Identification of Road Traffic Injury Risk Prone Area Using Environmental Factors by Machine Learning Classification in Nonthaburi, Thailand

Automatic identification of pavement cracks in public roads using an optimized deep convolutional neural network model

The current study aims to improve the efficiency of automatic identification of pavement distress and improve the status quo of difficult identification and detection of pavement distress. First, the identification method of pavement distress and the types of pavement distress are analysed. Then, the design concept of deep learning in pavement distress recognition is described. Finally, the mask region-based convolutional neural network (Mask R-CNN) model is designed and applied in the recognition of road crack distress. The results show that in the evaluation of the model's comprehensive recognition performance, the highest accuracy is 99%, and the lowest accuracy is 95% after the test and evaluation of the designed model in different datasets. In the evaluation of different crack identification and detection methods, the highest accuracy of transverse crack detection is 98% and the lowest accuracy is 95%. In longitudinal crack detection, the highest accuracy is 98% and the lowest accuracy is 92%. In mesh crack detection, the highest accuracy is 98% and the lowest accuracy is 92%. This work not only provides an in-depth reference for the application of deep CNNs in pavement distress recognition but also promotes the improvement of road traffic conditions, thus contributing to the progression of smart cities in the future. This article is part of the theme issue 'Artificial intelligence in failure analysis of transportation infrastructure and materials'.

Predicting and Analyzing Road Traffic Injury Severity Using Boosting-Based Ensemble Learning Models with SHAPley Additive exPlanations

Road traffic accidents are one of the world’s most serious problems, as they result in numerous fatalities and injuries, as well as economic losses each year. Assessing the factors that contribute to the severity of road traffic injuries has proven to be insightful. The findings may contribute to a better understanding of and potential mitigation of the risk of serious injuries associated with crashes. While ensemble learning approaches are capable of establishing complex and non-linear relationships between input risk variables and outcomes for the purpose of injury severity prediction and classification, most of them share a critical limitation: their “black-box” nature. To develop interpretable predictive models for road traffic injury severity, this paper proposes four boosting-based ensemble learning models, namely a novel Natural Gradient Boosting, Adaptive Gradient Boosting, Categorical Gradient Boosting, and Light Gradient Boosting Machine, and uses a recently developed SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis to rank the risk variables and explain the optimal model. Among four models, LightGBM achieved the highest classification accuracy (73.63%), precision (72.61%), and recall (70.09%), F1-scores (70.81%), and AUC (0.71) when tested on 2015–2019 Pakistan’s National Highway N-5 (Peshawar to Rahim Yar Khan Section) accident data. By incorporating the SHapley Additive exPlanations approach, we were able to interpret the model’s estimation results from both global and local perspectives. Following interpretation, it was determined that the Month_of_Year, Cause_of_Accident, Driver_Age and Collision_Type all played a significant role in the estimation process. According to the analysis, young drivers and pedestrians struck by a trailer have a higher risk of suffering fatal injuries. The combination of trailers and passenger vehicles, as well as driver at-fault, hitting pedestrians and rear-end collisions, significantly increases the risk of fatal injuries. This study suggests that combining LightGBM and SHAP has the potential to develop an interpretable model for predicting road traffic injury severity.