FASTNN: A Deep Learning Approach for Traffic Flow Prediction Considering Spatiotemporal Features

ST-D3DDARN: Urban traffic flow prediction based on spatio-temporal decoupled 3D DenseNet with attention ResNet

Urban traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS), which can enhance traffic efficiency and ensure public safety. However, predicting urban traffic flow faces numerous challenges, such as intricate temporal dependencies, spatial correlations, and the influence of external factors. Existing research methods cannot fully capture the complex spatio-temporal dependence of traffic flow. Inspired by video analysis in computer vision, we represent traffic flow as traffic frames and propose an end-to-end urban traffic flow prediction model named Spatio-temporal Decoupled 3D DenseNet with Attention ResNet (ST-D3DDARN). Specifically, this model extracts multi-source traffic flow features through closeness, period, trend, and external factor branches. Subsequently, it dynamically establishes global spatio-temporal correlations by integrating spatial self-attention and coordinate attention in a residual network, accurately predicting the inflow and outflow of traffic throughout the city. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the ST-D3DDARN model, experiments are carried out on two publicly available real-world datasets. The results indicate that ST-D3DDARN outperforms existing models in terms of single-step prediction, multi-step prediction, and efficiency.

Deep learning solutions for smart city challenges in urban development

In the realm of urban planning, the integration of deep learning technologies has emerged as a transformative force, promising to revolutionize the way cities are designed, managed, and optimized. This research embarks on a multifaceted exploration that combines the power of deep learning with Bayesian regularization techniques to enhance the performance and reliability of neural networks tailored for urban planning applications. Deep learning, characterized by its ability to extract complex patterns from vast urban datasets, has the potential to offer unprecedented insights into urban dynamics, transportation networks, and environmental sustainability. However, the complexity of these models often leads to challenges such as overfitting and limited interpretability. To address these issues, Bayesian regularization methods are employed to imbue neural networks with a principled framework that enhances generalization while quantifying predictive uncertainty. This research unfolds with the practical implementation of Bayesian regularization within neural networks, focusing on applications ranging from traffic prediction, urban infrastructure, data privacy, safety and security. By integrating Bayesian regularization, the aim is to, not only improve model performance in terms of accuracy and reliability but also to provide planners and decision-makers with probabilistic insights into the outcomes of various urban interventions. In tandem with quantitative assessments, graphical analysis is wielded as a crucial tool to visualize the inner workings of deep learning models in the context of urban planning. Through graphical representations, network visualizations, and decision boundary analysis, we uncover how Bayesian regularization influences neural network architecture and enhances interpretability.

Lag and duration of leader-follower relationships in mixed traffic using causal inference

This study presents comprehensive analysis of car-following behavior on roads, utilizing Granger causality and transfer entropy techniques to enhance the validity of existing car-following models. It was found that most leader-follower relationships exhibit a delay in lateral movement by 4-5 s and last for short periods of around 3-5 s. These patterns are exhibited for all types of relationship found in the dataset, as well as for followers of all types. These findings imply that lateral movement reactions are governed by a different set of rules from braking and acceleration reactions, and the advantage in following lateral changes is short-lived. This also suggests that mixed traffic conditions may force drivers to slow down and calibrate reactions, as well as limiting the speed advantage gained by following a leader. Our methods were verified against random sampling as a method of selecting leader-follower pairs, decreasing the percent error in predicted speeds by 9.5% using the optimal velocity car-following model. The study concludes with a set of recommendations for future work, including the use of a diversity of car-following models for simulation and the use of causation entropy to distinguish between direct and indirect influences.

Incorporating Multivariate Auxiliary Information for Traffic Prediction on Highways

Traffic flow prediction is one of the most important tasks of the Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs) for traffic management, and it is also a challenging task affected by many complex factors, such as weather and time. Many cities adopt efficient traffic prediction methods to control traffic congestion. However, most of the existing methods of traffic prediction focus on urban road scenarios, neglecting the complexity of multivariate auxiliary information in highways. Moreover, these methods have difficulty explaining the prediction results based only on the historical traffic flow sequence. To tackle these problems, we propose a novel traffic prediction model, namely Multi-variate and Multi-horizon prediction based on Long Short-Term Memory (MMLSTM). MMLSTM can effectively incorporate auxiliary information, such as weather and time, based on a strategy of multi-horizon time spans to improve the prediction performance. Specifically, we first exploit a multi-horizon bidirectional LSTM model for fusing the multivariate auxiliary information in different time spans. Then, we combine an attention mechanism and multi-layer perceptron to conduct the traffic prediction. Furthermore, we can use the information of multivariate (weather and time) to provide interpretability to manage the model. Comprehensive experiments are conducted on Hangst and Metr-la datasets, and MMLSTM achieves better performance than baselines on traffic prediction tasks.

Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory Network with Multi-Head Attention Mechanism for Traffic Flow Prediction

Accurate predictive modeling of traffic flow is critically important as it allows transportation users to make wise decisions to circumvent traffic congestion regions. The advanced development of sensing technology makes big data more affordable and accessible, meaning that data-driven methods have been increasingly adopted for traffic flow prediction. Although numerous data-driven methods have been introduced for traffic flow predictions, existing data-driven methods cannot consider the correlation of the extracted high-dimensional features and cannot use the most relevant part of the traffic flow data to make predictions. To address these issues, this work proposes a decoder convolutional LSTM network, where the convolutional operation is used to consider the correlation of the high-dimensional features, and the LSTM network is used to consider the temporal correlation of traffic flow data. Moreover, the multi-head attention mechanism is introduced to use the most relevant portion of the traffic data to make predictions so that the prediction performance can be improved. A traffic flow dataset collected from the Caltrans Performance Measurement System (PeMS) database is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.