The Predictive Factors for Severe Leptospirosis Cases in Kedah

An Insight Into Various Manifestations of Leptospirosis: A Unique Case Series From a State in Eastern India

BACKGROUND

Leptospirosis presents with highly variable clinical manifestations affecting different organ systems in different individuals. The presentation ranges from an asymptomatic or mild disease to a severe disease associated with multiorgan failure and higher mortality. Leptospirosis is highly underreported due to a lack of diagnostic modalities and less suspicion among clinicians.

METHODOLOGY

We present this single-center retrospective case series of 12 cases, which include various common and uncommon scenarios by which the disease can present and can be missed due to lack of suspicion. The study contains individual patient characteristics including demographic, laboratory, clinical, and treatment data. The association between these variables and mortality was analyzed using p-values and results were described. A p-value of<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 12 cases were included in the study. The male-to-female ratio was 3:1. The mean age was higher (37.75±9.81 years) in cases who died than those who recovered (34.25±14.09). Factors like history of alcoholism, presence of chronic liver disease (CLD), jaundice, acute renal failure, requirement of dialysis, and requirement of intensive care were significantly associated with increased risk of death (odds ratio >1, p-value <0.05). The most common symptom of presentation was fever in 11 (91.66%) cases. Jaundice and renal failure were significantly associated with death (odds ratio 1.2, p-value 0.04). The requirement of intensive care treatment (odds ratio 2.1, p-value 0.05) and dialysis (odds ratio 39.66, p-value 0.03) were also significantly associated with death. The percentage of death was lower in the group of patients who received combination antibiotic therapy.

CONCLUSION

Leptospirosis has varied presentations in different individuals and the diagnosis can be missed due to lack of specific signs and symptoms. Severe diseases involving multiple organs and preexisting comorbidities are associated with higher mortality rates. Timely diagnosis and treatment are necessary to reduce mortality and increase survival.

Demographic and clinical risk factors associated with severity of lab-confirmed human leptospirosis in Colombia, 2015-2020

BACKGROUND

Leptospirosis is a common zoonoses and is a major global public health threat. Most cases are mild, typically presenting as a non-specific acute febrile illness. However, leptospirosis can have life-threatening manifestations, including pulmonary hemorrhage syndrome, and acute kidney injury. In Colombia, notification and lab-confirmation of suspected human cases are mandatory. However, little is known about the demographic and clinical factors associated with severe leptospirosis, which could help to reduce clinical complications and mortality. Our aim was to identify risk factors associated with severe leptospirosis, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality in lab-confirmed cases in Colombia, 2015-2020.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We analyzed 201 lab-confirmed human leptospirosis cases by microagglutination test. We used a logistic regression to identify the demographic and clinical risk factors associated with severe leptospirosis, admission to ICU, and death. Most leptospirosis confirmed cases occurred in men (85.6%); the mean age was 36.7 years. We classified severe cases (43.3%) by clinical manifestations as renal (29.9%) and liver (27.4%) failure, multiple-organ failure (24.4%), septic shock (24.4%), Weil syndrome (18.4%), pulmonary hemorrhage (18.4%), and meningitis (2.5%), admitted to the ICU (30.3%), and fatal (8.5%). Clinical conditions associated with severe leptospirosis were dyspnea (OR: 5.54; 95% CI: 1.46 to 20.98), tachycardia (OR:9.69; 95% CI: 15.96 to 58.8), and rash (OR: 10.25; 95% CI: 25.01 to 42.08).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified demographic characteristics and clinical symptoms associated with severe leptospirosis in Colombia. We hope these results can support clinicians in providing timely treatment to leptospirosis patients to avoid preventable medical complications or deaths.

Prognostic Factors for Leptospirosis Infection Severity

BACKGROUND

Leptospirosis is an important health problem in Thailand. People infected with leptospirosis may not have any mild symptoms, whereas some people have acute and severe illnesses. It is crucial to strengthen critical patients' diagnosis and treatment to prevent severe complications and reduce mortality. This study was performed to explore a set of parameters for the prediction of severe leptospirosis illness under routine clinical practice.

METHODS

A case-control study was conducted in eight general hospitals in Thailand. Retrospective collection data were used, and key information was retrieved from inpatient medical files. Patients were grouped into two severity categories, severe and non-severe infection. Backward elimination was used to reach the final multivariate model.

RESULTS

The six significant predictors identified in the study were hemoptysis (OR = 25.80, 95% CI 5.69, 116.92), hypotension (blood pressure < 90/60 mmHg) (OR = 17.33, 95% CI 6.89, 43.58), platelet count < 100,000/µL (OR = 8.37, 95% CI 4.65, 15.09), white blood cell count (WBC) > 14,000/µL (OR = 5.12, 95% CI 2.75, 9.51), hematocrit ≤ 30% (OR = 3.49, 95% CI 1.61, 7.57), and jaundice (OR = 3.11, 95% CI 1.71, 5.65). These predictors could correctly predict the severity of leptospirosis infection in 91.31% of the area under the receiver operation curve (AuROC).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study showed that severe leptospirosis infections have identifiable predictors. The predictors may be used to develop a scoring system for predicting the level of severity.

Predictors of lethality in severe leptospirosis in Transcarpathian region of Ukraine

Leptospirosis is one of the most widespread zoonoses in the Transcarpathian region, with an average lethality of 12.5%. To determine the predictors of lethality, a retrospective study of 97 medical records of patients with leptospirosis in the period from 2009 to 2018 was conducted. Quantitative variables in the presence of normal distribution were compared using a paired Student's t-test, and in the case of an abnormal distribution, the Mann-Whitney U test was used. The criterion χ² was used for qualitative variables. Multivariate analysis was used for the calculation of the Odds ratio. The following factors that are associated with death from leptospirosis have been identified: total bilirubin greater than 300 mcmol/L (OR, 4.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.57-11.53), platelets less than 50 × (10⁹/L) (OR, 3.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45-10.73), creatinine above 200 mcmol/L (OR, 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-2.60) and jaundice (OR, 1.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.60). Detection of these predictors will help to quickly identify a patient at risk of severe course of the disease and death, which will allow deciding on the use of early intensive care.

Pulmonary haemorrhage as the earliest sign of severe leptospirosis in hamster model challenged with Leptospira interrogans strain HP358

Background

Severe leptospirosis is challenging as it could evolve rapidly and potentially fatal if appropriate management is not performed. An understanding of the progression and pathophysiology of Leptospira infection is important to determine the early changes that could be potentially used to predict the severe occurrence of leptospirosis. This study aimed to understand the kinetics pathogenesis of Leptospira interrogans strain HP358 in the hamster model and identify the early parameters that could be used as biomarkers to predict severe leptospirosis.

Methodology/Principal findings

Male Syrian hamsters were infected with Leptospira interrogans strain HP358 and euthanized after 24 hours, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 days post-infection. Blood, lungs, liver and kidneys were collected for leptospiral detection, haematology, serum biochemistry and differential expression of pro- and anti-inflammatory markers. Macroscopic and microscopic organ damages were investigated. Leptospira interrogans strain HP358 was highly pathogenic and killed hamsters within 6–7 days post-infection. Pulmonary haemorrhage and blood vessel congestion in organs were noticed as the earliest pathological changes. The damages in organs and changes in biochemistry value were preceded by changes in haematology and immune gene expression.

Conclusion/Significance

This study deciphered haemorrhage as the earliest manifestation of severe leptospirosis and high levels of IL-1β, CXCL10/IP-10, CCL3/MIP-α, neutrophils and low levels of lymphocytes and platelets serve as a cumulative panel of biomarkers in severe leptospirosis.

As the severe form of leptospirosis could progress rapidly and be potentially fatal if not treated earlier, deciphering the pathophysiology kinetics of infection is crucial to determine the parameters of disease severity. To understand this, we challenged hamsters with the highly virulent Leptospira interrogans strain HP358. Pulmonary haemorrhage was observed as the earliest pathological change followed by liver and kidneys damages. The increased expression of IL-1β, CXCL10/IP-10, CCL3/MIP-α, high neutrophils and low lymphocytes and platelets production observed in the present study indicate that these parameters could serve as a cumulative panel of biomarkers in severe leptospirosis.

Clinical profile, management and outcome of patients with leptospirosis during the times of COVID-19 pandemic: A prospective study from a tertiary care centre in South India

Leptospirosis is a rodent-borne acute febrile illness, classically seen after heavy rainfall and floods. This study aimed to describe the clinical profile, management strategies and outcome of patients with leptospirosis amidst the Coronavirus disease-2019 outbreak. A prospective study of adult patients with undifferentiated fever (5-15 days) was conducted in South India between October 2020 and February 2021. The demographic, clinical details, laboratory details, treatment and outcome of leptospirosis positive (based on serology) and negative patients were compared. A chisquare test was used for qualitative variables, while an independent t-test or Mann Whitney U test was used for continuous variables. Of the 206 patients with suspected acute febrile illness, a total of 63 patients were diagnosed with leptospirosis based on serology results. The median sequential organ failure assessment score was higher in those with leptospirosis (p<0.001). Myalgia, abdominal pain, jaundice, decreased urine output, myocarditis, and dialysis requirement were more common in patients with leptospirosis. Leucocytosis and raised procalcitonin/C-reactive protein were more common in patients with leptospirosis. The duration of stay and antibiotic consumption was higher in patients with leptospirosis. Acute febrile illness such as leptospirosis should be suspected in tropical areas with significant risk factors. The presence of conjunctival suffusion, hepatic and renal dysfunction should warrant a serology test for leptospirosis.

Risk and Predictive Factors of Leptospirosis in Dogs Diagnosed with Kidney and/or Liver Disease in Selangor, Malaysia

Simple Summary

Canine leptospirosis is commonly associated with kidney and/or liver disease. The current study identified the potential risk and predictive factors of dogs diagnosed with kidney and/or liver disease due to leptospirosis. A total of 124 client-owned dogs were recruited and the samples collected were directly tested using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and subsequently inoculated for bacterial isolation. Statistical analyses were descriptively analyzed, and risk analyses were performed using Pearson chi-square tests and logistic regression. The different breeds of dog with history of exposure to rats and those managed outdoors had a greater risk of leptospirosis (p < 0.05). The significant predictors for the dogs’ positivity were presence of rats and acute clinical illness (p < 0.05). Administration of antibiotics and detection of clinical illness at an early stage of the disease improved the survivability of the dogs (p < 0.05).

Abstract

Canine leptospirosis is commonly associated with kidney and/or liver disease. It has been widely reported and causes public health concerns due to its zoonotic potential and its re-emergence, resulting from close contact between humans and dogs. The current study identified potential risk and predictive factors for dogs diagnosed with kidney and/or liver disease due to leptospirosis. A total of 124 client-owned dogs were recruited, and information such as signalment, medical history, management, and clinical findings were documented. Samples collected from the recruited dogs were directly tested using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and subsequently inoculated for bacterial isolation. Statistical analyses were descriptively analyzed, and risk analyses were performed using Pearson chi-square tests and logistic regression. A total of 53 dogs (42.7%) were positive for leptospiral infection based on PCR, and 10 leptospiral isolates were successfully recovered from eight dogs. The mortality rate of infected dogs was 34.0% (18/53). Medium and large dog breeds, with a history of exposure to rats, and managed outdoors had a greater risk for leptospirosis (p < 0.05). The significant predictors for the dogs’ positivity were the presence of rats and acute clinical illness (p < 0.05). Administration of antibiotics and the detection of clinical illness at an early stage of the disease improved the survivability of the dogs (p < 0.05). Identifying the profile of dogs that are at risk to leptospirosis could be useful in the design of diagnostic and treatment strategies, as well as to increase awareness for prevention of the disease.

Predictors of severe leptospirosis: a multicentre observational study from Central Malaysia

Background

Leptospirosis is a re-emerging disease with vast clinical presentations, that ranges from subclinical or mild to severe and fatal outcomes. Leptospirosis can be managed well if diagnosed earlier, however, similar clinical presentations by several other febrile illnesses or co-infections, and laboratory diagnostic challenges due to the biphasic nature of the illness, often result in mis- or underdiagnosis, thereby lead to severe illness. Identification of clinical predictors for the severe form of the disease plays a crucial role in reducing disease complication and mortality. Therefore, we aimed to determine the clinical predictors associated with severe illness among leptospirosis patients from Central Malaysia through a prospective multicenter observational study.

Methods

A prospective multicenter observational study was performed on patients admitted for clinically suspected leptospirosis. Three hospitals namely Hospital Serdang, Hospital Tengku Ampuan Rahimah and Hospital Teluk Intan were included in the study. Among a total of 165 clinically suspected leptospirosis patients, 83 confirmed cases were investigated for clinical predictors for severe illness. Qualitative variables were performed using χ2 and the relationship between mild and severe cases was evaluated using logistic regression. Multivariable logistic regression was used to predict the independent variable for severity.

Results

Among the 83 patients, 50 showed mild disease and 33 developed severe illness. The mean age of the patients was 41.92 ± 17.99 and most were males (n = 54, 65.06%). We identified mechanical ventilation, acute kidney injury, septic shock, creatinine level of > 1.13 mg/dL, urea > 7 mmol/L, alanine aminotransferase > 50 IU, aspartate aminotransferase > 50 IU, and platelet < 150 × 10⁹/L as factors associated with severe illness. Acute kidney injury, alanine aminotransferase > 50 IU and platelet < 150 × 10⁹/L were defined as the independent factors for severity.

Conclusions

Lungs, liver and kidney involvement and septic shock were found as the prognostic factors for severe leptospirosis. Acute kidney injury, high level of alanine aminotransferase and low level of platelets were found to be independent predictors of severity.