sharma A. Exploiting moving slope features of PPG derivatives for estimation of mean arterial pressure. Biomed Eng Lett 2023; 13:1-9. [PMID: 36711158 PMCID: PMC9873885 DOI: 10.1007/s13534-022-00247-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2022] [Revised: 08/24/2022] [Accepted: 09/17/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Monitoring Mean Arterial Pressure (MAP) helps calculate the arteries' flow, resistance, and pressure. It allows doctors to check how well the blood flows through our body and reaches all major organs. Photoplethysmogram technology is gaining momentum and popularity in smart wearable devices to monitor cuff-less blood pressure (BP). However, the performance reliability of the existing PPG-based BP estimation devices is still poor. Inaccuracy in estimating systolic and diastolic blood pressure leads to an overall imprecision in resultant MAP values. Hence, there is a need for robust and reliable MAP estimation algorithms. This work exploits the moving slope features of PPG contour in its first and second derivatives that directly correlate with MAP and does not require estimating systolic and diastolic blood pressure values. The proposed approach is evaluated using two different data sets (i.e., MIMIC-I and MIMIC-II) to demonstrate the robustness and reliability of the work for personalized non-invasive BP monitoring devices to estimate MAP directly. A mean absolute error of 1.28 mmHg and a standard deviation of 2.50 mmHg is obtained with MIMIC-II data-set using GridSearchCV random forest regressor that outperformed most of the existing related works.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Anurag Singh
- IIIT Naya Raipur, Raipur, Chhattisgarh 493661 India
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Qin K, Huang W, Zhang T, Tang S. Machine learning and deep learning for blood pressure prediction: a methodological review from multiple perspectives. Artif Intell Rev 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/s10462-022-10353-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
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Nguyen TX, Ran AR, Hu X, Yang D, Jiang M, Dou Q, Cheung CY. Federated Learning in Ocular Imaging: Current Progress and Future Direction. Diagnostics (Basel) 2022; 12:2835. [PMID: 36428895 PMCID: PMC9689273 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12112835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2022] [Revised: 11/11/2022] [Accepted: 11/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Advances in artificial intelligence deep learning (DL) have made tremendous impacts on the field of ocular imaging over the last few years. Specifically, DL has been utilised to detect and classify various ocular diseases on retinal photographs, optical coherence tomography (OCT) images, and OCT-angiography images. In order to achieve good robustness and generalisability of model performance, DL training strategies traditionally require extensive and diverse training datasets from various sites to be transferred and pooled into a "centralised location". However, such a data transferring process could raise practical concerns related to data security and patient privacy. Federated learning (FL) is a distributed collaborative learning paradigm which enables the coordination of multiple collaborators without the need for sharing confidential data. This distributed training approach has great potential to ensure data privacy among different institutions and reduce the potential risk of data leakage from data pooling or centralisation. This review article aims to introduce the concept of FL, provide current evidence of FL in ocular imaging, and discuss potential challenges as well as future applications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Truong X. Nguyen
- Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - An Ran Ran
- Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Xiaoyan Hu
- Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Dawei Yang
- Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Meirui Jiang
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Qi Dou
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Carol Y. Cheung
- Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
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Ku CJ, Wang Y, Chang CY, Wu MT, Dai ST, Liao LD. Noninvasive blood oxygen, heartbeat rate, and blood pressure parameter monitoring by photoplethysmography signals. Heliyon 2022; 8:e11698. [DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11698] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2022] [Revised: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 11/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
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Man PK, Cheung KL, Sangsiri N, Shek WJ, Wong KL, Chin JW, Chan TT, So RHY. Blood Pressure Measurement: From Cuff-Based to Contactless Monitoring. Healthcare (Basel) 2022; 10:healthcare10102113. [PMID: 36292560 PMCID: PMC9601911 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare10102113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2022] [Revised: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 10/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Blood pressure (BP) determines whether a person has hypertension and offers implications as to whether he or she could be affected by cardiovascular disease. Cuff-based sphygmomanometers have traditionally provided both accuracy and reliability, but they require bulky equipment and relevant skills to obtain precise measurements. BP measurement from photoplethysmography (PPG) signals has become a promising alternative for convenient and unobtrusive BP monitoring. Moreover, the recent developments in remote photoplethysmography (rPPG) algorithms have enabled new innovations for contactless BP measurement. This paper illustrates the evolution of BP measurement techniques from the biophysical theory, through the development of contact-based BP measurement from PPG signals, and to the modern innovations of contactless BP measurement from rPPG signals. We consolidate knowledge from a diverse background of academic research to highlight the importance of multi-feature analysis for improving measurement accuracy. We conclude with the ongoing challenges, opportunities, and possible future directions in this emerging field of research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ping-Kwan Man
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Correspondence:
| | - Kit-Leong Cheung
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
| | - Nawapon Sangsiri
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
| | - Wilfred Jin Shek
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK
| | - Kwan-Long Wong
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China
| | - Jing-Wei Chin
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China
| | - Tsz-Tai Chan
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China
| | - Richard Hau-Yue So
- PanopticAI, Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China
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Advances in Cuffless Continuous Blood Pressure Monitoring Technology Based on PPG Signals. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 2022:8094351. [PMID: 36217389 PMCID: PMC9547685 DOI: 10.1155/2022/8094351] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2022] [Accepted: 07/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Objective. To review the progress of research on photoplethysmography- (PPG-) based cuffless continuous blood pressure monitoring technologies and prospect the challenges that need to be addressed in the future. Methods. Using Web of Science and PubMed as search engines, the literature on cuffless continuous blood pressure studies using PPG signals in the recent five years were searched. Results. Based on the retrieved literature, this paper describes the available open datasets, commonly used signal preprocessing methods, and model evaluation criteria. Early researches employed multisite PPG signals to calculate pulse wave velocity or time and predicted blood pressure by a simple linear equation. Later, extensive researches were dedicated to mine the features of PPG signals related to blood pressure and regressed blood pressure by machine learning models. Most recently, many researches have emerged to experiment with complex deep learning models for blood pressure prediction with the raw PPG signal as input. Conclusion. This paper summarized the methods in the retrieved literature, provided insight into the artificial intelligence algorithms employed in the literature, and concluded with a discussion of the challenges and opportunities for the development of cuffless continuous blood pressure monitoring technologies.
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Yoshizawa R, Yamamoto K, Ohtsuki T. Arterial Blood Pressure Estimation Method from Electrocardiogram Signals using U-Net. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 2022; 2022:2689-2692. [PMID: 36085781 DOI: 10.1109/embc48229.2022.9871430] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Previous works proposed deep learning models to estimate blood pressure from electrocardiogram (ECG) signals. However, they can only estimate max, min, and mean arterial blood pressures and cannot estimate arterial blood pressure (ABP). This paper presents the ABP estimation method from ECG signals using the deep learning model of U-Net. Through the performance evaluation with signals of about 185 hours, we observed that the proposed method estimated ABP with high accuracy. Furthermore, the accuracies of the calculated max, min, and mean ABPs were comparable to those in the previous works, even though our method also estimated ABP. In the end, we discussed the subject-overfitting problem and future work toward practical use of daily blood pressure monitoring.
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Demand Forecasting of E-Commerce Enterprises Based on Horizontal Federated Learning from the Perspective of Sustainable Development. SUSTAINABILITY 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/su132313050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
Public health emergencies have brought great challenges to the stability of the e-commerce supply chain. Demand forecasting is a key driver for the sound development of e-commerce enterprises. To prevent the potential privacy leakage of e-commerce enterprises in the process of demand forecasting using multi-party data, and to improve the accuracy of demand forecasting models, we propose an e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting method based on Horizontal Federated Learning and ConvLSTM, from the perspective of sustainable development. First, in view of the shortcomings of traditional RNN and LSTM demand forecasting models, which cannot handle multi-dimensional time-series problems, we propose a demand forecasting model based on ConvLSTM. Secondly, to address the problem that data cannot be directly shared and exchanged between e-commerce enterprises of the same type, the goal of demand information sharing modeling is realized indirectly through Horizontal Federated Learning. Experimental results on a large number of real data sets show that, compared with benchmark experiments, our proposed method can improve the accuracy of e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting models while avoiding privacy data leakage, and the bullwhip effect value is closer to 1. Therefore, we effectively alleviate the bullwhip effect of the entire supply chain system in demand forecasting, and promote the sustainable development of e-commerce companies.
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